TSX: TVE
CALGARY,
AB, Feb. 28, 2024 /CNW/ - Tamarack Valley
Energy Ltd. ("Tamarack" or the "Company") (TSX: TVE)
is pleased to announce its audited financial and operating results
for the three months and year ended December
31, 2023 and the results of Tamarack's year-end independent
oil and gas reserves evaluations as of December 31, 2023 (the "Reserve Reports"),
prepared by Tamarack's independent qualified reserves evaluators,
McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd. ("McDaniel) and GLJ Ltd.
("GLJ"). Selected reserves, financial and operating information is
outlined below. Selected financial and operating information should
be read with Tamarack's audited annual consolidated financial
statements and related management's discussion and analysis
("MD&A") for the three and twelve months ended December 31, 2023, and the Company's Annual
Information Form ("AIF") for the year ended December 31, 2023, which are available on SEDAR+
at www.sedarplus.ca and on Tamarack's website at
www.tamarackvalley.ca.

2023 Financial and Operational Highlights
- Improved Balance Sheet Strength – YoY net
debt(1) reduction of $373MM (equal to approximately
$0.67 per share) to exit the year
with net debt of $984MM.
- Improved Operating Costs – Production
expense of $8.89/boe in Q4/23
reflected a 16% QoQ improvement demonstrating the benefits of core
area production growth, program efficiencies and disposition of
assets with higher costs.
- Low-Cost Organic Reserves Growth – Increased
proved developed producing ("PDP") reserves by 15% (representing
137% of production) at a finding and development ("F&D") cost
of $16.49/boe and total proved plus
probable ("TPP") reserves by 13% (representing 214% of production)
at a F&D cost of $20.86/boe, net
of dispositions(2).
- Achieved Enhanced Return of Capital
Threshold – Delivered on Tamarack's commitment to
achieve the first threshold of our enhanced return of capital
framework. As a result, subsequent to year-end, the Company was
able to accelerate enhanced returns through the buyback of shares
as part of our Normal Course Issuer Bid ("NCIB").
- Increased Oil Production Weighting –
Delivered annual production of 67,034 boe/d(3), inline
with guidance. Fourth quarter production of 64,881
boe/d(4), reflected ~4,500 boe/d(5) from
non-core asset sales and unplanned third party restrictions in the
Charlie Lake. Tamarack's oil and
liquids weighting as a percent of total production increased to 85%
in Q4 2023 compared to 82% in Q4 2022.
- Optimized Capital Spending – Total capital
expenditures in 2023 of $516MM included: $21MM of gas conservation
projects sanctioned with the Clearwater Infrastructure Limited
Partnership (the "CIP"), $20MM accelerated from the 2024 capital
budget and $475MM allocated to Tamarack's development program.
Development spending was inline with the upper end of the
$425 - $475MM guidance. Accelerated
capital of $20MM into 2023 from 2024 represented an opportunity to
take advantage of favorable field conditions and services pricing
which will result in an equal reduction to 2024 spending.
- Free Funds Flow(1)
Generation – Delivered $248MM of free funds
flow(1) during the year which was directed to dividends
and debt repayment.
- Strategic Infrastructure Partnership –
Entered into a series of agreements with 12 First Nation and Metis
communities (the "Indigenous Communities") to establish the CIP,
enhancing the long-term relationships between Tamarack and the
Indigenous Communities. As part of this transaction, Tamarack
received gross proceeds of $146MM and a 15% working interest in the
CIP while retaining operatorship and full access to 100% of
Tamarack's existing mid-stream capacity.
2023 Financial & Operating Results
|
Three months ended
December 31
|
Year ended
December 31,
|
|
2023
|
2022
|
%
change
|
2023
|
2022
|
%
change
|
($ thousands,
except per share amounts)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Oil and natural gas
sales
|
$
418,864
|
$
422,313
|
(1)
|
$1,702,930
|
$ 1,455,448
|
17
|
Cash flow from
operating activities
|
215,981
|
227,889
|
(5)
|
631,626
|
805,377
|
(22)
|
Per
share – basic
|
0.39
|
0.42
|
(7)
|
1.13
|
1.75
|
(35)
|
Per
share – diluted
|
0.39
|
0.42
|
(7)
|
1.13
|
1.73
|
(35)
|
Adjusted funds flow
(1)
|
194,771
|
196,746
|
(1)
|
764,494
|
727,061
|
5
|
Per
share – basic (1)
|
0.35
|
0.36
|
(3)
|
1.37
|
1.58
|
(13)
|
Per
share – diluted (1)
|
0.35
|
0.36
|
(3)
|
1.37
|
1.57
|
(13)
|
Free funds flow
(1)
|
67,067
|
71,470
|
(6)
|
248,038
|
268,484
|
(8)
|
Per
share – basic (1)
|
0.12
|
0.13
|
(8)
|
0.45
|
0.58
|
(24)
|
Per
share – diluted (1)
|
0.12
|
0.13
|
(8)
|
0.44
|
0.58
|
(23)
|
Net income
|
57,322
|
50,441
|
14
|
94,196
|
345,198
|
(73)
|
Per
share – basic
|
0.10
|
0.09
|
11
|
0.17
|
0.75
|
(77)
|
Per
share – diluted
|
0.10
|
0.09
|
11
|
0.17
|
0.74
|
(77)
|
Net debt
(1)
|
(983,585)
|
(1,356,570)
|
(27)
|
(983,585)
|
(1,356,570)
|
(27)
|
Investments in oil and
natural gas assets
|
127,704
|
125,276
|
2
|
516,456
|
458,577
|
13
|
Weighted average
shares outstanding
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic
|
556,699
|
545,118
|
2
|
556,527
|
460,345
|
21
|
Diluted
|
560,008
|
549,062
|
2
|
560,032
|
464,276
|
21
|
Average daily
production
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Light oil
(bbls/d)
|
14,928
|
17,382
|
(14)
|
16,326
|
17,423
|
(6)
|
Heavy oil
(bbls/d)
|
37,447
|
31,328
|
20
|
35,788
|
15,768
|
127
|
NGL
(bbls/d)
|
2,769
|
4,241
|
(35)
|
3,536
|
3,888
|
(9)
|
Natural
gas (mcf/d)
|
58,419
|
68,355
|
(15)
|
68,302
|
67,221
|
2
|
Total
(boe/d)
|
64,881
|
64,344
|
1
|
67,034
|
48,283
|
39
|
Average sale
prices
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Light oil
($/bbl)
|
$
99.79
|
$ 103.37
|
(3)
|
$
98.64
|
$
115.47
|
(15)
|
Heavy oil,
net of blending expense(1) ($/bbl)
|
74.09
|
71.36
|
4
|
75.61
|
85.40
|
(11)
|
NGL
($/bbl)
|
42.31
|
50.53
|
(16)
|
41.67
|
54.66
|
(24)
|
Natural
gas ($/mcf)
|
2.82
|
4.89
|
(42)
|
2.84
|
6.15
|
(54)
|
Total
($/boe)
|
70.07
|
71.19
|
(2)
|
69.48
|
82.54
|
(16)
|
Benchmark
pricing
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
West Texas
Intermediate (US$/bbl)
|
78.32
|
82.65
|
(5)
|
77.62
|
94.23
|
(18)
|
Edm Par
differential (US$/bbl)
|
5.19
|
1.66
|
213
|
3.25
|
1.79
|
82
|
WCS
differential (US$/bbl)
|
21.89
|
25.89
|
(15)
|
18.70
|
18.27
|
2
|
Edmonton
Par (Cdn$/bbl)
|
99.69
|
109.97
|
(9)
|
100.39
|
120.05
|
(16)
|
Hardisty Heavy
(Cdn$/bbl)
|
76.96
|
77.09
|
–
|
79.53
|
98.43
|
(19)
|
Foreign exchange (USD
to CAD)
|
1.36
|
1.36
|
–
|
1.35
|
1.30
|
4
|
Operating netback
($/Boe)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average
realized sales, net of blending expense (1)
|
70.07
|
71.19
|
(2)
|
69.48
|
82.54
|
(16)
|
Royalty
expenses
|
(13.81)
|
(15.07)
|
(8)
|
(12.97)
|
(16.01)
|
(19)
|
Net
production expenses (1)
|
(8.89)
|
(10.54)
|
(16)
|
(9.49)
|
(10.38)
|
(9)
|
Transportation expenses
|
(3.56)
|
(3.64)
|
(2)
|
(3.90)
|
(2.88)
|
35
|
Carbon
tax
|
(2.53)
|
(0.01)
|
nm
|
(0.65)
|
0.03
|
nm
|
Operating field
netback ($/Boe) (1)
|
41.28
|
41.93
|
(2)
|
42.47
|
53.30
|
(20)
|
Realized
commodity hedging gain (loss)
|
0.80
|
0.31
|
158
|
(1.23)
|
(3.52)
|
(65)
|
Operating netback
($/Boe) (1)
|
$
42.08
|
$
42.24
|
–
|
$
41.24
|
$
49.78
|
(17)
|
Adjusted funds flow
($/Boe) (1)
|
$
32.63
|
$
33.24
|
(2)
|
$
31.25
|
$
41.26
|
(24)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Brian Schmidt, President
and CEO of Tamarack stated
"Tamarack completed its strategic transformation in 2023,
integrating the three corporate Clearwater acquisitions that closed in 2022
and divesting our non-core west central Alberta Cardium assets,
affording our team the ability to focus on our core Clearwater, Charlie
Lake and EOR assets. Most importantly, we delivered on a key
commitment to our shareholders to reduce our net debt(1)
and achieved the first threshold of our enhanced return of capital
framework with share buybacks commencing in January 2024.
