Danone: Renew Danone starts yielding results ; Solid third quarter,
full year guidance raised
2023 Third-Quarter SalesPress
release – Paris, October 26, 2023
Renew Danone starts yielding
resultsSolid third quarter, full year guidance
raised
-
Net sales reached €6,906m in Q3 2023, up
+6.2% on a like-for-like (LFL) basis, supported by
a sequential improvement in volume/mix (-0.3%) led by EDP
-
Good momentum across the portfolio, with further progress
on Renew Danone agenda:
-
EDP transformation in Europe starts delivering results, with
volume/mix sequentially improving, giving confidence for next
quarters
-
Continued solid dynamics in China led by Medical Nutrition and
Infant Milk Formula; robust growth during peak season for Mizone
confirming turnaround
-
Resilient performance in North America supported by Coffee
Creations and Yogurts
-
Strong broad-based growth in AMEA and Latin America
-
2023 guidance raised:
like-for-like sales growth now expected between +6% and +7% (versus
between +4% and +6% previously); moderate improvement in recurring
operating margin confirmed
|
€ million except % |
Q3 2022 |
Q32023 |
Reported change |
LFL SalesGrowth |
Volume/Mix Growth |
9M2022 |
9M2023 |
Reported change |
LFL SalesGrowth |
Volume/MixGrowth |
|
BY GEOGRAPHICAL ZONE |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Europe |
2,270 |
2,392 |
+5.4% |
+5.1% |
-4.1% |
6,701 |
7,069 |
+5.5% |
+5.9% |
-4.4% |
|
North America1 |
1,813 |
1,747 |
-3.7% |
+3.9% |
-0.2% |
4,953 |
5,164 |
+4.3% |
+6.7% |
-0.7% |
|
China, North Asia & Oceania2 |
940 |
896 |
-4.6% |
+8.4% |
+7.3% |
2,611 |
2,674 |
+2.4% |
+11.0% |
+9.8% |
|
Latin America3 |
757 |
771 |
+2.0% |
+8.2% |
-1.8% |
2,118 |
2,233 |
+5.4% |
+10.4% |
-1.3% |
|
Rest of the World4 |
1,555 |
1,100 |
-29.3% |
+9.7% |
+1.9% |
4,317 |
3,977 |
-7.9% |
+8.3% |
-1.4% |
|
BY CATEGORY |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
EDP |
3,862 |
3,474 |
-10.1% |
+6.3% |
-0.8% |
10,946 |
10,973 |
+0.2% |
+7.2% |
-2.5% |
|
Specialized Nutrition |
2,134 |
2,070 |
-3.0% |
+5.7% |
+0.3% |
6,174 |
6,369 |
+3.2% |
+7.4% |
+1.2% |
|
Waters |
1,338 |
1,362 |
+1.8% |
+7.0% |
-0.2% |
3,580 |
3,775 |
+5.5% |
+9.3% |
+0.6% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL |
7,334 |
6,906 |
-5.8% |
+6.2% |
-0.3% |
20,700 |
21,118 |
+2.0% |
+7.6% |
-0.8% |
|
Antoine de Saint-Affrique: CEO
statement
18 months after the launch of Renew Danone, the
benefits of our strategy are starting to show. This
quarter is the seventh consecutive quarter of delivery, with
sales up +6.2% on a like-for-like basis, notably supported by the
sequential improvement in volume/mix.
We maintain our focus on addressing our
underperformers and investing with discipline behind our winners.
In China, Mizone is now posting several quarters of strong
competitive growth. With EDP Europe, we continue to make sequential
progress with the significant transformation we initiated in Q3
last year. This is now starting to generate results. In Medical
Nutrition we have made several investments which expand our
capacity and increase the reach of our portfolio.
We continue to view our future with confidence,
despite a challenging environment. We raise our full year guidance
and now expect to deliver like-for-like sales growth between +6%
and +7%. We will also keep deploying consistently our business
model and will further increase our reinvestments behind brands and
innovation.
I. 2023 THIRD
QUARTER SALES
In Q3 2023, consolidated sales
stood at €6.9 bn, up +6.2% on a like-for-like basis, led by an
increase of +6.6% from price, and a sequential improvement of
volume/mix, down -0.3%. On a reported basis, sales decreased by
-5.8%, mainly penalized by the strong negative impact from forex
(-7.4%), reflecting the depreciation of the majority of currencies
against the euro. Reported sales were also penalized by a negative
effect from scope (-6.2%), mainly resulting from the
deconsolidation of EDP Russia operations starting from July 2023.
