LANCASHIRE
HOLDINGS LIMITED
GROWTH IN FULLY
CONVERTED BOOK VALUE PER SHARE, ADJUSTED FOR DIVIDENDS, OF 14.1% IN
2019
COMBINED RATIO OF
80.9% IN 2019
FINAL ORDINARY
DIVIDEND OF $0.10 PER COMMON
SHARE
FULLY CONVERTED
BOOK VALUE PER SHARE OF $5.84 AS AT
31 DECEMBER 2019
13 February
2020
Hamilton,
Bermuda
Lancashire Holdings Limited (“Lancashire” or “the Group”) today
announces its results for the year ended 31
December 2019.
Financial highlights
|
Twelve months ended |
|
31 December 2019 |
31 December 2018 |
Fully converted
book value per share |
$5.84 |
|
$5.26 |
|
Return on
equity1 |
14.1 |
% |
2.4 |
% |
Return on tangible
equity2 |
16.5 |
% |
3.0 |
% |
Operating return on
average equity |
9.7 |
% |
3.5 |
% |
Dividends per
common share for the financial year3 |
$0.15 |
|
$0.35 |
|
1 Return on equity is defined as the change in
fully converted book value per share, adjusted for dividends.
2 Return on tangible equity excludes
goodwill and other intangible assets.
3 See the paragraph headed “Dividends”
below for the Record Date and Dividend Payment Date.
|
Twelve months ended |
|
31 December 2019 |
31 December 2018 |
Highlights
($m) |
|
|
Gross premiums
written |
706.7 |
|
638.5 |
|
Net premiums
written |
424.7 |
|
417.7 |
|
Profit before tax |
119.5 |
|
33.6 |
|
Profit after
tax1 |
117.9 |
|
37.5 |
|
Comprehensive
income1 |
145.7 |
|
24.7 |
|
Net operating
profit1 |
111.5 |
|
39.8 |
|
|
|
|
Per share
data |
|
|
Diluted earnings per
share |
$0.58 |
|
$0.19 |
|
Diluted earnings per
share - operating |
$0.55 |
|
$0.20 |
|
|
|
|
Financial
ratios |
|
|
Total investment
return (including internal currency hedging) |
4.9 |
% |
0.8 |
% |
Net loss ratio |
30.8 |
% |
40.0 |
% |
Combined ratio |
80.9 |
% |
92.2 |
% |
Accident year loss
ratio |
51.3 |
% |
70.0 |
% |
1 These amounts are attributable to Lancashire and
exclude non-controlling interests.
Alex
Maloney, Group Chief Executive Officer, commented:
“The Lancashire Group has generated a strong RoE of 14.1% for
the full year. Our results reflect the measured pricing
improvement that we have witnessed during the course of the year
and our disciplined underwriting approach, with top line premium
growth and a strong contribution from our investment portfolio.
These are pleasing results and are early evidence of the transition
to the harder stage of the cycle within insurance markets. However,
whilst Lancashire has achieved a profitable underwriting
performance with a combined ratio of 80.9% for the full year, we
are still of the belief that further pricing improvement is needed
in many lines of business before the market returns to a more
sustainable environment.
Notwithstanding the Hagibis, Faxai and Dorian windstorm
losses, which all occurred during the second half of the year, the
aggregate market insured loss amounts are below what we have
witnessed in recent years. In contrast, 2017 and 2018 generated
exceptionally heavy insured catastrophe losses at a time of
unsustainably weak margins.
During 2019 however, the wider insurance markets have felt
further stress through a combination of reserve deterioration
on casualty books and in respect of prior year catastrophe loss
reserves. Lancashire’s strategy of underwriting predominantly
short-tail lines has insulated us from the reserving stress
experienced in casualty insurance classes, and our reserving from
prior year catastrophe events remains robust. But these
developments illustrate that there is still a need for a continued
focus on underwriting discipline. Over the last few quarters
stronger investment performance has helped smooth earnings across
the insurance market. Investment returns are part of our overall
return for our shareholders. But our market must always insist on
the right price for the underwriting risk which we take on.
I would like to thank Elaine
Whelan, who steps down as our Group CFO in a couple of
weeks’ time for her role as a leader in Lancashire and for her
significant contribution to our success as a business over many
years.
Finally, as we report on another year, I would like to thank all
our staff for their dedication, expertise and hard work, which is
so central to our success.”
Elaine
Whelan, Group Chief Financial Officer, commented:
“With a year of below-average industry losses compared to prior
years and a strong investment performance, we are pleased to return
to strong levels of profitability, with a return on equity of 14.1%
for the year, with all of the Group’s platforms contributing to
that return. Our combined ratio was 80.9% and our investment return
was 4.9%.
Our outlook for 2020 is for a continuation of rate improvements
and we are retaining most of our capital to ensure we are fully
able to take advantage of any underwriting opportunities that
arise. We are, however, declaring our standard final ordinary
dividend of 10 cents per share,
subject to shareholder approval at our 2020 AGM. Including that
dividend, we will have returned 105.0% of comprehensive income
since inception.”
Underwriting results
|
Twelve months ended |
Gross premiums
written |
2019 |
2018 |
Change |
Change |
RPI |
|
$m |
$m |
$m |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property |
223.8 |
|
214.6 |
|
9.2 |
|
4.3 |
|
106 |
|
Energy |
94.9 |
|
103.0 |
|
(8.1 |
) |
(7.9 |
) |
106 |
|
Marine |
37.3 |
|
31.1 |
|
6.2 |
|
19.9 |
|
111 |
|
Aviation |
53.2 |
|
33.0 |
|
20.2 |
|
61.2 |
|
115 |
|
Lancashire
Syndicates |
297.5 |
|
256.8 |
|
40.7 |
|
15.8 |
|
110 |
|
Total |
706.7 |
|
638.5 |
|
68.2 |
|
10.7 |
|
109 |
|
Gross premiums written increased by 10.7% in 2019 compared to
the same period in 2018. The Group’s five principal segments, and
the key market factors impacting them, are discussed below.