In addition, we continued to realize significant value
generation from the assets acquired pursuant to the acquisition of
Deltastream Energy Corp. Since close of the acquisition in
October 2022, Tamarack has grown
production on the Deltastream assets by 29%. Reflecting the highly
economic nature of the Clearwater,
the assets delivered ~230MM of free NOI(6) in 2023.
Incremental to that, the 2023 year-end BTAX TPP NPV10(7)
of the assets increased to over $1.8
billion. Overall this transaction continues to exceed our
expectations while providing long term development visibility."
2023 Reserves Report
Highlights
Tamarack's drilling program combined with continued development
of Clearwater waterflood
contributed significantly to the 2023 reserves, further enhancing
the long-term resiliency and sustainability of free funds flow for
the Company moving forward. Key highlights of the Company's PDP,
total proved ("TP") and TPP reserves from the Reserves Report are
highlighted below:
- Strong Development Program
Results – Excluding reserves and production
associated with the dispositions(2), Tamarack's capital
program delivered strong results in 2023:
- PDP reserves increased by 15% to 64 MMboe(8) and
replaced 137% of production
- TP reserves increased by 18% to 128 MMboe(9) and
replaced 189% of production
- TPP reserves increased by 13% to 224 MMboe(10) and
replaced 214% of production
- Attractive Finding and Development ("F&D")
Costs – Focused execution in the Charlie Lake and Clearwater achieved the following F&D
costs, including changes in Future Development Capital ("FDC"):
- PDP reserves: $16.49/boe
- TP reserves: $20.90/boe
- TPP reserves: $20.86/boe
- Strong Recycle Ratios – Tamarack's highly
economic oil plays delivered an annual operating
netback(1) of $42.47/boe.
Coupled with low-cost reserve additions the Company delivered the
following recycle ratios(1):
- PDP: 2.6x
- TP: 2.0x
- TPP: 2.0x
- Increased Oil Weighting – Overall
liquids-weighting increased YoY by 7%, with 2023 TPP reserves
comprised of 85% oil and NGLs and 15% natural gas.
- Significant Intrinsic Value - Realized
before-tax net present value of booked reserves(7)
- PDP NPV10: $1.6
billion
- TP NPV10: $2.6
billion
- TPP NPV10: $4.5
billion
- Charlie Lake Pool Extensions - The Company's
Charlie Lake assets continued to
add material pool extensions in 2023, contributing to reserves
growth in the play of 4% and 147% production replacement on a TPP
basis. Through ongoing optimization and additions to the Company's
land position the percentage of booked TPP locations exceeding 2.5
miles of lateral length increased from 35% to 46% YoY.
- Clearwater Assets & Waterflood Value
Contribution - The Company's Clearwater assets realized significant
reserves growth in 2023, delivering increased bookings of 43% and
28% for TP and TPP reserves respectively. The TPP increase replaced
279% of 2023 Clearwater production. At year-end 2023, 12% of total
Clearwater TPP reserves were associated with waterflood (3% at 2022
year-end), indicating the continued opportunity for reserves growth
as waterflood development continues. In support of converting our
resource to booked reserves and realized funds flow Tamarack has
allocated capital within the 2024 budget to materially increase
water injection rates from ~4,000 bbl/d at year-end 2023 to over
15,000 bbl/d by the end of 2024.
- Contingent and Prospective Resource
Evaluation – With the integration of the three
Clearwater consolidating
transactions complete, Tamarack retained McDaniel to evaluate and
prepare a report (the "Resource Report") on the heavy oil
contingent and prospective resources of the Company's Clearwater assets as at December 31, 2023.
- The Resource Report indicates Tamarack's Clearwater heavy oil assets have a "best
estimate" of Company gross Contingent Resources (unrisked) of 89.5
MMbbl(12) and Company gross Prospective Resources
(unrisked) of 118.4 MMbbl(13).
- Inventory attributed to the Company's Clearwater assets within the Report totals 592
net Contingent and 1,182 net Prospective drilling locations. When
combined with the Company's 381 net TPP locations included in
the year-end evaluation, the identified Clearwater inventory exceeds 2,100
locations.
- With Clearwater assets
producing approximately 13 MMbbl of heavy oil in 2023, TPP
reserves represent eight years of equivalent production. Unrisked
best estimate contingent and prospective resources equate to
approximately seven and nine years of equivalent production,
respectively.
- See "Reader Advisories - Resource Disclosure" below and
our supplementary filing titled "Statement of Contingent and
Prospective Resources" dated February
28, 2024 which has been filed on SEDAR+ at
www.sedarplus.ca for additional details with respect to
Tamarack's contingent and prospective resources, including the
risks and uncertainties related thereto.
2023 Reserves Snapshot by Category
|
PDP
|
TP
|
TPP
|
Company Gross
Reserves (mboe)(8)(9)(10)
|
63,886
|
127,830
|
224,277
|
NPV10 Before Tax
($MM)(7)
|
1,612
|
2,562
|
4,475
|
During 2023 Tamarack was successful in divesting certain of its
non-core assets, including the west central Cardium assets, which
were weighted ~60% to natural gas. This change is reflected in the
YoY table below.
