Bitcoin And S&P Decline Together, But Data Predicts A Turnaround
14 Marzo 2025 - 6:00AM
NEWSBTC
Bitcoin is not the only one that has suffered. Investors are
becoming concerned as the flagship cryptocurrency has followed the
recent decline in the S&P 500. But if past performance is any
indication, Bitcoin might be experiencing a resurgence. Related
Reading: TRUMP Token Takedown—Did Insiders Plan The Crash? United
States President Donald Trump assumed office in November for a
second term, but since then, the US stock market has dropped by
about 10%. Since the global recession hit the markets hard in 2009,
this is the worst start to a US presidency. Although there are
numerous causes for this decline, uncertainty on economic strategy
and worries about inflation have contributed. In the past, it has
often signaled impending volatility when the S&P 500 and
Bitcoin decline simultaneously. The bear market of 2022, which saw
prolonged losses, was the last time both markets fell precipitously
at the same time. Not all dips, though, lead to protracted
downturns. Some have led to a notable rebound, especially since the
cryptocurrency’s halving cycles. How is the market reacting to
Trump’s second term? Since his return, the S&P 500 has fallen
9%, marking the worst start to a presidency since 2009. Back then,
a recession drove the drop. This time, uncertainty is in the
driver’s seat. Let’s dive into the data 🧵👇
pic.twitter.com/A10F0qtweB — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com)
March 12, 2025 Bitcoin And Stocks Moving Together—For Now Bitcoin
has long been known as “digital gold,” but it is now functioning
more like a tech stock. According to a CryptoQuant research,
Bitcoin’s price has tracked traditional markets, particularly the
S&P 500. This pattern is not new. During the COVID-19 pandemic
in March 2020, the crypto and stocks fell together before
recovering later that year. But IntoTheBlock analysts found that
Bitcoin’s relationship to the S&P 500 has dropped to
essentially zero. This would suggest that, in line with long-term
holders’ pattern, BTC is starting to migrate outside of
conventional finance. Should this decoupling continue, the movement
in the price of Bitcoin might rely less on changes in the stock
market. Historical Trends Suggest A Recovery According to
CryptoQuant, prior data shows that Bitcoin has frequently rebounded
following strong corrections. For example, in 2018, Bitcoin lost
approximately 80% of its value before recovering in 2019.
Similarly, following the 2020 crash, Bitcoin reached fresh all-time
highs in 2021. Another statistic to keep an eye on is the Coinbase
Premium Index, which measures the difference in Bitcoin prices
between Coinbase and Binance. When this indicator goes negative and
then returns to positive territory, it has typically indicated an
impending price rebound. Related Reading: $931 Million BTC On The
Move: Mt. Gox Sparks Market Jitters Caution And Optimism Among
Analysts Meanwhile, market analysts remain divided. Some warn that
Bitcoin’s downturn could signal that the overall stock market rise
is unsustainable. Tyler Richey, co-editor of Sevens Report
Research, stated that Bitcoin’s underperformance compared to its
January peak could be a warning sign for equities. Featured image
from Gemini Imagen, chart from TradingView
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