Carronade Capital, an alternative asset management firm, which
beneficially owns approximately 2,000,000 shares of Frontier
Communications Parent, Inc. (NASDAQ: FYBR) today released a letter
to fellow Frontier shareholders. The full text of the letter is
below:
October 21, 2024
Dear Fellow Frontier Shareholder:
Carronade Capital Management, LP (“Carronade” or “we” or “us”)
is a registered investment manager with approximately $2 billion in
assets under management. Funds managed by Carronade beneficially
own approximately 2,000,000 shares of Frontier Communications
Parent, Inc. (“Frontier” or “Company”).
Put plainly, we believe that the current offer by
Verizon Communications Inc. (“Verizon”), to acquire the Company at
$38.50 per share (the “Proposed Transaction”), is insufficient
compared to the intrinsic value of the Company. Based on
our decades of investment experience and extensive research, we
believe that Frontier has an intrinsic value of at
least $48.60 per share on a
standalone basis – and that is before a
fair share of the unique synergy value this transaction brings to
Verizon.
The Proposed Transaction with Verizon does NOT represent
fair value to Frontier shareholders. As such, Carronade does NOT
support the Proposed Transaction in its current form and encourages
our fellow shareholders to vote against the Proposed Transaction if
you agree.
Financial Analysis Supports Higher Share Price
There are a number of thorough third-party analyses that support
a higher standalone valuation range for Frontier. Some
recent estimates range from $47.88 to $60+ per share before any
synergy value12. Rather
than repeat the same, very valid, similar per passing valuation,
comparative multiple valuation, or DCF analysis, which all support
a higher price, we offer the following straight forward precedent
transaction analysis.
The most recent and relevant fiber transactions valuations
(Metronet/T-Mobile, Lumos/T-Mobile, and Horizon/Shenandoah) have
been valued in the low to mid 20’s x TEV/EBITDA34. If we were to
look at Frontier’s Fiber only EBITDA5 and use a substantial
discounted multiple of 15x, this supports $48.60 per
share before any synergies. This analysis
excludes any value on the existing non-fiber business, which
generated $756mm of LTM EBITDA5. Further this conservative
valuation also assigns no value to the assumed net
operating losses, cost synergies or incremental revenue and growth
opportunities enabled pro forma for the combination.
Synergies All Accrue to Verizon
As established above, the existing fiber passings and current
level of EBITDA generation more than support a higher share price
alone. But the offer price becomes even more difficult to
understand given the vast benefits and synergies that accrue solely
to Verizon. Verizon provided its own view of the transaction post
announcement:
“We said at least $500 million of
opex run rate synergies, and we’re very confident in the synergy
goal. And obviously, we’ll push for more.” 6
“There’s nothing in there from a
capex perspective at this point. So the $500 million is just
literally opex synergies at this point.” 6
Verizon implies upside to the “disclosed” synergies which are
driven off of operating costs, but logically could expect some
savings on a capital expenditure perspective as well.
“When we do convergence the way
Verizon likes it, it tends to be revenue and EBITDA accretive to
us. A lot of that relies on the fact that we see a 50% reduction in
mobility churn when we bring the two products together in front of
the customer and a 40% reduction in fiber churn when we do that.
That translates into accretion, both on revenue and EBITDA,
immediately.” 6
“Verizon will also extend our premium
offerings and experiences to Frontier’s customers as part of this
transaction.” 6
“We also believe there will be
opportunity to generate revenue from mobile and home conversions,
including cross-selling benefits.” 6
“We will bring the power of the
Verizon retail fleet to bear and our distribution in the Frontier
markets. And with that, you’re going to see higher penetration
pretty soon once we close on the transaction.” 6
Verizon is making clear that there are
incremental financial benefits to its existing
wireless business and further benefits from new
premium offerings and cross selling opportunities with Frontier
added into its asset base.
To summarize, the synergy benefits come in the following
forms:
1) Disclosed operating cost synergies
which Verizon implies are conservative
2) Significant benefits to Verizon’s
existing wireless business across the Frontier territory
pro-forma
3) Increases in revenue through
premium offerings/cross selling and higher penetration
We believe Frontier shareholders should get a
fair and reasonable share of the value
created by this transaction. Moreover, points #2 and #3
above are benefits to Verizon’s existing core business that do not
occur without Frontier.