Year-Over-Year Reserves Data (Forecast Prices and
Costs)
(mboe)
|
December
31,
2023(14)
|
December
31,
2022(15)
|
%
Change
|
PDP
|
|
|
63,866
|
75,744
|
(18.6 %)
|
TP
|
|
|
127,830
|
135,066
|
(5.6 %)
|
TPP
|
|
|
224,277
|
242,192
|
(8.0 %)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2024 Capital Guidance
Update
Exiting 2023, Alberta saw
favorable weather for ongoing field activity through to the end of
December. As a result, Tamarack was able to leverage the
availability of service providers to accelerate $20MM of the
dedicated H1 2024 budget into 2023. Owing to this acceleration the
Company has updated its 2024 capital spending guidance associated
with the previously disclosed Base Budget to a range of
$390 - $440MM. In addition, 2024
carbon tax expense guidance has been reduced. In total, the
acceleration of capital and adjustment to the carbon tax treatment
serve to increase free funds flow(1) by approximately
$35MM in 2024.
Within Tamarack's 2024 program the Company continues to retain
significant capital flexibility enabling the adjustment to plans
should it see further downside oil price volatility while not
expecting to impact 2024 production guidance which is maintained at
the 61,000 to 63,000 boe/d(16) range. Tamarack will
continue to monitor timing of the CSV Albright sour gas plant where
the Company proactively secured firm processing capacity in support
of its ongoing Charlie Lake
development program. Any decision to commence drilling associated
with project will be subject to prevailing commodity prices and
expected CSV on-stream timing. The Company does have the ability to
swing production from existing wells to this facility to utilize
its capacity ahead of implementing any additional drilling.
Updated 2024 Annual Base Budget Guidance Summary at 2024
Budget Pricing(17)
|
Units
|
Prior
Base Budget
Guidance
|
Updated
Base Budget
Guidance
|
Capital
Budget(18)
|
$MM
|
$410 – $460
|
$390 - $440
|
Annual Average
Production(16)
|
boe/d
|
61,000 –
63,000
|
61,000 –
63,000
|
Average Oil & NGL
Weighting
|
%
|
84% – 86%
|
84% – 86%
|
|
|
|
|
Expenses:
|
|
|
|
Royalty Rate
(%)
|
%
|
20% – 22%
|
20% – 22%
|
Net
Production
|
$/boe
|
$8.75 –
$9.25
|
$8.75 –
$9.25
|
Transportation
|
$/boe
|
$3.25 –
$3.60
|
$3.25 –
$3.60
|
Carbon
Tax(19)
|
$/boe
|
$1.00 –
$1.50
|
$0.50 –
$1.00
|
General and
Administrative (20)
|
$/boe
|
$1.35 –
$1.50
|
$1.35 –
$1.50
|
Interest
|
$/boe
|
$3.80 –
$4.20
|
$3.80 –
$4.20
|
Income
Taxes(21)
|
%
|
9% - 11%
|
9% - 11%
|
2024 Operations Update
Charlie Lake
Tamarack continues to see strong results from its drilling and
development program in the Charlie
Lake. In Q1/24 the Company commenced flowback operations on
the 11-11-074-08W6 pad with initial 30-day production rates per
well exceeding 1,000 bbl/d oil and 1,400 boe/d(22).
Initial oil production rates from the 11-11-074-08W6 pad are 60%
higher than 2023 wells drilled at Wembley reflecting strong reservoir quality,
benefits of extended lateral length and reduced facility
constraints. Expansion of Tamarack's 16-35-073-08W6 battery at
Wembley is on track for later in
Q1/24 and is expected to result in an incremental 1,600
boe/d(23) of liquids and gas handling capacity for
Tamarack operated and controlled volumes. Some associated downtime
at the battery is expected during the first quarter to accommodate
the expansion work.
In 2023, the Company added 11.0 net sections of land through
acquisition at crown sales, further increasing the inventory depth
of Tamarack's Charlie Lake
asset.
Clearwater
West Marten Hills and Nipisi
At year-end 2023, Tamarack had brought 39 wells on production
through the 15-15-076-05W5 battery, with December 2023 throughput at ~7,000 bbl/d
(including nine C sand producers and 30
B sand producers). The success demonstrated by Tamarack's
development in the 'B' and 'C' sands provides the ability to
generate further capital efficiencies given the stacked nature of
the play. Oil production from the north Clearwater assets averaged ~19,000 bbl/d
exiting 2023, representing a YoY increase of ~40%.
- West Marten C Sand Success – At the
Company's 02-22-076-05W5 and 12-22-076-05W5 pads the eight C sand
wells had average peak monthly rates of 212 bbl/d per well. Based
on this success, Tamarack drilled four additional C sand wells
off the 08-15-076-05W5 pad which are currently cleaning up. As part
of the 2024 program the Company expects to drill additional 'C'
sand wells, building further on the results demonstrated to
date.
- West Marten B Sand Performance Strength –
Results from Tamarack's 30 'B' sand wells demonstrated peak monthly
average rates of 270 bbl/d per well. These well results further
emphasize the significant upside in the area, with the ability to
leverage shared infrastructure to improve economic returns. In
2024, Tamarack is following up this success with seven additional
'B' sand wells at the 05-15-076-05W5 and 12-15-076-05W5
pads.
- Advancing Key Infrastructure – Tamarack's
10-02-077-05W5 Marten Creek Gas Plant came online in January 2024, flowing in excess of 3 MMcf/d at
the inlet, delivering on the Company's gas conservation
initiatives.
Marten Hills
As development is ongoing at Marten Hills, Tamarack is
leveraging primary well cost efficiency improvements in conjunction
with progressing waterflood. Tamarack brought 12 wells on-stream in
August 2023 from the 09-06-075-25W4
pad. In aggregate these wells were drilled at a cost of under
$100/metre representing an
improvement of 12-15% relative to 2023 average budgeted cost.
Waterflood - Increasing Injection at Nipisi and Marten
Hills
Four additional Nipisi injectors have been brought on-stream
increasing Tamarack's total area water injection to >3,000
bbl/d, with plans to further ramp to >7,500 bbl/d by year-end
2024. At Marten Hills, Tamarack converted one additional injector
bringing area water injection to >2,000 bbl/d. This area is also
expected to ramp to >7,500 bbl/d by year-end 2024. Tamarack
currently has 2,200 bopd, or 6% of Clearwater oil production under
waterflood.
Delineation and Exploration
- West Nipisi – Since the beginning of 2023,
Tamarack has drilled or participated in nine gross (4.7 net) wells
in the West Nipisi area with greater than 30 days of production
data. This includes five gross 'B' sand wells with average peak
monthly rates of ~200 bbl/d per well, and four gross 'C' sand
wells with average peak monthly rates of ~270 bbl/d per well,
including the most recent 102/4-35-76-9W5 well which delivered an
IP30 oil rate of 330 bbl/d. Based on this success, the Company
plans to be active on its joint venture lands in the area in
2024.
- Seal – In Q1/23 Tamarack successfully
drilled and tested three separate Clearwater equivalent sands off one pad
(upper, middle, and lower). The combined IP30 from the three wells
was approximately 380 bopd. The lowermost sand was drilled with
only three legs, with the objective being to test commerciality of
the sand. The middle and upper sands were developed with 6-leg
lateral legs per sand, each extending approximately 1.25 miles in
length. Based on the results of the Seal program Tamarack was able
to derisk 950 MMbbl of OOIP on its existing lands. Given the
stacked nature of the multiple zones, management expects
development at Seal to drive strong capital efficiencies and
economics with large-scale multi-well pads pushing lateral lengths
to 1.5 miles.
Risk Management
The Company takes a systematic approach to manage commodity
price risk and volatility to ensure sustaining capital, debt
servicing requirements and the base dividend are protected through
a prudent hedging management program. For 2024, approximately ~50%
of net after royalty oil production is hedged against WTI with an
average floor price of ~US$68/bbl
with structures that allow for upside price participation averaging
~US$89/bbl. Our strategy provides
protection to the downside while maximizing upside exposure.
