17 April
2024
Saga plc
Preliminary results for the year ended 31
January 2024
Saga delivers underlying
profit more than double that of the prior year and significantly
reduces debt
Saga plc (Saga or the Group), the UK's specialist in products
and services for people over 50, announces its
preliminary results for the year ended 31 January
2024. These results are reported under International Reporting
Standard (IFRS) 17
'Insurance Contracts' and any prior year comparisons have been
restated accordingly.
Year ended
|
31 January
2024
|
31 January 2023
(restated1)
|
Change
|
Underlying
Revenue21F
|
£732.7m
|
£648.9m
|
13%
|
Revenue
|
£741.1m
|
£663.7m
|
12%
|
Trading
EBITDA2
|
£116.5m
|
£92.5m
|
26%
|
Underlying Profit Before
Tax2
|
£38.2m
|
£15.5m
|
146%
|
Underlying Profit Before Tax
(Under Previous IFRS)2
|
£45.3m
|
£21.5m
|
111%
|
Loss before tax
|
(£129.0m)
|
(£272.7m)
|
53%
|
Available Operating Cash
Flow2
|
£143.8m
|
£54.9m
|
162%
|
Net Debt2
|
£637.2m
|
£711.7m
|
10%
|
Leverage ratio
|
5.4x
|
7.5x
|
2.1x
|
1 The prior
year has been restated to reflect the adoption of IFRS 17
'Insurance Contracts'
2 Refer to
the Alternative Performance Measures Glossary for definition and
explanation
Mike Hazell, Saga's Group
Chief Executive Officer, said:
"Saga has delivered a strong financial
performance with underlying revenue growth of 13% and
an underlying profit that was more than double that of the prior
year. We have also continued to generate significant positive cash
flows and reduced our net debt by £74.5m over the past 12 months.
Off the back of this strong performance, we are now also taking
action to position the business for long-term success. I am excited
about the potential that partnerships present for Saga and, as a
result, we are accelerating the work we are doing to explore such
opportunities across both our Ocean Cruise and Insurance
businesses.
"Ocean Cruise had an outstanding year and, as a
result, we far exceeded our initial earnings targets, while River
Cruise and Travel both returned to profit for the first time since
the pandemic. Looking ahead, forward bookings are strong, with all
three of these businesses significantly ahead of the same point in
the prior year.
"While our Insurance business continued to be
hindered by challenging conditions, with inflationary headwinds
impacting policy volumes and margins, particularly for our
three-year fixed-price policies, we are taking the necessary
actions to reposition the business. We are investing in price to
improve our competitive position and stabilise our policy volumes
and early signs indicate that this is delivering the expected
benefits.
"Alongside this, we continue to
develop our 9.6m strong customer database and explore ways in which
we can deepen our relationship with those customers. Saga
Publishing is instrumental in this, broadening our reach through
the delivery of purposeful and insightful content in the form of
our digital weekly newsletters and our award-winning magazine. Saga
Money is now also set up to serve a broader range of customers
following the launch of four new products.
"I am confident in our strategic direction,
which underpinned by the strength of our brand, allows us to
continue to serve our unique customer base. Our
decision to accelerate our partnership strategy will provide us
with a capital-light route to growth, reducing debt and delivering
long-term sustainable value for all our stakeholders."
Operational and financial highlights
· Underlying
Revenue3 increased 13%, reflecting growth across Cruise
and Travel. This translated to growth in Trading EBITDA3
of 26%, from £92.5m in the prior year to £116.5m in the current
year.
· Underlying
Profit Before Tax3 was more than double that of the
prior year:
o Under IFRS
17, Underlying Profit Before Tax3 was £38.2m, compared
with £15.5m4 in the year before.
o Underlying
Profit Before Tax (Under Previous IFRS)3 was £45.3m,
£23.8m higher than the £21.5m reported for the year ended 31
January 2023.
· The reported
loss before tax of £129.0m reflects a £104.9m impairment of
Insurance goodwill, restructuring costs of £40.3m and other smaller
one-off below-the-line items.
· Net
Debt3 at 31 January 2024 was £637.2m, £74.5m or 10%
lower than the £711.7m at 31 January 2023. At the same date,
Available Cash3 was £169.8m and both the £85.0m facility
with Roger De Haan and the £50.0m Revolving Credit Facility
(RCF) remained
undrawn.
3 Refer to
the Alternative Performance Measures Glossary for definition and
explanation
4 The prior
year has been restated to reflect the adoption of IFRS 17
'Insurance Contracts'
Divisional performance
Ocean Cruise - Exceeded initial targets,
supported by strong customer demand
· Ocean Cruise
reported an Underlying Profit Before Tax5 of £35.5m,
compared with an Underlying Loss Before Tax5 of £0.7m in
the previous year, a year-on-year improvement of £36.2m.
· Ocean Cruise
Underlying Revenue5 of £215.9m grew 28% when compared
with 2022/23, supported by a load factor of 88% and per diem of
£331, significantly ahead of the 75% and £318 in the prior
year.
· As a result, the
business has now exceeded our target of £40.0m Ocean Cruise Trading
EBITDA (Excluding Overheads)5 per ship, achieving £45.0m
per ship.
River Cruise - Return to profit, supported by strong load
factor and per diem
· River Cruise
reported an Underlying Profit Before Tax5 of £3.0m,
which compares with an Underlying Loss Before Tax5 of
£5.1m in 2022/23, a year-on-year improvement of £8.1m.
· River Cruise
revenue of £43.8m was 52% ahead of the year before, supported by a
load factor of 85% and per diem of £285. This reflects a 43%
increase in passengers to 16.6k.
Travel - Strong passenger and revenue
growth
· Travel returned
to profit for the first time since the pandemic, reporting an
Underlying Profit Before Tax5 of £1.5m, an improvement
of £5.6m when compared with the £4.1m Underlying Loss Before
Tax5 last year.
· Revenue was 44%
ahead of the prior year at £156.3m, supported by a 22% increase in
passengers to 57.8k.
Insurance Broking - Positioning the business for
a return to policy growth
· Insurance
Broking reported an earned Underlying Profit Before Tax5
of £39.8m, compared with £71.5m6 in the previous year, a
year-on-year decline of £31.7m driven by the challenging insurance
environment and, in particular, the impact of net rate
inflation.
· The number of
total policies in force at 31 January 2024 was 1.5m, 9% behind the
prior year.
· Policy sales
across the 12-month period were also 9% behind, reflecting a 9%
fall in motor and home policies, alongside 8% and 3% fewer sales of
travel and private medical insurance policies
respectively.
· In motor and
home insurance, inflation impacted margins and customer
retention:
o While new
business sales were broadly flat, customer retention was 81%
compared with 84% in the prior year, driven by an increase in the
number of customers shopping around.
o This impacted
the direct share of new business, now 43% compared with 49% in the
prior year.
o The margin
per policy was £55 compared with £696 in the prior year,
reflecting continued inflationary pressure, particularly within our
three-year fixed-price policies.
· The impact of
this, alongside the short-term effect of the actions taken that
will make the business more competitive, resulted in a further
Insurance goodwill impairment of £36.8m, in addition to the £68.1m
recognised in the first half. At 31 January 2024, £344.7m of
Insurance goodwill remained on the statement of financial
position.
Insurance Underwriting - Price increases start to benefit the
combined operating ratio
· Our Insurance
Underwriting business reported an Underlying Loss Before
Tax5 of £1.4m, a fall of £12.1m when compared with the
Underlying Profit Before Tax5 of £10.7m6 in
the prior year.
· While still
elevated due to the sustained level of claims inflation, the
current year net combined operating ratio (COR) reduced to 117.1% from
120.5%6 in the prior year.
5 Refer to the Alternative Performance Measures Glossary for
definition and explanation
6 The prior
year has been restated to reflect the adoption of IFRS 17
'Insurance Contracts'
Wider strategic progress
· Saga Money
reported an Underlying Profit Before Tax7 of £1.1m
compared with £2.3m in the prior year, reflecting the short-term
impact of high interest rates on customer demand for equity release
products. Irrespective of this, good progress was made in
positioning this revitalised business area for medium-term growth
through the launch of a range of new products designed to support
people over 50 in managing their finances.
· Our customer
database continues to be one of our core assets, containing data on
9.6m, and contact details for over 7.2m people over 50 in the UK.
As a result of our global digital consent programme, we have
increased the size of our marketable email base by more than 9% in
the past 12 months.
· Alongside our
progress in data, our Publishing business, with our award-winning
magazine and weekly digital newsletters, continues to be
instrumental in deepening the connection we have with our
customers. The magazine has more than 120k print subscribers each
month and our digital newsletters, when combined, are reaching 1.2m
readers weekly.
· As indicated
previously, we delivered a series of efficiencies through the move
towards a leaner central operating model, reducing our central
operating expenses by £12.0m within the 2023/24 year. The full
£15.0m annualised benefit of these savings will be reflected in the
2024/25 result.
7 Refer to the Alternative Performance Measures Glossary for
definition and explanation
Financial position
Reducing our level of debt continues to be a key
priority and, following a series of actions taken to increase the
Group's financial flexibility, we have sufficient liquidity to meet
the £150.0m bond repayment in May 2024 through a combination of
Available Cash8 and utilisation of the £85.0m facility
with Roger De Haan.
To provide additional financial flexibility
following repayment of the bond, the Group has agreed a series of
measures, including an increase to the leverage covenant attached
to the RCF to 6.25x until the facility matures, and a further
extension to the £85.0m facility with Roger De Haan from 31
December 2025 to 30 April 2026.
While repayment of the bond will reduce our
cash at hand, we will continue to have sufficient liquidity,
together with the currently undrawn £50.0m RCF, to support our
business development and plans.
