Market Analysis: How Will Mt. Gox’s Bitcoin Distribution Affect Crypto Prices?
31 Maggio 2024 - 8:30PM
NEWSBTC
As the defunct cryptocurrency exchange Mt. Gox prepares to
distribute around $9 billion worth of Bitcoin, some investors are
worried about the potential impact on prices. However, industry
experts and major creditors believe that any short-term volatility
will be outweighed by BTC’s long-term bullish prospects. With
the approval of US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), many
market experts anticipate that the market will absorb the newly
available tokens. Bitcoin Optimism Among Market Participants
As reported by our sister website, Bitcoinist, Mt. Gox’s Japanese
trustee, Nobuaki Kobayashi, recently announced plans to start
distributing Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash to creditors. The
process is expected to commence shortly, with most claimants set to
receive their tokens before the end of October. However, concerns
have emerged regarding the impact of this large-scale distribution
on Bitcoin’s price. According to Bloomberg, significant creditors
and long-time market participants remain confident in Bitcoin’s
resilience despite concerns. Many intend to retain the distributed
coins, anticipating continued price appreciation. Related
Reading: Ethereum Bloodbath: Over $55 Million In Longs Liquidated
As Price Plummets Adam Back, CEO of blockchain technology company
Blockstream and a creditor himself, emphasizes the “illogicality”
of selling at the beginning of a potential bull market. Back
suggests that waiting further, after a decade-long wait, could
yield even greater returns. According to the firm’s CEO Brian
Dixon, other creditors, such as Off the Chain Capital, plan to sell
Bitcoin only when “better investment opportunities arise,”
recognizing Bitcoin’s historical performance as the best-performing
asset in recent years. Dixon further highlights the significant
maturation of the Bitcoin market since Mt. Gox’s bankruptcy. He
argues that the potential impact of the distribution, although
substantial in volume, is unlikely to have a lasting effect on
prices. Cosmo Jiang, a portfolio manager at Pantera Capital,
notes that while the amount is significant, the distribution will
occur over an extended period, making it less actionable regarding
market impact. With around $26.6 billion in daily Bitcoin trading,
the distributed tokens are expected to be absorbed without major
disruption. BCH Sales In Mt. Gox Distribution? Creditors do not
anticipate a simultaneous distribution of tokens to all claimants.
Instead, they expect the trustee to distribute the coins in
tranches, potentially prioritizing earlier-filed claims. This
approach may mitigate any immediate market pressure.
Moreover, Galaxy Research estimates that credit funds, holding
approximately 20,000 BTC, are unlikely to engage in significant
selling. Instead, they are expected to distribute the Bitcoin to
their limited partners (LPs) in kind. While BTC is anticipated to
weather the distribution without major consequences, Bitcoin Cash
(BCH) may face more pressure due to its lower ideological
commitment from holders. Alex Thorn, head of research at
Galaxy, suggests that individual creditors owed the majority of
tokens to be distributed this year, will likely be the primary
source of sales, with some opting to sell their Bitcoin Cash.
Related Reading: Near Protocol Breaks Out From Wedge Pattern: Why
This Could Trigger A 37% Crash In summary, as Mt. Gox prepares to
distribute billions of dollars worth of BTC, industry experts and
major creditors remain optimistic, citing the maturity of the
Bitcoin market, the potential for continued price appreciation, and
the availability of newly approved ETFs. While short-term
volatility is possible, most stakeholders are confident that
Bitcoin’s long-term prospects will outweigh any immediate market
impact. As of press time, the largest cryptocurrency on the
market is trading at $67,900, representing a 1.3% price drop over
the past 24 hours. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart
from TradingView.com
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