Shell accelerates strategy to deliver more value with less
emissions
March 25, 2025 – Shell (LON/NYSE: SHEL, AMST:
SHELL) will today present to investors at its Capital Markets Day
2025 the next steps in the execution of its strategy. Shell is
strengthening its commitment to value creation and maintaining its
focus on performance, discipline and simplification.
‘’We have made significant progress against all of the targets
we set out at our Capital Markets Day in 2023. Thanks to the
outstanding efforts of our people, we are transforming Shell to
become simpler, more resilient and more competitive,’’ said CEO
Wael Sawan. ‘‘We want to become the world’s leading integrated gas
and LNG business and the most customer-focused energy marketer and
trader, while sustaining a material level of liquids production.
Today we are raising the bar across our key financial targets,
investing where we have competitive strengths and delivering more
for our shareholders.’’
Today Shell announces that it will:
- Enhance shareholder distributions from 30-40% to 40-50% of cash
flow from operations (CFFO) through the cycle1, continuing to
prioritise share buybacks2, while maintaining a 4% per annum
progressive dividend policy.
- Increase the structural cost reduction target from $2-3 billion
by the end of 2025 to a cumulative $5-7 billion by the end of 2028,
compared to 20221.
- Invest for growth while maintaining capital discipline, with
spend lowered to $20-22 billion per year for 2025-20281.
- Grow free cash flow3 (FCF) per share by more than 10% per year
through to 20301.
- Maintain the climate targets and ambition set out in Shell’s
Energy Transition Strategy 2024.
To deliver more value with less emissions Shell will:
- Reinforce our leadership position in liquefied natural gas
(LNG) by growing sales by 4-5% per year through to 2030.
- Grow top line production across our combined Upstream and
Integrated Gas business by 1% per year to 2030, sustaining our 1.4
million barrels per day of liquids production to 2030 with
increasingly lower carbon intensity.
- Drive cash flow resilience and higher returns in our Downstream
and Renewables & Energy Solutions businesses:
- Pursue focused growth in our high-return Mobility and
Lubricants businesses.
- Leverage competitive strengths to drive profitable and scalable
businesses across our lower carbon platforms, where we expect to
have up to 10% of capital employed by 2030.
- Unlock more value from our strong portfolio of Chemicals assets
by exploring strategic and partnership opportunities in the US, and
both high-grading and selective closures in Europe, enabling the
business to prosper whilst improving returns and reducing capital
employed by 2030.
Shell will continue to deliver more value with less emissions,
growing in areas where we have competitive strengths, and providing
a compelling investment case for our shareholders, now, and into
the future.
Notes to editors:
- Shell’s Energy Transition Strategy 2024 can be found
here https://www.shell.com/sustainability/our-climate-target/shell-energy-transition-strategy.html
- Shell’s 2024 Annual report and Accounts, which includes
progress against our targets, can be found
here https://www.shell.com/investors/results-and-reporting/annual-report
- For more information and access to the webcast of Shell’s
Capital Markets Day 2025 presentation starting at 13:00 GMT (09:00
EDT, 14:00 CET) visit the investor page of our
website www.shell.com/cmd25
- Shell’s lower carbon platforms include low carbon fuels, carbon
capture and storage and hydrogen as well as power which includes
renewable and gas fired power generation.
1 Non-GAAP measure, for reconciliations see
www.shell.com/cmd25 this includes the definition of cash capex
which in 2024 was $21 billion compared to a range of $22-25 billion
per year as announced at CMD23.
2 Subject to Board approval as well as shareholder
approval at the 2025 Annual General Meeting.
3 Price normalised organic free cashflow, excluding
working capital and derivative movements.
Cautionary Note
The companies in which Shell plc directly and indirectly owns
investments are separate legal entities. In this announcement
“Shell”, “Shell Group” and “Group” are sometimes used for
convenience to reference Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general.
Likewise, the words “we”, “us” and “our” are also used to refer to
Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general or to those who work for
them. These terms are also used where no useful purpose is served
by identifying the particular entity or entities. ‘‘Subsidiaries’’,
“Shell subsidiaries” and “Shell companies” as used in this
announcement refer to entities over which Shell plc either directly
or indirectly has control. The terms “joint venture”, “joint
operations”, “joint arrangements”, and “associates” may also be
used to refer to a commercial arrangement in which Shell has a
direct or indirect ownership interest with one or more parties.
The term “Shell interest” is used for convenience to indicate
the direct and/or indirect ownership interest held by Shell in an
entity or unincorporated joint arrangement, after exclusion of all
third-party interest.