Property gross premiums written increased by 4.3% in 2019
compared to the same period in 2018. The property segment
experienced new business growth along with rate and
exposure-related premium increases across all classes of business,
particularly in the property catastrophe and political risk
classes. Business flow in the political risk class is generally
less predictable than other classes of business due to the lead
time and specific nature of each deal. The new business was
partially offset by the impact of multi-year contracts written in
the prior year that were not yet due to renew.
Energy gross premiums written decreased by 7.9% in 2019 compared
to the same period in 2018. While there was more new business in
the worldwide offshore and onshore energy classes in 2019 compared
to 2018, the prior year benefited from the restructuring of an
existing Gulf of Mexico multi-year
deal in addition to premium adjustments that were made to prior
underwriting year risk-attaching business in the worldwide offshore
energy class.
Marine gross premiums written increased by 19.9% in 2019
compared to the same period in 2018. The growth reflects rate and
exposure increases and favourable prior underwriting year premium
adjustments in the marine builders risk class. In the prior year
there was a reduction in exposure on prior underwriting year
risk-attaching business in the other marine class and less pro-rata
business.
Aviation gross premiums written increased by 61.2% in 2019
compared to the same period in 2018. The growth was primarily
driven by new and renewal business in the aviation deductible and
other aviation classes of business as that underwriting team
continues to build their book. The increase was only partially
offset by exposure decreases in the AV52 and satellite classes.
In our Lancashire Syndicates segment, our Lloyd’s platform,
gross premiums written increased by 15.8% in 2019 compared to the
same period in 2018. This increase was primarily due to new
business in the energy, aviation, marine and terrorism classes of
business, offset slightly by lower premiums in the property
classes.
*******
Ceded reinsurance premiums increased by $61.2 million, or 27.7%, in 2019 compared to the
same period in 2018. The increase was primarily due to a
combination of additional cover purchased, including some quota
share cover for some of the new lines of business we have entered
into, and the timing of renewals.
*******
Net premiums earned as a proportion of net premiums written was
99.3% in 2019 compared to 99.0% for the same period in 2018.
*******
The Group’s net loss ratio for 2019 was 30.8% compared to 40.0%
for the same period in 2018. The accident year loss ratio for 2019,
including the impact of foreign exchange revaluations, was 51.3%
compared to 70.0% for the same period in 2018.
2019 was impacted by catastrophe activity in the form of
hurricane Dorian and typhoons Faxai and Hagibis. Our net losses
recorded for these events, excluding the impact of inwards and
outwards reinstatement premiums, was $52.1
million. In 2018 our net losses from marine and natural
catastrophe events, excluding the impact of inwards and outwards
reinstatement premiums, was $104.9
million.
While reserves have been recorded, uncertainty exists on the
eventual ultimate net loss estimates in relation to
hurricanes, typhoons and wildfires as loss information after these
types of events can take some time to obtain. The Group’s ultimate
net loss estimates for these natural catastrophe events were
derived from a combination of market data and assumptions, a
limited number of provisional loss advices, limited client
loss data and modelled loss projections. As additional
information emerges, the Group’s actual ultimate net losses may
vary, perhaps materially, from the current estimates. The final
settlement of all claims is likely to take place over
a considerable period of time.
Excluding the impact of foreign exchange revaluations, the
impact of the current accident year events noted above on the
Group’s loss ratio was as follows:
|
Losses |
Loss ratio |
|
$m |
% |
Reported at 31
December 2019 |
129.8 |
|
30.8 |
% |
Absent all catastrophe
events |
77.7 |
|
18.5 |
% |
As reported in the Group’s results for the year ended
31 December 2018, and excluding the
impact of foreign exchange revaluations, the impact of the marine
and natural catastrophe loss events on the Group’s 2018 loss
ratio was as follows:
|
Losses |
Loss ratio |
|
$m |
% |
Reported at 31
December 2018 |
165.4 |
|
40.0 |
% |
Absent natural
catastrophe events |
78.6 |
|
19.2 |
% |
Absent large marine
losses |
147.3 |
|
34.7 |
% |
Absent the combined
events |
60.5 |
|
14.4 |
% |
Note: The table does not sum to a total due to the impact of
reinstatement premium.
The total estimated ultimate net loss, excluding the impacts of
inwards and outwards reinstatement premiums, for the 2018 reported
marine and natural catastrophe losses were as follows:
|
As at |
As at |
|
31 December 2019 |
31 December 2018 |
|
$m |
$m |
2018 Catastrophe and
marine loss events1 |
100.6 |
|
104.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 The 2018 loss events include hurricanes Florence and
Michael, typhoons Jebi, Mangkhut and Trami and the California wildfires, plus loss events within
our marine portfolio.
Prior year favourable development for 2019 was $88.0 million, compared to $126.9 million of favourable development for the
same period in 2018. The favourable development in both periods was
primarily due to general IBNR releases across most lines of
business due to a lack of reported claims. In 2019, the Group
also benefited from favourable development on the 2017 catastrophe
loss events partially offset by 2018 accident year claims in the
energy and Lancashire Syndicates segments. In the prior period, the
Group benefited from a reduction on prior accident year property
and energy claims.
The table below provides further detail of the prior years’ loss
development by class, excluding the impact of foreign exchange
revaluations.
|
Twelve months ended |
|
2019 |
2018 |
|
$m |
$m |
|
|
|
Property |
37.3 |
|
46.5 |
|
Energy |
20.2 |
|
55.0 |
|
Marine |
11.1 |
|
12.1 |
|
Aviation |
1.1 |
|
1.4 |
|
Lancashire
Syndicates |
18.3 |
|
11.9 |
|
Total |
88.0 |
|
126.9 |
|
Note: Positive numbers denote favourable development.
