31
January 2024
Future Metals
NL
Quarterly Activities Report
for period ending
31 December
2023
Future Metals NL ("Future Metals" or the "Company", ASX | AIM: FME) is pleased to
announce its Quarterly Activities and Cashflow Report for the
quarter ended 31 December 2023 (the "Quarter").
Highlights
§ Completed the Panton Scoping
Study leveraging off ~A$50m investment at Panton to date, including
previous feasibility studies, ~45,000m drilling, decline access to
orebody & comprehensive bulk metallurgical
testwork
§ Study demonstrated the
potential for Panton to be one of few long life, globally
significant PGM operations in the western world
§ Robust project economics, low
capital intensity versus industry benchmarks and strong leverage to
PGM price appreciation, with:
o 1.5Moz PdEq2
mining inventory from 9.8Mt @ 3.60g/t PGM3E1,
0.25% Ni, 12.6% Cr2O3 (4.77g/t
PdEq2) for 1.1Moz PGM3E1, 25kt Ni,
1.1Mt Cr2O3 concentrate
o Initial ~9-year mine life
(study's mine plan covers 26% of the current defined Reef &
High Grade Dunite material and 10% of the overall
MRE)
o PGM production averaging
117,000oz pa from high grade feed of 3.60g/t
PGM3E1
o PdEq2 production
averaging 161,000oz pa (incl. nickel and chromite
by-products)
o Low All-in Sustaining Costs
(AISC), averaging US$789/oz (projected to be in the 2nd quartile),
providing resilience throughout the metal price
cycle
§ Completed the strategic
acquisition of Osprey Minerals3, doubling the Company's
exploration position in the East Kimberley. Acquisition includes
the Eileen Bore project, an advanced Cu-Ni-PGM exploration prospect
with wide, shallow mineralisation shown in historical drill
intersections including:
§ 120m @ 0.73% Cu,
0.29% Ni & 0.86g/t PGM3E from 0m (EoH) (EBRC
010)
o Incl. 16m @
1.0% Cu, 0.36% Ni & 0.99g/t PGM3E from
100m
§ 96m @ 0.70% Cu, 0.29%
Ni & 0.78g/t PGM3E from 24m (EoH) (EBRC
003)
o Incl. 10m @
1.08% Cu, 0.34% Ni & 1.04g/t PGM3E from
56m
§ 84m @ 0.54% Cu, 0.24%
Ni & 0.75g/t PGM3E from 36m (EoH) (EBRC
011)
§ Strategic Board changes in
line with the continued development of the Panton Project with the
appointment of Executive Chairman, Mr Patrick Walta, a qualified
metallurgist and mineral economist who brings experience across
technical and commercial roles
§ In parallel with progressing
value-add activities at the Panton project and planning for
exploration at Eileen Bore, the Company is assessing multiple
regional and broader opportunities
1 Platinum-Group-Metals
3E refers to platinum, palladium and gold
2 PdEq (Palladium
Equivalent). Refer to page 11 for calculation details
3 See announcement dated
5 October 2023 regarding Future Metals option over Osprey Minerals
Pty Ltd which was subsequently exercised.
Scoping Study Highlights
§ Scoping Study demonstrated
the potential for Panton to be one of the few significant primary
PGM operations in the western world.
The Study supports a high-grade, initial 9-year operation processing
both Reef and High-Grade Dunite material through a conventional
crush, grind and flotation flow sheet, producing:
Avg.
Production
|
PGM
(Oz
pa)
|
Chromite
Conc.
(Tpa)
|
Nickel
(Tpa)
|
PdEq2
(Oz
pa)
|
1,250ktpa
|
117,000
|
134,000
|
1,200
|
161,000
|
§ Robust
economics with Panton
demonstrating strong financial metrics that reflect the
high-grade and low
capital intensity of the Project.
