On-Chain Clues Suggest Bitcoin Bounce Might Be a False Signal—Here’s What to Know
15 Aprile 2025 - 5:30AM
NEWSBTC
Bitcoin has shown signs of stabilization following its earlier
correction this month, which saw the asset fall to as low as
$74,000. Over the past week, Bitcoin has rebounded strongly,
gaining nearly 10%, and now trades above $84,000. This upward
movement has reignited optimism among investors, though some
analysts remain cautious about calling this a definitive trend
reversal. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Last Drawdown To $74,000 A
‘Healthy Correction’ — Analyst Says Bull Cycle Is Still On Apparent
Demand Shows Recovery, But Trend Reversal Uncertain According to
recent on-chain data, the current recovery in BTC may be linked to
improving demand indicators. However, it is suggested that the
broader market structure still needs to confirm whether this bounce
reflects a sustainable rally or is merely a temporary pause in the
ongoing correction. CryptoQuant contributor Kripto Mevsimi
particularly drew attention to Bitcoin’s Apparent Demand metric,
specifically the 30-day sum, which has started to rebound from
negative territory. This trend is being observed as a potential
sign of changing market dynamics. However, Mevsimi warns against
assuming this is the start of a new bullish cycle, drawing
parallels to Bitcoin’s behavior during the latter part of the 2021
cycle. During that period, demand remained suppressed for an
extended timeframe, even as prices temporarily recovered. Only
after a long consolidation phase did the market experience a
genuine structural shift. Mevsimi highlights that although momentum
may be improving, more time and confirmation are necessary before a
macro-level trend reversal can be confirmed. Bitcoin Short-Term
Holder Selling Pressure Declines on Binance Another market signal
worth watching comes from Binance, one of the largest crypto
exchanges by trading volume. CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost reports
that inflows of Bitcoin from short-term holders (STHs) to Binance
have been steadily decreasing, suggesting a decline in immediate
selling pressure. The data indicates that average realized prices
for STHs currently hover around $92,800, meaning many recent
sellers have exited at a loss. Darkfost notes that inflows from
STHs dropped from approximately 17,000 BTC in November to around
9,000 BTC more recently. This downtrend in selling could provide
some support for Bitcoin’s current price levels. Related Reading:
Bitcoin Lags Gold As Wall Street Doubts Persist, Claims Expert
Still, the analyst emphasizes the need for continued monitoring to
determine if this reduction in selling pressure persists. The
easing of short-term holder activity could reduce overhead
resistance and contribute to market stability, but confirmation of
accumulation or a broader bullish phase remains elusive. STH
selling pressure declining on Binance📉 Tracking $BTC inflows on
Binance is a useful way to visualize potential selling pressure, as
the platform handles significant trading volumes. Short Term
Holders have been under considerable stress recently, with many
even ending up… pic.twitter.com/lwOe45H7L3 — Darkfost
(@Darkfost_Coc) April 13, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E,
Chart from TradingView
Grafico Azioni Bitcoin (COIN:BTCUSD)
Storico
Da Mar 2025 a Apr 2025
Grafico Azioni Bitcoin (COIN:BTCUSD)
Storico
Da Apr 2024 a Apr 2025