Data Shows Whales Stay Calm While Bitcoin Climbs—What Are They Waiting For?
15 Aprile 2025 - 2:30AM
NEWSBTC
Following Bitcoin’s correction dropping to as low as $74,000
earlier this month amid the recent global tariff war, the asset has
now begun to see steady recovery with its price hovering above
$85,000 after a 10% surge in the past week as President Trump’s
90-day tariff pause affecting all countries except China. The
announcement helped ease market concerns, contributing to renewed
momentum in both equity and digital asset markets. Related Reading:
Bitcoin Holds Above 365-Day Moving Average, But Market Sentiment
Remains Subdued Bitcoin Whales Show Restraint as Market Climbs As
Bitcoin finds its footing in upward momentum, a new analysis from
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost suggests that large holders on
Binance—one of the most active crypto exchanges—are responding to
macroeconomic uncertainty with a cautious, but notably
non-reactive, approach. The insights were detailed in a post titled
“How Are Binance Whales Reacting to Market Uncertainty?” which
examined key on-chain metrics. According to Darkfost, two primary
indicators reveal the evolving behavior of Binance whales. The
first, the Exchange Whale Ratio (EWR), compares the top 10 inflows
to total inflows on Binance to gauge whale involvement. A rising
365-day moving average (DMA) for the EWR reflects a growing
concentration of inflows from large holders over time, indicating
their stronger influence during long-term trends. However, a recent
decline in the 30DMA points to reduced short-term activity. This
suggests that whales may be taking a step back from active trading,
neither selling aggressively nor showing signs of panic. The second
metric, Whale to Exchange Flow, analyzes the value of whale inflows
to Binance over a 30-day period. Here too, the trend is
down—falling over $3 billion, mirroring similar drawdowns observed
during past corrections in 2024. Combined, these signals suggest
that Binance whales are opting to hold their positions rather than
sell into current market conditions, potentially signaling
confidence in longer-term prospects despite ongoing uncertainty.
Buying Strength Persists Despite Uncertain Outlook In a related
CryptoQuant post, analyst Mignolet highlighted a continued pattern
of buying strength on Binance. According to the analyst, the market
buy ratio—an indicator tracking the volume of market buy orders—has
not only remained intact but has recently surpassed previous highs.
This trend highlights persistent demand despite recent market
corrections and volatility. The recurring nature of this pattern
suggests that there is underlying buyer strength even as external
macroeconomic forces, such as trade policies and regulatory shifts,
continue to influence sentiment. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price
Rises Steadily—But Can the Rally Hold This Time?? Historically, a
sustained increase in the buy ratio has preceded medium-term
rallies, although confirmation of a new trend will require
follow-through in both price action and volume metrics. Featured
image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
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