Additional details of the current hedges in place can be found in
the corporate presentation on the Company website
(www.tamarackvalley.ca).
We would like to thank our employees, shareholders and other
stakeholders for all of their support over the past year. Tamarack
materially advanced our multi-year transformation and would not
have been able to achieve this without the dedication and hard work
of our employees. We look forward to continuing to develop our
high-quality assets to create shareholder value in a sustainable
and responsible way.
Executive Update
Tamarack is pleased to announce the promotion of Rocky Baker to Vice President, Marketing. Since
joining the Company in January 2022
Rocky has been instrumental in establishing a strong internal
marketing team and executing on key initiatives to enhance both
market access and product realizations. Rocky brings over 17 years
of oil and gas marketing experience, and prior to joining Tamarack
she was Manager of the Commercial Services Group at Inter Pipeline.
Rocky holds a Chartered Professional Accounting (CPA) Designation
and a Bachelor of Commerce degree from the University of Calgary.
Investor
Call
9:30 AM MDT (11:30
AM EDT)
|
Tamarack will host a
webcast at 9:30 AM MDT (11:30 AM EDT) on Wednesday, February 28,
2024 to discuss
the year-end reserves, financial results and an operational update.
Participants can access the live webcast via
this link or through links provided on the Company's website. A
recorded archive of the webcast will be available
on the Company's website following the live webcast.
|
2023 Independent Qualified Reserve Evaluations
The following tables highlight the findings of the Reserve
Reports, which have been prepared in accordance with definitions,
standards and procedures contained in National Instrument 51-101
– Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities ("NI
51-101") and the most recent publication of the Canadian Oil
and Gas Evaluation Handbook ("COGEH") by McDaniel and GLJ,
qualified independent reserves evaluators, each with an effective
date of December 31, 2023 and
preparation dates of February 9, 2024
and January 29, 2024, respectively.
All evaluations and summaries of future net revenue are stated
prior to the provision for interest, debt service charges or
general and administrative expenses and after deduction of
royalties, operating costs, estimated well abandonment and
reclamation costs and estimated future capital expenditures. The
information included in the "Net Present Values of Future Net
Revenue Before Income Taxes Discounted" table below is based on an
average of pricing assumptions prepared by the following three
independent external reserves evaluators: GLJ, Sproule Associates
Limited and McDaniel (the "3-Consultant Average Forecast
Pricing"). It should not be assumed that the estimates of
future net revenues presented in the tables below represent the
fair market value of the reserves. All per share reserves metrics
below are based on basic shares outstanding as of December 31, 2023. Note that columns may not add
due to rounding.
Company Reserves Data (Forecast Prices and
Costs)(11)
Reserves
Category
|
Crude
Oil
Lt. &
Med.
Gross(24) (MBbl)
|
Crude Oil
Lt. & Med.
Net(24)
(MBbl)
|
Crude
Oil
Heavy
Gross (MBbl)
|
Crude Oil
Heavy
Net (MBbl)
|
Conven-
tional
Natural
Gas
Gross (MMcf)
|
Conven-
tional
Natural
Gas Net (MMcf)
|
Natural
Gas
Liquids Gross(25)
(MBbl)
|
Natural
Gas
Liquids Net(25)
(MBbl)
|
Total
Gross (MBoe)
|
Total
Net (Mboe)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Proved:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Developed
Producing
|
19,543
|
15,120
|
31,980
|
25,968
|
58,966
|
53,063
|
2,535
|
2,008
|
63,886
|
51,940
|
Developed
Non-Producing
|
761
|
626
|
925
|
783
|
2,972
|
2,684
|
124
|
100
|
2,305
|
1,956
|
Undeveloped
|
21,732
|
17,350
|
29,120
|
25,018
|
50,108
|
44,853
|
2,436
|
1,987
|
61,638
|
51,830
|
Total Proved
|
42,036
|
33,095
|
62,025
|
51,769
|
112,046
|
100,599
|
5,095
|
4,095
|
127,830
|
105,726
|
Probable
|
34,979
|
26,535
|
42,343
|
34,226
|
88,822
|
78,204
|
4,322
|
3,329
|
96,448
|
77,125
|
Total Proved plus
Probable
|
77,015
|
59,631
|
104,368
|
85,995
|
200,869
|
178,803
|
9,417
|
7,424
|
224,277
|
182,850
|
Net Present Values of Future Net Revenue before Income Taxes
Discounted at (% per year)(14)
Reserves
Category
|
0 %($000)
|
5 %($000)
|
10 %($000)
|
15 %($000)
|
20 %($000)
|
Unit Value
Before Tax
Discounted
at
10%/Year(27)
($/Boe)
|
Unit Value
Before Tax
Discounted
at
10%/Year(27)
($/Mcfe)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Proved:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Developed
Producing
|
1,915,227
|
1,756,306
|
1,612,768
|
1,489,731
|
1,385,572
|
31.05
|
5.18
|
Developed
Non-Producing
|
78,434
|
70,010
|
62,854
|
56,973
|
52,156
|
32.14
|
5.36
|
Undeveloped
|
1,498,597
|
1,146,822
|
886,756
|
693,236
|
546,929
|
17.11
|
2.85
|
Total Proved
|
3,492,258
|
2,973,138
|
2,562,378
|
2,239,940
|
1,984,657
|
24.24
|
4.04
|
Probable
|
3,477,826
|
2,526,987
|
1,913,213
|
1,501,457
|
1,213,948
|
24.81
|
4.13
|
Total Proved plus
Probable
|
6,970,084
|
5,500,125
|
4,475,591
|
3,741,397
|
3,198,605
|
24.48
|
4.08
|
Reconciliation of Company Gross Reserves Based on Forecast
Prices and Costs(14)
|
Total Proved
(Mboe)
|
Total Probable
(Mboe)
|
Total Proved +
Probable (Mboe)
|
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2022
|
135,066
|
107,126
|
242,192
|
Discoveries
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
Extensions &
Improved Recovery(26)
|
31,003
|
13,887
|
44,890
|
Technical
Revisions
|
10,470
|
(8,318)
|
2,152
|
Acquisitions
|
66
|
12
|
79
|
Dispositions
|
(24,484)
|
(16,323)
|
(40,807)
|
Economic
Factors
|
175
|
64
|
239
|
Production
|
(24,467)
|
–
|
(24,467)
|
December 31,
2023
|
127,830
|
96,448
|
224,277
|
Future Development Capital Costs(28)
The following is a summary of estimated FDC required to bring TP
and TPP undeveloped reserves on production.
Year
|
|
|
Total Proved
Reserves
($000)
|
Total Proved
Plus Probable
Reserves ($000)
|
|
|
|
|
|
2024
|
|
|
378,357
|
402,127
|
2025
|
|
|
373,725
|
434,705
|
2026
|
|
|
296,491
|
410,352
|
2027 and
Subsequent
|
|
|
194,631
|
626,325
|
Total
|
|
|
1,243,205
|
1,873,509
|
10%
Discounted
|
|
|
1,060,652
|
1,525,973
|
Finding, Development & Acquisition Costs
|
2023
|
Three-Year
Average
|
(amounts in $000s
except as noted)
|
TP
|
TPP
|
TP
|
TPP
|
FD&A costs,
including FDC(28)(29)
|
|
|
|
|
Exploration and
development capital expenditures(30)(31)
|
512,955
|
512,955
|
364,411
|
364,411
|
Acquisitions, net of
dispositions(32)
|
(120,477)
|
(120,477)
|
792,303
|
792,303
|
Total change in
FDC
|
244,820
|
286,099
|
298,385
|
412,050
|
Total FD&A
capital, including change in FDC
|
637,298
|
678,578
|
1,455,099
|
1,568,765
|
Reserve additions,
including revisions – Mboe(33)
|
41,648
|
47,281
|
24,125
|
25,942
|
Acquisitions, net of
dispositions – Mboe(33)
|
(24,417)
|
(40,728)
|
15,440
|
29,996
|
Total FD&A
Reserves(33)
|
17,231
|
6,553
|
39,565
|
55,937
|
F&D costs,
including FDC - $/boe
|
20.90
|
20.86
|
22.47
|
22.46
|
Acquisition costs, net
of dispositions - $/boe
|
9.55
|
7.55
|
59.14
|
32.88
|
FD&A costs,
including FDC - $/boe
|
36.99
|
103.55
|
36.78
|
28.05
|
About Tamarack Valley Energy
Ltd.