The table below provides further detail of the prior years’ loss
development by accident year, excluding the impact of foreign
exchange revaluations.
|
Twelve months ended |
|
2019 |
2018 |
|
$m |
$m |
2009 accident year and
prior |
3.3 |
|
27.0 |
|
2010 accident
year |
(0.9 |
) |
1.6 |
|
2011 accident
year |
1.4 |
|
4.7 |
|
2012 accident
year |
6.6 |
|
8.8 |
|
2013 accident
year |
4.2 |
|
3.5 |
|
2014 accident
year |
(1.3 |
) |
3.4 |
|
2015 accident
year |
5.7 |
|
6.6 |
|
2016 accident
year |
19.3 |
|
33.3 |
|
2017 accident
year |
30.8 |
|
38.0 |
|
2018 accident
year |
18.9 |
|
— |
|
Total |
88.0 |
|
126.9 |
|
Note: Positive numbers denote favourable development.
The ratio of IBNR to total net loss reserves was 30.9% at
31 December 2019 compared to 39.3% at
31 December 2018.
Investments
Net investment income, excluding realised and unrealised gains
and losses, was $37.7 million in
2019, an increase of 8.6% compared to 2018. Total investment
return, including net investment income, net other investment
income, net realised gains and losses, impairments and net change
in unrealised gains and losses, was $83.2
million in 2019 compared to $12.5
million for 2018.
The Group’s investment portfolio generated a strong total return
of 4.9% in 2019 with positive returns from all assets classes,
driven primarily by the three 25 basis point rate cuts by the
Federal Reserve. Credit spreads also tightened during the
year. This was in contrast to 2018 which saw an increase in
treasury yields and the widening of credit spreads, resulting in an
annual return of 0.8%.
The corporate bond allocation represented 34.4% of managed
invested assets at 31 December 2019
compared to 29.9% at 31 December
2018.
The managed portfolio was as follows:
|
As at |
As at |
|
31 December 2019 |
31 December 2018 |
Fixed maturity
securities |
79.0 |
% |
85.4 |
% |
Cash and cash
equivalents |
11.4 |
% |
4.8 |
% |
Hedge funds |
8.7 |
% |
8.5 |
% |
Private debt fund |
0.9 |
% |
— |
|
Equity securities |
— |
|
1.3 |
% |
Total |
100.0 |
% |
100.0 |
% |
Key investment portfolio statistics were:
|
As at |
As at |
|
31 December 2019 |
31 December 2018 |
|
|
|
Duration |
1.8 years |
1.5 years |
Credit quality |
A+ |
A+ |
Book yield |
2.4 |
% |
2.7 |
% |
Market yield |
2.1 |
% |
3.1 |
% |
Third Party Capital Management
The total contribution from third party capital activities
consists of the following items:
|
Twelve months ended |
|
2019 |
2018 |
|
$m |
$m |
|
|
|
Lancashire Capital
Management underwriting fees |
7.9 |
|
6.6 |
|
Lancashire Capital
Management profit commission |
1.0 |
|
— |
|
Lancashire Syndicates’
fees & profit commission |
2.5 |
|
5.8 |
|
Total other
income |
11.4 |
|
12.4 |
|
Share of profit (loss)
of associate |
5.9 |
|
(7.1 |
) |
Total net third
party capital management income |
17.3 |
|
5.3 |
|
The Lancashire Capital Management profit commission is driven by
the timing of loss experience, settlement of claims and collateral
release and therefore varies year on year. Following the
significant catastrophe loss activity during 2017 and 2018, and the
resulting loss experience, there was no profit commission for any
of the 2017 or 2018 underwriting cycles. The higher underwriting
fees in 2019 reflect the increased level of premiums under
management compared to 2018. The Lancashire Syndicates’ fees and
profit commission were driven by the relative profitability of the
underwriting years impacting the profit commission in each period.
The share of profit (loss) of associate reflects Lancashire’s 10%
equity interest in the Lancashire Capital Management managed
vehicle.
Other operating expenses
Other operating expenses were $106.0
million in 2019 compared to $89.2
million in the same period last year. The increase was
driven primarily by the underlying performance of the Group which
has resulted in a higher variable compensation element of employee
remuneration costs compared to 2018. Employment costs have also
increased due to general salary increases. This was only partially
offset by the impact of the depreciation in Sterling relative to
the prior period.
Equity based compensation
The equity based compensation expense was $9.6 million in 2019 compared to $7.9 million in the same period last year. The
equity based compensation charge was driven by anticipated vesting
levels of active awards based on current performance expectations.
Lower equity based compensation charges were recorded in 2018 as
required return thresholds for performance award vesting were not
met.
Capital
As at 31 December 2019, total
capital available to Lancashire was $1.517
billion, comprising shareholders’ equity of $1.193 billion and $323.5
million of long-term debt. Tangible capital was $1.363 billion. Leverage was 21.3% on total
capital and 23.7% on total tangible capital. Total capital and
total tangible capital as at 31 December
2018 were $1.391 billion and
$1.238 billion respectively.
The Group will continue to review the appropriate level and
composition of its capital with the intention of managing capital
to enhance risk-adjusted returns on equity.
Dividends
The Lancashire Board declared the following dividends during
2019:
• A final dividend relating to 2018 of $0.10 per common share; and
• An interim dividend of $0.05 per
common share.
Lancashire announces that its Board of Directors has declared a
final dividend for 2019 of $0.10
(approximately £0.08) per common share, subject to a shareholder
vote of approval at the AGM to be held on 29
April 2020, which will result in an aggregate payment of
approximately $20.1 million. On the
basis that the final dividend is so approved by shareholders at the
AGM, the dividend will be paid in Pound Sterling on 5 June 2020 (the “Dividend Payment Date”) to
shareholders of record on 11 May 2020
(the “Record Date”) using the £ / $ spot market exchange rate at 12
noon London time on the Record
Date.
