Did ChatGPT come up with Trump’s tariff rate formula?
03 Aprile 2025 - 7:36AM
Cointelegraph


There’s a crazy theory on social media that US President Donald
Trump's newly announced reciprocal tariff plan — which hits all
countries with a minimum 10% tariff — could have been designed by
an artificial intelligence chatbot.
Only a short period after Trump announced the tariffs at the
White House Rose Garden on April 2, some X users claim they were
able to duplicate the same tariff plan with a rudimentary prompt
using OpenAI’s ChatGPT.
“I was able to duplicate it in ChatGPT,” NFT
collector
DCinvestor told his 260,000
followers on X following the Donald Trump announcement
of reciprocal tariffs on 185 countries on April 2.
“It also told me that this idea hadn’t been formalized anywhere
before, and that it was something it came up with,” he added,
referring to the chatbot’s ability to calculate the tariff rates.
“FFS. Trump admin is using ChatGPT to determine trade policy,” he
added.
Of course, the similarities between the artificial
intelligence-generated tariff plan and Trump’s plan could also be
simply coincidental.
DCInvestor’s observation came in response to crypto trader
Jordan Fish, also known as Cobie, who also
asked ChatGPT using the prompt:
“What would be an easy way to calculate the tariffs that should be
imposed on other countries so that the US is on even playing fields
when it comes to trade deficit. Set a minimum of
10%.”
ChatGPT response to question on tariff calculations. Source:
Cobie
Journal of Public Economics editor Wojtek Kopczuk also
experimented with ChatGPT,
which generated the same results. “I think they asked ChatGPT to
calculate the tariffs from other countries, which is why the
tariffs make absolutely no fucking sense,” he
said.
Author Krishnan Rohit postulated on X that
this “might be the first large-scale application of AI technology
to geopolitics.” ChatGPT, Gemini, Claude, and Grok all give the
same answer to the question on how to impose tariffs easily, he
observed.
Trump's reciprocal tariffs lead to crypto dip
Founder and CEO of supply chain logistics platform Flexport,
Ryan Petersen, said his firm had
reverse-engineered the formula the Trump administration used to
generate the reciprocal tariffs.
“It’s quite simple, they took the trade deficit the US
has with each country and divided it by our imports from that
country,”
An editor at The Yale Review, James Surowiecki,
said something
similar, “they just took our [US] trade deficit with that country
and divided it by the country’s exports to us.”
Related: ‘National emergency’ as Trump’s tariffs dent
crypto prices
Trump’s reciprocal tariffs, which come into effect on April 5,
have hit all countries with a 10% levy, with some nations
facing even larger rates, such as China with a 34% tariff, Japan
with 24%, and the European Union with 20%.
Crypto markets reacted particularly badly, plunging 5% after the
announcement as Bitcoin (BTC) fell by $5,500 to $82,277 before
recovering marginally, according to CoinGecko.
Magazine: Financial nihilism in crypto is over — It’s time
to dream big again
...
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