Tamarack is an oil and gas exploration and production company
committed to creating long-term value for its shareholders through
sustainable free funds flow generation, financial stability and the
return of capital. The Company has an extensive inventory of
low-risk, oil development drilling locations focused primarily on
Charlie Lake and Clearwater plays in Alberta while also pursuing EOR upside in
these core areas. Operating as a responsible corporate citizen is a
key focus to ensure we deliver on our environmental, social and
governance (ESG) commitments and goals. For more information,
please visit the Company's website at www.tamarackvalley.ca.
Abbreviations
AECO
|
the natural gas storage
facility located at Suffield, Alberta connected to TC
Energy's Alberta System
|
ARO
|
asset retirement
obligation; may also be referred to as decommissioning
obligation
|
bbls
|
barrels
|
bbls/d
|
barrels per
day
|
boe
|
barrels of oil
equivalent
|
boe/d
|
barrels of oil
equivalent per day
|
bopd
|
barrels of oil per
day
|
CGU
|
cash generating
unit
|
DCET
|
drilling, completions,
equip and tie-in costs
|
EOR
|
enhanced oil
recovery
|
GJ
|
gigajoule
|
IFRS
|
International Financial
Reporting Standards as issued by the International
Accounting Standards Board
|
IP30
|
average production for
the first 30 days that a well is onstream
|
Mcf
|
thousand cubic
feet
|
mcf/d
|
thousand cubic feet per
day
|
MM
|
Million
|
MMcf/d
|
million cubic feet per
day
|
MSW
|
Mixed sweet blend, the
benchmark for conventionally produced light sweet
crude oil in Western Canada
|
NGL
|
Natural gas
liquids
|
OOIP
WCS
|
original oil in
place
Western Canadian
select, the benchmark for conventional and oil sands
heavy production at Hardisty in Western Canada
|
WTI
|
West Texas
Intermediate, the reference price paid in U.S. dollars at
Cushing,
Oklahoma for the crude oil standard grade
|
Reader Advisories
Notes to Press Release
1) See "Specified Financial Measures"
2) Annual average production from net dispositions of
6,400 boe/d comprised of 1,510 bbl/d light and medium oil,
1,310 bbl/d NGL and 21,500 mcf/d natural gas. Reserves associated
with the net dispositions include:
|
PDP
|
TP
|
TPP
|
Light & Medium Oil
(Mbbl)
|
4,167
|
5,907
|
9,377
|
NGL (Mbbl)
|
3,731
|
4,867
|
8,219
|
Natural Gas
(MMcf)
|
59,241
|
82,258
|
139,268
|
Total (Mboe)
|
17,772
|
24,484
|
40,807
|
3) Production of 67,034 boe/d comprised of 16,326 bbl/d
light and medium oil, 35,788 bbl/d heavy oil, 3,536 bbl/d NGL and
68,302 mcf/d natural gas.
4) Production of 64,881 boe/d comprised of 14,928 bbl/d light
and medium oil, 37,447 bbl/d heavy oil, 2,769 bbl/d NGL and 58,419
mcf/d natural gas.
5) Production impacts of approximately 4,500 boe/d comprised
of 1,098 bbl/d light and medium oil, 922 bbl/d NGL and 14,880 mcf/d
natural gas.
6) Free NOI is calculated as the asset level field operating
netback less annual capital expenditures.
7) Utilizing a 10% discount 3-Consultant Average Forecast Pricing
as detailed in the Company's AIF.
8) PDP reserves of 64 MMboe comprised of 20 MMbbl light and medium
oil, 32.0 MMbbl heavy oil, 3 MMbbl NGL and 59 MMcf natural gas.
9) TP reserves of 128 MMboe comprised of 42 MMbbl light and medium
oil, 62 MMbbl heavy oil, 5 MMbbl NGL and 112 MMcf natural gas.
10) TPP reserves of 224 MMboe comprised of 77 MMbbl light and
medium oil, 104 MMbbl heavy oil, 9 MMbbl NGL and 201 MMcf natural
gas.
11) Based on the 3-Consultant (represented by: GLJ, Sproule
Associates Limited and McDaniel) Average Forecast Pricing as
detailed in the Company's AIF.
12) The estimate of Contingent Resources has not been adjusted for
risk based on the chance of development. There is uncertainty that
it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the
contingent resources. See "Resource Disclosure".
13) The estimate of Prospective Resources has not been adjusted for
risk based on the chance of discovery or the chance of development.
There is no certainty that any portion of the prospective resources
will be discovered. If discovered, there is no certainty that it
will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the
prospective resources. Prospective resources are not evaluated for
economics. See "Resource Disclosure".
14) Based on the 3-Consultant Average Forecast Pricing as at
January 1, 2024
15) Based on the 3-Consultant Average Forecast Pricing as at
January 1, 2023
16) Production of 61,000 – 63,000 boe/d comprised of
12,800-13,200 bbl/d light and medium oil, 36,600-37,800 bbl/d heavy
oil, 2,400-2,500 bbl/d NGL and 54,900-56,700 mcf/d natural gas
17) Annual guidance numbers are based on 2024 average pricing
assumptions of:
2024 Budget
Pricing
|
|
Crude Oil – WTI
($US/bbl)
|
$75.00
|
Crude Oil – MSW
Differential ($US/bbl)
|
($4.00)
|
Crude Oil – WCS
Differential ($US/bbl)
|
($17.00)
|
Natural Gas – AECO
($CAD/GJ)
|
$2.50
|
Foreign Exchange –
CAD/USD
|
1.3450
|
18) Capital budget includes exploration and development
capital, ESG initiatives, facilities land and seismic but
excludes ARO, capital associated with the CIP and asset
acquisitions and dispositions.
19) The Company's acquisitions in 2022 and a more stringent
emissions regulatory framework increased taxable emissions in 2023
and 2024. Carbon tax of
$0.50-$1.00/boe is anticipated in 2024, a significant
increase from 2023 as the price of carbon escalates 23% to
$80/tonne and the emissions intensity
benchmark tightens. Carbon tax was
previously included in net production costs but will be reported
separately going forward. Tamarack's gas conservation initiatives
that continue into 2024 are expected to substantively decrease the
carbon tax burden in 2025 and subsequent years.
20) G&A noted excludes the effect of cash settled stock-based
compensation.
21) Tamarack estimates a tax rate on funds flow of 9%-11%.
22) Production of 1,400 boe/d comprised of 1,000 bbl/d light
and medium oil, 70 bbl/d NGL and 1,940 mcf/d natural gas.
23) Capacity increase of approximately 1,600 boe/d comprised
of 546 bbl/d light and medium oil, 172 bbl/d NGL and 5,290 mcf/d
natural gas.