Finally, hyperinflation contributed positively to reported sales
(+1.8%).
Sales by operating segment
In the third quarter, Europe
sales were up +5.1% on a like-for-like basis, with price up +9.2%
and volume/mix down -4.1%. In EDP, the portfolio transformation
starts delivering results, with notably a solid performance of
Actimel, Danone, YoPro and Alpro brands. Specialized Nutrition
delivered resilient growth, while Waters registered further market
shares gains, in a category penalized by poor weather conditions
during the summer season. In North America, sales
were up +3.9% on a like-for-like basis, led by price up +4.0% and
resilient volume/mix (-0.2%). The performance was supported by the
continued strong growth of Coffee Creations and Yogurts, led by
International Delight, Stok and Oikos brands. China, North
Asia & Oceania posted sales growth of +8.4% on a
like-for-like basis, driven by volume/mix up +7.3%, and price up
+1.2%. In China, Specialized Nutrition pursued its revenue mix
rebalancing: in Infant Nutrition, Aptamil delivered another quarter
of solid performance, with continued market share gains, while
Medical Nutrition further strengthened. In Waters, Mizone
registered robust growth during peak season, confirming its
turnaround. Outside China, EDP sales delivered mid-teens growth and
market share gains in Japan, led by functional brands.
Latin America posted sales growth of +8.2% on a
like-for-like basis, with a +10.0% increase in price and a -1.8%
decline in volume/mix, with a broad-based growth across all
geographies and categories. In the Rest of the
World, sales were up +9.7% on a like-for-like basis,
driven by price up +7.7% and volume/mix up +1.9%, notably led by
Specialized Nutrition in South-East Asia and India.
Sales by geography and
category
Q3 2023 |
Europe |
North America |
China/North Asia/Oceania |
AMEA, CIS & Latin America |
Total |
Net sales (€m) |
LFL sales growth (%) |
Net sales (€m) |
LFL sales growth (%) |
Net sales (€m) |
LFL sales growth (%) |
Net sales (€m) |
LFL sales growth (%) |
Net sales (€m) |
LFL sales growth (%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
EDP |
1,067 |
+6.6% |
1,583 |
+4.9% |
90 |
+14.6% |
733 |
+8.0% |
3,474 |
+6.3% |
Specialized Nutrition |
766 |
+3.0% |
92 |
-12.5% |
573 |
+6.5% |
641 |
+11.5% |
2,070 |
+5.7% |
Waters |
560 |
+5.2% |
72 |
+5.3% |
233 |
+10.9% |
498 |
+7.5% |
1,362 |
+7.0% |
Total Company |
2,392 |
+5.1% |
1,747 |
+3.9% |
896 |
+8.4% |
1,871 |
+9.1% |
6,906 |
+6.2% |
9M 2023 |
Europe |
North America |
China/North Asia/Oceania |
AMEA, CIS & Latin America |
Total |
Net sales (€m) |
LFL sales growth (%) |
Net sales (€m) |
LFL sales growth (%) |
Net sales (€m) |
LFL sales growth (%) |
Net sales (€m) |
LFL sales growth (%) |
Net sales (€m) |
LFL sales growth (%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
EDP |
3,219 |
+5.9% |
4,690 |
+7.2% |
270 |
+16.1% |
2,794 |
+8.1% |
10,973 |
+7.2% |
Specialized Nutrition |
2,284 |
+3.0% |
264 |
-5.9% |
1,793 |
+9.4% |
2,028 |
+13.2% |
6,369 |
+7.4% |
Waters |
1,566 |
+10.7% |
210 |
+15.1% |
611 |
+13.9% |
1,387 |
+5.1% |
3,775 |
+9.3% |
Total Company |
7,069 |
+5.9% |
5,164 |
+6.7% |
2,674 |
+11.0% |
6,210 |
+9.0% |
21,118 |
+7.6% |
II. 2023
GUIDANCE
Like-for-like sales growth now expected between
+6% and +7%, versus +4% and +6% previously; moderate improvement in
recurring operating margin confirmed.
III. MAJOR
DEVELOPMENTS OVER THE PERIOD
- July 16, 2023:
Danone has taken note of the decision of the Russian authorities
aiming at placing Danone Russia (EDP) under the temporary external
administration of the Russian Federal Agency for State Property
Management (Rosimushchestvo). On July 18, 2023, the Russian
authorities indicated that the Board of Directors and CEO of Danone
Russia (EDP) had been changed. While Danone no longer retains
control of the management of its EDP operations in Russia, it
remains their legal owner. Danone has accordingly fully
deconsolidated its EDP Russia entities from July 2023. EDP Russia
has therefore been excluded from Danone’s reported data as well as
from the like-for-like perimeter from July 2023.2
IV.