8 Refer to the Alternative Performance Measures Glossary for
definition and explanation
Strategy and outlook
The strong customer demand we have generated
across Cruise and Travel is expected to continue and, with an
encouraging pipeline of bookings, these businesses are well set to
continue to grow in 2024/25.
Bookings for Ocean Cruise remain exceptionally
strong and we have already secured a load factor for 2024/25 of
78%9 and a per diem of £3679. This is 4ppts
and 9% ahead of the already strong 74%9 and
£3389 at the same time last year.
River Cruise bookings for 2024/25 are also
positive and significantly ahead of the same point last year, with
a load factor of 72%9 and per diem of £3399
compared with 66%9 and £2999.
In Travel, building on the significant growth
in 2023/24, booked revenue for 2024/25 is £140.7m9 from
45.3k9 passengers, 12% and 4% ahead of the prior year
respectively.
In Insurance, conditions continue to be
challenging and we are repositioning the business accordingly, with
a focus on stabilising and recovering volume. We are taking a
series of actions, including investment in price to improve our
competitive position and address the recent decline in policy
sales, particularly within motor and home insurance. As we make
this change, we expect some short-term impact to earnings, arising
from this price investment, together with the acquisition costs
associated with a higher number of new business policies.
As a result, we expect written Underlying Profit
Before Tax10 for Insurance Broking to be materially
lower in 2024/25 than in 2023/24. We are already beginning to see
signs of stabilisation as a result of our revised
approach.
Having applied significant price increases
throughout the past 18 months, the Insurance Underwriting business
is now on a much stronger footing. As these price increases
continue to flow through, we expect to report an Underlying Profit
Before Tax10 for 2024/25 in the low single digits, with
an improving current year COR.
The maturity profile of Saga Money's new
products, and the high interest rate environment anticipated for
this year, mean that we expect a similar contribution from this
business in 2024/25 to that in 2023/24 before it delivers a more
meaningful proportion of Group earnings over time.
The net result of these is that we expect the
Group to generate an Underlying Profit Before Tax10 that
is broadly consistent with that of 2023/24, reflecting growth
across Cruise and Travel, offset by a transitional year in
Insurance, before a planned return to growth thereafter.
Our priorities remain unchanged; to reduce
leverage and increase our strategic flexibility. Consistent with
our move towards a capital-light model, we are accelerating our
partnership strategy, exploring opportunities in Ocean Cruise and
Insurance that would support our growth ambitions, crystallise
value and enhance long-term returns for our shareholders. In Ocean
Cruise, with the current business nearing optimum capacity, we are
evaluating routes to accelerate growth as customer demand continues
to build strongly. In Insurance, we are focused on scaling the
business and increasing its efficiency and effectiveness. We
believe that such partnerships could deliver growth, increase
flexibility and reduce debt.
The Board remains confident in the strength of
the Saga brand, its colleagues and its unique products and
services, and will continue to focus on driving long-term
sustainable growth for all our stakeholders.
9 Current
year bookings reflect the position at 14 April 2024, while the
prior year refers to the position at 16 April 2023
10 Refer
to the Alternative Performance Measures Glossary for definition and
explanation
END
Management will hold a presentation for
analysts and investors at 9.30am today. The webcast can be accessed
by registering at
www.investis-live.com/saga-group/65f87ab3b095440c00c6695c/fdqaa
and a copy of the presentation slides is available
at
www.corporate.saga.co.uk/investors/results-reports-presentations/.
A separate live presentation for retail
investors will be held via the Investor Meet Company platform on 18
April 2024 at 9.30am. The presentation is open to all existing and
potential investors. Questions can be submitted pre-event via the
Investor Meet Company dashboard up until 9.00am on 16 April 2024,
or at any time during the live presentation. Investors can sign up
to Investor Meet Company for free and follow Saga plc via
www.investormeetcompany.com/saga-plc/register-investor.
Investors who already follow Saga plc on the Investor Meet Company
platform will automatically be invited.
For further information, please
contact:
Saga
plc
|
|
Emily Roalfe, Director of Investor Relations
and Treasury
|
Tel: 07732 093 007
|
|
Email:
emily.roalfe@saga.co.uk
|
Headland Consultancy
|
|
Susanna
Voyle
|
Tel: 07980 894 557
|
Will Smith
|
Tel: 07872 350 428
|
|
Tel: 020 3805 4822
|
|
Email:
saga@headlandconsultancy.com
|
Notes to editors
Saga is a
specialist in the provision of products and services for people
over 50. The Saga brand is one of the most recognised and trusted
brands in the UK and is known for its high level of customer
service and its high-quality, award-winning products and services
including cruises and travel, insurance, personal finance and
media. www.saga.co.uk
Chairman's Statement
I am pleased to report that for the year ended
31 January 2024 Saga delivered a strong financial result. Cash
flows and underlying profit were significantly higher than in the
prior year, driven by growth within our Cruise and Travel
businesses, alongside actions taken to lower the cost of our
central functions. We were also able to reduce our level of debt by
£74.5m.
Our Ocean Cruise business had an outstanding
year, with exceptional levels of customer satisfaction and
occupancy, allowing us to take more customers on holiday and exceed
our financial targets. Bookings for the year ahead are even
stronger than at the corresponding point last year.
Our River Cruise and Travel businesses also
performed well and the growth in passenger numbers helped both
businesses return to profit for the 2023/24 financial
year.
Our Insurance operations continued to be
challenged by inflation, that has impacted both margins,
particularly for our older three-year fixed-price policies, and
policy volumes. Looking forward, we are repositioning this business
by investing in price and implementing efficiencies to improve our
competitive position to stabilise our policy volumes and build a
platform for growth.
Our Underwriting business has applied price
increases in the last 18 months that have strengthened its position
and we are expecting this to lead that business back to
profitability.
We made the decision to reduce our central
operating expenses and exit some of our smaller, loss-making
activities. We are committed to, and continue to invest in,
providing our customers with engaging purpose-led content through
the Saga Magazine and our increasingly popular newsletters. In
addition, Saga Money, which in the past has reported relatively
small returns, is positioned for growth, with the aim of becoming a
far more meaningful proportion of the Group's earnings over
time.
Our current Ocean Cruise operations will, in
time, become restrained through a lack of capacity. We are
exploring options to continue to grow this business with the
support of a partner. We are also in the early stages of
considering potential partnership opportunities that could support
growth in our Insurance operations.
Throughout the past year, there have been a
number of changes to the Board. Euan Sutherland, our former Group
Chief Executive Officer (CEO), and James Quin, our former Chief
Financial Officer (CFO),
resigned. Eva Eisenschimmel, an independent Non-Executive Director
(NED) and Chair of the
Remuneration Committee, made the decision to step down. I'd like to
thank them all for their contribution to Saga during their time
here. Julie Hopes, an existing NED and Chair of the Risk Committee
now chairs the Remuneration Committee. Mike Hazell, who was
appointed as Group CEO, and Mark Watkins, Group CFO, bring a wealth
of experience to their new roles and I am very pleased to see the
progress they are making in leading Saga through its current phase
of development.
At Saga, we are at our best when we provide
exceptional service to our customers, alongside innovative,
meaningful and good value products that are tailored to suit their
needs. We will continue to leverage our insight and data
capabilities, and the considerable collective buying power of the
millions we have on our customer database. With the excellent team
we have, and our developing strategy, I believe there is an
exciting future for Saga as we continue to reduce our debt, explore
strategic partnerships, new opportunities and grow our core
businesses.
Sir Roger De Haan
Non-Executive Chairman
16 April 2024
Group Chief Executive Officer's Strategic
Review
Significant opportunity
When I joined Saga back in October 2023, I had clear
views about the strength of the business and the brand, based on
what was already evident to me. Fast-forward to today, and with the
benefit of the visibility I now have, those opinions have only
strengthened. It is clear that there is a significant opportunity
to drive long-term sustainable growth for all our stakeholders
through maximising our core businesses, reducing debt as we move
towards capital-light business models, growing the number of
customers we serve and deepening the connection we have with them.
I believe these objectives can be amplified by the work we are
doing to explore partnerships.
Strong demand in Cruise and Travel but Insurance remains
challenging
During 2023/24, we generated strong customer demand in
our Cruise and Travel businesses; however, conditions in Insurance
remained challenging. Saga Money launched four new products,
allowing us to serve more customers, and we continued to enhance
our data and marketing capabilities. Alongside this, we maintained
a disciplined approach to our cost base, identifying efficiencies
and moving towards a leaner central model.
Growth in underlying revenue and profit
I am delighted to report that, for the year
ended 31 January 2024, Saga delivered a strong financial
result. Underlying Revenue1 was £732.7m, representing
13% growth when compared with the prior year and, on a statutory
basis, revenue was £741.1m, 12% higher. Following the adoption of
International Financial Reporting Standard (IFRS) 17, we report an Underlying
Profit Before Tax1 of £38.2m, more than double the
£15.5m2 in the prior year. This was also the case for
Underlying Profit Before Tax (Under Previous IFRS)1,
which was £45.3m compared with £21.5m in the prior year. This
result reflects a return to profit for Cruise and Travel, but
continued challenges in Insurance.
After reflecting a £104.9m impairment of Insurance
goodwill and £40.3m of restructuring costs, alongside other smaller
one-off below-the-line items, we report a loss before tax of
£129.0m, which compares with a loss of £272.7m2 in the
prior year.
Debt reduction continues to be a key strategic
priority for the Group and we have continued to make progress in
this area. Net Debt1 at 31 January 2024 was £637.2m,
£74.5m lower than the £711.7m at the same point last year. The
Group also continued to hold sufficient liquidity with Available
Cash1 of £169.8m, alongside the £85.0m
loan facility with Roger De Haan and the £50.0m Revolving
Credit Facility (RCF), both
of which remained undrawn at the year end.