24) Immaterial Tight Oil volumes have been included with light
& medium crude oil volumes.
25) Condensate volumes have been included with natural gas
liquids.
26) Reserves additions under Infill Drilling, Improved
Recovery and Extensions are combined and reported as "Extensions
and Improved Recovery".
27) Unit values are based on Company net reserves.
28) FDC as per Reserve Report based on the 3-Consultant Average
Forecast Pricing
29) While Nl 51-101 requires that the effects of acquisitions
and dispositions be excluded from the calculation of finding and
development costs, FD&A costs have been presented because
acquisitions and dispositions can have a significant impact on the
Company's ongoing reserve replacement costs and excluding these
amounts could result in an inaccurate portrayal of the Company's
cost structure. Finding and development costs both including and
excluding acquisitions and dispositions have been presented
above.
30) The calculation of FD&A costs incorporates the change
in FDC required to bring proved undeveloped and developed reserves
into production. In all cases, the FD&A number is calculated by
dividing the identified capital expenditures by the applicable
reserves additions after changes in FDC costs.
31) The aggregate of the exploration and development costs incurred
in the most recent financial year and the change during that year
in estimated future development costs generally will not reflect
total finding and development costs related to reserves additions
for that year.
32) Includes 2022 and 2023 capital related to major land
acquisitions in the Peavine and Seal areas.
33) Reserves are Company Gross Reserves which exclude royalty
volumes.
Disclosure of Oil and Gas Information
Unit Cost Calculation. For the purpose of calculating
unit costs, natural gas volumes have been converted to a boe using
six thousand cubic feet equal to one barrel unless otherwise
stated. A boe conversion ratio of 6:1 is based upon an energy
equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner
tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.
This conversion conforms with Canadian Securities Administrators'
National Instrument 51 101 - Standards of Disclosure for Oil and
Gas Activities ("NI 51-101"). Boe may be misleading, particularly
if used in isolation.
References in this press release to "crude oil" or "oil" refers
to light, medium and heavy crude oil product types as defined by NI
51-101. References to "NGL" throughout this press release comprise
pentane, butane, propane, and ethane, being all NGL as defined by
NI 51-101. References to "natural gas" throughout this press
release refers to conventional natural gas as defined by NI
51-101.
The term original oil in place (OOIP) is equivalent to total
petroleum initially in place ("TPIIP"). TPIIP, as defined in the
COGEH, is that quantity of petroleum that is estimated to exist in
naturally occurring accumulations. It includes that quantity of
petroleum that is estimated, as of a given date, to be contained in
known accumulations, prior to production, plus those estimated
quantities in accumulations yet to be discovered. A portion of the
TPIIP is considered undiscovered and there is no certainty that any
portion of such undiscovered resources will be discovered. If
discovered, there is no certainty that it will be commercially
viable to produce any portion of such undiscovered resources. With
respect to the portion of the TPIIP that is considered discovered
resources, there is no certainty that it will be commercially
viable to produce any portion of such discovered resources. A
significant portion of the estimated volumes of TPIIP will never be
recovered. OOIP disclosed herein was internally estimated by the
Company's internal qualified reserves evaluator ("QRE") and
prepared in accordance with NI 51-101 and the COGE Handbook.
"Internally estimated" means an estimate that is derived by the
Company's internal QRE and prepared in accordance with NI 51-101.
Internal estimates contained in this press release were prepared
effective as of January 1, 2024.
References in this press release to peak rates, initial
production rates, IP30 and other short-term production rates are
useful in confirming the presence of hydrocarbons, however such
rates are not determinative of the rates at which such wells will
commence production and decline thereafter and are not indicative
of long-term performance or of ultimate recovery. While
encouraging, readers are cautioned not to place reliance on such
rates in calculating the aggregate production of Tamarack. The
Company cautions that such results should be considered to be
preliminary.
Reserves and Future Net Revenue Disclosure. All reserves
values, future net revenue and ancillary information contained in
this press release are derived from the Reserve Reports unless
otherwise noted. All reserve references in this press release are
"Company gross reserves". Company gross reserves are the Company's
total working interest reserves before the deduction of any
royalties payable by the Company. Estimates of reserves and future
net revenue for individual properties may not reflect the same
level of confidence as estimates of reserves and future net revenue
for all properties, due to the effect of aggregation. There is no
assurance that the forecast price and cost assumptions applied by
GLJ and McDaniel in evaluating Tamarack's reserves will be attained
and variances could be material. All reserves assigned in the
Reserve Reports are located in the Province of Alberta and presented on a consolidated
basis.
All evaluations and summaries of future net revenue are stated
prior to the provision for interest, debt service charges or
general and administrative expenses and after deduction of
royalties, operating costs, estimated well abandonment and
reclamation costs and estimated future capital expenditures. It
should not be assumed that the estimates of future net revenues
presented in the tables below represent the fair market value of
the reserves. The recovery and reserve estimates of crude oil,
natural gas liquids and natural gas reserves provided herein are
estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated
reserves will be recovered. Actual crude oil, natural gas and
natural gas liquids reserves may be greater than or less than the
estimates provided herein. There are numerous uncertainties
inherent in estimating quantities of crude oil, reserves and the
future cash flows attributed to such reserves. The reserve and
associated cash flow information set forth herein are estimates
only.
Proved reserves are those reserves that can be estimated with a
high degree of certainty to be recoverable. It is likely that the
actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated
proved reserves. Probable reserves are those additional reserves
that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves. It is
equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will
be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus
probable reserves. Proved developed producing reserves are those
reserves that are expected to be recovered from completion
intervals open at the time of the estimate. These reserves may be
currently producing or, if shut-in, they must have previously been
on production, and the date of resumption of production must be
known with reasonable certainty. Undeveloped reserves are those
reserves expected to be recovered from known accumulations where a
significant expenditure (e.g., when compared to the cost of
drilling a well) is required to render them capable of production.
They must fully meet the requirements of the reserves category
(proved, probable, possible) to which they are assigned. Certain
terms used in this press release but not defined are defined in NI
51-101, CSA Staff Notice 51-324 – Revised Glossary to NI 51-101,
Revised Glossary to NI 51-101, Standards of Disclosure for Oil and
Gas Activities ("CSA Staff Notice 51-324") and/or the COGEH and,
unless the context otherwise requires, shall have the same meanings
herein as in NI 51-101, CSA Staff Notice 51-324 and the COGEH, as
the case may be.
Resource Disclosure. Tamarack's heavy oil
Clearwater contingent resource and
prospective resource estimates contained herein were derived from
the Resource Report prepared by McDaniel, a qualified independent
resource evaluator, effective as of December
31, 2023 in accordance with the definitions, standards and
procedures contained in NI 51-101 and COGEH. The contingent and
prospective resources estimates of Tamarack's Clearwater heavy oil contingent resources
provided herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that
the estimated prospective and contingent resources will be
recovered. Actual resources may be greater than or less than the
estimates provided herein and the differences may be material.
Tamarack's Statement of Contingent and Prospective Resources dated
February 28, 2024, which has been
filed on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca, includes further disclosure of
Tamarack's contingent and prospective resources, including the
risks and uncertainties related thereto. Contingent resources are
defined as those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given
date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations using
established technology or technology under development, but which
are not currently considered to be commercially recoverable due to
one or more contingencies. Contingencies may include factors such
as economic, legal, environmental, political and regulatory matters
or a lack of markets. It is also appropriate to classify as
"contingent resources" the estimated discovered recoverable
quantities associated with a project in the early project stage.