Valuation
(1,250kt)
|
Pre-Production Capex
(A$m)
|
NPV8%
(A$m)
(pre /
post tax)
|
IRR
(%)
(pre /
post tax)
|
|
Base
Case
|
267
|
250 / 153
|
26% / 21%
|
|
PGM 5yr Avg
Case
|
477 / 311
|
39% / 31%
|
|
|
PGM
Basket
|
By-product credits
|
Prices
|
Platinum
(US$/oz)
|
Palladium
(US$/oz)
|
Gold
(US$/oz)
|
Rhodium*
(US$/oz)
|
Basket
Price
(US$/oz)
|
Nickel
(US$/t)
|
Chromite
(US$/t)
|
Base
Case
|
1,285
|
1,400
|
2,000
|
4,450
|
1,556
|
20,000
|
282
|
PGM 5yr Avg
Case
|
1,040
|
2,115
|
1,870
|
12,450
|
2,200
|
20,000
|
282
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
*Note Rh not included in Panton
Scoping Study's economic evaluation. Included for comparison to
South African PGM Basket Price only
§ Panton Base Case long term
PGM pricing aligns with the ~85th percentile of the cost
curve (see Figure
One), with the current South African
PGM4E basket price at an unsustainable ~65% percentile
(i.e. ~35% of current global operations are losing money), near
all-time lows
§ Panton's estimated AISC of
US$789/oz (projected 2nd quartile)
provides the opportunity for the planned future
operations to generate robust operating margins in all phases of
the PGM price cycle (see Figures One &
Two).
§ Study included just 26% of
Reef & High Grade Dunite material - mine life extension and valuation uplift to be targeted via
progressive uplift in Resource categorisation
o Average annual operating free
cash flow A$72m - clear value-add from mine life
extensions
§ Panton has the opportunity to
achieve an accelerated pathway to
production, driven by:
o Project's location on granted Mining Leases
o >A$50m invested in the Project to date including an
established portal and decline, comprehensive metallurgical test
work, >45,000m of drilling & prior environmental
studies
o Strong relationships with local stakeholders including the
Traditional Owners
§ Panton is optimally located, with good access to established
infrastructure:
o East Kimberley region of Western Australia, a top-tier mining
and investment jurisdiction
o ~1km from a sealed highway utilised by other mining
operations
o ~70km from a sealed airstrip for employee and contractor
transportation
o 300km from deep-water port at Wyndham, with easy access into
key potential markets
Figure One | PGM Industry's
Cost Curve and Panton Project's
positioning. Source SFA (Oxford)
*Further
details for the industry cost curve analysis are shown under the
PGM Industry Cost Curve Position section in the body of the
Company's announcement of 7 December 2023 entitled "Panton Scoping
Study Demonstrates Potential for Long-life, Globally Significant
PGM Operation"
Figure Two | South African
PGM4E Basket Price.
Source: Bloomberg & Company
estimates.
*The
PGM4E basket price is calculated based on the weightings
of Pt, Pd, Au and Rh production for the South African PGM industry.
All other metals production is considered a by-product and credited
towards an operations' cost base
§ Significant upside potential
for Panton over and above the Scoping Study outcomes
from:
o Panton orebody is open at depth and interpreted to have
improving thicknesses and grades; further drilling may support mine
life extensions
o Inclusion of other payable metals including rhodium, iridium,
copper and cobalt
o Resource delineation and inclusion of processing feed from
nearby projects such as the Eileen Bore Project or other
discoveries within Future Metals' 176km2 exploration
acreage
o Pricing upside associated with 'Western premiums' for scarce
and critical resources located in Australia supporting supply chain
development outside of China, Russia and South Africa
o Expansion potential from the significant near-surface Bulk
Dunite mineralisation which is not included within the Scoping
Study
Figure Three | Panton
PGM-Ni-Cr Project's Location
Project's Positioning
The Study highlighted the Project as
being a potentially globally significant producer of PGMs and
chromite. Panton also represents one of the only near-term
development PGM projects outside of Russia and South Africa.
Additionally, the Study demonstrated that Panton has a lower
capital intensity than other similar PGM projects in the study
phase, given its higher PGM grade.
PGM
Market Dynamics
The supply of primary PGM production
is currently dominated by South African and Russian operations.
Such operations supply >80% of PGM4E (Pd, Pt, Au
& Rh) production (based on actual 2022 figures). Both of these
countries are subject to material investment and operating
risks:
-
Russia is currently subject to international
sanctions which has deterred Western investment into its mining
industry, complicated the sourcing of new and sustaining mining
equipment for existing operations and caused Western customers to
seek alternative sources for metals such as PGMs.
