
9th April 2024
Pantheon
Resources plc
Kodiak field resource
upgraded 25% to 1.2 billion barrels of recoverable liquids by
NSAI
Pantheon Resources plc (AIM: PANR)
("Pantheon" or "the Company"), the oil and gas company with a 100%
working interest in the Kodiak and Ahpun projects, covered by
193,000 acres of leases with an additional c. 66,000 acres to be
awarded following successful bids in the December 2023 lease sales,
all in close proximity to pipeline and transportation
infrastructure on Alaska's North Slope, is pleased to share the
results of the updated Independent Expert Report ("IER") by
Netherland Sewell & Associates, Inc. ("NSAI"). This update
includes approximately 43,000 acres of the leases on which the
Company was the successful bidder in December 20231, located on its 100% owned Kodiak Field on the
North Slope of Alaska.
Highlights
· NSAI's best
estimates of Kodiak's contingent recoverable resources sum to 1.2
billion barrels of marketable liquids (oil, condensate and natural
gas liquids) and 5.4 trillion cubic feet of gas ("tcf").
· The new resource
represents a 25% increase (963 to 1,208 million barrels ("mmbbls"))
in recoverable marketable liquids compared to NSAI's previous 2023
report.
· The updated
numbers include c. 43,000 of the c. 66,000 acres of the expanded
acreage footprint post the successful lease bids in December
20231, and a higher average recovery rate due to the
better reservoir properties in the shallower, updip portion of the
field secured by the new leases.
· Kodiak is a large
basin floor fan accumulation with three well penetrations. Recent
drilling activity and acreage acquisition strategy has focused on
moving structurally higher into better reservoir rocks where
porosity and permeability are substantially improved.
· The potential
improvement in reservoir quality in the newly acquired acreage
underpins the c. 40% increase in the high estimate of recoverable
resources to 2,840 mmbbls of marketable liquids and 11.75 tcf of
natural gas.
· The 5.4 tcf of
recoverable gas (Best Case) is important as additional
support for a proposed agreement with
Alaska Gasline Development Corp ("AGDC") to bring gas to
southcentral Alaska markets.
NSAI Contingent Resource estimate
Gross 100% Working Interest
Contingent Resources
Resource Category
|
Oil
(million
bbls)
|
NGLs
(million
bbls)
|
Residual
Gas
(BCF)
|
|
Total Marketable
Liquids*
(million
bbls)
|
Low Estimate (1C)
|
168.5
|
299.9
|
2,151.7
|
|
468.3
|
Best Estimate (2C)
|
425.8
|
782.1
|
5,396.3
|
|
1,207.9
|
High Estimate (3C)
|
1,029.7
|
1,811.6
|
11,748.6
|
|
2,814.3
|
The Kodiak oil and gas field
currently represents Pantheon's largest project development
candidate, currently defined by three well penetrations into the
Basin Floor Fan structure, which extends more than 10 miles from
the deepest part of the fan to the 2021 updip Theta West-1
appraisal well. The additional recent successful lease bids secure
the remainder of the accumulation to the northwest and adds a
significant volume of recoverable oil and gas to the Kodiak field.
Pantheon has been able to delineate the full extent of the field
through its proprietary 3D seismic where seismic attributes have
clearly indicated the presence of light oil across the entirety of
the field.
NSAI estimated an increased average
recovery factor of 8% across the field for liquids due to
expectations of substantially improved porosity and permeability in
the northwest, updip portion of the field. Recovery factors for gas
are in the range of 30-40%, based on primary recovery only.
Pantheon believes these recovery factors may increase further once
supported by drilling data in the northwest portion of the
acreage.
The updip extensions of the Kodiak
field are more analogous to producing fields, including Tarn and
Meltwater. Future appraisal drilling will focus on the shallower,
better quality reservoir sections to demonstrate the validity of
increased recovery factors and production performance.
The NSAI updated report on Kodiak is
one of several IERs being prepared for Pantheon as it progresses
funding options for its projects. To expedite a more rapid
completion of these reports, Pantheon commissioned IERs for (the
shallower) Ahpun Topsets and (the deeper) Alkaid Zone from Cawley
Gillespie & Associates ("CGA") and Lee Keeling & Associates
("LKA") respectively. These reports are expected over the next
month and are integral to financing discussions.