1 Refer
to the Alternative Performance Measures Glossary for definition and
explanation
2 The prior
year has been restated to reflect the adoption of IFRS 17
'Insurance Contracts'
Our
strategy
Our ambition is to become the largest and
most-trusted brand for older people in the UK. We will achieve this
through the delivery of our growth plan, which has evolved, in line
with our ambition, as we continually develop the business to
support the changing needs of our customers. This plan is focused
on the following three priorities:
1. Maximising our core businesses
2. Reducing debt through capital-light
growth
3. Growing our customer base and deepening our
customer relationships
An update on our progress during the past year
in each of these areas is set out below.
1. Maximising
our core businesses
We plan to drive our core businesses of Cruise,
Travel, Insurance and Money, through business-led growth
strategies, supported by our extensive data and Publishing
marketing platform.
Cruise
For the year ended 31 January 2024, our Ocean Cruise
business delivered an Underlying Profit Before Tax3 of
£35.5m, a £36.2m improvement when compared with the Underlying Loss
Before Tax3 of £0.7m in the prior year.
We continued to generate strong customer demand,
which supported a load factor (being the proportion of our total
capacity that was filled) of 88% and a per diem (being the average
price charged per customer per day) of £331. This was 13ppts and 4%
higher than the 75% and £318 respectively in the prior year. These
factors, when combined, meant that we exceeded our target of £40.0m
Ocean Cruise Trading EBITDA (Excluding Overheads)3 per
ship, delivering £45.0m per ship.
In Ocean Cruise, we work hard to set ourselves apart
from others in the market and we are continually exploring new ways
to enhance the inclusivity of our offering and increase our
differentiation. For departures in 2024/25 and beyond, we made the
decision to increase the reach of our VIP chauffeur service,
allowing more customers from further afield to experience what we
have to offer.
Bookings for 2024/25 are significantly ahead of the
prior year, with a load factor of 78% and per diem of £367 at 14
April 2024. This is 4ppts and 9% ahead of the 74% and £338 at the
same point in the prior year, which in itself was a year of
significant growth.
Given this strong momentum in demand for our boutique
cruise offering, the business is approaching optimum capacity with
our current two ocean cruise ships. We are exploring opportunities
to further optimise the business, including potential partnership
arrangements that, consistent with our move to a capital-light
business model, would support further growth, crystallise value,
reduce debt and enhance long-term returns for shareholders.
In line with previous guidance, our River Cruise
business returned to profit, reporting an Underlying Profit Before
Tax3 of £3.0m for the year, an improvement of £8.1m when
compared with the Underlying Loss Before Tax3 of £5.1m
in the prior year. We achieved a 43% increase in the number of
customers sailing with us and a load factor and per diem of 85% and
£285 respectively.
River Cruise continues to see strong growth and
bookings for 2024/25 are ahead of the same point last year. At 14
April 2024, the booked load factor was 72%, with a per diem of
£339. This compares with 66% and £299 at the same time in the prior
year.
Unlike our current Ocean Cruise business, we are able
to scale River Cruise in a capital-light way, allowing us to offer
our luxury cruises to an increasing number of customers. We are,
therefore, delighted to have welcomed Spirit of the Douro to our
programme in March 2024, with our third purpose-built ship, Spirit
of the Moselle, to follow in July 2025.
The financial performance of the Ocean and River
Cruise businesses is driven by our ability to deliver exceptional
experiences for our customers every day. Our key metric for
monitoring customer satisfaction is transactional net promoter
score (tNPS), which
improved significantly during the year to 74, from 58 in the
previous year, reflecting a considerable improvement in the rating
for River Cruise following the steps taken to more closely align
the customer experience to that of our Ocean Cruise experience.
Travel
For 2023/24, Travel generated revenue of £156.3m, 44%
higher than the year before, and returned to profit for the first
time since the pandemic. The business reported an Underlying Profit
Before Tax3 of £1.5m, an improvement of £5.6m when
compared with the Underlying Loss Before Tax3 of £4.1m
in the prior year, reflecting strong passenger growth of 22%,
having taken more than 57k customers on holiday.
Innovation continues to be a key differentiator for
Saga and it is the continual development of our offering that has
led to industry-wide recognition, most recently through 28 wins at
the 2023 British Travel Awards.
Looking ahead to 2024/25, our pipeline of future
bookings continues to grow. At 14 April 2024, booked revenue was
£140.7m from 45.3k passengers, representing growth of 12% and 4%
respectively when compared with the same point in the prior
year.
Insurance
Reflecting the continued impact of the market-wide
inflationary headwinds and declining policy volumes, Insurance
Broking reported Underlying Profit Before Tax3 of £39.8m
on an earned basis, a decline of £31.7m when compared with
£71.5m4 in the prior year.
The inflationary environment, and the resulting impact
on our pricing, led to the number of policies in force at the end
of the year, across all products, declining by 9%, when compared
with the prior year, to 1.5m. Similarly, total policy sales during
the year were also 9% lower.
Revenue generated from the sale of travel insurance
remained broadly flat when compared with the previous year, with
increased margins per policy offsetting an 8% fall in the number of
policies sold, driven by price increases applied in the second half
of the year.
Private medical insurance revenue, however, increased
5% when compared with the prior year, despite policy sales falling
by 3%. This reflects the benefit from a one-off contribution in
relation to the new partnership secured with Bupa. Over time, this
relationship is expected to open up exciting new opportunities for
a digital health and wellbeing proposition that will not only
enhance the offering for our existing customers but also be a key
point of differentiation when attracting new customers.
In motor and home, inflation impacted both our volumes
and margins. Our pricing approach, addressing increased net rates
from our panel of underwriters, resulted in a 9% drop in policies
in force and policy sales compared with the prior year, with
customer retention of 81%, 3ppts lower. Our margin per policy was
£55, compared with £694 in the year before, mostly
driven by our three-year fixed-price policies that fix the price
the customer pays for two further renewals.
The dynamics within Insurance remain challenging and,
as a result, we need to ensure that we balance the business
effectively between protecting and, in time, growing the number of
policies sold and the delivery of sustainable profitability. We are
investing in price to improve our market competitiveness and this
will impact profitability in the short term, as will the
acquisition costs arising from attracting a higher number of new
business policies. While we expect this approach to drive greater
long-term profitability, the anticipated impact of these changes,
when compared with previous growth projections, has resulted in the
goodwill allocated to the Insurance Broking business being impaired
by a further £36.8m. This is in addition to the £68.1m impairment
in the first half of the year. At 31 January 2024, £344.7m of
goodwill remained on the statement of financial position.
Looking ahead, we are focused on scaling the business
and the number of customers we are able to serve, creating the
foundation for a sustainable insurance business model. As part of
this, and consistent with our move towards capital-light models, we
are exploring options for partnerships within our Insurance value
chain. While still in the very early stages, we believe that such
partnerships could benefit our customers and support us in
delivering our Insurance growth ambitions.
Our Insurance Underwriting business reported an
Underlying Loss Before Tax3, after expected recoveries
from reinsurance arrangements, of £1.4m, a decline of £12.1m when
compared with an Underlying Profit Before Tax3 of
£10.7m4 in the prior year.
Over the past 18 months, we have applied significant
price increases, balancing the need to provide customers with
fair-value products with the continued market-wide claims
inflation. These are now, however, beginning to flow through to the
result, with the current year net combined operating ratio reducing
to 117.1% from 120.5%4 in the prior year. We expect this
to mean that the Insurance Underwriting business returns to profit
in the coming year.
Money
Saga Money reported an Underlying Profit Before
Tax3 of £1.1m, compared with £2.3m in the prior year.
This reflects the short-term impact of high interest rates on the
market-wide customer demand for equity release products.
We made good progress during the year in positioning
the business for medium-term growth. With support from a number of
new partners, we launched: a range of fixed savings accounts; legal
services including wills, probate and lasting powers of attorney;
investments ISAs; and, more recently, mortgages. Our new range of
mortgage products are all designed exclusively for people over 50,
offering assistance with first-time purchases, remortgages,
buy-to-let and equity release to fund intergenerational
support.
The quality of, and customer satisfaction in relation
to, these services is evident in our sector-leading tNPS, which
increased to 72 from 64 in the prior year.
3 Refer to
the Alternative Performance Measures Glossary for definition and
explanation
4 The prior
year has been restated to reflect the adoption of IFRS 17
'Insurance Contracts'
2. Reducing debt through capital-light
growth
In 2023/24, we continued to make good progress in
reducing our debt, with Net Debt5 at 31 January 2024
being £637.2m, £74.5m lower than the £711.7m at the previous year
end.
To further increase the Group's financial flexibility,
we took a series of actions that included the delivery of £12.0m of
central cost savings in the second half, following the move towards
a leaner operating model, and exiting some of our smaller,
loss-making activities, in order to prioritise growth within our
core Cruise, Travel, Insurance and Money operations. We are also
grateful for the ongoing support from our Chairman, Roger De Haan,
with his facility being increased to £85.0m, alongside an extended
maturity, now April 2026, to support the Group with its
deleveraging plans. In addition, to maximise the Group's liquidity,
we concluded discussions with our lending banks to increase the
leverage covenant associated with our undrawn £50.0m RCF.
5 Refer to the Alternative Performance Measures Glossary for
definition and explanation
3. Growing our
customer base and deepening our customer
relationships
The third strand of our growth plan is focused on
protecting and growing the number of customers we serve and
increasing the frequency and quality of our interactions with them
through data-driven insight. By doing so, we can develop our
business around a better understanding of their unique needs and
the trusted relationship we have with them.
Our customer database continues to be one of our core
assets in achieving this goal, holding details of 9.6m people over
the age of 50 in the UK. During the past year, we have actively
sought to gather consent from more of this group to contact them
about our full range of products and services. As a result of this,
at 31 January 2024 we had consent to contact 7.2m of these
individuals, a significant improvement from the 6.8m at the same
time in the prior year.