-
South Africa produced over 71% of primary platinum
supply and 37% of primary palladium supply in 2022. Many of the
operations in South Africa have operated for several decades,
leading to deep mines and aging infrastructure which ultimately
increases operating costs and sustaining capital. These issues are
amplified by the chronic power availability issues in the
country.
South
African deposits are also relatively high in rhodium, with the
recent profitability of many operations being driven by very strong
rhodium prices, which has subsequently declined (2021: Rh price
~US$29,000/oz vs 2023: Rh price ~US$4,450/oz). This price decline,
coupled with significant cost base inflation has the potential to
lead to mine closures in the near to medium term.
PGM
Industry Cost Curve Position
The Study demonstrated that the
proposed operation has the potential to be a low-cost producer of
PGMs, with strong resilience for future operations throughout the
PGM price cycle.
Figure One shows that at the current
PGM4E basket price of ~US$1,250/oz approximately 35% of
existing PGM production is loss-making. This creates potential for
a significant amount of supply to cease in the near to medium term
unless prices increase.
Panton's cash costs net of
by-product credits and AISC of US$678/oz and US$789/oz,
respectively, demonstrate that if the Project was currently
producing, it would be towards the middle of the second quartile of
PGM production, thereby ensuring resilient margins in a depressed
price environment and making for an economically robust project
capable of withstanding sustained downturns in PGM
prices.
Further details on the calculation
methodology for the Company's stated cash costs, AISC and PGM
industry cost curve are set out in Chapter 10 of the Study, which
is available on the Company's website.
Study Stage PGM Projects ex-South Africa and
Russia
Table One shows how Panton compares
to two other study-stage PGM projects outside of South Africa and
Russia. In contrast to other developers, Panton has a superior
grade and materially lower capital requirements.
Table One | PGM Project Comparisons (ex-South Africa &
Russia)
Project
|
Owner
|
Location
|
Upfront
Pre-Production Capital
(A$m)
|
PGM3E1 Grade
(g/t)
|
Life of
Mine
(Years)
|
PGM3E1 Production
(Koz, LOM
Avg)
|
Co-Product Production
(LOM
Avg)
|
Panton
|
Future
Metals
|
Western
Australia
|
267
|
3.60
|
8.5
|
117
|
1kt
nickel
134kt
chromite concentrate
|
Gonneville
(15Mt)
|
Chalice
Mining
|
Western
Australia
|
1,600
|
0.95
|
19
|
280
|
9kt
nickel
10kt
copper
0.8kt
cobalt
|
Marathon
|
Generation Mining
|
Ontario,
Canada
|
1,2434
|
0.90
|
12.5
|
216
|
9kt
copper
248koz
silver
|
*See Appendix Three for source
details
4 Pre-production capital estimate of C$1,110. AUD:CAD exchange
rate of 0.89 applied
Upside Opportunities
The Study underpins a compelling
investment case for progressing the Project, and the Company sees
significant further upside opportunities as set out
below:
§ Improved geological
confidence of existing Resource: The
Study only includes 26% of the Reef and High Grade Dunite MRE due
to reporting constraints regarding the inclusion of Inferred
resources. Average annual free cash flows of A$72m in the Study
demonstrate the significant upside in increasing mine life through
the inclusion of existing Resources.
§ Resource
growth: The Panton orebody is open
at depth and interpreted to have improving thicknesses and grades;
further drilling may support mine life extensions beyond the
currently modelled life of mine.
§ Additional payable
metals: The Panton deposit contains
metals either not included in the MRE or not assumed to be payable.
Additional work in the PFS stage may support the inclusion of other
payable metals including rhodium, iridium, copper and
cobalt.
§ Expansion
potential: The Study does not
include the near-surface Bulk Dunite mineralisation. This component
of the MRE comprises 55.7Mt @ 1.2g/t PdEq5, such that
future metallurgical studies may support a significantly expanded
operation.
§ Regional
discoveries: The Company has
recently expanded its exploration position around the Panton
Project. Additional nearby discoveries will potentially further
enhance the Project's economics through shared surface and
processing infrastructure. Future Metals' Eileen Bore Project is
located ~15km to the east of Panton and historical drilling
indicates the potential to quickly establish a resource estimate,
progress metallurgical understanding and include it in the overall
project development plan.
