Bitcoin Price Forecast: Q4 Outlook Indicates Parabolic Move Toward $120,000
26 Settembre 2024 - 11:00PM
NEWSBTC
For the past five days, the Bitcoin price has remained locked in a
narrow range between $62,000 and $64,000, following a surge of
bullish sentiment triggered by the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed)
decision to cut interest rates on September 18. This pivotal
move by the Fed has sparked optimism among investors. Yet, Bitcoin
has struggled to consolidate above the critical $64,000 level,
which, if surpassed, could pave the way for a retest of previously
lost resistance levels, potentially targeting $70,000 in the near
term. Bitcoin Price Set To Reach New All-Time Highs? Despite this
short-term stagnation, several analysts maintain an optimistic
outlook for the Bitcoin price as the market approaches the fourth
quarter (Q4) of the year. Market expert Lark Davis, for example,
recently highlighted the historical trends that suggest the average
return for Bitcoin during Q4 is a notable 88%. Davis
suggested that if the Bitcoin price were to replicate this
performance, it could soar to nearly $120,000. Even a more
conservative estimate of a 55% gain – similar to last year’s
performance – would take the price to $100,000. Related Reading:
Dogecoin Parabolic Rally To Trigger 5,500% Surge To $6, Here’s When
In addition, the expert points out that this year offers unique
catalysts that could drive significant price movements, including
the launch of the Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) market, the
upcoming US elections, and the expected $16 billion in cash
repayments from the collapsed FTX exchange. However, when
analyzing the current state of the Bitcoin market, there are signs
that current price movements are being “artificially constrained.”
Analysts Warns Of Final Dip Before Further Price Gains Analyst
InspoCrypto has noted that the price action has been persistently
hovering around $63,000, with breakout attempts being blocked. A
significant institutional options trader has reportedly executed a
block trade that appears designed to keep Bitcoin’s price stable
until October 4. InspoCrypto further explains that the Spot
Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) indicates a pattern of distribution
even as prices rise, while the Futures CVD shows a divergence,
suggesting that recent price increases have been primarily driven
by futures trading. The Whales vs. Retail Ratio analysis from
Hyblock supports this view, revealing that while whales are
accumulating short positions, retail investors are predominantly
betting on long positions—creating a potentially unfavorable
scenario for the latter group. Yet, InspoCrypto believes that the
market will see one final dip before reaching new all-time highs
(ATHs) of $80,000 or even $85,000 for the largest cryptocurrency on
the market. Related Reading: XRP Remains Bullish: Crypto Experts
Unveil Predictions For The Price Adding to the technical analysis,
analyst Ali Martinez points out that Bitcoin is currently testing
its 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at the $64,000 mark, which
is acting as a short-term resistance level. A breakout above this
key level could signal a significant bullish trend, according to
Martinez. Looking further ahead, if the Bitcoin Long-Term Power Law
holds true, Martinez believes the next market top could reach
around $400,000, with predictions for this peak to occur by October
of next year. Overall, while Bitcoin faces short-term challenges,
the consensus among analysts is that the cryptocurrency is poised
for new all-time highs in Q4 and into 2025, despite the current
state of the market and BTC’s inability to overcome short-term
hurdles. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $63,160,
little changed from Monday’s price, and up 0.7% over the past 24
hours. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
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