We have also developed our website, which attracts more than 15m visitors per year, giving everybody the opportunity to sign up for email updates, providing
interesting articles and offers on a range of our
products.
The delivery of insightful and relevant content to our
unique customer group is key to our success and we continue to do
this through our popular and award-winning Saga Magazine, which
reaches more than 120k readers monthly. Our digital newsletters,
covering Travel, Money and the Magazine, when combined, are
delivered to 1.2m people weekly.
We continually monitor the strength of the Saga brand
and one of the metrics used is tNPS, which was 59 for the year, a
two point reduction when compared with the prior year. This
reflects increases across Cruise and Money, offset by a lower
result in Insurance, due to market-wide increases to pricing,
alongside some resultant contact centre pressure from increased
call volumes.
Underpinning all three strands of our growth plan is
the ambition to create an exceptional colleague experience. As
diversity, equity and inclusion is a key part of this, we launched
a colleague survey, beginning with those in senior leadership roles
and above, to gather data on diversity representation across the
organisation. Building on this, we have set targets to increase
female representation in leadership positions from 42% to 50% and,
representation on the Board from 22% to 40% by December 2027.
Positioning Saga for long-term sustainable
growth
Before I conclude, it is important to recognise the
contribution of our colleagues, not only for their work over the
past year, but also for the way they have welcomed me to the Saga
family. In addition, while I have not had a chance to meet you all,
I would like to thank our customers, investors and partners for
their continued support.
Overall, we have made good progress over the past 12
months, growing our Cruise and Travel businesses and positioning
Money for future growth while continuing to navigate the
challenging dynamics in Insurance.
Saga is a special brand with a unique purpose and I
am excited about our future. Maximising our core businesses will
mean we build this future on solid foundations. We can complement
this objective with strategic partnerships that allow us to focus
on our core strengths while leveraging the capabilities of partners
to amplify those strengths. In doing so, we can grow our business
and continue to reduce our debt, accelerated through capital-light
business models where it makes sense. At the heart of this remains
our customer. Saga was built on its understanding of the older
people it serves, combined with its considerable marketing reach
across that customer base. Our long-term sustainable growth will be
built around these fundamentals.
Mike Hazell
Group Chief Executive Officer
16 April 2024
Group Chief Financial Officer's Review
I am delighted to be presenting my first Chief
Financial Officer's report after being appointed to the role in
November 2023. The Group has now adopted International Financial
Reporting Standard (IFRS)
17 and reports an Underlying Profit Before Tax1 of
£38.2m, more than double the £15.5m2 reported in the
prior year. This performance is largely in line with expectations
and reflects a strong recovery in Cruise and Travel, coupled with a
continuation of the challenging conditions within Insurance.
Underlying Profit Before Tax (Under Previous IFRS)1 was
£45.3m compared with £21.5m in the year before.
The positive trading conditions for Ocean Cruise,
River Cruise and Travel have continued, being more reflective of a
normal environment after residual pandemic disruption in the prior
year, with all three businesses returning to profitability. Ocean
Cruise reported an Underlying Profit Before Tax1 of £35.5m (2023: Loss of £0.7m) and River Cruise
reported an Underlying Profit Before Tax1
of £3.0m (2023: Loss of £5.1m), reflective of strong customer
demand driving higher load factors and per diems. Travel reported
an Underlying Profit Before Tax1 of £1.5m
(2023: Loss of £4.1m), with the recovery driven by a 22% increase
in passenger volumes.
Industry-wide challenges, however, continue to impact
the Group's Insurance businesses. Insurance Broking reported an
Underlying Profit Before Tax1 of £39.8m
(2023: £71.5m2). This reflected ongoing inflationary
headwinds, primarily impacting motor insurance, and the impact on
the Group's three-year fixed-price policies, where the increase in
the cost of net rates cannot be passed on to customers. As a
result, margins for motor and home fell to £55 per policy (2023:
£692) for the year. Against this backdrop, our pricing
caused lower new business volumes and lower customer retention,
resulting in a 9% decline in policies in force to 1.5m. Our
Insurance Underwriting business is, however, starting to see the
benefits of the pricing actions taken over the past 12 months, with
the current year net combined operating ratio (COR) improving to 117.1% (2023:
120.5%2).
The dynamics seen in the Insurance business during
2023/24 demonstrate that a different approach is needed to balance
policy volumes and sustainable profits over the long term. Going
forward, the Insurance Broking business is taking pricing action to
increase competitiveness, with the aim of stabilising policy
volumes. This is expected to have an adverse impact on
profitability in the near term.
The Group reported a loss before tax of £129.0m (2023:
loss of £272.7m2), that reflects an impairment of
Insurance Broking goodwill of £104.9m and other exceptional items
of £62.3m. The impairment of goodwill was driven by a conservative
view of cash flows from Insurance compared with our previous growth
projections, reflecting the different approach being taken by this
business in the future. The exceptional items primarily relate to
restructuring costs from the changes made in the second half of
2023/24 to reduce central costs, together with the costs of exiting
some of the smaller, early-stage, loss-making activities of Saga
Exceptional, Insight and Spaces.
The Group remains highly cash-generative and, turning
to the Group's statement of financial position, Net
Debt1 at 31 January 2024 was £637.2m,
£74.5m lower than a year ago. This was driven by a £12.3m increase
in Available Cash1 to £169.8m (31 January
2023: £157.5m) and £62.2m of Cruise ship debt repayments. As a
result, the total leverage ratio reduced to 5.4x (31 January 2023:
7.5x).
Available Operating Cash Flow1 for 2023/24 increased to £143.8m (2023: £54.9m)
driven by the recovery in Ocean Cruise operating cash flow, a
one-off benefit from River Cruise and Travel moving to 70% coverage
under the Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) escrow arrangement and reduced
central costs. This was partially offset by a decline in Insurance
Broking EBITDA.
Looking ahead, the strong customer demand in Cruise
and Travel is continuing and the steps we are taking to reposition
the Insurance business are showing encouraging early signs. While
2024/25 will be a transitional year as we lay the foundations for
future growth, we expect Underlying Profit Before Tax1
to be broadly consistent with that of 2023/24. Meanwhile, we are
continuing to reduce our level of debt through organic cash
generation, while exploring partnership opportunities in our Ocean
Cruise and Insurance businesses as part of the move towards a more
capital-light model.
1 Refer to
the Alternative Performance Measures Glossary for definition and
explanation
2 The prior
year has been restated to reflect the adoption of IFRS 17
'Insurance Contracts'
Operating performance
Group income
statement
£m
|
12m to
Jan 2024
|
Change
|
(restated3)
|
|
|
|
|
Underlying Revenue4
|
732.7
|
12.9%
|
648.9
|
|
|
|
|
Underlying Profit/(Loss)
Before Tax4
|
|
|
|
Cruise and Travel
|
40.0
|
>500.0%
|
(9.9)
|
Insurance Broking
(earned)
|
39.8
|
(44.3%)
|
71.5
|
Insurance Underwriting
|
(1.4)
|
(113.1%)
|
10.7
|
Total Insurance
|
38.4
|
(53.3%)
|
82.2
|
Other Businesses and Central
Costs
|
(17.0)
|
51.3%
|
(34.9)
|
Net finance
costs5
|
(23.2)
|
(5.9%)
|
(21.9)
|
Underlying Profit Before Tax4
|
38.2
|
146.5%
|
15.5
|
Impairment of Insurance
goodwill
|
(104.9)
|
|
(269.0)
|
Other exceptional items
|
(62.3)
|
|
(19.2)
|
Loss before tax
|
(129.0)
|
52.7%
|
(272.7)
|
Tax credit/(expense)
|
16.0
|
>500.0%
|
(0.4)
|
Loss after tax
|
(113.0)
|
58.6%
|
(273.1)
|
|
|
|
|
Basic earnings/(loss) per share
|
|
|
|
Underlying Earnings Per
Share4
|
30.0p
|
132.6%
|
12.9p
|
Loss per share
|
(80.8p)
|
58.7%
|
(195.7p)
|
The Group's business model is based on providing
high-quality and differentiated products to its target demographic,
predominantly focused on cruise, travel and insurance. The Cruise
and Travel businesses comprise Ocean Cruise, River Cruise and
Travel. The Insurance business operates mainly as a broker,
sourcing underwriting capacity from selected third-party insurance
companies, and, for motor and home, also from the Group's in-house
underwriter. Other Businesses include Saga Money, Saga Publishing
and CustomerKNECT, a mailing and printing business.
Underlying
Revenue4
Underlying Revenue4 increased by
12.9% to £732.7m (2023: £648.9m3) due to increased
trading in the Cruise and Travel businesses as customer confidence
returned to pre-pandemic levels.
Underlying
Profit Before Tax4
The Group generated a total Underlying Profit
Before Tax4 of £38.2m in the current year, compared with
£15.5m3 in the prior year. This is primarily due to a
£49.9m improvement in Cruise and Travel, moving from a £9.9m Loss
to a £40.0m Profit, of which £36.2m relates to the Ocean Cruise
business. This was partially offset by a £31.7m reduction in
Insurance Broking profitability due to difficult trading conditions
within motor and a £12.1m reduction in Insurance Underwriting
profitability due to lower positive changes to liabilities for
prior year incurred claims.
Net finance costs5 in the year were
£23.2m (2023: £21.9m), which exclude finance costs that are
included within the Cruise and Travel businesses of £18.2m (2023:
£19.2m) and Insurance Underwriting business of £2.5m (2023:
£1.9m3).
Loss before
tax
The loss before tax for the year, of £129.0m,
includes a £104.9m impairment to Insurance Broking goodwill and
other exceptional items of £62.3m, consisting of:
· Restructuring
costs of £40.3m, which have materially increased year on year as a
result of the cost-reduction programme initiated in the second
half, alongside the decisions to exit some of our smaller
loss-making activities and rationalise our property
portfolio;
· impairments to
assets, other than goodwill, of £11.9m (net of amounts recoverable
under quota share arrangements);
· onerous contract
provisions of £12.1m on three-year fixed-price policies and on
insurance contracts under IFRS 17;
· fair value
profit on debt securities of £3.5m;
· a £1.0m positive
change in discount rate on non-periodical payment order
(PPO) insurance
liabilities;
· discretionary
customer ticket refunds, and related costs, within Ocean Cruise of
£1.0m;
· costs associated
with the unsecured loan facility with
Roger De Haan of £0.4m;
· £0.3m costs on
the acquisition and disposal of The Big Window Consulting Limited
(the Big
Window);
· fair value
losses of £1.4m on derivatives; and
· foreign exchange
gains on River Cruise ship leases of £0.6m.
The loss before tax in the prior year, of
£272.7m3, includes a £269.0m impairment to Insurance
goodwill and other exceptional items of £19.2m,
including:
· restructuring
costs of £3.7m;
· impairments to
assets, other than goodwill, of £1.1m (net of amounts recoverable
under quota share arrangements);
· an onerous
contract provision of £3.8m on insurance contracts under IFRS
17;
· fair value loss
on debt securities of £15.0m;
· a £6.3m positive
change in discount rate on non-PPO insurance
liabilities;
· acquisition
costs on the purchase of the Big Window of £0.7m;
· foreign exchange
losses on River Cruise ship leases of £2.0m;
· a negative IFRS
16 'Leases' adjustment of £0.6m on River Cruise ships;
and
· fair value gain
on derivatives in the year of £1.4m.
Tax
The Group's tax credit for the year was £16.0m
(2023: £0.4m expense), representing a tax effective rate of 66.4%
(2023: negative 10.8%), excluding the Insurance goodwill impairment
charge. In both the current and prior years, the difference between
the Group's tax effective rate and the standard rate of corporation
tax was mainly due to the Group's Ocean Cruise business being in
the tonnage tax regime.
There was also an adjustment in the current year
for the over-provision of prior year tax of £4.5m credit (2023:
£0.8m expense). Excluding the impact of the Ocean Cruise business
being in the tonnage tax regime, the Insurance goodwill impairment
and adjustments to prior year tax, the tax effective rate for the
current year is 19.9% (2023: 11.1%).
Earnings/(loss)
per share
The Group's Underlying Basic Earnings Per
Share4 was 30.0p (2023: 12.9p). The Group's reported
basic loss per share was 80.8p (2023: loss of
195.7p3).
3 The prior
year has been restated to reflect the adoption of IFRS 17
'Insurance Contracts'
4 Refer to
the Alternative Performance Measures Glossary for definition and
explanation
5 Net
finance costs exclude Cruise, Travel and Insurance Underwriting
finance costs and net fair value gains/(losses) on
derivatives
Effect of IFRS
17 on Underlying Profit Before Tax6 and loss before tax
£m
|
|
12m to
Jan 2024
|
Change
|
12m to
Jan 2023
|
|
|
|
|
|
Underlying Profit Before Tax
(Under Previous IFRS)6
|
|
45.3
|
23.8
|
21.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
New approach to reserve
margin
|
|
(2.4)
|
(0.1)
|
(2.3)
|
Change in valuation of PPO
reserves (other than due to margin)
|
|
(3.9)
|
0.5
|
(4.4)
|
Discounting of non-PPO reserves
(other than change in discount rate)
|
|
(2.6)
|
(1.8)
|
(0.8)
|
Effect of expensing insurance
acquisition costs when incurred
|
|
0.6
|
(3.7)
|
4.3
|
Other individually immaterial
adjustments
|
|
1.2
|
4.0
|
(2.8)
|
Impact of IFRS 17 on Underlying
Profit Before Tax6
|
|
(7.1)
|
(1.1)
|
(6.0)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Underlying Profit Before Tax6
|
|
38.2
|
22.7
|
15.5
|
For the year ended 31 January 2024, the
transition to IFRS 17 resulted in an Underlying Profit Before
Tax6 reduction of £7.1m, compared with a £6.0m reduction
in the prior year. The material movements between the IFRS 17
impact on Underlying Profit Before Tax6 across the two
years are detailed below:
· The new approach
to reserve margin adjusts for differences in reserving between the
previous standard, IFRS 4 'Insurance Contracts', and IFRS 17.
Specifically, management margins included within the IFRS 4 results
are reversed, while new provisions for events not in data
(ENIDs) and the risk
adjustment are included under IFRS 17. In the current year, the
reversal of the change in management margins reduced IFRS 17 profit
by £6.2m and this was partially offset by a reduction in ENIDs of
£2.1m and a reduction in the risk adjustment of £1.7m, net of
reinsurance, totalling £2.4m.
· £1.8m negative
impact arising from the discounting of non-PPO reserves that under
previous IFRS, were not subject to discounting. The negative impact
in the current and prior year largely arises from the increase in
recoveries under the quota share reinsurance agreement, with these
recoveries discounted over a longer duration than that of the
underlying claims.
· The impact of
expensing insurance acquisition costs when incurred produced a
benefit to Underlying Profit Before Tax6 in both the
current and prior years. This is due to decreasing acquisition
costs linked to lower sales of policies underwritten by Acromas
Insurance Company Limited (AICL). The £3.7m movement, when
compared with the prior year, reflects a slowdown of that
trend.
· £4.0m positive
change in the impact of other individually immaterial adjustments,
in part due to remeasurement of the three-year fixed-price
obligation.
£m
|
|
12m to
Jan 2024
|
Change
|
12m to
Jan 2023
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss before tax (under previous
IFRS)
|
|
(130.7)
|
123.5
|
(254.2)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Impact of IFRS 17 on Underlying
Profit Before Tax6
|
|
(7.1)
|
(1.1)
|
(6.0)
|
|
Impact of discount rate change on
non-PPO reserves
|
|
1.0
|
(5.4)
|
6.4
|
|
Fair value gains/(losses) on
investments
|
|
3.4
|
18.5
|
(15.1)
|
|
Net expense from onerous
contracts
|
|
(9.0)
|
(5.2)
|
(3.8)
|
|
Reversal of deferred acquisition
cost impairment under IFRS 4
|
|
13.4
|
13.4
|
-
|
|
Impact of IFRS 17 on loss before
tax
|
|
1.7
|
20.2
|
(18.5)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss before tax
|
|
(129.0)
|
143.7
|
(272.7)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
In the year ended 31 January 2024, the adoption
of IFRS 17 decreased the loss before tax by £1.7m (2023: £18.5m
increase). The most material movements are as follows:
· £7.1m negative
impact arising from the movements in Underlying Profit Before
Tax6 described above.
· £1.0m positive
impact from the increase in the period in the discount rate used to
value non-PPO claim liabilities, with this discount rate being
linked to market interest rates. This positive impact was £5.4m
lower than the positive impact in the prior year, when there was a
more significant increase in market interest rates.
· £3.4m positive
impact from changing the classification of the debt securities that
support the Group's insurance liabilities. Under the new
classification, fair value gains or losses in each period are
presented within profit or loss, whereas, under the previous
classification, any such gains or losses were reported outside
profit or loss, within other comprehensive income. The significant
improvement, when compared with the prior year, arises from a
tightening of credit spreads and interest rate
movements.
· £9.0m in
relation to the provision for onerous contracts. The higher
provision is due to a combination of an increase in contracts that
are onerous at initial recognition (primarily due to renewals in
years two and three of three-year fixed-price policies) and an
upwards revaluation of the existing provision due to prolonged
claims inflation.
· £13.4m in
relation to the reversal of an impairment of deferred acquisition
costs under IFRS 4 as these are expensed immediately under IFRS 17.
No such impairment existed in the prior year.
6 Refer to the Alternative Performance Measures Glossary for
definition and explanation
Cruise and
Travel
|
12m to Jan
2024
|
|
12m to Jan
2023
|
£m
|
Ocean
Cruise
|
River
Cruise
|
Travel
|
Total Cruise and
Travel
|
Change
|
Ocean
Cruise
|
River
Cruise
|
Travel
|
Total
Cruise
and Travel
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Underlying Revenue7
|
215.9
|
43.8
|
156.3
|
416.0
|
36.2%
|
168.3
|
28.8
|
108.4
|
305.5
|
Gross profit
|
81.1
|
11.3
|
30.0
|
122.4
|
95.5%
|
40.2
|
1.5
|
20.9
|
62.6
|
Marketing expenses
|
(12.3)
|
(4.4)
|
(9.6)
|
(26.3)
|
(7.8%)
|
(11.0)
|
(3.2)
|
(10.2)
|
(24.4)
|
Other operating
expenses
|
(15.1)
|
(4.0)
|
(19.6)
|
(38.7)
|
(33.9%)
|
(10.7)
|
(3.4)
|
(14.8)
|
(28.9)
|
Investment return
|
-
|
0.1
|
0.7
|
0.8
|
100.0%
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Finance costs
|
(18.2)
|
-
|
-
|
(18.2)
|
5.2%
|
(19.2)
|
-
|
-
|
(19.2)
|
Underlying Profit/(Loss)
Before Tax7
|
35.5
|
3.0
|
1.5
|
40.0
|
504.0%
|
(0.7)
|
(5.1)
|
(4.1)
|
(9.9)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average revenue per passenger
(£)
|
4,683
|
2,639
|
2,704
|
3,452
|
6.8%
|
4,714
|
2,483
|
2,297
|
3,233
|
Ocean Cruise load
factor
|
88%
|
|
|
88%
|
13ppts
|
75%
|
|
|
75%
|
Ocean Cruise per diem
(£)
|
331
|
|
|
331
|
4.1%
|
318
|
|
|
318
|
River Cruise load
factor
|
|
85%
|
|
85%
|
n/a
|
|
n/a
|
|
n/a
|
River Cruise per diem
(£)
|
|
285
|
|
285
|
n/a
|
|
n/a
|
|
n/a
|
Passengers ('000)
|
46.1
|
16.6
|
57.8
|
120.5
|
27.5%
|
35.7
|
11.6
|
47.2
|
94.5
|
Ocean Cruise
The Ocean Cruise business owns two ocean cruise
ships, Spirit of Discovery and Spirit of Adventure.
In the current year, the business returned to
fully operational conditions for the first time since the pandemic
and achieved a load factor of 88% (2023: 75%) and a per diem of
£331 (2023: £318). These two factors, when combined, equated to
Underlying Revenue7 growth of 28.3% and resulted in a
return to profitability from an Underlying Loss Before
Tax7 of £0.7m in the prior year to an Underlying Profit
Before Tax7 of £35.5m in the current year.
In the prior year, there were some adverse
impacts on a small number of cruises due to COVID-19, while the
conflict in Ukraine dampened customer demand for departures to the
Baltics and Black Sea, resulting in late itinerary changes and some
limited cancellations.
River Cruise
The River Cruise business has 10-year leases in
place for two boutique river cruise ships, Spirit of the Rhine and
Spirit of the Danube, alongside other charters that are largely
managed on an annual basis.
In the current year, the business returned to
more normal operating conditions. For 2023/24, we aligned
management information for River Cruise to the Ocean Cruise
business, so load factor and per diems became key performance
indicators for River Cruise. The business achieved a load
factor of 85% and a per diem of £285 for the year. This resulted in
Underlying Revenue7 growth of 52.1% and a return to
profitability from an Underlying Loss Before Tax7 of
£5.1m in the prior year to an Underlying Profit Before
Tax7 of £3.0m in the current year.
In the prior year, although the business was
operating, both the Omicron variant of COVID-19 and the conflict in
Ukraine impacted the number of passengers travelling, due to
continued customer caution in relation to Central
Europe.
Travel
The Travel business, which includes both the
Saga Holidays and Titan brands, saw increased volumes when compared
with the prior year, with passenger numbers increasing from 47.2k
to 57.8k. The business also generated higher revenue per passenger
in the year, increasing from £2,297 to £2,704.
This led to Underlying Revenue7
growth of 44.2% and a return to profitability from an Underlying
Loss Before Tax7 of £4.1m in
the prior year to an Underlying Profit Before
Tax7 of £1.5m in the current year.
In the first half of the prior year, the
recovery in volumes was impacted by a level of disruption from a
variety of factors, including operational challenges faced by
airlines and airports. In the second half of the prior year, we saw
customer cancellations returning closer to pre-pandemic
levels.
Forward Cruise and Travel
sales
The Ocean Cruise load factor for 2024/25 is
ahead of the same point last year for 2023/24 by 4ppts. This is due
to an improved load factor in the first quarter when compared with
the prior year. The per diem for 2024/25 is 8.6% higher than the
same point last year, reflecting the inflationary impact on
operating costs in customer pricing.
The River Cruise load factor and per diem for
2024/25 are also ahead of the same point last year, by 6ppts and
13.4% respectively. This is due to increased customer demand for
2024/25, following the introduction of our third spirit-class ship,
Spirit of the Douro.
Travel bookings for 2024/25 are ahead of the
same point last year by 12.1% and 3.7% for revenue and passengers
respectively. The increased revenue is due, in part, to higher
passenger numbers, but also higher average selling prices as a
result of enhanced revenue management processes. The increase in
passenger numbers is due to increased uptake of short-haul travel
within our Titan brand and hotel holidays within our Saga brand, as
customer confidence returns.
|
Current year
departures
|
|
14 April
2024
|
Change
|
16 April
2023
|
Ocean Cruise revenue
(£m)
|
200.8
|
11.6%
|
179.9
|
Ocean Cruise load
factor
|
78%
|
4ppts
|
74%
|
Ocean Cruise per diem
(£)
|
367
|
8.6%
|
338
|
|
|
|
|
River Cruise revenue
(£m)
|
41.5
|
17.2%
|
35.4
|
River Cruise load
factor
|
72%
|
6ppts
|
66%
|
River Cruise per diem
(£)
|
339
|
13.4%
|
299
|
|
|
|
|
Travel revenue (£m)
|
140.7
|
12.1%
|
125.5
|
Travel passengers
('000)
|
45.3
|
3.7%
|
43.7
|
7 Refer to the Alternative
Performance Measures Glossary for definition and
explanation
Insurance
Insurance Broking
The Insurance Broking business provides
tailored insurance products and services, principally motor, home,
private medical and travel insurance.
Its role is to price the policies and source
the lowest risk price, whether through the panel of motor and home
underwriters or through solus arrangements for private medical and
travel insurance. The Group's in-house
insurer, AICL, sits on the motor and home panels and competes for
that business with other panel members on equal terms. AICL offers
its underwriting capacity on the home panel through a coinsurance
deal with a third party, so the Group takes no underwriting risk
for that product. Even if underwritten by a third party, the
product is presented as a Saga product and the Group manages the
customer relationship.
|
12m to Jan
2024
|
|
12m to Jan 2023
(restated8)
|
|
Motor
|
Home
|
Other
|
|
|
Motor
|
Home
|
Other
|
|
£m
|
broking
|
broking
|
broking
|
Total
|
Change
|
broking
|
broking
|
broking
|
Total
|
Gross Written Premiums9
(GWP)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Brokered
|
114.1
|
162.4
|
131.0
|
407.5
|
7.5%
|
105.0
|
150.1
|
123.9
|
379.0
|
Underwritten
|
195.5
|
-
|
3.0
|
198.5
|
7.8%
|
180.9
|
-
|
3.2
|
184.1
|
GWP
|
309.6
|
162.4
|
134.0
|
606.0
|
7.6%
|
285.9
|
150.1
|
127.1
|
563.1
|
Broker revenue
|
4.5
|
25.4
|
45.1
|
75.0
|
(28.1%)
|
35.7
|
26.5
|
42.1
|
104.3
|
Instalment revenue
|
3.4
|
3.3
|
-
|
6.7
|
9.8%
|
3.1
|
3.0
|
-
|
6.1
|
Add-on revenue
|
8.1
|
9.5
|
-
|
17.6
|
(10.2%)
|
9.2
|
10.4
|
-
|
19.6
|
Other revenue
|
27.1
|
17.3
|
(3.3)
|
41.1
|
(10.8%)
|
25.2
|
17.7
|
3.2
|
46.1
|
Written Underlying Revenue9
|
43.1
|
55.5
|
41.8
|
140.4
|
(20.3%)
|
73.2
|
57.6
|
45.3
|
176.1
|
Written gross profit
|
35.9
|
55.5
|
49.7
|
141.1
|
(19.0%)
|
66.7
|
57.6
|
49.8
|
174.1
|
Marketing expenses
|
(9.6)
|
(6.2)
|
(5.6)
|
(21.4)
|
15.1%
|
(13.0)
|
(6.7)
|
(5.5)
|
(25.2)
|
Written Gross Profit After Marketing
Expenses9
|
26.3
|
49.3
|
44.1
|
119.7
|
(19.6%)
|
53.7
|
50.9
|
44.3
|
148.9
|
Other operating
expenses
|
(36.6)
|
(29.6)
|
(19.1)
|
(85.3)
|
(3.5%)
|
(36.8)
|
(28.4)
|
(17.2)
|
(82.4)
|
Written Underlying (Loss)/Profit Before
Tax9
|
(10.3)
|
19.7
|
25.0
|
34.4
|
(48.3%)
|
16.9
|
22.5
|
27.1
|
66.5
|
Written to earned
adjustment
|
5.4
|
-
|
-
|
5.4
|
8.0%
|
5.0
|
-
|
-
|
5.0
|
Earned Underlying (Loss)/Profit Before
Tax9
|
(4.9)
|
19.7
|
25.0
|
39.8
|
(44.3%)
|
21.9
|
22.5
|
27.1
|
71.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Policies in force
|
700k
|
605k
|
194k
|
1,499k
|
(9.3%)
|
800k
|
645k
|
207k
|
1,652k
|
Policies sold
|
750k
|
633k
|
192k
|
1,575k
|
(8.7%)
|
849k
|
670k
|
206k
|
1,725k
|
Third-party panel
share10
|
33.6%
|
|
|
|
0.9ppts
|
32.7%
|
|
|
|
Insurance Broking Underlying Profit Before
Tax9, on a written basis (which excludes the impact of
the written to earned adjustment deferring the revenue on policies
underwritten over the term of the policy), decreased to £34.4m,
from £66.5m8.
A key metric for the Insurance Broking business
is Written Gross Profit After Marketing Expenses9, but
before deducting overheads. This reduced from £148.9m8
in the prior year to £119.7m in the current year, due mainly to
lower renewal volumes and margins on motor business. There were
falls in Written Gross Profits After Marketing Expenses9
in motor of £27.4m, in home of £1.6m and in other broking of
£0.2m.
For motor and home insurance, in terms of the
total Written Gross Profit After Marketing Expenses9,
the new business proportion increased by £3.4m, while there was a
£32.4m reduction in the renewal proportion.
The reduction in profitability of the motor
business is attributable to significant inflationary pressures on
the net rates charged by panel partners, which have increased at a
faster pace than the price that can be charged to consumers in a
competitive marketplace. This has been accentuated by the fact that
a significant number of motor policies are on three-year
fixed-price deals, which fix the customer price for two renewals.
Lower new business volumes in the prior year have also led to a 13%
reduction in the level of renewal volumes in the current
year.
The three-year fixed-price product remains
important, with 582k policies sold in the year, 42% of total motor
and home policies, with 28% of direct new business customers taking
the product despite cost of living pressures. This product remains
highly attractive to our customer base and, while current
profitability has been impacted by high industry inflation, this is
a short-term challenge, as all policies will have been repriced by
the middle of 2025. Inflation for the three-year fixed-price home
product is within expectations.
The challenging motor environment led to the
average gross margin per policy for motor and home combined,
calculated as Written Gross Profit After Marketing
Expenses9 divided by the number of policies sold,
reducing to £54.7 in the current year, compared with
£68.98 in the prior year.
In addition, customer retention decreased from
84% to 81%, overall motor and home policies in force decreased 9%
when compared with 31 January 2023 and direct new business sales
reduced by 6ppts to 43%, as the Group rebalanced volumes towards
price-comparison website distribution channels.
Written profit and gross margin per policy for
motor and home are stated after allowing for deferral of part of
the revenues from three-year fixed-price policies, which is then
recognised in profit or loss when the option to renew those
policies at a predetermined fixed price is exercised or lapses,
recognising the inflation risk inherent in these products. As at 31
January 2024, £10.6m (2023: £9.7m8) of income had been
deferred in relation to three-year fixed-price policies, £8.9m
(2023: £7.9m8) of which related to income written in the
year to 31 January 2024.
Motor broking
Gross Written Premiums9 increased by
8.3% due to a 22.6% increase in average premiums, partially offset
by an 11.7% reduction in core policies sold. Gross Written
Premiums9, from business underwritten by AICL, increased
8.1% to £195.5m (2023: £180.9m), due to a 43.2% increase in average
premiums, offset by a 24.5% decrease in core policies
sold.
Written Gross Profit After Marketing
Expenses9 was £26.3m (2023: £53.7m8),
contributing £35.1 per policy (2023: £63.38 per policy).
The decrease in written gross profits, and margin per policy, is
mainly due to the adverse impact of inflation on motor renewal
profitability.
Home broking
Gross Written Premiums9 increased by
8.2% due to a 14.6% increase in average premiums, partially offset
by a 5.5% reduction in core policies sold.
Written Gross Profit After Marketing
Expenses9 was £49.3m (2023: £50.9m), equating to £77.9
per policy (2023: £76.0 per policy). The increase in renewal
margins and a 10.0% increase in new business policies sold was more
than offset by lower new business margins and an 8.1% reduction in
renewal policies sold.
Other broking
Other broking primarily comprises private
medical insurance (PMI) and
travel insurance.
Gross Written Premiums9 increased
5.4% as a result of higher average premiums on both PMI and travel
insurance policies, with policy sales broadly stable at 33k (2023:
34k) for PMI and a slight reduction, to 146k (2023: 158k), for
travel insurance.
As a result, Written Gross Profits After
Marketing Expenses9 relating to travel insurance
products decreased by £0.6m.
While sales of PMI were stable, Written Gross
Profit After Marketing Expenses9 was £1.6m higher. This
increase is mainly due to a one-off payment from Bupa as part of
the agreed terms for migrating the book from AXA.
8 The prior year has been restated to reflect the adoption of
IFRS 17 'Insurance Contracts'
9 Refer to the Alternative Performance Measures Glossary for
definition and explanation
10 Third-party underwriter's share of the motor panel for
policies
Insurance Underwriting
|
|
12m to Jan
2024
|
|
12m to Jan 2023
(restated11)
|
£m
|
|
Gross
|
Re-
insurance
|
Net
|
Gross
change
|
Gross
|
Re-
insurance
|
Net
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance Underlying Revenue12
|
A
|
169.8
|
(17.0)
|
152.8
|
7.1%
|
158.5
|
(14.8)
|
143.7
|
Incurred claims (current
year)
|
B
|
(170.9)
|
22.3
|
(148.6)
|
3.0%
|
(176.1)
|
32.4
|
(143.7)
|
Claims handling costs in relation
to incurred claims
|
C
|
(15.6)
|
-
|
(15.6)
|
(19.1%)
|
(13.1)
|
-
|
(13.1)
|
Changes to liabilities for
incurred claims (prior year)
|
D
|
(15.3)
|
33.9
|
18.6
|
(154.3%)
|
28.2
|
6.4
|
34.6
|
Other incurred insurance service
expenses
|
E
|
(14.7)
|
-
|
(14.7)
|
10.4%
|
(16.4)
|
-
|
(16.4)
|
Insurance service result
|
|
(46.7)
|
39.2
|
(7.5)
|
(147.1%)
|
(18.9)
|
24.0
|
5.1
|
Net finance (expense)/income from
(re)insurance (excludes impact of change in discount rate on
non-PPO liabilities)
|
|
(5.6)
|
3.1
|
(2.5)
|
(100.0%)
|
(2.8)
|
0.9
|
(1.9)
|
Investment return (excludes fair
value gains/losses on debt securities)
|
|
8.6
|
-
|
8.6
|
14.7%
|
7.5
|
-
|
7.5
|
Underlying (Loss)/Profit Before
Tax12
|
|
(43.7)
|
42.3
|
(1.4)
|
(207.7%)
|
(14.2)
|
24.9
|
10.7
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reported loss ratio
|
(B+D)/A
|
109.7%
|
|
85.1%
|
(16.4ppts)
|
93.3%
|
|
75.9%
|
Expense ratio
|
(C+E)/A
|
17.8%
|
|
19.8%
|
0.8ppts
|
18.6%
|
|
20.5%
|
Reported COR
|
(B+C+D+E)/A
|
127.5%
|
|
104.9%
|
(15.6ppts)
|
111.9%
|
|
96.5%
|
Current year COR
|
(B+C+E)/A
|
118.5%
|
|
117.1%
|
11.2ppts
|
129.7%
|
|
120.5%
|
Number of earned
policies
|
|
539k
|
|
|
(18.6%)
|
662k
|
|
|
Policies in force - Saga
motor
|
|
463k
|
|
|
(13.5%)
|
535k
|
|
|
The Group's in-house underwriter, AICL,
underwrites over 65% of the motor business sold by Insurance
Broking, alongside a smaller proportion of business on other
panels. Alongside this, AICL underwrites a portion of Saga's home
panel, although all home underwriting risk is passed to third-party
insurance and reinsurance providers. AICL also has excess of loss
and funds-withheld quota share reinsurance arrangements in place,
relating to its motor underwriting line of business, which transfer
a significant proportion of motor insurance risk to third-party
reinsurers.
In line with the wider market, AICL has
experienced a prolonged period of elevated claims inflation that in
the 12 months to 31 January 2024, was estimated at around 15%. In
response to this, material price increases have been applied over
the past 12 months; however, these take time to fully flow through
to insurance revenue.
Gross insurance revenue increased 7.1% to
£169.8m (2023: £158.5m11), reflecting a 31.6% increase
in average earned premiums. This was only partially offset by the
18.6% reduction in the number of earned policies underwritten by
AICL, particularly those underwritten for Saga as opposed to other
panels.
While claims trends in the first half of 2022/23
were somewhat adverse to expectations, inflationary pressures
really started to accelerate from mid-2022 onwards. Results for the
second half of the prior year were heavily impacted by these
pressures, as well as from an increased frequency of large losses.
These trends continued into the first half of 2023/24, albeit with
some moderation in large loss frequency and with pricing actions
over the past 12 months starting to benefit revenue.
The above factors, when combined, result in a
reduced current year gross COR of 118.5% (2023:
129.7%11); however, after allowing for reinsurance
arrangements, this reduced further to 117.1% (2023:
120.5%11).
Following the increases applied over the past
year, pricing now reflects recent and emerging trends and, as a
result, the COR is expected to reduce over time as these higher
prices flow through to the result.
Positive changes to liabilities for incurred
claims reduced from £34.6m in the prior year to £18.6m in the
current year. This was driven by a deterioration in gross
liabilities for claims incurred in prior years in 2023/24, which in
turn was driven by further claims inflation and an adverse
development on one specific large claim. The net
finance expense line includes the unwind of the discount of opening
claims liabilities, which materially increased in the prior year
due to the increase in the claims discount rate over the past 12
months. This also includes modest adjustments to the valuation of
PPO liabilities, which were a net £1.0m positive in the current
year, compared with nil in the prior year.
11 The prior year has been restated to reflect the adoption of
IFRS 17 'Insurance Contracts'
12 Refer to the Alternative Performance Measures Glossary for
definition and explanation
Other
Businesses and Central Costs
|
12m to Jan
2024
|
|
12m to Jan 2023
(restated13)
|
£m
|
Other
Businesses
|
Central
Costs
|
Total
|
Change
|
Other
Businesses
|
Central
Costs
|
Total
|
Underlying
Revenue14
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Money
|
6.4
|
-
|
6.4
|
(19.0%)
|
7.9
|
-
|
7.9
|
Publishing and
CustomerKNECT
|
12.3
|
-
|
12.3
|
19.4%
|
10.3
|
-
|
10.3
|
Insight
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(100.0%)
|
0.6
|
-
|
0.6
|
Other
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(100.0%)
|
-
|
1.0
|
1.0
|
Total Underlying Revenue14
|
18.7
|
-
|
18.7
|
(5.6%)
|
18.8
|
1.0
|
19.8
|
Gross profit
|
7.2
|
5.0
|
12.2
|
(8.3%)
|
8.1
|
5.2
|
13.3
|
Operating expenses
|
(6.3)
|
(28.3)
|
(34.6)
|
29.7%
|
(8.9)
|
(40.3)
|
(49.2)
|
Investment income
|
-
|
5.4
|
5.4
|
440.0%
|
-
|
1.0
|
1.0
|
Net finance costs
|
-
|
(23.2)
|
(23.2)
|
(5.9%)
|
-
|
(21.9)
|
(21.9)
|
Underlying Profit/(Loss) Before
Tax14
|
0.9
|
(41.1)
|
(40.2)
|
29.2%
|
(0.8)
|
(56.0)
|
(56.8)
|
The Group's Other Businesses include Saga Money,
Saga Publishing and CustomerKNECT.
