American Axle's Promising Quarter - Analyst Blog
02 Maggio 2011 - 6:59PM
Zacks
American Axle and Manufacturing
Inc. (AXL) posted a profit of $37.7 million or 50
cents per share in the first quarter of 2011 that more than doubled
from $16.3 million or 22 cents per share in the year-ago
quarter.
With this, the company has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate
by 12 cents per share. The increase in profit was attributable to
improved capacity utilization and sustained reductions in fixed
cost structure.
Revenues in the quarter grew 24% to $645.6 million, up from the
Zacks Consensus Estimate of $591 million. Customer production
volumes for the North American light truck and SUV programs that
the company currently supports for General Motors
Co. (GM) and Chrysler went up 11% from the prior-year the
quarter.
The company progressed well in diversifying its customer base
during the quarter. The company had a high exposure to customers,
including GM and Chrysler. However, the company’s non-GM sales rose
44% to $178.4 million (27.6% of sales) in the quarter.
Content-per-vehicle (measured by the dollar value of its product
sales supporting the company’s customers’ North American light
truck and SUV programs) inched up 6% to $1,478 from $1,390 in the
first quarter of 2010. Gross profit in the quarter increased $28.1
million to $115.4 million (17.9% of sales) from the first quarter
of 2010.
Financials
American Axle had cash and cash equivalents of $217.4 million as
of March 31, 2011, up from $244.6 million in the prior-year period.
Long-term debt remained almost unchanged at $1.01 billion compared
with the corresponding period of prior year, reflecting a
debt-to-equity ratio of 1.70.
In the quarter, American Axle’s operating net cash flow
deteriorated significantly to $1 million from $79 million in the
2010 quarter due to unfavorable adjustments. Meanwhile, capital
expenditures (net) increased to $30 million from $21.9 million a
year ago. Consequently, the company’s free cash flow was a use of
$29.0 during the quarter versus a positive cash flow of $61.1
million in the prior year.
Outlook
American Axle expects its sales to grow in excess of $3 billion
by 2013 through product launches. It also aims to improve its
business diversification in terms of product mix, customer base and
served markets.
However, the company’s high exposure to General Motors and
Chrysler could adversely affect its operating results in the near
term. Furthermore, weak SUV demand, high commodity costs and
pricing pressure by OEMs remain causes for concern. These factors
have led the company to retain a Zacks #4 Rank on its stock, which
translates to a “Sell” rating for the short term (1 to 3
months).
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