Critical Asset to Verizon
Carronade’s knowledge and research of the industry lead us to
the inescapable conclusion that there is not a fiber platform
available that gives Verizon the incremental scale and benefits
that Frontier offers. Verizon’s public comments make that very
clear, again in its own words:
“...together, Verizon and Frontier
have a combined 25 million fiber passings in 31 states and
Washington DC, with networks that can be immediately integrated
after closing. …Frontier will give Verizon access to high-quality
customer base in markets nationwide that are highly complementary
with our Northeast and Mid-Atlantic focus.” 6
“With Frontier’s fiber added to our
portfolio, we will be the only carrier that will have the size and
scale in both fiber and fixed wireless access.” 6
“At closing, this acquisition will
significantly expand Verizon’s fiber footprint, accelerating our
delivery of premium mobility and broadband services to current and
new customers. It will also power Verizon’s Intelligent Edge
Network for digital innovation like AI and IoT.” 6
“We looked at buy versus build, of
course, and it was a pretty easy calculation, accretive from the
day of the acquisition, both on revenue growth, as well as EBITDA,
maybe one year later on EPS and cash flow….” 7
Frontier is unique in its scale and fit with Verizon. It
accelerates the convergence trend in a way that no other
acquisition can match. The bottom line is that we believe
Verizon needs Frontier more than Frontier needs
Verizon.
Rushed Vote Harms Shareholders
From our read of the proxy, no shareholders appear to have been
consulted nor executed any voting support agreements with respect
to the Proposed Transaction. The seeming lack of shareholder input
struck us as particularly surprising given the number of very large
long-term holders. Additionally, the final proxy was filed after
the market close on October 7, 2024 and disenfranchised
shareholders by selecting that very same day as the record date. By
releasing the proxy after trading hours on the
selected day, it had the effect of limiting a shareholder’s full
review of the definitive proxy prior to the passage of the record
date.
The Proposed Transaction will have a lengthy regulatory approval
process as is customary for this industry. Given this uncertainty
around the timing of close, and the significant inflection in
results the Company is expecting8, the shareholders should have
time to evaluate all the disclosure prior to setting the record
date. We believe it is likely that Verizon is trying to
rush to get the deal approved prior to shareholders realizing how
much value they are leaving on the table.
We have reached out to the shareholder advisory firms to share
our views surrounding the subpar economics of the Proposed
Transaction and rushed process that harms shareholders. We
encourage other shareholders with similar concerns to do the
same.
Summary
In summary, we believe it is abundantly clear that
Frontier shareholders are not being offered a fair value at the
Proposed Transaction price of $38.50 per share. We agree
with Verizon management, that with the combination of Frontier and
Verizon, Verizon gets scale and reach in a way that no other
acquisition offers. We also agree that the synergies are not only
very significant and real, that they are likely considerably
understated, and that there are numerous benefits to the existing
wireless business and significant revenue growth levers to pull
that come only with a transaction with Frontier.
Frontier shareholders are being rushed to approve the Proposed
Transaction.
For all of the reasons above, we intend to vote
against the Proposed Transaction on its current terms.
We believe all shareholders should vote no, until we can
get a fair share of the value created from the combined
enterprise.
Sincerely,
Dan
GropperManaging PartnerChief Investment Officer |
Andy
TaylorManaging DirectorDirector of Research |
|
|
About Carronade Capital
Carronade Capital is an alternative asset
management firm founded in 2019 by industry veteran Dan Gropper,
and based in Darien, Connecticut. The Fund managed by Carronade
Capital was launched on July 1, 2020 and the firm employs 15 team
members. Dan Gropper brings with him nearly three decades of
special situations credit experience serving in senior roles at
distinguished investment firms, including Aurelius Capital
Management, LP, Fortress Investment Group and Elliott Management
Corporation.
Disclaimers
THIS IS NOT A SOLICITATION OF AUTHORITY
TO VOTE YOUR PROXY. DO NOT SEND US YOUR PROXY CARD.
CARRONADE CAPITAL IS NOT ASKING FOR YOUR
PROXY CARD AND WILL NOT ACCEPT PROXY CARDS IF SENT.
CARRONADE CAPITAL IS NOT ABLE TO VOTE YOUR
PROXY, NOR DOES THIS COMMUNICATION CONTEMPLATE SUCH AN
EVENT.