1 The Company has paid an
initial 20% deposit to the State of Alaska with the remainder
payable on official award of the new leases which is anticipated
this quarter
The NSAI report can be found
at www.pantheonresources.com
Pantheon will be hosting an Investor
Meet Company webinar at 5.00pm BST on Wednesday April
10th. Those wishing to participate can register through
the following link:
https://www.investormeetcompany.com/pantheon-resources-plc/register-investor
David Hobbs, Executive Chairman of Pantheon Resources,
commented:
"The underpinning of our strategy with the validation provided
by NSAI is an important step on the path to our 2028 goal of
demonstrating values in the range $5-$10 per barrel of recoverable
resource. Recent progress towards securing funding, include
leveraging our natural gas resources - potentially turning them
from a liability to an asset - allows us to move forward with
increased confidence. I would like to take the opportunity to
congratulate Jay and his team on putting the building blocks in
place to deliver our ultimate success."
Bob
Rosenthal, Technical Director of Pantheon
commented:
"This NSAI report reveals the true scale of the Kodiak Field
now that we have secured leases over its full extent. The potential
upside is vast - NSAI recognise a high estimate in excess of 2.8
billion barrels of recoverable marketable liquids and nearly 12
trillion cubic feet of recoverable natural gas. As we drill wells
and obtain additional data, our goal is to progressively move the
'best case estimate' towards NSAI's 'high case estimate' over
time.
"Discovering a billion-barrel oil accumulation is what
companies dream about and the Independent Expert Report by NSAI
validates our Company's significant achievements over the past
decade. We can now turn our attention to development, along with
our growing Ahpun resource, to turn these volumes to cashflow and
value for shareholders."
NSAI
Contingencies
|
Plan
to Address the Contingencies
|
1. Acquisition of
additional technical data that demonstrate producing rates and
volumes sufficient to sustain economic viability across the
acreage
|
·
Creating a development model for Pantheon's entire
project area that encompasses both Kodiak and Ahpun
·
At Kodiak, the Company believes it will require 2
or 3 more appraisal wells with whole cores, full suites of electric
logs, and longer production test data than was acquired at both the
Talitha-A or Theta West-1 wells
|
2. Approval of a field
development plan and regulatory permits
|
·
A field development plan will be supported by
dynamic modelling carried out by SLB and the Pantheon
team
·
The Company has embarked on the relevant
regulatory processes for Ahpun and will, in due course begin the
process for Kodiak with a goal to achieve FID for Kodiak by the end
of 2028
|
3. Demonstration of
viable gas and water utilization or disposal methods
|
·
Pantheon will reinject any excess gas that isn't
consumed as fuel in field operations or marketed to consumers in
southcentral Alaska
·
Water produced will be reinjected into the
original formation or other strata
|
4. Demonstration of the
ability to market oil and natural gas liquids (NGL) and
|
·
The Company sold 10,000 barrels of oil from
Alkaid-2 production in 2023
·
Legacy fields on North Slope co-mingle their
condensates and NGLs into TAPS
|
5. Commitment to fund
and complete the development project
|
·
Pantheon will only proceed with development FID
when it has secured funding
|
In accordance with the AIM Rules -
Note for Mining and Oil & Gas Companies - June 2009, the
information contained in this announcement has been reviewed and
signed off by David Hobbs, a qualified Petroleum Engineer and a
member of the Society of Petroleum Engineers, who has nearly 40
years' relevant experience within the sector.
The estimates in the Kodiak NSAI IER
have been prepared in accordance with definitions and guidelines
set forth in the 2018 Petroleum Resource Management System (PRMS)
approved by the Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE).
The information contained within this
Announcement is deemed by Pantheon Resources PLC to constitute
inside information as stipulated under the Market Abuse Regulation
(EU) No. 596/2014 as it forms part of UK law by virtue of the
European Union (Withdrawal) Act 2018 ("MAR").
