Ethereum At $9,200, XRP At $5,800, And Solana At $3,400? Analyst Says This Is Not Possible
22 Aprile 2025 - 5:00PM
NEWSBTC
Cryptocurrency prices are starting to grind through a period of
slow but steady gains in the past 48 hours, with Bitcoin again
leading the charge and most altcoins lagging in recovery. In a
recent post on the X platform, popular Bitcoin maximalist and CEO
of JAN3, Samson Mow, described the misleading nature of unit
bias among altcoins. According to Mow, Ethereum at $9,200, XRP at
$5,800, and Solana at $3,400 is virtually impossible, given the
current supply of these tokens. Unit Bias And Market Cap: The
Numbers Don’t Lie Mow’s post on X challenges how investors perceive
the value of altcoins like Ethereum, XRP, and Solana. He proposed a
reframing of altcoin valuations by applying Bitcoin’s supply model
to them. Bitcoin was created with a total possible circulating
supply of 21 million units, with 19.85 million of those currently
in circulation. Related Reading: Samson Mow Dumps Bitcoin
Bombshell: Current Price Action Is ‘Manufactured’, Not Natural At
the time of writing, one unit of 21 million Bitcoins is trading
around $88,000. This price might be too much for retail traders. As
such, the idea of owning a whole unit of XRP or Solana feels more
accessible to newcomers and retail traders compared to buying a
fraction of Bitcoin with the same capital. To expose how
misleading this mindset can be, Mow reimagines altcoin valuations
by dividing their total market capitalizations by Bitcoin’s 21
million supply cap. This is essentially asking what one unit of
these assets would cost if they had the same scarcity of supply as
Bitcoin. Based on current market caps, Ethereum would be valued at
approximately $9,200, XRP at $5,800, and Solana at $3,400.
Given the current price of Ethereum, Solana, and XRP, these figures
are unrealistic and reveal how much of the altcoin appeal is driven
by unit bias rather than actual value. Furthermore, it shows that
Bitcoin has better fundamentals and scarcity in its supply
dynamics. Narrative Of Bitcoin Dominance Getting Stronger For Mow
and other Bitcoin maximalists, the disparity in Bitcoin supply and
that of popular altcoins is yet another reason why Bitcoin
dominance is likely to grow stronger in the long run. Notably, the
inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs and increasing recognition among
traditional finance investors are strengthening the case for
Bitcoin’s dominance going forward. Related Reading: Is It Time For
Altcoin Season? Bitcoin Dominance Rises To Major Rejection Zone
Notably, Mow’s perspective stands in opposition to the outlook held
by some analysts who still anticipate an incoming altcoin season.
These analysts believe that Bitcoin dominance, despite currently
sitting at a yearly high of 63.5%, could be on the verge of a
reversal. One notable technical analysis even projected a sharp
crash in dominance toward the 40% mark in the coming months. At the
time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $88,530, up by 1.3% in the
past 24 hours. Ethereum is trading at $1,620, representing a 1.5%
decline over the same period. Solana is down 0.5% at $140, and XRP
is trading at $2.09 after a 1.63% decline in the past day. Featured
image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
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