Britons Find Inflation More Sticky: Bank Of England/Ipsos Survey
09 Dicembre 2022 - 09:32AM
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Britons' inflation expectations for the coming year slowed
slightly in November but their outlook for the medium-term
inflation was higher suggesting that inflation is considered to be
more sticky, results of a survey by the Bank of England showed
Friday.
The one-year ahead consumer price inflation is seen at 4.8
percent compared to 4.9 percent estimated in August, the latest
quarterly Inflation Attitudes Survey conducted by the market
research firm Ipsos, on behalf of the Bank of England,
revealed.
But respondents raised their inflation forecast for twelve
months after one year, to 3.4 percent from 3.2 percent. For the
longer term, say in five years' time, the UK inflation outlook was
raised to 3.3 percent from 3.1 percent.
Respondents assessed the current rate of inflation in the UK at
9.2 percent, up from 7.6 percent in August.
The survey was conducted between November 4 and 7.
The latest ONS data, which is for October, showed UK consumer
price inflation at 11.1 percent, the strongest since October
1981.
The central bank has forecast inflation to peak at around 11
percent in the fourth quarter of this year. The inflation rate is
projected to fall sharply to around 5 percent by the end of next
year, and return to the 2 percent target in two years' time.
The BoE has been tightening its monetary policy since last
December. With the 75 basis point rate hike in November, the bank
rate has reached 3.00 percent, the highest since November 2008.
The next monetary policy announcement is due on December 15.
The latest survey showed that the net balance of Britons
expecting interest rates to rise over the next twelve months fell
slightly to 74 percent from 75 percent.
About 11 percent said they expected rates to stay about the same
over the coming year, the same proportion compared to August.
Respondents were asked whether higher, lower or no change in
interest rate, which would be 'best for the economy', 20 percent
thought rates should 'go up', and 30 percent said rates should 'go
down'. About 25 percent were of the view that interest rates should
'stay where they are'.
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