Contingent resources are further classified in accordance with the
level of certainty associated with the estimates and may be
sub-classified based on project maturity and/or characterized by
their economic status. Prospective resources are those
quantities of bitumen estimated, as of a given date, to be
potentially recoverable from undiscovered accumulations by
application of future development projects. Prospective resources
have both an associated chance of discovery and a chance of
development. Prospective resources are further subdivided in
accordance with the level of certainty associated with recoverable
estimates, assuming their discovery and development, and may be
subclassified based on project maturity. Estimates of prospective
resources have not been adjusted for risk based on the chance of
discovery or the chance of development. Resources are classified
according to degree of certainty associated with those estimates.
In this press release, "best estimate" classification is used which
is considered to be the best estimate of the quantity of resources
that will actually be recovered. It is equally likely that the
actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than
the best estimate. Those resources identified as best estimate have
a 50 percent probability that the actual quantities recovered will
equal or exceed the estimate.
Oil and Gas Metrics. This press release contains metrics
commonly used in the oil and natural gas industry, such as
development capital, F&D costs, FD&A costs and recycle
ratio.
"Development capital" means the aggregate exploration and
development costs incurred in the financial year on reserves that
are categorized as development. Development capital presented
herein excludes land and capitalized administration costs but
includes the cost of acquisitions and capital associated with
acquisitions where reserve additions are attributed to the
acquisitions.
"Finding and development costs" or "F&D costs" are
calculated as the sum of field capital plus the change in FDC for
the period divided by the change in reserves that are characterized
as development for the period and "finding, development and
acquisition costs" are calculated as the sum of field capital plus
acquisition capital plus the change in FDC for the period divided
by the change in total reserves, other than from production, for
the period. Both finding and development costs and finding
development and acquisition costs take into account reserves
revisions during the year on a per boe basis. The aggregate of the
exploration and development costs incurred in the financial year
and changes during that year in estimated future development costs
generally will not reflect total finding and development costs
related to reserves additions for that year. Finding and
development costs both including and excluding acquisitions and
dispositions have been presented in this press release because
acquisitions and dispositions can have a significant impact on
Tamarack's ongoing reserves replacements costs and excluding these
amounts could result in an inaccurate portrayal of the Company's
cost structure.
"Finding, development and acquisition costs" or "FD&A costs"
incorporate the change in FDC required to bring proved undeveloped
and developed reserves into production. In all cases, the FD&A
number is calculated by dividing the identified capital
expenditures by the applicable reserves additions after changes in
FDC costs.
"Recycle ratio" is measured by dividing the operating netback
for the applicable period by F&D cost per boe for the year. The
recycle ratio compares netback from existing reserves to the cost
of finding new reserves and may not accurately indicate the
investment success unless the replacement reserves are of
equivalent quality as the produced reserves.
These terms have been calculated by management and do not have a
standardized meaning and may not be comparable to similar measures
presented by other companies, and therefore should not be used to
make such comparisons. Management uses these oil and gas metrics
for its own performance measurements and to provide shareholders
with measures to compare Tamarack's operations over time. Readers
are cautioned that the information provided by these metrics, or
that can be derived from the metrics presented in this press
release, should not be relied upon for investment or other
purposes.
Forward Looking Information
This press release contains certain forward-looking information
(collectively referred to herein as "forward-looking statements")
within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws.
Forward-looking statements are often, but not always, identified by
the use of words such as "guidance", "outlook", "anticipate",
"target", "plan", "continue", "intend", "consider", "estimate",
"expect", "may", "will", "should", "could" or similar words
suggesting future outcomes. More particularly, this press release
contains statements concerning: Tamarack's business strategy,
objectives, strength and focus, including the Company's five-year
plan; future consolidation activity, organic growth and development
and portfolio rationalization; the Company's exploration and
development plans and strategies; future intentions with respect to
debt repayment and reduction and the Company's ROC framework,
including enhanced dividends and share buybacks; the Company's
plans to reduce H1 2024 spending in an equivalent amount to
Tamarack's acceleration of 2024 spending; oil and natural gas
production levels, adjusted funds flow and free funds flow;
anticipated operational results for 2024 including, but not limited
to, estimated or anticipated production levels (including in
respect of Tamarack's 2024 production guidance, which is maintained
at the 61,000 to 63,000 boe/d range), capital expenditures,
drilling plans and infrastructure initiatives, including on-stream
timing of the new CSV Albright sour gas plant in the Charlie Lake and the expansion o the
Wembley gas plant and anticipated
margin improvements; the Company's capital program, guidance and
two-phase budget for 2024 and the funding thereof; expectations
regarding commodity prices; the performance characteristics of the
Company's oil and natural gas properties; decline rates and EOR,
including waterflood initiatives and long term net asset value
capture; the continued successful integration of acquired assets;
the ability of the Company to achieve drilling success consistent
with management's expectations, including leveraging the "Fan" well
design; risk management activities; ARO reduction; risk
management activities, including hedging positions and targets;
Tamarack's continued capital flexibility under its 2024
capital program and expectation that this will not impact 2024
production guidance; Tamarack's commitment to ESG principles and
sustainability, including gas conservation projects, emissions
reductions and carbon tax savings; and the source of funding for
the Company's activities including development costs. Future
dividend payments and share buybacks, if any, and the level
thereof, are uncertain, as the Company's return of capital
framework and the funds available for such activities from time to
time is dependent upon, among other things, free funds flow
financial requirements for the Company's operations and the
execution of its growth strategy, fluctuations in working capital
and the timing and amount of capital expenditures, debt service
requirements and other factors beyond the Company's control.
Further, the ability of Tamarack to pay dividends and buyback
shares will be subject to applicable laws (including the
satisfaction of the solvency test contained in applicable corporate
legislation) and contractual restrictions contained in the
instruments governing its indebtedness, including its credit
facility. In addition, statements related to "reserves",
"contingent resources" and "prospective resources" are deemed to be
forward-looking information as they involve the implied assessment,
based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the resources can
be discovered and profitably produced in the future.
The forward-looking statements contained in this document are
based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by Tamarack,
including those relating to: the business plan of Tamarack; the
timing of and success of future drilling, development and
completion activities; the geological characteristics of Tamarack's
properties; the continued successful integration of acquired assets
into Tamarack's operations; prevailing commodity prices, price
volatility, price differentials and the actual prices received for
the Company's products; the availability and performance of
drilling rigs, facilities, pipelines and other oilfield services,
including TMX expansion onstream timing; the timing of past
operations and activities in the planned areas of focus; the
drilling, completion and tie-in of wells being completed as
planned; the performance of new and existing wells; the application
of existing drilling and fracturing techniques; prevailing weather
and break-up conditions; royalty regimes and exchange rates; impact
of inflation on costs; the application of regulatory and licensing
requirements; the continued availability of capital and skilled
personnel; the ability to maintain or grow the banking facilities;
the accuracy of Tamarack's geological interpretation of its
drilling and land opportunities, including the ability of seismic
activity to enhance such interpretation; and Tamarack's ability to
execute its plans and strategies.
