Bitcoin Dominance At Risk Of Crash To 40%, Why This Is Good For Ethereum, XRP, And Altcoins
19 Aprile 2025 - 7:30PM
NEWSBTC
The Bitcoin dominance in the cryptocurrency market is inching
dangerously close to a long-term resistance level that has
triggered major reversals in the past. This resistance level is
highlighted on the weekly BTC.D candlestick timeframe chart.
Each time the dominance taps this descending trendline, it
struggles to break through and eventually tumbles. Notably,
Bitcoin’s dominance is now back around this resistance, and a
technical outlook posted on the TradingView platform points to a
crash to 40% within the next months. Bitcoin Dominance Could Crash
To 40%: Good For The Altcoin Market The dynamics behind Bitcoin’s
dominance have been different this cycle compared to previous ones.
This is because the dominance has grown massively since the
beginning of this cycle, leaving little room for an altcoin season
like many have continued to expect. At the time of writing,
Bitcoin’s market dominance is sitting at a yearly high of 63.2%,
according to data from CoinMarketCap. Related Reading: Solana Price
Enters Consolidation Trend Above $130 That Could End In A Breakout
However, an interesting technical analysis shows that the Bitcoin
dominance is now tapping on a resistance trendline that puts it at
risk of crashing below 40%, up until 34.9%. If that pattern holds
true once again, the crypto market could be approaching a phase
where Ethereum, XRP, and other altcoins regain strength in what
many hope will be the next altseason. A drop in Bitcoin dominance
will bode positively for altcoins, since it indicates that the
altcoin market is outperforming Bitcoin. This will be characterized
by a widespread increase in the prices of major altcoins, such as
Ethereum, Solana, and XRP. In such a case, tokens like Ethereum,
XRP, Cardano, Chainlink, BNB, and Litecoin, the so-called DINO
coins that have survived multiple market cycles, are most likely to
draw early attention from retail traders. However, unlike past bull
runs, when only a few hundred altcoins existed and most received
some attention, the crypto market is now saturated with thousands
of altcoins. After the large market-cap altcoins, the rotation
could move toward more niche sectors. Sectors such as Artificial
Intelligence (AI), Real World Assets (RWA), and DeFi may also
attract attention, but even within these categories, a strong
filtering process will be applied to select the altcoins that will
perform better. Can Bitcoin Dominance Really Crash To 40%?
The Bitcoin dominance crashing to 40% is not a new phenomenon,
looking at how the 2017 and 2021 bull markets unfolded. However,
such a phenomenon happening again is becoming increasingly
difficult, considering Bitcoin’s position in the investment world
today through Spot Bitcoin ETFs. These funds in these ETFs are
locked up for the long term, meaning a rejection in BTC dominance
may not automatically result in massive liquidity flows into the
altcoin market, as seen in 2021 and 2017. Related Reading: Cardano
Price Surge To $1.7: Here Are The Factors To Drive The Recovery
Even if Bitcoin dominance crashes toward 40% and ushers in a new
altcoin cycle, many altcoins will eventually end in brutal
drawdowns. Across past market cycles, the majority of altcoins have
suffered losses of over 90% once bullish sentiment fades and
capital flows back into stablecoins. Featured image from Dall.E,
chart from TradingView.com
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