Shareholders interested in participating in the dividend
reinvestment plan (“DRIP”), or other services including
international payment, are encouraged to contact the Group’s
registrars, Link Asset Services, for more details at:
https://www.linkassetservices.com/shareholders-and-investors/shareholder-services-uk.
Financial Information
The Audited Consolidated Financial Statements for the year
ended 31 December 2019 are published
on Lancashire’s website
at www.lancashiregroup.com.
The 2019 Annual Report and Accounts
are expected to be posted to shareholders on 9 March 2020 and will also be made available on
Lancashire’s website.
Analyst and Investor Earnings
Conference Call
There will be an analyst and investor conference call on the
results at 1:00pm UK time /
9:00am Bermuda time / 8:00am
EST on Thursday 13 February
2020. The conference call will be hosted by Lancashire management.
Participant Access:
Dial in 5-10 minutes prior to the start time using the number /
confirmation code below:
United Kingdom -
Toll free: |
08003589473
|
United
Kingdom Toll: |
+44
3333000804
|
United
States Toll free: |
+1 855 85
70686
|
United
States Toll: |
+1
6319131422
|
Confirmation Code: |
11716000# |
URL for additional international dial in numbers:
https://events.arkadin.com/ev/docs/NE_W2_TF_Events_International_Access_List.pdf
The call can also be accessed via webcast, for registration and
access:
https://event.on24.com/wcc/r/2171760/D35811815D634ED263502FFBB474FAC4
A webcast replay facility will be available for 12 months and
accessible at:
https://www.lancashiregroup.com/en/investors/results-reports-and-presentations.html
For further information, please contact:
Lancashire Holdings
Limited |
|
Christopher Head |
+44 20
7264 4145
chris.head@lancashiregroup.com |
Jelena
Bjelanovic |
+44 20
7264 4066
jelena.bjelanovic@lancashiregroup.com |
|
|
FTI
Consulting |
+44 20 37271046 |
Edward
Berry |
Edward.Berry@FTIConsulting.com |
Tom
Blackwell |
Tom.Blackwell@FTIConsulting.com |
About Lancashire
Lancashire, through its UK and
Bermuda-based operating
subsidiaries, is a provider of global specialty insurance and
reinsurance products. The Group companies carry the following
ratings:
|
Financial
Strength
Rating(1) |
Financial
Strength
Outlook(1) |
Long
Term Issuer
Rating(2) |
A.M. Best |
A (Excellent) |
Stable |
bbb+ |
S&P Global
Ratings |
A- |
Stable |
BBB |
Moody’s |
A3 |
Stable |
Baa2 |
(1) Financial Strength Rating and Financial Strength Outlook
apply to Lancashire Insurance Company Limited and Lancashire
Insurance Company (UK) Limited.
(2) Long Term Issuer Rating applies to Lancashire Holdings
Limited.
Lancashire Syndicates Limited benefits from Lloyd’s ratings:
A.M. Best: A (Excellent); S&P Global Ratings: A+ (Strong); and
Fitch: AA- (Very Strong).
Lancashire has capital of
approximately $1.5 billion and its
common shares trade on the premium segment of the Main Market of
the London Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol LRE. Lancashire has its head office and registered
office at Power House, 7 Par-la-Ville Road, Hamilton HM 11,
Bermuda.
For more information, please visit Lancashire’s website at
www.lancashiregroup.com.
The Bermuda Monetary Authority (“BMA”) is the Group Supervisor
of the Lancashire Group with effect from 1
January 2019.
Lancashire Insurance Company Limited is regulated by the BMA,
with its registered office at Power House, 7 Par-la-Ville Road,
Hamilton HM 11, Bermuda.
Lancashire Insurance Company (UK) Limited is authorised by the
Prudential Regulation Authority (“PRA”) and regulated by the
Financial Conduct Authority (“FCA”) and the PRA, with its
registered office at Level 29, 20 Fenchurch Street, London EC3M 3BY, United Kingdom.
Lancashire Syndicates Limited is authorised by the PRA and
regulated by the FCA and the PRA. It is also authorised and
regulated by Lloyd’s, with its registered office at Level 29, 20
Fenchurch Street, London EC3M 3BY,
United Kingdom.
Lancashire Capital Management Limited is regulated by the BMA,
with its registered office at Power House, 7 Par-la-Ville Road,
Hamilton HM 11, Bermuda.
This release contains information, which may be of a price
sensitive nature that Lancashire
is making public in a manner consistent with the EU Market Abuse
Regulation and other regulatory obligations. The information was
submitted for publication, through the agency of the contact
persons set out above, at 07:00 GMT
on 13 February 2020.
Alternative Performance Measures
As is customary in the insurance industry, the Group also
utilises certain non-GAAP measures (“Alternative Performance
Measures” or “APMs”) in order to evaluate, monitor and
manage the business and to aid users’ understanding of the
Group. In compliance with the Guidelines on APMs of the
European Securities and Markets Authority, we give information on
APMs in the table below. This information has not been audited.
Management believes that the APMs included in this release are
important for understanding the Group’s overall results of
operations and may be helpful to investors and other interested
parties who may benefit from having a consistent basis for
comparison with other companies within the industry. However, these
measures may not be comparable to similarly labeled measures used
by companies inside or outside the insurance industry. In addition,
the information contained herein should not be viewed as superior
to, or a substitute for, the measures determined in accordance with
the accounting principles used by the Group for its audited
consolidated financial statements or in accordance with GAAP.