This press release does not constitute an offer
to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any of the securities
described herein in any state to any person. This press release
does not recommend the purchase or sale of a security. There is no
assurance or guarantee with respect to the prices at which any
securities of Frontier Communications Parent, Inc. (the "Company")
will trade, and such securities may not trade at prices that may be
implied herein. In addition, this press release and the discussions
and opinions herein are for general information only, and are not
intended to provide financial, legal or investment advice. Each
shareholder of the Company should independently evaluate the proxy
materials and make a decision that aligns with their own financial
interests, consulting with their own advisers, as necessary.
This press release contains forward-looking
statements. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not
historical facts and may include projections and estimates and
their underlying assumptions, statements regarding plans,
objectives, intentions and expectations with respect to future
financial results, events, operations, services, product
development and potential, and statements regarding future
performance. Forward-looking statements are generally identified by
the words "expects", "anticipates", "believes", "intends",
"estimates", "plans", "will be" and similar expressions. Although
Carronade Capital ("Carronade ") believes that the expectations
reflected in forward-looking statements contained herein are
reasonable, investors are cautioned that forward-looking
information and statements are subject to various risks and
uncertainties—many of which are difficult to predict and are
generally beyond the control of Carronade or the Company—that could
cause actual results and developments to differ materially from
those expressed in, or implied or projected by, the forward-looking
information and statements. In addition, the foregoing
considerations and any other publicly stated risks and
uncertainties should be read in conjunction with the risks and
cautionary statements discussed or identified in the Company's
public filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission,
including those listed under "Risk Factors" in the Company's annual
reports on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q and those
related to the Pending Transaction (as defined below). The
forward-looking statements speak only as of the date hereof and,
other than as required by applicable law, Carronade does not
undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking
information or statements. Certain information included in this
press release is based on data obtained from sources considered to
be reliable. Any analyses provided herein is intended to assist the
reader in evaluating the matters described herein and may be based
on subjective assessments and assumptions and may use one among
alternative methodologies that produce different results.
Accordingly, any analyses should not be viewed as factual and
should not be relied upon as an accurate prediction of future
results. All figures are estimates and, unless required by law, are
subject to revision without notice.
Carronade's fund currently beneficially owns
shares of the Company. This fund is in the business of trading
(i.e., buying and selling) securities and intends to continue
trading in the securities of the Company. You should assume this
fund will from time to time sell all or a portion of its holdings
of the Company in open market transactions or otherwise, buy
additional shares (in open market or privately negotiated
transactions or otherwise), or trade in options, puts, calls, swaps
or other derivative instruments relating to such shares.
Consequently, Carronade's beneficial ownership of shares of, and/or
economic interest in, the Company may vary over time depending on
various factors, with or without regard to Carronade's views of the
pending transaction involving the Company and Verizon
Communications (the "Pending Transaction") or the Company's
business, prospects, or valuation (including the market price of
the Company's shares), including, without limitation, other
investment opportunities available to Carronade, concentration of
positions in the portfolios managed by Carronade, conditions in the
securities markets, and general economic and industry conditions.
Without limiting the generality of the foregoing, in the event of a
change in the Company's share price on or following the date
hereof, Carronade's fund may buy additional shares or sell all or a
portion of its holdings of the Company (including, in each case, by
trading in options, puts, calls, swaps, or other derivative
instruments relating to the Company's shares). Carronade also
reserves the right to change the opinions expressed herein and its
intentions with respect to its investment in the Company, and to
take any actions with respect to its investment in the Company as
it may deem appropriate, and disclaims any obligation to notify the
market or any other party of any such changes or actions, except as
required by law.
Media Contact:
Paul Caminiti / Jacqueline ZuhseReevemark(212)
433-4600Carronade@reevemark.com
______________________________________1 Cooper Investors Pty
Ltd: “standalone valuation” from letter dated 10/15/24. 2 NewStreet
Research: “standalone floor value” research dated 10/8/243
NewStreet Research: comparative transactions – research dated
10/8/24. 4 Shentel: investor presentation 10/25/235 Frontier: 2Q24
Trending Schedule6 Verizon conference call – 09/05/247 Verizon GS
Communacopia transcript – 09/09/248 Definitive Proxy – Standalone
Adjusted EBITDA Projections – 10/07/24
A photo accompanying this announcement is available
at:https://www.globenewswire.com/NewsRoom/AttachmentNg/72af8ea1-1cf9-41da-9199-7af773c626c6
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