Euro Falls As Eurozone Private Activity Nears Stagnation
22 Novembre 2019 - 07:12AM
RTTF2
The euro trimmed its early gains against its major counterparts
in early European deals on Friday, as a data showing Eurozone
business activity remaining close to stagnation offset positive
factory PMI from Germany.
Flash data from IHS Markit showed that the euro area composite
output index fell unexpectedly to 50.3 in November from 50.6 in
October. A score above 50 indicates expansion. The score was
forecast to rise to 50.9.
The reading signaled the second slowest growth across
manufacturing and services since the current upturn began in July
2013.
The services Purchasing Managers' Index dropped to 51.5 from
52.2 in the previous month. Economists had forecast a score of
52.4.
At the same time, the manufacturing PMI rose to 46.6 from 45.9 a
month ago. The score was forecast to rise to 46.4.
Separate data showed that German factory Purchasing Managers'
Index rose to a five-month high of 43.8 from 42.1 in October.
The composite output index rose to 49.2 in November from 48.9 in
the previous month. A score below 50 indicates contraction and the
reading was slightly below forecast of 49.3.
Speaking at the Frankfurt European Banking Congress, President
Christine Lagarde said that the European Central Bank's ultra-loose
monetary policy is supporting the euro area economy and will
continue to do so to ensure inflation returns to its target.
The ECB's accommodative policy stance has been a key driver of
domestic demand during the recovery, and that stance remains in
place.
The currency showed mixed trading against its major counterparts
in the Asian session. While it rose against the yen and the franc,
it was steady against the pound and the greenback.
The euro depreciated to a weekly low of 1.1047 against the
greenback, from a high of 1.1087 seen at 3:30 am ET. The next
likely support for the euro is seen around the 1.08 level.
Reversing from a high of 120.49 hit at 3:30 am ET, the euro fell
to a 2-day low of 119.93 against the yen. The euro is seen finding
support around the 118.00 region.
Survey data from IHS Markit showed that Japan's private sector
continued to contract in November but moved closer to
stagnation.
The Jibun Bank flash composite output index rose to 49.9 in
November from 49.1 in October. A score below 50 indicates
contraction in the sector.
The euro pulled back to 1.0980 against the franc, from a fresh
2-week high of 1.1010 it touched at 3:30 am ET. On the downside,
1.08 is possibly seen as the next support level for the euro.
The euro declined to an 8-day low of 1.7206 against the kiwi,
3-day low of 1.4671 against the loonie and a 2-day low of 1.6259
against the aussie, off its early highs of 1.7286, 1.4711 and
1.6316, respectively. If the euro slides further, it may find
support around 1.70 against the kiwi, 1.44 against the loonie and
1.60 against the aussie.
On the flip side, the euro firmed to a 10-day high of 0.8595
against the pound from yesterday's closing value of 0.8566. Next
key resistance for the euro is seen around the 0.88 level.
Looking ahead, Canada retail sales for September and University
of Michigan's consumer sentiment index for November will be
featured in the New York session.
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