Bank Shares Drop as Analysts Weigh Brexit Impact
27 Giugno 2016 - 12:00PM
Dow Jones News
By Margot Patrick
LONDON--Shares in U.K. and European banks fell again Monday as
their earlier plans to improve returns looked like pipe dreams
after Thursday's vote by Britons to leave the European Union.
Barclays PLC dropped 10% as analysts assessed the aftershocks of
the vote. Jefferies cut its rating to underperform, saying Brexit
"is a game changer" that presents existential questions around
Barclay's investment bank.
Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC fell 15%, its slow path to
independence from 73% state ownership now seen far in the future.
Stock in Lloyds Banking Group PLC, the U.K.'s dominant mortgage
lender, was down 8%. The government's plan to sell some of the
Lloyds shares it still holds from the financial crisis now appears
unlikely. An offer to retail investors had been slated in the case
of a vote to remain in the EU.
Investors also sought to make sense of how badly insurers and
asset managers will be affected by a Brexit. After double-digit
falls Friday, asset managers Henderson Group PLC and Schroders PLC
were sharply down again Monday, as Citigroup analysts put them in a
"sit this out" category. They cut Henderson's rating to neutral and
said it might not meet its financial targets.
Old worries over capital strength at Aviva PLC also flared up,
pushing its shares 4% lower after a 21% fall Friday. The insurer on
Monday said it has "one of the strongest and most resilient balance
sheets" in the U.K. insurance sector, and analysts said the stock
may have been oversold.
Among the many worries for investors in U.K. banks is over how
they can keep carrying out cost-cutting and business building
programs that relied on more stable economic conditions. In a
statement that did little to calm markets, Chancellor George
Osborne on Monday said the economy "is about as strong as it could
be to confront the challenge our country now faces."
But in a bleak assessment Monday, analysts at Deutsche Bank said
its base case is for U.K. banks' loan growth to be lower, bad loans
higher, and dividends at greater risk as the dust settles from
Thursday's historic decision.
"Political and economic uncertainty is here to stay, and we
expect the coming weeks and month will see significant volatility
in the share prices of U.K. financials and those with U.K.
operations," the analysts wrote.
Write to Margot Patrick at margot.patrick@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
June 27, 2016 05:45 ET (09:45 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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