The following APMs included in this release have not been
prepared in accordance with the accounting principles used by the
Group for its audited and / or interim consolidated financial
statements. Below is an explanation of the definition of
these APMs as well as information regarding their relevance:
APM |
Definition |
Relevance |
Net loss ratio |
Ratio, in per cent,
of net insurance losses to net premiums earned. |
This ratio gives an
indication of the amount of claims expected to be paid out per
$1.00 of net premium earned in the financial year. |
Net acquisition cost
ratio |
Ratio, in per cent,
of net insurance acquisition expenses to net premiums earned. |
This ratio gives an
indication of the amount expected to be paid out to insurance
brokers and other insurance intermediaries per $1.00 of net premium
earned in the financial year |
Net expense
ratio |
Ratio, in per cent,
of other operating expenses, excluding restricted stock expenses,
to net premiums earned. |
This ratio gives an
indication of the amount of operating expenses expected to be paid
out per $1.00 of net premium earned in the financial year. |
Accident year loss
ratio |
The accident year
loss ratio is calculated using the accident year ultimate liability
re-valued at the current balance sheet date, divided by net
premiums earned. |
This ratio shows the
amount of claims expected to be paid out per $1.00 of net premium
earned in an accident year. |
Combined ratio |
Ratio, in per cent,
of the sum of net insurance losses, net acquisition expenses and
other operating expenses to net premiums earned. |
The Group aims to
price its business to ensure that the combined ratio across the
cycle is significantly less than 100 per cent. |
Fully converted book
value per share (“FCBVS”) attributable to the Group |
Calculated based on
the value of the total shareholders’ equity attributable to the
Group and dilutive restricted stock units as calculated under the
treasury method, divided by, the sum of all shares and dilutive
restricted stock units, assuming all are exercised. |
Shows the Group’s net
asset value on a diluted per share basis for comparison to the
market value per share. |
Return
on equity (“RoE”)
(RoE is also sometimes referred to as the change in FCBVS adjusted
for dividends) |
The internal rate of
return of the change in FCBVS in the period, plus dividends
accrued. Tangible RoE attributable to the Group excludes intangible
assets from capital. |
The Group’s aim is to
maximise risk adjusted returns for its shareholders across the
cycle. |
Operating return on
average equity |
Calculated as the net
operating income (loss), divided by the average equity over the
period, adjusted for dividends
declared. Net
operating income (loss) excludes; realised gains and losses net of
impairments, foreign exchange and tax. |
This metric gives an
indication of the average percentage return generated by the
Group’s core business. |
Total investment
return |
Total investment
return measures investment income and net realised and unrealised
gains and losses produced by the Group’s managed investment
portfolio. |
The Group’s primary
investment objectives are to preserve capital and provide adequate
liquidity to support the Group’s payment of claims and other
obligations. Within this framework the Group aims for a degree of
investment portfolio return. |
NOTE REGARDING RPI METHODOLOGY
THE RENEWAL PRICE INDEX (“RPI”) IS AN INTERNAL METHODOLOGY THAT
MANAGEMENT USES TO TRACK TRENDS IN PREMIUM RATES OF A PORTFOLIO OF
INSURANCE AND REINSURANCE CONTRACTS. THE RPI WRITTEN IN THE
RESPECTIVE SEGMENTS IS CALCULATED ON A PER CONTRACT BASIS AND
REFLECTS MANAGEMENT’S ASSESSMENT OF RELATIVE CHANGES IN PRICE,
TERMS, CONDITIONS AND LIMITS AND IS WEIGHTED BY PREMIUM VOLUME. THE
RRPI DOES NOT INCLUDE NEW BUSINESS, TO OFFER A CONSISTENT BASIS FOR
ANALYSIS. THE CALCULATION INVOLVES A DEGREE OF JUDGEMENT IN
RELATION TO COMPARABILITY OF CONTRACTS AND THE ASSESSMENT NOTED
ABOVE. TO ENHANCE THE RPI METHODOLOGY, MANAGEMENT MAY REVISE THE
METHODOLOGY AND ASSUMPTIONS UNDERLYING THE RPI, SO THE TRENDS IN
PREMIUM RATES REFLECTED IN THE RPI MAY NOT BE COMPARABLE OVER TIME.
CONSIDERATION IS ONLY GIVEN TO RENEWALS OF A COMPARABLE NATURE SO
IT DOES NOT REFLECT EVERY CONTRACT IN THE PORTFOLIO OF CONTRACTS.
THE FUTURE PROFITABILITY OF THE PORTFOLIO OF CONTRACTS WITHIN THE
RPI IS DEPENDENT UPON MANY FACTORS BESIDES THE TRENDS IN PREMIUM
RATES.
NOTE REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING
STATEMENTS:
CERTAIN STATEMENTS AND INDICATIVE PROJECTIONS (WHICH MAY INCLUDE
MODELLED LOSS SCENARIOS) MADE IN THIS RELEASE OR OTHERWISE THAT ARE
NOT BASED ON CURRENT OR HISTORICAL FACTS ARE FORWARD-LOOKING IN
NATURE INCLUDING, WITHOUT LIMITATION, STATEMENTS CONTAINING THE
WORDS “BELIEVES”, “ANTICIPATES”, “PLANS”, “PROJECTS”, “FORECASTS”,
“GUIDANCE”, “INTENDS”, “EXPECTS”, “ESTIMATES”, “PREDICTS”, “MAY”,
“CAN”, “LIKELY”, “WILL”, “SEEKS”, “SHOULD”, OR, IN EACH CASE, THEIR
NEGATIVE OR COMPARABLE TERMINOLOGY. ALL SUCH STATEMENTS OTHER THAN
STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS INCLUDING, WITHOUT LIMITATION, THE
FINANCIAL POSITION OF THE COMPANY AND ITS SUBSIDIARIES (THE
“GROUP”), THE GROUP’S TAX RESIDENCY, LIQUIDITY, RESULTS OF
OPERATIONS, PROSPECTS, GROWTH, CAPITAL MANAGEMENT PLANS AND
EFFICIENCIES, ABILITY TO CREATE VALUE, DIVIDEND POLICY, OPERATIONAL
FLEXIBILITY, COMPOSITION OF MANAGEMENT, BUSINESS STRATEGY, PLANS
AND OBJECTIVES OF MANAGEMENT FOR FUTURE OPERATIONS (INCLUDING
DEVELOPMENT PLANS AND OBJECTIVES RELATING TO THE GROUP’S INSURANCE
BUSINESS) ARE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. SUCH FORWARD-LOOKING
STATEMENTS INVOLVE KNOWN AND UNKNOWN RISKS, UNCERTAINTIES AND OTHER
IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT COULD CAUSE THE ACTUAL RESULTS, PERFORMANCE
OR ACHIEVEMENTS OF THE GROUP TO BE MATERIALLY DIFFERENT FROM FUTURE
RESULTS, PERFORMANCE OR ACHIEVEMENTS EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED BY SUCH
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS.