§ Western price
premiums: Pricing upside associated
with being one of the few western PGM & chromite projects
outside of China, Russia and South Africa. The Company will
establish the Project's competitiveness on a carbon intensity basis
during the planned PFS, however given the grade, and intended power
source the Company is currently of the view that the Project will
be substantially less carbon intensive than many existing
projects.
5 MRE PdEq calculation
details provided in Appendix One of the Study (refer to the
Company's announcement of 7 December 2023).
Strategic Exploration Position
On 5 October 2023, the Company entered into an
option agreement to acquire 100% of Osprey Minerals Pty Ltd
("Osprey") which owns
~100km2 of highly prospective exploration tenements (the
"Osprey Projects") in the
East Kimberley region of Western Australia (shown in Figure Four).
The Osprey Projects are located within a 20km
radius of the Company's 100% owned Panton Project and made up of
the Eileen Bore, Sally Downs and Springvale Projects.
Figure Four | Future Metals'
tenements including the Octava Joint
Venture, and Osprey Projects (Eileen Bore, Sally Downs and
Springvale)
Eileen Bore
The Eileen Bore Project (shown in Figure Five) is characterised by a
series of differentiated pyroxenite and gabbro intrusions emplaced
along a structural corridor, the Alice Downs Fault, which
represents a major north-northeast trending splay off the
deep-seated mantle tapping Halls Creek Fault. Broad zones of
disseminated and net-textured Cu and Ni sulphides occur within the
host intrusions and are comprised of chalcopyrite, pyrrhotite,
pentlandite and pyrite. Much of the project area is under cover
which has limited the effectiveness of historical surface sampling.
There is significant potential for blind deposits with no surface
anomalism.
The Eileen Bore prospect is an advanced
exploration target with drilling confirming wide zones of
consistent Cu-Ni-PGM mineralisation from surface along a known
strike of ~300m. Mineralisation remains open along a significant
strike and at depth, with an average hole depth of just 96m and a
maximum drilled vertical depth of ~200m. Eileen Bore sits along the
same structure which hosts the Copernicus mine 15km to the
north-east.
Figure Five | Aeromagnetics
with Ni-Cu-PGM prospects highlighted at the Eileen Bore Project.
The Copernicus Mine is excluded.
Drilling results include (see announcement of 5 October 2023):
o 120m @
0.73% Cu, 0.29% Ni & 0.86g/t PGM3E from 0m
(EoH)(EBRC 010)
§ Incl. 16m @ 1.0% Cu,
0.36% Ni & 0.99g/t PGM3E from 100m
o 96m @
0.70% Cu, 0.29% Ni & 0.78g/t PGM3E from 24m (EoH)
(EBRC 003)
§ Incl. 10m @ 1.08% Cu,
0.34% Ni & 1.04g/t PGM3E from 56m
o 84m @
0.54% Cu, 0.24% Ni & 0.75g/t PGM3E from 36m (EoH)
(EBRC 011)
o 47m @
0.62% Cu, 0.30% Ni & 0.60g/t PGM3E from
3m(AD07)
o 36m @
0.53% Cu, 0.25% Ni & 0.59g/t PGM3E from
40m(EBRC 002)
o 64m @
0.77% Cu, & 0.30% Ni from 32m (EoH)
(EP09)
o 52m @
0.74% Cu, & 0.29% Ni from 10m (EP08)
Figure Six | Cross section of
drilling at Eileen Bore demonstrating mineralisation open at
depth.
Prior drilling to date (shown in Figure Six) has focused on near surface
mineralisation. Interpretation of this drill hole data is that
mineralisation is controlled by a south-west plunging,
chonolith-like body with grades and thicknesses increasing towards
the centre of the intrusion. The down plunge extent of the body has
not been effectively drill tested.
Preparation for drilling at the Company's
Cu-Ni-PGM1 Eileen Bore Project is underway and set for
commencement after the current East Kimberley wet season ends. The
drill programme will target mineralisation extensions near surface
and at depth. The programme will also include infill drilling of
known mineralisation to underpin a maiden JORC (2012) Mineral
Resource Estimate ("MRE")
for Eileen Bore.
