How Low Can Dogecoin Go Before Rallying Again? Expert Forecast
15 Novembre 2024 - 4:00PM
NEWSBTC
Dogecoin (DOGE) has recently experienced a staggering rally. Over
the span of eight days, DOGE surged nearly 200%, reaching a local
peak at $0.4385 on Tuesday. This explosive growth propelled the
daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) to almost 93, signaling
strongly overbought conditions. Since then, the Dogecoin price
corrected by 19%, trading at $0.37 as of press time. However,
according to crypto analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA), who has gained
significant attention on X for his Dogecoin price analyses, the
correction phase may not be over yet. In a series of updates, Kevin
addresses how low Dogecoin can go before resuming its upward
trajectory. How Low Can Dogecoin Go? “My first price target and a
level we will want to hold for Dogecoin is the $0.30-0.26 range,
which is the golden pocket retrace levels,” Kevin stated. “That’s a
30-40% correction from the local top, which in a bull market is a
perfect size correction.” Related Reading: Buy Dogecoin Now Or
Wait? Analyst Points To Key Technical Indicator Kevin further
explained the significance of RSI levels in predicting market
movements. “A healthy 1-3 week correction/consolidation to cool off
indicators would be the most beneficial thing that can happen to
Dogecoin. Happened multiple times on the way up in 2020-2021,” he
noted. “My opinion still remains this occurs soon based off the
technical data I am looking at.” Drawing parallels to the previous
bull market, he added: “Back in the 2020-2021 bull market for
Dogecoin, it hit a 90+ on daily RSI three times, each time marking
a local top or consolidation period before the next leg up. We just
hit 90+ on the daily RSI for the first time, signaling that we
potentially have 1-2 more legs up remaining in this bull market
before we find the macro top. PS: The second and third legs were
both bigger than the first leg.” On the lower time frames, the
Dogecoin price action formed a symmetrical triangle, a chart
pattern often associated with periods of consolidation that precede
significant price movements. Kevin observed: “Tracking this weird
Dogecoin symmetrical triangle. Honestly a 50/50 which way this
breaks. I still favor the correction due to daily RSI being 90+.”
The symmetrical triangle can serve as either a continuation or a
reversal pattern, depending on market conditions. For the Dogecoin
price, the breakdown from the triangle aligns with Kevin’s
expectation of a correction due to overbought RSI levels. Related
Reading: Dogecoin Outperforms Bitcoin: Bloomberg Expert Explains
Why To estimate the potential magnitude of the price drop following
the breakdown from the symmetrical triangle, traders measure the
height of the triangle’s base—the widest part of the formation.
This measurement is then projected downward from the point of
breakdown, providing a target for the price movement. Applying this
method to Dogecoin suggests a correction towards the $0.28 price
level, which aligns closely with Kevin’s analysis targeting the
$0.30-$0.26 range. “Looks like the correction I have been calling
for the last couple of days is beginning on Dogecoin,” Kevin
confirmed after observing the market movement. “Can’t go straight
up, folks. Dips are healthy and reset the indicators so we can go
higher. Hopefully nobody gets mad at me anymore for delivering the
truth.” As of press time, Dogecoin is trading at approximately
$0.37, having retraced about 19% from its local top. The price
appears to have found temporary support at $0.35, but with the
daily RSI only resetting to 80—still in overbought territory—a
continuation of the correction cannot be ruled out. “A healthy 1-3
week correction/consolidation to cool off indicators would be the
most beneficial thing that can happen to Dogecoin,” Kevin
reiterated. “Happened multiple times on the way up in 2020-2021. My
opinion still remains this occurs soon based off the technical data
I am looking at.” Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from
TradingView.com
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