THESE FACTORS INCLUDE, BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO: THE ACTUAL
DEVELOPMENT OF LOSSES AND EXPENSES IMPACTING ESTIMATES FOR
TYPHOON HAGIBIS WHICH OCCURRED IN THE FOURTH QUARTER OF 2019,
HURRICANE DORIAN AND TYPHOON FAXAI WHICH OCCURRED IN THE THIRD
QUARTER OF 2019, THE CALIFORNIAN WILDFIRES AND HURRICANE MICHAEL
WHICH OCCURRED IN THE FOURTH QUARTER OF 2018, HURRICANE FLORENCE
AND THE TYPHOONS THAT OCCURRED IN THE THIRD QUARTER OF 2018,
HURRICANES HARVEY, IRMA AND MARIA AND THE EARTHQUAKES IN
MEXICO THAT OCCURRED IN THE THIRD
QUARTER OF 2017 AND THE WILDFIRES WHICH IMPACTED PARTS OF
CALIFORNIA DURING 2017; THE IMPACT
OF COMPLEX AND UNIQUE CAUSATION AND COVERAGE ISSUES ASSOCIATED WITH
ATTRIBUTION OF LOSSES TO WIND OR FLOOD DAMAGE OR OTHER PERILS SUCH
AS FIRE OR BUSINESS INTERRUPTION RELATING TO SUCH EVENTS; POTENTIAL
UNCERTAINTIES RELATING TO REINSURANCE RECOVERIES, REINSTATEMENT
PREMIUMS AND OTHER FACTORS INHERENT IN LOSS ESTIMATIONS; THE
GROUP’S ABILITY TO INTEGRATE ITS BUSINESSES AND PERSONNEL; THE
SUCCESSFUL RETENTION AND MOTIVATION OF THE GROUP’S KEY MANAGEMENT;
THE INCREASED REGULATORY BURDEN FACING THE GROUP; THE NUMBER AND
TYPE OF INSURANCE AND REINSURANCE CONTRACTS THAT THE GROUP WRITES
OR MAY WRITE; THE GROUP’S ABILITY TO IMPLEMENT SUCCESSFULLY ITS
BUSINESS STRATEGY DURING ‘SOFT’ AS WELL AS ‘HARD’ MARKETS; THE
PREMIUM RATES WHICH MAY BE AVAILABLE AT THE TIME OF SUCH RENEWALS
WITHIN THE GROUP’S TARGETED BUSINESS LINES; THE POSSIBLE LOW
FREQUENCY OF LARGE EVENTS; POTENTIALLY UNUSUAL LOSS FREQUENCY; THE
IMPACT THAT THE GROUP’S FUTURE OPERATING RESULTS, CAPITAL POSITION
AND RATING AGENCY AND OTHER CONSIDERATIONS MAY HAVE ON THE
EXECUTION OF ANY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INITIATIVES OR DIVIDENDS; THE
POSSIBILITY OF GREATER FREQUENCY OR SEVERITY OF CLAIMS AND LOSS
ACTIVITY THAN THE GROUP’S UNDERWRITING, RESERVING OR INVESTMENT
PRACTICES HAVE ANTICIPATED; THE RELIABILITY OF, AND CHANGES IN
ASSUMPTIONS TO, CATASTROPHE PRICING, ACCUMULATION AND ESTIMATED
LOSS MODELS; INCREASED COMPETITION FROM EXISTING ALTERNATIVE
CAPITAL PROVIDERS, INSURANCE LINKED FUNDS AND COLLATERALISED
SPECIAL PURPOSE INSURERS, AND THE RELATED DEMAND AND SUPPLY
DYNAMICS AS CONTRACTS COME UP FOR RENEWAL; THE EFFECTIVENESS OF THE
GROUP’S LOSS LIMITATION METHODS; THE POTENTIAL LOSS OF KEY
PERSONNEL; A DECLINE IN THE GROUP’S OPERATING SUBSIDIARIES’ RATINGS
WITH A.M. BEST, S&P GLOBAL RATINGS, MOODY’S OR OTHER RATING
AGENCIES; INCREASED COMPETITION ON THE BASIS OF PRICING, CAPACITY,
COVERAGE TERMS OR OTHER FACTORS; CYCLICAL DOWNTURNS OF THE
INDUSTRY; THE IMPACT OF A DETERIORATING CREDIT ENVIRONMENT FOR
ISSUERS OF FIXED MATURITY INVESTMENTS; THE IMPACT OF SWINGS IN
MARKET INTEREST RATES, CURRENCY EXCHANGE RATES AND SECURITIES
PRICES; CHANGES BY CENTRAL BANKS REGARDING THE LEVEL OF INTEREST
RATES; THE IMPACT OF INFLATION OR DEFLATION IN RELEVANT ECONOMIES
IN WHICH THE GROUP OPERATES; THE EFFECT, TIMING AND OTHER
UNCERTAINTIES SURROUNDING FUTURE BUSINESS COMBINATIONS WITHIN THE
INSURANCE AND REINSURANCE INDUSTRIES; THE IMPACT OF TERRORIST
ACTIVITY IN THE COUNTRIES IN WHICH THE GROUP WRITES RISKS; A RATING
DOWNGRADE OF, OR A MARKET DECLINE IN, SECURITIES IN THE GROUP’S
INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO; CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL REGULATIONS OR TAX
LAWS IN JURISDICTIONS WHERE THE GROUP CONDUCTS BUSINESS;
LANCASHIRE HOLDINGS LIMITED OR ANY
OF THE GROUP’S BERMUDIAN SUBSIDIARIES BECOMING SUBJECT TO INCOME
TAXES IN THE UNITED STATES OR IN
THE UNITED KINGDOM; THE
IMPACT OF THE CHANGE IN TAX RESIDENCE ON STAKEHOLDERS OF THE
COMPANY; AND NEGOTIATIONS REGARDING THE UK’S RELATIONSHIP WITH THE
EUROPEAN UNION ON THE GROUP’S BUSINESS, REGULATORY RELATIONSHIPS,
UNDERWRITING PLATFORMS OR THE INDUSTRY GENERALLY, FOLLOWING THE
UK’S EXIT FROM THE EUROPEAN UNION WHICH TOOK PLACE AT THE END OF
JANUARY 2020.