ALTERNATIVE PERFORMANCE MEASURES NOT DEFINED BY IFRS
IAS 29: impact on reported data
Danone has been applying IAS 29 in
hyperinflation countries as defined in IFRS. Adoption of IAS 29 in
hyperinflationary countries requires its non-monetary assets and
liabilities and its income statement to be restated to reflect the
changes in the general pricing power of its functional currency,
leading to a gain or loss on the net monetary position included in
the net income. Moreover, its financial statements are converted
into euros using the closing exchange rate of the relevant
period.
IAS 29: impact on reported data € million except
% |
Q3 2023 |
Sales |
17.7 |
Sales growth (%) |
0.26% |
Breakdown by quarter of 9M 2023 sales after
application of IAS 299M 2023 sales correspond to the addition
of:
- Q3 2023
reported sales;
- Q1 and Q2 2023
sales resulting from the application of IAS 29 until September 30,
2023, to sales of entities in hyperinflation countries (application
of the inflation rate until September 30, 2023, and translation
into euros using the September 30, 2023, closing rate) and provided
in the table below for information (unaudited data)
€ million |
Q1 20231 |
Q2 20232 |
Q3 2023 |
9M 2023 |
Europe |
2,248 |
2,429 |
2,392 |
7,069 |
North America |
1,714 |
1,704 |
1,747 |
5,164 |
China, North Asia & Oceania |
824 |
954 |
896 |
2,674 |
Latin America |
692 |
770 |
771 |
2,233 |
Rest of the World |
1,482 |
1,395 |
1,100 |
3,977 |
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
6,960 |
7,251 |
6,906 |
21,118 |
1Results from the application of IAS 29 until
September 30, 2023, to Q1 sales of entities of hyperinflation
countries. 2Results from the application of IAS 29 until September
30, 2023, to Q2 sales of entities of hyperinflation countries.
Financial indicators not defined in
IFRS
Due to rounding, the sum of values presented may
differ from totals as reported. Such differences are not
material.
Like-for-like changes in sales,
recurring operating income and recurring operating margin reflect
Danone's organic performance and essentially exclude the impact
of:
- changes in
consolidation scope, with indicators related to a given fiscal year
calculated on the basis of the previous year's scope;
- changes in
applicable accounting principles;
- changes in
exchange rates, with both previous-year and current-year indicators
calculated using the same exchange rates (the exchange rate used is
a projected annual rate determined by Danone for the current year
and applied to both previous and current years).
All countries with hyperinflationary economies
are now taken into account in like-for-like changes as follows: net
sales growth in excess of around 26% per year (a three-year average
at 26% would generally trigger the application of hyperinflationary
accounting as defined in IFRS) is now excluded from the
like-for-like net sales growth calculation.”
Bridge from reported data to
like-for-like data
(€ million except %) |
Q3 2022 |
Like-for-like change |
Impact of changesin scope of
consolidation |
Impact of changes in exchange rates & others incl.
IAS 29 |
Contribution of hyperinflation |
Reported change |
Q3 2023 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sales |
7,334 |
+6.2% |
-6.2% |
-7.7% |
+1.8% |
-5.8% |
6,906 |
Recurring operating income is
defined as Danone’s operating income excluding Other operating
income and expenses. Other operating income and expenses comprise
items that, because of their significant or unusual nature, cannot
be viewed as inherent to Danone’s recurring activity and have
limited predictive value, thus distorting the assessment of its
recurring operating performance and its evolution. These mainly
include:
- capital gains
and losses on disposals of fully consolidated companies;
- impairment
charges on intangible assets with indefinite useful lives;
- costs related
to strategic restructurings or transformation plans;
- costs related
to major external growth transactions;
- costs related
to major crisis and major litigations;
- in connection
with IFRS 3 (Revised) and IAS 27 (Revised) relating to business
combinations, (i) acquisition costs related to business
combinations, (ii) revaluation profit or loss accounted for
following a loss of control, and (iii) changes in earn-outs
relating to business combinations and subsequent to acquisition
date.