Further information, please contact:
Pantheon Resources plc
|
+44 20 7484 5361
|
David Hobbs, Executive
Chairman
Jay Cheatham,
Chief Executive Officer
|
|
Justin Hondris, Director, Finance
and Corporate Development
|
|
|
|
|
|
Canaccord Genuity
plc (Nominated Adviser and broker)
|
+44 20 7523 8000
|
Henry Fitzgerald-O'Connor
James Asensio
Ana Ercegovic
|
|
|
|
BlytheRay
|
+44 20 7138 3204
|
Tim Blythe
Megan Ray
Matthew Bowld
|
|
Notes to Editors
Pantheon Resources plc is an AIM
listed Oil & Gas company focused on developing the Ahpun and
Kodiak fields located on state land on the Alaska North Slope
("ANS"), onshore USA, where it has a 100% working interest in c.
193,000 acres. In December 2023, Pantheon was the successful bidder
for an additional 66,240 acres with very significant resource
potential, contiguous to the Ahpun and Kodiak projects. Following
the issue of the new leases, which are expected to be formally
awarded in summer 2024 upon payment of the balance of the
application monies, the Company will have a 100% working interest
in c. 259,000 acres. Certified contingent resources attributable to
these projects are currently around 1.3 billion barrels of
marketable liquids, located adjacent to Alaska's Trans Alaska
Pipeline System ("TAPS") with additional IERs expected within the
next month.
Pantheon's stated objective is to
demonstrate sustainable market recognition of a value of $5-$10/bbl
of recoverable resources by end 2028. This is based on targeting
Final Investment Decision ("FID") on the Ahpun field by the end of
2025, subject to regulatory approvals, building production to at
least 20,000 barrels per day of marketable liquids into the TAPS
main oil line, and applying the resultant cashflows to support the
FID on the Kodiak field by the end of 2028.
A major differentiator to other ANS
projects is the close proximity to existing roads and pipelines
which offers a significant competitive advantage to Pantheon,
allowing for materially lower infrastructure costs and the ability
to support the development with a significantly lower pre-cashflow
funding requirement than is typical in Alaska.
The Company's project portfolio has
been endorsed by world renowned experts. Netherland, Sewell &
Associates ("NSAI") estimate a 2C contingent recoverable resource
in the Kodiak project that total 1,208 million barrels of
marketable liquids and 5,396 billion cubic feet of natural gas.
Cawley Gillespie & Associates and Lee Keeling & Associates
are working on estimates for the Ahpun Field Topset and Alkaid
horizons.
Glossary
Bbls: barrels
Contingent
Resource: Those quantities of petroleum
estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from
known accumulations by application of development projects, but
which are not currently considered to be commercially recoverable
owing to one or more contingencies.
For Contingent Resources, the
general cumulative terms low/best/high estimates are used to
estimate the resulting 1C/2C/3C quantities, respectively. The terms
C1, C2, and C3 are defined for incremental quantities of Contingent
Resources:
A. C1: Denotes low
estimate of Contingent Resources. C1 is equal to 1C.
B. C2: Denotes
Contingent Resources of same technical confidence as Probable, but
not commercially matured to Reserves.
C. C3: Denotes
Contingent Resources of same technical confidence as Possible, but
not commercially matured to Reserves.
When the range of uncertainty is
represented by a probability distribution, a low, best, and high
estimate shall
be provided such that:
A. There should be
at least a 90% probability (P90) that the quantities actually
recovered will equal or exceed the low estimate.
B. There should be
at least a 50% probability (P50) that the quantities actually
recovered will equal or exceed the best estimate.
C. There should be
at least a 10% probability (P10) that the quantities actually
recovered will equal or exceed the high estimate.
The project maturity subclass for
these contingent resources is development
unclarified.
Development Unclarified
is a discovered accumulation where project
activities are under evaluation and where justification as a
commercial development is unknown based on available
information.
NGLs: Natural
gas liquids (NGL) are components of natural gas that are separated
from the gas state in the form of liquids.
Overriding Royalty Interest
(ORRI): A royalty granted to a third party
other than the royalty payable to the State of Alaska.
Working Interest: The legal ownership of the leases awarded by
the State of
Alaska. Pantheon's Net Revenue Interest (NRI) in the leases is less
than 100% by virtue of royalties payable to the State and any ORRI.
In the case of the Kodiak project, the State royalties vary between
12.5% and 16.67%. Management estimates that the average NRI is
approximately 85%.