Why Has Bitcoin Rally Stalled? On-Chain Data Provides Hints
29 Aprile 2025 - 3:30AM
NEWSBTC
On-chain data shows a few Bitcoin indicators are following a
trajectory that could potentially explain the reason why the latest
rally has taken a pause. Bitcoin On-Chain Metrics Have Seen Bearish
Developments Recently In a new post on X, an analyst has talked
about how a few on-chain indicators related to Bitcoin have changed
recently. The first metric of relevance is the “Exchange Reserve,”
which measures the total amount of BTC that’s sitting in the
wallets associated with centralized exchanges. Related Reading:
Ethereum Whales Sell, But Bitcoin’s Key Investors Are Buying Below
is the chart shared by the quant showing the trend in this
indicator: As is visible in the graph, the Bitcoin Exchange Reserve
plunged alongside the recent price rally, suggesting the investors
withdrew a large number of tokens from exchanges. Generally, large
withdrawals can be a sign that the holders are accumulating, so it
could have been this buying activity that helped provide the fuel
for the price rally. From the chart, it’s apparent that in the last
few days, the decline has ended and the indicator has taken to
sideways movement. It may be no coincidence that the asset’s surge,
too, has taken a pause alongside this trend. For now, outflows are
still balancing out inflows, but the indicator can be kept an eye
on, as a reversal to net deposits could prove to be bearish for the
cryptocurrency. Another obstacle to the rally could be the fact
that the investors have been participating in profit-taking
recently. The metric that shows this trend is the Net Realized
Profit and Loss (NRPL), which keeps track of the net amount of
profit or loss that Bitcoin investors as a whole are realizing
through their transactions. Just earlier, the NRPL observed a large
negative spike corresponding to a realized loss of $2 billion, but
with the rally, its value has seen a sharp reversal into the
positive territory. At the peak of this profit-taking spree, the
metric managed to achieve a value of around $3 billion. Another
metric, the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), also confirms the
dominance of profit-taking. The SOPR, much like NRPL, deals with
profit/loss realization. The difference lies in that the NRPL shows
the net situation, while the SOPR calculates the ratio between
profit and loss. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holders Realizing $139
Million In Profit Per Hour This Rally, Report Says As for which
investors have been participating in the profit-taking, it would
appear whale-sized entities (investors with more than 1,000 BTC)
have been making some large moves. These humongous investors tend
to carry some influence in the market, so their transfers are
generally to look out for. BTC Price At the time of writing,
Bitcoin is floating around $95,000, up around 10% in the last week.
Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from
TradingView.com
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