Following the completion of the acquisition of
Osprey in late 2023, the Company continues to assess opportunities
for further enhancing the Company's strategic land position in the
highly prospective East Kimberley region. The Company sees a strong
opportunity for development of a potential 'hub and spoke' strategy
utilising Panton and Eileen Bore as potential feed sources for a
central processing hub.
Corporate
The Company announced strategic Board changes
in line with the continued development of the Panton PGM-Ni-Cr
Project and overall growth of the Company. Experienced board
executive Mr Patrick Walta was appointed as Executive Chairman
following the Company's 2023 Annual General Meeting.
Patrick is a qualified metallurgist and mineral
economist with experience across both technical and commercial
roles within the mining and water treatment industries.
In 2017 Patrick founded New Century Resources
Ltd and became Managing Director following the successful
acquisition of the Century Zinc Mine in Queensland. Over the
proceeding five years Patrick led the growth of the Company though
feasibility, mine restart, commissioning and steady state
operations. Through this process, the Century Mine became the 13th
largest zinc producer in the world. In 2023, New Century was
acquired by the multinational PGM-gold producer Sibanye-Stillwater
Ltd.
Mr Justin Tremain stepped down from the
position of Non-Executive Chairman, remaining on the Board as the
Senior Independent Non-Executive Director and former Non-Executive
Directors, Allan Mulligan and Rob Mosig, retired to focus on their
other business interests.
Financial commentary
The Quarterly Cashflow Report (Appendix 5B) for
the period ending 31 December 2023 provides an overview of the
Company's financial activities.
The Quarterly Cashflow Report (Appendix 5B) is
available at the following link: http://www.rns-pdf.londonstockexchange.com/rns/4063B_1-2024-1-30.pdf and
on the Company's website.
The Company held approximately A$607k in cash
at the end of the Quarter. This does not include any proceeds from
the underwritten non-renounceable entitlement issue of A$3.3m
(before costs) described below.
Exploration and project development expenditure
during the Quarter amounted to approximately A$580k, plus a A$25k
option fee payment for the acquisition of Osprey. Payments for
administration and corporate costs amounted to approximately
A$468k. This included payments to related parties and their
associates of A$169k, comprising Director fees and remuneration
(including superannuation). The Quarter also included a number of
one-off payments related to due diligence and preparation of
documentation for the entitlement issue as described
below.
On 15 December 2023, the Company announced an
underwritten non-renounceable entitlement issue to raise gross
proceeds of approximately A$3.3 million. The funds raised will be
used for drilling and other exploration activities at the Company's
Eileen Bore Project and to progress the Pre-Feasibility Study for
the Panton Project.
For additional information please refer to the
ASX/AIM announcements covered in this report:
§ 5 January
2024 | Letter to Shareholders and Despatch to Eligible
Shareholders
§ 29
December 2023 | Entitlement Issue Details for Depository Interest
Holders
§ 18
December 2023 | Update | Proposed Issue of Securities -
FME
§ 15
December 2023 | Entitlement Issue Prospectus
§ 15
December 2023 | Proposed Issue of Securities - FME
§ 15
December 2023 | Proposed Issue of Securities - FME
§ 15
December 2023 | Underwritten Non-Renounceable Entitlement
Issue
§ 14
December 2023 | Application for quotation of securities -
FME
§ 13
December 2023 | Trading Halt
§ 7 December
2023 | Investor Webinar
§ 7 December
2023 | Panton Project Scoping Study Presentation
§ 7 December
2023 | Panton PGM-Ni-Chromite Project Scoping Study
§ 5 December
2023 | Trading Halt
§ 28
November 2023 | Cleansing Notice
§ 27
November 2023 | Application for quotation of securities -
FME
§ 23
November 2023 | Change of Director's Interest Notice
§ 23
November 2023 | Application for quotation of securities -
FME
§ 22
November 2023 | Initial Director's Notice
§ 22
November 2023 | Notification regarding unquoted securities -
FME
§ 20
November 2023 | Final Director's Interest Notice x3
§ 20
November 2023 | Results of Meeting
§ 17
November 2023 | Updated - proposed issue of securities -
FME
§ 17
November 2023 | Acquisition of Osprey
§ 15
November 2023 | Board Changes and AGM Resolutions Update
§ 6 November
2023 | Variation to Option Agreement
The above announcements are
available to view on the Company's website at future-metals.com.au.