ALL FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS RELEASE SPEAK ONLY AS AT
THE DATE OF PUBLICATION. LANCASHIRE HOLDINGS LIMITED EXPRESSLY
DISCLAIMS ANY OBLIGATION OR UNDERTAKING (SAVE AS REQUIRED TO COMPLY
WITH ANY LEGAL OR REGULATORY OBLIGATIONS INCLUDING THE RULES OF THE
LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE) TO
DISSEMINATE ANY UPDATES OR REVISIONS TO ANY FORWARD-LOOKING
STATEMENT TO REFLECT ANY CHANGES IN THE GROUP’S EXPECTATIONS OR
CIRCUMSTANCES ON WHICH ANY SUCH STATEMENT IS BASED. ALL SUBSEQUENT
WRITTEN AND ORAL FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS ATTRIBUTABLE TO THE
GROUP OR INDIVIDUALS ACTING ON BEHALF OF THE GROUP ARE EXPRESSLY
QUALIFIED IN THEIR ENTIRETY BY THIS NOTE. PROSPECTIVE INVESTORS
SHOULD SPECIFICALLY CONSIDER THE FACTORS IDENTIFIED IN THIS RELEASE
WHICH COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER BEFORE MAKING AN
INVESTMENT DECISION.
Consolidated statement of
comprehensive income
|
Twelve
months |
Twelve
months |
|
2019 |
2018 |
|
$m |
$m |
|
|
|
Gross premiums
written |
706.7 |
|
638.5 |
|
Outwards reinsurance
premiums |
(282.0 |
) |
(220.8 |
) |
Net premiums
written |
424.7 |
|
417.7 |
|
|
|
|
Change in unearned
premiums |
(35.8 |
) |
(19.7 |
) |
Change in unearned
premiums on premiums ceded |
32.8 |
|
15.5 |
|
Net premiums
earned |
421.7 |
|
413.5 |
|
|
|
|
Net investment
income |
37.7 |
|
34.7 |
|
Net other investment
income |
8.0 |
|
(4.2 |
) |
Net realised gains
(losses) and impairments |
8.9 |
|
(5.1 |
) |
Share of profit (loss)
of associate |
5.9 |
|
(7.1 |
) |
Other income |
11.4 |
|
12.4 |
|
Net foreign exchange
losses |
(1.5 |
) |
(1.6 |
) |
Total net
revenue |
492.1 |
|
442.6 |
|
|
|
|
Insurance losses and
loss adjustment expenses |
264.5 |
|
307.4 |
|
Insurance losses and
loss adjustment expenses recoverable |
(134.7 |
) |
(142.0 |
) |
Net insurance
acquisition expenses |
105.4 |
|
126.4 |
|
Equity based
compensation |
9.6 |
|
7.9 |
|
Other operating
expenses |
106.0 |
|
89.2 |
|
Total
expenses |
350.8 |
|
388.9 |
|
|
|
|
Results of
operating activities |
141.3 |
|
53.7 |
|
Financing costs |
21.8 |
|
20.1 |
|
Profit before
tax |
119.5 |
|
33.6 |
|
Tax (charge)
credit |
(1.3 |
) |
4.0 |
|
Profit after
tax |
118.2 |
|
37.6 |
|
Non-controlling
interests |
(0.3 |
) |
(0.1 |
) |
Profit after tax
attributable to Lancashire |
117.9 |
|
37.5 |
|
|
|
|
Net change in
unrealised gains/losses on investments |
28.6 |
|
(12.9 |
) |
Tax (charge) credit on
net change in unrealised gains/losses on investments |
(0.8 |
) |
0.1 |
|
Other comprehensive
income (loss) |
27.8 |
|
(12.8 |
) |
|
|
|
Total comprehensive
income attributable to Lancashire |
145.7 |
|
24.7 |
|
|
|
|
Net loss ratio |
30.8 |
% |
40.0 |
% |
Net acquisition cost
ratio |
25.0 |
% |
30.6 |
% |
Administrative expense
ratio |
25.1 |
% |
21.6 |
% |
Combined
ratio |
80.9 |
% |
92.2 |
% |
|
|
|
Basic earnings per
share |
$ |
0.59 |
|
$ |
0.19 |
|
Diluted earnings per
share |
$ |
0.58 |
|
$ |
0.19 |
|
|
|
|
Change in fully
converted book value per share |
14.1 |
% |
2.4 |
% |
Consolidated balance sheet
|
As at 31 December
2019 |
As at 31 December 2018 |
|
$m |
$m |
Assets |
|
|
|
|
|
Cash and cash
equivalents |
320.4 |
|
154.6 |
|
Accrued interest
receivable |
7.2 |
|
6.8 |
|
Investments |
1,525.1 |
|
1,659.0 |
|
Inwards premiums
receivable from insureds and cedants |
350.5 |
|
318.1 |
|
Reinsurance
assets |
|
|
- Unearned premiums on
premiums ceded |
89.5 |
|
56.7 |
|
- Reinsurance
recoveries |
327.5 |
|
322.9 |
|
- Other
receivables |
16.9 |
|
9.8 |
|
Other receivables |
51.7 |
|
35.3 |
|
Investment in
associate |
108.3 |
|