Recurring operating margin is
defined as Recurring operating income over Sales ratio.
o o O o o
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This press release contains certain
forward-looking statements concerning Danone. In some cases, you
can identify these forward-looking statements by forward-looking
words, such as “estimate”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “project”,
“plan”, “intend”, “objective”, “believe”, “forecast”, “guidance”,
“foresee”, “likely”, “may”, “should”, “goal”, “target”, “might”,
“will”, “could”, “predict”, “continue”, “convinced” and
“confident,” the negative or plural of these words and other
comparable terminology. Forward looking statements in this document
include, but are not limited to, predictions of future activities,
operations, direction, performance and results of Danone.
Although Danone believes its expectations are
based on reasonable assumptions, these forward-looking statements
are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, which could cause
actual results to differ materially from those anticipated in these
forward-looking statements. For a detailed description of these
risks and uncertainties, please refer to the “Risk Factor” section
of Danone’s Universal Registration Document (the current version of
which is available at www.danone.com).
Subject to regulatory requirements, Danone does
not undertake to publicly update or revise any of these
forward-looking statements. This document does not constitute an
offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy Danone
securities.
The
presentation to analysts and investors will be broadcast live today
from 8:15 a.m. (Paris time) on Danone’s website
(www.danone.com).
Related slides will also be available on the website in the
Investors section.
APPENDIX – Sales by geographical zone
and by category (in € million)
|
First quarter |
Second quarter |
Third Quarter |
|
2022 |
2023 |
2022 |
2023 |
2022 |
2023 |
BY GEOGRAPHICAL ZONE |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Europe |
2,142 |
2,248 |
2,289 |
2,429 |
2,270 |
2,392 |
North America3 |
1,477 |
1,714 |
1,662 |
1,704 |
1,813 |
1,747 |
China, North Asia & Oceania2 |
735 |
824 |
936 |
954 |
940 |
896 |
Latin America3 |
602 |
689 |
704 |
779 |
757 |
771 |
Rest of the World |
1,280 |
1,486 |
1,476 |
1,369 |
1,555 |
1,100 |
BY CATEGORY |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
EDP |
3,365 |
3,768 |
3,684 |
3,731 |
3,862 |
3,474 |
Specialized Nutrition |
1,919 |
2,143 |
2,106 |
2,142 |
2,134 |
2,070 |
Waters |
951 |
1,051 |
1,277 |
1,362 |
1,338 |
1,362 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL |
6,236 |
6,962 |
7,067 |
7,235 |
7,334 |
6,906 |
|
First quarter 2023 |
Second quarter 2023 |
Third quarter 2023 |
|
Reported change |
Like-for-like change |
Reported change |
Like-for-like change |
Reported change |
Like-for-like change |
BY GEOGRAPHICAL ZONE |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Europe |
+4.9% |
+6.2% |
+6.1% |
+6.5% |
+5.4% |
+5.1% |
North America1 |
+16.0% |
+11.8% |
+2.5% |
+5.0% |
-3.7% |
+3.9% |
China, North Asia & Oceania2 |
+12.1% |
+16.0% |
+1.9% |
+9.6% |
-4.6% |
+8.4% |
Latin America3 |
+14.6% |
+12.6% |
+10.7% |
+10.8% |
+2.0% |
+8.2% |
Rest of the World4 |
+16.2% |
+11.8% |
-7.2% |
+3.9% |
-29.3% |
+9.7% |
BY CATEGORY |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
EDP |
+12.0% |
+9.3% |
+1.3% |
+6.2% |
-10.1% |
+6.3% |
Specialized Nutrition |
+11.6% |
+12.0% |
+1.7% |
+4.9% |
-3.0% |
+5.7% |
Waters |
+10.5% |
+12.0% |
+6.6% |
+9.6% |
+1.8% |
+7.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL |
+11.6% |
+10.5% |
+2.4% |
+6.4% |
-5.8% |
+6.2% |
All references in this document to Like-for-like
(LFL) changes, Recurring operating income and margin correspond to
alternative performance measures not defined by IFRS. Their
definitions, as well as their reconciliation with financial
statements, are listed on pages 3 and 4.
1United States and Canada; 2China, Japan, Australia and New
Zealand; 3Mexico, Brazil, Argentina and Uruguay; 4Asia, Middle East
incl. Turkey, Africa and CIS2Additional details available in Danone
H1 results’ press release published on July 26, 20231United States
and Canada; 2China, Japan, Australia and New Zealand; 3Mexico,
Brazil, Argentina and Uruguay; 4Asia, Middle East incl. Turkey,
Africa and CIS
Grafico Azioni Danone (BIT:DNN)
Storico
Da Dic 2024 a Gen 2025
Grafico Azioni Danone (BIT:DNN)
Storico
Da Gen 2024 a Gen 2025