Is The Bitcoin Open Interest Too High Or Can The BTC Price Still Rally?
16 Aprile 2025 - 2:00PM
NEWSBTC
The Bitcoin open interest has remained on the high side despite the
price declines, suggesting that interest in the leading
cryptocurrency by market cap remains abundant. This interest is no
doubt a good thing for the crypto market, especially in the
long-term. But looking back at previous trends involving the
Bitcoin open interest, it is concerning that the value is still so
high and this could hinder a recovery for the Bitcoin price from
here. Bitcoin Open Interest Still Above $56 Billion Data from the
Coinglass website shows that the Bitcoin open interest is still
quite high and not far off from its November 2024 highs after the
BTC price hit a new peak above $109,000. This consistently high
open interest signifies traders still taking considerable positions
in the digital asset despite its price falling over 20% since then,
something that could be a hindrance to recovery. Related Reading:
Analyst Who Called Dogecoin Price Rally In 2024 Predicts 300% Rally
In April The total Bitcoin open interest is currently sitting at
$56.17 billion, falling approximately 22% from its all-time high of
$71.85 billion. This shows a close correlation between how much the
price has fallen compared to the open interest. However, the open
interest remaining this high could have some negative implications
for the BTC price and the crypto market by extension. For example,
looking at the chart above, it is obvious that Bitcoin has seen its
largest moves upward when the open interest has been low. This
suggests that the lack of market pressure gives bulls the space to
push the price upward. Hence, with the open interest still so high,
it could be much harder to push the price higher. Given this, the
BTC price could see further decline before there is more recovery
from here. BTC Price Crash Below $70,000 Imminent? Besides the
Bitcoin open interest remaining high, a crypto analyst has also
given reasons why the BTC price could see a crash from here. The
first factor given is the fake bullish divergence. According to the
analysis, the RSI may be showing a bullish divergence but the price
action isn’t following it. Hence, this could lead to a bull trap,
pulling traders into losses as the price crashes. Related Reading:
Is The XRP Price Mirroring Bitcoin’s Macro Action? Analyst Maps Out
How It Could Get To $71 Another factor given is the fact that the
Bitcoin price has broken a trendline support after falling to the
low $80,000s. This suggests that bullish momentum is weakening and
the recent recovery might not hold. Given the factors listed above,
the crypto analyst expects the Bitcoin price to fall another 20%
from here. The target is placed at $69,149, which is an all-time
high from 2021. “This level coincides with the intersection of the
mid-channel support line and horizontal price structure,” the
analyst explains. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from
TradingView.com
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