The Company confirms that it is not aware of any new information or
data that materially affects the information included in the
relevant original market announcements. The Company confirms that
the information and context in which the Competent Person's
findings are presented have not been materially modified from the
original market announcements.
For further information, please contact:
Future Metals NL
|
+61 8 9480 0414
|
Jardee Kininmonth
|
info@future-metals.com.au
|
Strand Hanson Limited (Nominated Adviser)
|
+44 (0) 207 409 3494
|
James Harris/James Bellman
|
|
Panmure Gordon (UK) Limited (UK Broker)
Hugh Rich/Rauf Munir
|
+44 (0)207 886 2500
|
FlowComms (UK IR/PR)
|
+44 (0) 789 167 7441
|
Sasha Sethi
|
|
The information contained within
this announcement is deemed by the Company to constitute inside
information as stipulated under the Market Abuse Regulation (EU)
No. 596/2014 as is forms part of United Kingdom domestic law
pursuant to the European Union (Withdrawal) Act 2018, as amended by
virtue of the Market Abuse (Amendment) (EU Exit) Regulations
2019.
Palladium Metal Equivalents
Metal recoveries used in the
palladium equivalent (PdEq) calculations are shown
below:
§ Reef:
Palladium 80%, Platinum 80%, Gold 70%, Nickel 45% and Chromite
70%
§ Dunite: Palladium 75%, Platinum 75%, Gold 85% and Nickel
40%
Assumed metal prices used are also
shown below:
§ Palladium
US$1,500/oz, Platinum US$1,250/oz, Gold US$1,750/oz, Nickel
US$20,000/t and US$175/t for chromite concentrate (40-42%
Cr2O3)
Metal equivalents were calculated
according to the follow formulae:
§ Reef: PdEq
(Palladium Equivalent g/t) = Pd(g/t) + 0.833 x Pt(g/t) + 1.02083 x
Au(g/t) + 2.33276 x Ni(%) + 0.07560 x Cr2O3
(%)
§ Dunite:
PdEq (Palladium Equivalent g/t) = Pd(g/t) + 0.833 x Pt(g/t) + 1.322
x Au(g/t) + 2.2118 x Ni(%)
Appendix One | Exploration and Mining
Permits
Exploration & Mining Permits changes during the
Quarter
Project
|
Location
|
Tenement
|
Interest at beginning of
Quarter
|
Interest at end of
Quarter
|
Springvale
|
Western Australia
|
E80/4753
|
0%
|
100%
|
Eileen Bore
|
Western Australia
|
E80/4922
|
0%
|
100%
|
Eileen Bore
|
Western Australia
|
E80/4923
|
0%
|
100%
|
Sally Downs
|
Western Australia
|
E80/4951
|
0%
|
100%
|
Sally Downs
|
Western Australia
|
E80/5056
|
0%
|
100%
|
Sally Downs
|
Western Australia
|
E80/5911 (pending)
|
0%
|
100%
|
Farm-In / Farm Out Agreement changes during the Quarter
Joint Venture
|
Project
|
Location
|
Tenement
|
Interest at beginning of
Quarter
|
Interest at end of Quarter
|
Octava Minerals Ltd
|
Panton North
|
Western Australia
|
E80/5455
|
-
|
-
|
Octava Minerals Ltd
|
Copernicus North
|
Western Australia
|
E80/5459
|
-
|
-
|
Future Metals may earn up to 70% in
the two tenements listed above. Details of the transaction can be
found in the announcement 'Farm-In Agreement Over East Kimberley
Ni-Cu-PGE Prospects' released on 17 January 2023.
Interests in Mining & Exploration Permits & Joint
Ventures at 31 December 2023
Project
|
Location
|
Tenement
|
Area
|
Interest at end of Quarter
|
Panton PGM-Ni Project
|
Western Australia
|
M80/103 M80/104
|
8.6km2
5.7km2
|
100%
100%
|
|
|
M80/105
|
8.3km2
|
100%
|
Panton North
|
Western Australia
|
E80/5455
|
8 BL
|
-
|
Palamino (renamed from Copernicus
North)
|
Western Australia
|
E80/5459
|
2 BL
|
-
|