Although management considers these assumptions to be reasonable
based on information currently available, undue reliance should not
be placed on the forward-looking statements because Tamarack can
give no assurances that they may prove to be correct. By their very
nature, forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and
uncertainties (both general and specific) that could cause actual
events or outcomes to differ materially from those anticipated or
implied by such forward-looking statements. These risks and
uncertainties include, but are not limited to: risks with respect
to unplanned third party pipeline outages and risks relating to
inclement and severe weather events and natural disasters, such as
fire, drought and flooding, including in respect of safety, asset
integrity and shutting-in production, maintaining 2024 guidance and
resumption of operations; risks with respect to unplanned
third-party pipeline outages; the risk that future dividend
payments thereunder are reduced, suspended or cancelled; unforeseen
difficulties in integrating of recently acquired assets into
Tamarack's operations; incorrect assessments of the value of
benefits to be obtained from acquisitions and exploration and
development programs; risks associated with the oil and gas
industry in general (e.g. operational risks in development,
exploration and production; and delays or changes in plans with
respect to exploration or development projects or capital
expenditures); commodity prices, including the impact of the
actions of OPEC and OPEC+ members; the uncertainty of estimates and
projections relating to production, cash generation, costs and
expenses, including increased operating and capital costs due to
inflationary pressures; health, safety, litigation and
environmental risks; access to capital; and pandemics. In addition,
ongoing military actions between Russia and Ukraine and the recent crisis in Israel and Gaza have the potential to threaten the supply
of oil and gas from those regions. The long-term impacts of the
actions between these nations remains uncertain. Due to the nature
of the oil and natural gas industry, drilling plans and operational
activities may be delayed or modified to respond to market
conditions, results of past operations, regulatory approvals or
availability of services causing results to be delayed. Please
refer to the AIF for the year ended December
31, 2023 and the MD&A for the period ended December 31, 2023 for additional risk factors
relating to Tamarack, which can be accessed either on Tamarack's
website at www.tamarackvalley.ca or under the Company's profile on
www.sedarplus.ca. The forward-looking statements contained in this
press release are made as of the date hereof and the Company does
not undertake any obligation to update publicly or to revise any of
the included forward-looking statements, except as required by
applicable law. The forward-looking statements contained herein are
expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.
This press release contains future-oriented financial
information and financial outlook information (collectively,
"FOFI") about generating sustainable long-term growth in free
funds, dividends and share buybacks, prospective results of
operations and production (including annual average production,
average oil & NGL weighting), oil weightings, hedging,
operating costs, 2024 capital guidance, 2024 annual base budget
guidance and budget pricing, 2024 two-phase capital budget and
expenditures, decline rates, 2024 carbon tax, recycle ratios,
balance sheet strength, adjusted funds flow and free funds flow,
net debt, debt repayments, total returns and components thereof,
all of which are subject to the same assumptions, risk factors,
limitations and qualifications as set forth in the above
paragraphs. FOFI contained in this document was approved by
management as of the date of this document and was provided for the
purpose of providing further information about Tamarack's future
business operations. Tamarack and its management believe that FOFI
has been prepared on a reasonable basis, reflecting management's
best estimates and judgments, and represent, to the best of
management's knowledge and opinion, the Company's expected course
of action. However, because this information is highly subjective,
it should not be relied on as necessarily indicative of future
results. Tamarack disclaims any intention or obligation to update
or revise any FOFI contained in this document, whether as a result
of new information, future events or otherwise, unless required
pursuant to applicable law. Readers are cautioned that the FOFI
contained in this document should not be used for purposes other
than for which it is disclosed herein. Changes in forecast
commodity prices, differences in the timing of capital
expenditures, and variances in average production estimates can
have a significant impact on the key performance measures included
in Tamarack's guidance. The Company's actual results may differ
materially from these estimates.
Specified Financial Measures
This press release includes various specified financial
measures, including non-IFRS financial measures, non-IFRS financial
ratios, capital management measures and supplemental financial
measures as further described herein. These measures do not have a
standardized meaning prescribed by International Financial
Reporting Standards ("IFRS") and, therefore, may not be comparable
with the calculation of similar measures by other companies.
"Adjusted funds flow (capital management measure)" is
calculated by taking cash-flow from operating activities, on a
periodic basis, deducting current income tax expense and interest
expense (excluding fees) and adding back income tax paid, interest
paid, changes in non-cash working capital, expenditures on
decommissioning obligations and transaction costs settled during
the applicable period. since Tamarack believes the timing of
collection, payment or incurrence of these items is variable.
Management believes adjusting for estimated current income taxes
and interest in the period expensed is a better indication of the
adjusted funds generated by the Company. Expenditures on
decommissioning obligations may vary from period to period
depending on capital programs and the maturity of the Company's
operating areas. Expenditures on decommissioning obligations are
managed through the capital budgeting process which considers
available adjusted funds flow. Tamarack uses adjusted funds flow as
a key measure to demonstrate the Company's ability to generate
funds to repay debt, pay dividends and fund future capital
investment. Adjusted funds flow per share is calculated using the
same weighted average basic and diluted shares that are used in
calculating income per share, which results in the measure being
considered a supplemental financial measure. Adjusted funds flow
can also be calculated on a per boe basis, which results in the
measure being considered a supplemental financial measure.
"Free funds flow (capital management measure)" is
calculated by taking adjusted funds flow and subtracting capital
expenditures, excluding acquisitions and dispositions. Management
believes that free funds flow provides a useful measure to
determine Tamarack's ability to improve returns and to manage the
long-term value of the business.
"Free funds flow breakeven (capital management
measure)" (previously referred to as "free adjusted
funds flow breakeven") is determined by calculating the minimum WTI
price in US/bbl required to generate free funds flow equal to zero,
sustaining current production levels and all other variables held
constant. Management believes that free funds flow breakeven
provides a useful measure to establish corporate financial
sustainability.
"Net debt (capital management measure)" is
calculated as credit facilities plus senior unsecured notes, plus
deferred acquisition payment notes, plus working capital surplus or
deficiency, plus other liability, including the fair value of
cross-currency swaps, plus government loans, plus facilities
acquisition payments, less notes receivable and excluding the
current portion of fair value of financial instruments,
decommissioning obligations, lease liabilities and the cash award
incentive plan liability.
"Net Production Expenses, Revenue, net of blending expense,
Operating Netback and Operating Field Netback (Non-IFRS Financial
Measures, and Non-IFRS Financial Ratios if calculated on a per boe
basis)" – Management uses certain industry benchmarks, such as
net production expenses, revenue, net of blending expense,
operating netback and operating field netback, to analyze financial
and operating performance. Net production expenses are determined
by deducting processing income primarily generated by processing
third party volumes at processing facilities where the Company has
an ownership interest. Under IFRS this source of funds is
required to be reported as income. Where the Company has excess
capacity at one of its facilities, it will process third party
volumes as a means to reduce the cost of operating/owning the
facility, and as such third-party processing revenue is netted
against production expenses in the MD&A. Blending expense
includes the cost of blending diluent purchased to reduce the
viscosity of our heavy oil transported through pipelines to meet
pipeline specifications. The blending expense represents the
difference between the cost of purchasing and transporting the
diluent and the realized price of the blended product sold. In the
MD&A, blending expense is recognized as a reduction to heavy
oil revenues, whereas blending expense is reported as an expense in
the financial statements. Operating netback equals total petroleum
and natural gas sales (net of blending), including realized gains
and losses on commodity and foreign exchange derivative contracts,
less royalties, net production expenses and transportation expense.
Operating field netback equals total petroleum and natural gas
sales, less royalties, net production expenses and transportation
expense. These metrics can also be calculated on a per boe basis,
which results in them being considered a non-IFRS financial ratio.
Management considers operating netback and operating field netback
important measures to evaluate Tamarack's operational performance,
as it demonstrates field level profitability relative to current
commodity prices.
Please refer to the MD&A for additional information relating
to specified financial measures including non-IFRS financial
measures, non-IFRS financial ratios and capital management
measures. The MD&A can be accessed either on Tamarack's website
at www.tamarackvalley.ca or under the Company's profile on
www.sedarplus.ca.
SOURCE Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd.