Here’s Where Ethereum’s Last Line Of Defense Lies, According To On-Chain Data
08 Aprile 2025 - 11:30AM
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On-chain data shows Ethereum has broken under all major investor
cost basis levels, except for one. Here’s where this price level is
currently situated. Ethereum Has Only Realized Price Of Mega Whales
To Rely On Now In a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, analyst MAC_D has
discussed about where the next major support level could lie for
Ethereum. The line in question is a version of the Realized Price.
The “Realized Price” is an on-chain indicator that, in short, keeps
track of the average cost basis of investors belonging to a given
ETH cohort. When this metric is under the spot price, it means the
average member of the group is holding coins at a net loss. On the
other hand, it being above the asset’s value suggests the cohort as
a whole is in a state of net profit. Related Reading: Bitcoin Keeps
Rebounding—But Is Momentum Really Turning Bullish? Investor cost
basis is considered an important topic in on-chain analysis, as
holders can be more likely to show some kind of move when their
profit-loss status is challenged. Whether investors react by buying
or selling can come down to which direction the retest of their
acquisition level is occurring from. When it’s from above, holders
may decide to accumulate more if the atmosphere is bullish, as they
can consider the pullback to be just a ‘dip.’ This provides support
to the asset, thus defending their cost basis. Similarly, investors
who were underwater just prior to the retest might believe the
surge wouldn’t last and they would fall back into losses again. So,
they could make the decision to exit, to at least escape with their
entire investment back. A cost basis level that has shown
particular importance for not just Ethereum, but digital assets in
general is the Realized Price of the entire network. As the chart
shared by the quant shows, this level is currently situated around
$2,250 for ETH. From the graph, it’s apparent that the line
provided support to Ethereum last year, but it has failed recently
as the coin’s price has significantly fallen under it. This means
that the average holder on the blockchain is now sitting on a
notable loss. With this major level gone, the Realized Price of the
individual cohorts could help point to where the next support could
be. Here is a chart displaying the trend in the indicator for
investors holding between 100 to 1,000 ETH, 1,000 to 10,000 ETH,
10,000 to 100,000 ETH, and more than 100,000 ETH: As is visible in
the graph, Ethereum has put three of the cohorts underwater with
the latest crash. Now, only the largest of holders in the sector,
those with over 100,000 ETH in their balance, are still in the
green. Related Reading: Dogecoin To $0.57 Or $0.06? Analyst Says
DOGE’s Fate Hinges On This Level Back in the 2022 bear market, ETH
found support at the Realized Price of these humongous whales.
Thus, it’s possible that this line could once again be of relevance
to ETH. At present, the cohort has its average acquisition level at
$1,290, so it will take more bearish action before a retest can
take place. ETH Price At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading
around $1,500, down more than 16% in the last 24 hours. Featured
image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
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