Is Bitcoin Undervalued? Crypto Sentiment Index Flashes “Massive Contrarian Buy Signal”
27 Febbraio 2025 - 7:30AM
NEWSBTC
Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced one of its largest price pullbacks in
recent times, plunging from $96,131 on February 24 to a potential
local bottom of $85,418 today. The decline triggered liquidations
exceeding $1.5 billion, with the majority coming from long
positions. Is It Time To Buy Bitcoin? The recent price action
suggests that the crypto market is reacting to bleak macroeconomic
conditions, driven by US President Donald Trump’s proposed trade
tariffs and a hawkish stance from the US Federal Reserve
(Fed). The total crypto market cap has now fallen below $3
trillion for the first time since November 2024, signaling growing
bearish sentiment around risk-on assets. Major altcoins like
Ethereum (ETH) have fallen by more than 10% in the past week.
Related Reading: As Bitcoin Sell Pressure Fades, Could A Local
Bottom Be Forming? Analyst Explains However, despite yesterday’s
downturn, overall sentiment toward the crypto market appears to be
improving. In an X post, Andre Dragosch, European Head of Research
at Bitwise, suggested that the worst may be over for BTC. Dragosch
shared the following Cryptoasset Sentiment Index, which is flashing
a strong contrarian buy signal for the flagship cryptocurrency. The
analyst added: Wide-spread bearishness among flows, on-chain, and
derivatives data implies that downside risks are fairly limited.
Risk-reward appears to be quite favourable at these prices. To
further illustrate the level of bearishness surrounding risk-on
assets, Dragosch highlighted that US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded
funds (ETFs) recorded their single largest daily net outflow on
record yesterday. Data from SoSoValue supports this assessment.
Additionally, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index remains in bearish
territory. Dragosch noted that sentiment levels are “already as
bearish as during the macro capitulation last August.” At that
time, BTC made a local bottom at $49,000 before rallying to
multiple new all-time highs (ATHs). On a more optimistic note,
on-chain data indicates that crypto whales are capitalizing on
market uncertainty. According to crypto analyst Ali Martinez,
long-term holders have accumulated nearly 20,400 BTC following the
recent sell-off. Strategy Falls With BTC Crash In line with BTC’s
decline, Strategy stock MSTR has also suffered, plummeting 55% from
its peak of $543 in November 2024. At the time of writing, MSTR
trades at $249, down approximately 29% over the past month. Despite
the overall bearish sentiment, recent analysis comparing BTC’s
returns to other assets, such as gold and stocks, shows that while
Bitcoin’s cumulative annual growth rate has slowed in recent years,
it continues to outperform traditional asset classes significantly.
Related Reading: Is Bitcoin Showing Early Signs Of Bullish
Divergence? Analyst Explains However, not all analysts share
Dragosch’s optimism. In stark contrast, Standard Chartered recently
warned that BTC may face further downside before resuming its
bullish trajectory. At press time, BTC trades at $87,086, down 1%
in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from X,
Yahoo! Finance and TradingView.com
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