This announcement contains forward-looking statements (within
the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of
1995) concerning the financial condition, results of operations and
businesses of Shell. All statements other than statements of
historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking
statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future
expectations that are based on management’s current expectations
and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and
uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or
events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in
these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other
things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Shell to
market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations,
beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These
forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and
phrases such as “aim”; “ambition”; ‘‘anticipate’’; “aspire”,
“aspiration”, ‘‘believe’’; “commit”; “commitment”; ‘‘could’’;
“desire”; ‘‘estimate’’; ‘‘expect’’; ‘‘goals’’; ‘‘intend’’; ‘‘may’’;
“milestones”; ‘‘objectives’’; ‘‘outlook’’; ‘‘plan’’; ‘‘probably’’;
‘‘project’’; ‘‘risks’’; “schedule”; ‘‘seek’’; ‘‘should’’;
‘‘target’’; “vision”; ‘‘will’’; “would” and similar terms and
phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future
operations of Shell and could cause those results to differ
materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements
included in this announcement, including (without limitation): (a)
price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in
demand for Shell’s products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d)
drilling and production results; (e) reserves estimates; (f) loss
of market share and industry competition; (g) environmental and
physical risks, including climate change; (h) risks associated with
the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and
targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such
transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing
countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j)
legislative, judicial, fiscal and regulatory developments including
tariffs and regulatory measures addressing climate change; (k)
economic and financial market conditions in various countries and
regions; (l) political risks, including the risks of expropriation
and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental
entities, delays or advancements in the approval of projects and
delays in the reimbursement for shared costs; (m) risks associated
with the impact of pandemics, regional conflicts, such as the
Russia-Ukraine war and the conflict in the Middle East, and a
significant cyber security, data privacy or IT incident; (n) the
pace of the energy transition; and (o) changes in trading
conditions. No assurance is provided that future dividend payments
will match or exceed previous dividend payments. All
forward-looking statements contained in this announcement are
expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements
contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place
undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Additional risk
factors that may affect future results are contained in Shell plc’s
Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2024 (available at
www.shell.com/investors/news-and-filings/sec-filings.html and
www.sec.gov). These risk factors also expressly qualify all
forward-looking statements contained in this announcement and
should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking
statement speaks only as of the date of this announcement, March
25, 2025. Neither Shell plc nor any of its subsidiaries undertake
any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking
statement as a result of new information, future events or other
information. In light of these risks, results could differ
materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the
forward-looking statements contained in this announcement.
Also, in this announcement we may refer to Shell’s “net carbon
intensity” (NCI), which includes Shell’s carbon emissions from the
production of our energy products, our suppliers’ carbon emissions
in supplying energy for that production and our customers’ carbon
emissions associated with their use of the energy products we sell.
Shell’s NCI also includes the emissions associated with the
production and use of energy products produced by others which
Shell purchases for resale. Shell only controls its own emissions.
The use of the terms Shell’s “net carbon intensity” or NCI is for
convenience only and not intended to suggest these emissions are
those of Shell plc or its subsidiaries.
Shell’s operating plan and outlook are forecasted for a
three-year period and ten-year period, respectively, and are
updated every year. They reflect the current economic environment
and what we can reasonably expect to see over the next three and
ten years. Accordingly, the outlook reflects our Scope 1, Scope 2
and NCI targets over the next ten years. However, Shell’s operating
plan and outlook cannot reflect our 2050 net-zero emissions target,
as this target is outside our planning period. Such future
operating plans and outlooks could include changes to our
portfolio, efficiency improvements and the use of carbon capture
and storage and carbon credits. In the future, as society moves
towards net-zero emissions, we expect Shell’s operating plans and
outlooks to reflect this movement. However, if society is not net
zero in 2050, as of today, there would be significant risk that
Shell may not meet this target.
This announcement may contain certain forward-looking non-GAAP
measures such as adjusted earnings and divestments. We are unable
to provide a reconciliation of these forward-looking non-GAAP
measures to the most comparable GAAP financial measures because
certain information needed to reconcile those non-GAAP measures to
the most comparable GAAP financial measures is dependent on future
events some of which are outside the control of Shell, such as oil
and gas prices, interest rates and exchange rates. Moreover,
estimating such GAAP measures with the required precision necessary
to provide a meaningful reconciliation is extremely difficult and
could not be accomplished without unreasonable effort. Non-GAAP
measures in respect of future periods which cannot be reconciled to
the most comparable GAAP financial measure are calculated in a
manner which is consistent with the accounting policies applied in
Shell plc’s consolidated financial statements. See the document
named “Comparable GAAP measures and non-GAAP measures
reconciliation” available on our Capital Markets Day 2025 page on
shell.com for presentation of the most comparable GAAP measures,
definitions and further details of historic non-GAAP measures and
other metrics used throughout this announcement.
The information presented in this announcement do not reflect IFRS
18, Presentation and Disclosure in Financial Statements (“IFRS
18”), which will be effective from reporting periods beginning on
or after January 1, 2027. IFRS 18 will have no impact on
recognition and measurement. From Shell's initial impact
assessment, it has concluded that the impact will be limited to
disclosure and presentation in the Consolidated Financial
Statements. The primary change will be that the share of profit
from joint ventures and associates will be classified in the
Consolidated Statement of Income under the investing category
(income generated by the investment) instead of the operating
category. As a result of this change, the dividends received from
joint ventures and associates will be reclassified in the
Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows from cash flow from operating
activities to cash flow from investing activities.
The contents of websites referred to in this announcement do not
form part of this announcement.
We may have used certain terms, such as resources, in this
announcement that the United States Securities and Exchange
Commission (SEC) strictly prohibits us from including in our
filings with the SEC. Investors are urged to consider closely the
disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575, available on the SEC
website www.sec.gov.
Contacts:
- Sean Ashley, Company Secretary
- Media: International +44 (0) 207 934 5550; Americas:
https://www.shell.us/about-us/news-and-insights/media/submit-an-inquiry.html
LEI number of Shell plc: 21380068P1DRHMJ8KU70
Classification: Inside Information
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