67.1 |
|
Property, plant and
equipment |
1.2 |
|
1.4 |
|
Right-of-use
asset |
18.2 |
|
— |
|
Deferred acquisition
costs |
81.7 |
|
74.2 |
|
Intangible assets |
154.5 |
|
153.8 |
|
Total
assets |
3,052.7 |
|
2,859.7 |
|
|
|
|
Liabilities |
|
|
Insurance
contracts |
|
|
- Losses and loss
adjustment expenses |
874.5 |
|
915.0 |
|
- Unearned
premiums |
406.4 |
|
370.6 |
|
- Other payables |
27.4 |
|
36.0 |
|
Amounts payable to
reinsurers |
126.6 |
|
81.3 |
|
Deferred acquisition
costs ceded |
17.6 |
|
7.1 |
|
Other payables |
47.5 |
|
45.4 |
|
Corporation tax
payable |
2.4 |
|
0.9 |
|
Deferred tax
liability |
9.6 |
|
11.2 |
|
Interest rate
swap |
1.1 |
|
0.4 |
|
Lease liability |
21.9 |
|
— |
|
Long-term debt |
323.5 |
|
324.3 |
|
Total
liabilities |
1,858.5 |
|
1,792.2 |
|
|
|
|
Shareholders’
equity |
|
|
Share capital |
101.5 |
|
101.0 |
|
Own shares |
(13.3 |
) |
(9.4 |
) |
Other reserves |
881.3 |
|
869.0 |
|
Accumulated other
comprehensive income (loss) |
13.5 |
|
(14.3 |
) |
Retained earnings |
210.6 |
|
120.9 |
|
Total
shareholders’ equity attributable to equity
shareholders of Lancashire |
1,193.6 |
|
1,067.2 |
|
Non-controlling
interest |
0.6 |
|
0.3 |
|
Total shareholders’
equity |
1,194.2 |
|
1,067.5 |
|
Total liabilities
and shareholders’ equity |
3,052.7 |
|
2,859.7 |
|
|
|
|
Basic book value per
share |
$5.92 |
|
$5.31 |
|
Fully converted book
value per share |
$5.84 |
|
$5.26 |
|
Consolidated statements of cash
flows
|
Twelve months |
Twelve months |
|
2019 |
2018 |
|
$m |
$m |
Cash flows from
(used in) operating activities |
|
|
Profit before tax |
119.5 |
|
33.6 |
|
Tax paid |
(2.1 |
) |
(3.3 |
) |
Depreciation |
3.9 |
|
1.4 |
|
Interest expense on
long-term debt |
18.5 |
|
18.1 |
|
Interest expense on
finance leases |
1.3 |
|
— |
|
Interest and dividend
income |
(39.7 |
) |
(36.6 |
) |
Net amortisation of
fixed maturity securities |
(1.3 |
) |
(0.6 |
) |
Equity based
compensation |
9.6 |
|
7.9 |
|
Foreign exchange
losses (gains) |
2.5 |
|
(4.3 |
) |
Share of (profit) loss
of associate |
(5.9 |
) |
7.1 |
|
Net other investment
(income) losses |
(8.8 |
) |
3.9 |
|
Net realised (gains)
losses and impairments |
(8.9 |
) |
5.1 |
|
Net unrealised losses
(gains) on interest rate swaps |
0.7 |
|
(1.6 |
) |
Changes in operational
assets and liabilities |
|
|
- Insurance and
reinsurance contracts |
(46.0 |
) |
(51.5 |
) |
- Other assets and
liabilities |
(8.8 |
) |
18.3 |
|
Net cash flows from
(used in) operating activities |
34.5 |
|
(2.5 |
) |
Cash flows from
(used in) investing activities |
|
|
Interest and dividends
received |
41.1 |
|
35.9 |
|
Purchase of property,
plant and equipment |
(1.1 |
) |
(0.2 |
) |
Purchase of
underwriting capacity |
(0.7 |
) |
— |
|
Investment in
associate |
(35.3 |
) |
(14.8 |
) |
Purchase of
investments |
(948.3 |
) |
(1,143.1 |
) |
Proceeds on sale of
investments |
1,127.7 |
|
1,115.8 |
|
Net cash flows from
(used in) investing activities |
183.4 |
|
(6.4 |
) |
Cash flows used in
financing activities |
|
|
Interest paid |
(18.5 |
) |
(18.0 |
) |
Lease liabilities
paid |
(3.6 |
) |
— |
|
Dividends paid |
(30.2 |
) |
(70.2 |
) |
Distributions by
trust |
(1.3 |
) |
(2.6 |
) |
Purchase of shares
from non-controlling interest |
— |
|
(0.3 |
) |
Net cash flows used
in financing activities |
(53.6 |
) |
(91.1 |
) |
Net increase
(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents |
164.3 |
|
(100.0 |
) |
Cash and cash
equivalents at the beginning of year |
154.6 |
|
256.5 |
|
Effect of exchange
rate fluctuations on cash and cash equivalents |
1.5 |
|
(1.9 |
) |
Cash and cash
equivalents at end of period |
320.4 |
|
154.6 |
|