Underlying Profit Before Tax14 for
Other Businesses, when combined, increased by £1.7m, from a £0.8m
Underlying Loss Before Tax14 in the prior year to an
Underlying Profit Before Tax14 of £0.9m in the current
year, largely due to the decision to exit some of our smaller,
loss-making activities of Saga Exceptional and Saga Insight.
Revenue in Saga Money decreased by £1.5m due to market-wide equity
release challenges arising from the inflationary
environment.
Central operating expenses decreased to £28.3m
(2023: £40.3m13). Gross administration costs, before
Group recharges, decreased by £10.5m in the year, as a result of a
cost-reduction programme enacted in the second half of the year and
lower property costs following closure of the Group's unused
offices. Net costs decreased by a further £1.5m due to higher Group
recharges to the business units.
Net finance costs in the year were £23.2m
(2023: £21.9m), excluding finance costs included within the Cruise
and Travel businesses of £18.2m (2023: £19.2m) and Insurance
Underwriting business of £2.5m (2023: £1.9m).
13 The prior year has been restated to reflect the adoption of
IFRS 17 'Insurance Contracts'
14 Refer to the Alternative Performance Measures Glossary for
definition and explanation
Cash flow and liquidity
Available
Operating Cash Flow15
£m
|
|
12m to
Jan 2024
|
Change
|
12m to
Jan 2023
(restated16)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance Broking Trading
EBITDA15
|
|
47.2
|
(39.6%)
|
78.2
|
Other Businesses and Central Costs
Trading EBITDA15
|
|
(12.2)
|
58.6%
|
(29.5)
|
Trading EBITDA15,17 from unrestricted
businesses
|
|
35.0
|
(28.1%)
|
48.7
|
Dividends paid by Insurance
Underwriting business
|
|
14.0
|
(44.0%)
|
25.0
|
Working capital and non-cash
items
|
|
9.4
|
206.8%
|
(8.8)
|
Capital expenditure funded with
Available Cash15
|
|
(21.6)
|
(36.7%)
|
(15.8)
|
Available Operating Cash Flow15 before cash
repayment from/(injection into) Cruise and Travel
operations
|
|
36.8
|
(25.1%)
|
49.1
|
Cash repayment from/(injection
into) River Cruise and Travel businesses
|
|
14.9
|
183.7%
|
(17.8)
|
Ocean Cruise Available Operating
Cash Flow15
|
|
92.1
|
290.3%
|
23.6
|
Available Operating Cash Flow15
|
|
143.8
|
161.9%
|
54.9
|
Restructuring costs
|
|
(28.8)
|
(>500.0%)
|
(1.4)
|
Interest and financing
costs
|
|
(39.3)
|
(3.4%)
|
(38.0)
|
Business acquisitions
|
|
-
|
100.0%
|
(0.9)
|
Tax receipts
|
|
4.6
|
91.7%
|
2.4
|
Other
(payments)/receipts
|
|
(5.8)
|
(>500.0%)
|
0.3
|
Change in cash flow from
operations
|
|
74.5
|
330.6%
|
17.3
|
Change in Ocean Cruise ship
debt
|
|
(62.2)
|
(34.1%)
|
(46.4)
|
Cash at 1 February
|
|
157.5
|
(15.6%)
|
186.6
|
Available Cash15 at 31 January
|
|
169.8
|
7.8%
|
157.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Available
Operating Cash Flow15
is made up of the cash flows from unrestricted businesses and
the dividends paid by restricted companies, less any cash
injections to those businesses. Unrestricted businesses include
Insurance Broking (excluding specific ring-fenced funds to satisfy
Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) regulatory requirements), Other
Businesses and Central Costs, and the Group's Ocean Cruise
business. Restricted businesses include AICL, River Cruise and
Travel.
As a result of significantly improved cash
generation from the Ocean Cruise business and cash repayments from
the River Cruise and Travel businesses, partially offset by a
reduction in cash generation from unrestricted businesses,
Available Operating Cash Flow15 increased from an inflow of £54.9m in
the prior year to £143.8m in the current year.
Excluding cash transfers to and from the
Cruise and Travel businesses, the Group continued to be
cash-generative in the year, with an Available Operating Cash
Flow15 of £36.8m
compared with £49.1m in the prior year. Trading
EBITDA15,17 from
unrestricted businesses reduced by £13.7m, mainly as a result of
reduced motor margins in the Insurance Broking segment, partially
offset by significant cost savings enacted in Other Businesses and
Central Costs during the second half of the year. Changes in
working capital were a £9.4m inflow in the current year, compared
with an £8.8m16 outflow in the prior year, mainly
due to an increase in net premiums payable to our panel of
underwriters following price increases in the year due to high
claims inflation. This was only partially offset by price increases
to customers, as a result of the reduction in motor margins and the
inability to pass these price rises on to fixed-price product
holders. Dividends from AICL reduced by £11.0m, as
expected.
For River Cruise and Travel, the Group was
repaid £14.9m in the year. This is an improvement of £32.7m when
compared with the £17.8m provided to the businesses to cover
trading cash flows in the prior year. The improvement is due to the
businesses, in agreement with the CAA, moving from a fully
ring-fenced trust arrangement, where the businesses could not
access 100% of customer cash until they returned from their river
cruise or holiday, to a ring-fenced escrow arrangement where only
70% of customer cash is restricted until they return. At 31 January
2024, the ring-fenced businesses held cash of £49.1m, of which
£37.9m was held in escrow. The Group must hold a minimum of £8.1m
of cash outside of escrow within the ring-fenced businesses, as
agreed with the CAA.
The Ocean Cruise business reported an Available
Operating Cash Flow15 of £92.1m (2023: £23.6m), with an
increase in advance customer receipts of £13.7m (2023: decrease of
£4.1m) and net trading income of £82.2m (2023: £31.6m), partially
offset by capital expenditure of £3.8m (2023: £3.9m). Net of
interest costs of £15.2m (2023: £15.2m) and exceptional costs of
£1.0m (2023: nil), the Ocean Cruise business reported a net cash
inflow, before capital repayments on the ship debt, of £75.9m for
2023/24 compared with £8.4m in the prior year.
Other cash flow movements
Restructuring costs of £28.8m (2023: £1.4m)
were significantly higher than in the prior year, largely arising
from the cost-reduction programme initiated in the second half of
the current year, alongside the decisions to exit some of our
smaller, loss-making activities and rationalise our property
portfolio.
Interest and financing costs increased in the
current year due to higher floating interest costs on the ship debt
deferral loans.
In the prior year, business acquisitions related
to the purchase of the Big Window.
Tax receipts of £4.6m (2023: £2.4m) include the
benefit of repayments in relation to tax overpaid in prior
years.
The Group continued to make the agreed payments
to the defined benefit pension fund as part of the deficit recovery
plan of £5.8m (2023: £5.8m). These are included within other
payments. In the prior year, other receipts also included £5.0m of
restricted cash released to Available Cash15 that the
Group had previously agreed with the FCA to hold on a temporary
basis and a further £1.1m in respect of the Threshold Condition 2.4
balance that the Insurance Broking business holds as restricted
cash.
In the current year, the Group continued to make
capital repayments against its ship debt facilities, with two
payments totalling £30.6m (2023: £30.6m) on Spirit of Discovery's
debt facility and two payments totalling £31.6m (2023: £15.8m) on
Spirit of Adventure's debt facility.
15 Refer to the Alternative Performance Measures Glossary for
definition and explanation
16 The prior year has been restated to reflect the adoption of
IFRS 17 'Insurance Contracts'
17 Trading
EBITDA includes the line-item impact of IFRS 16 with the
corresponding impact to net finance costs included in net cash
flows used in financing activities
Reconciliation between operating and reported
metrics
Available Operating Cash Flow18
reconciles to net cash flows from operating activities as
follows:
£m
|
|
12m to
Jan 2024
|
Change
|
12m to
Jan 2023
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net cash flows from/(used in)
operating activities (reported)
|
|
83.7
|
702.2%
|
(13.9)
|
Exclude cash impact of:
|
|
|
|
|
|
Trading of restricted
divisions
|
|
(13.0)
|
(136.8%)
|
35.3
|
|
Non-trading costs
|
|
34.6
|
361.3%
|
7.5
|
|
Interest paid
|
|
38.2
|
1.6%
|
37.6
|
|
Tax (received)/paid
|
|
(3.2)
|
(455.6%)
|
0.9
|
|
|
|
|
56.6
|
(30.4%)
|
81.3
|
Cash released from restricted
divisions
|
|
28.9
|
301.4%
|
7.2
|
Include capital expenditure funded
from Available Cash18
|
|
(21.6)
|
(36.7%)
|
(15.8)
|
Include Ocean Cruise capital
expenditure
|
|
(3.8)
|
2.6%
|
(3.9)
|
Available Operating Cash Flow18
|
|
143.8
|
161.8%
|
54.9
|
Underlying Revenue18 reconciles to
the statutory measure of revenue as follows:
£m
|
|
12m to
Jan 2024
|
Change
|
12m to
Jan 2023
(restated19)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Underlying
Revenue18
|
|
732.7
|
12.9%
|
648.9
|
Ceded reinsurance premiums earned
on business underwritten by the Group
|
|
17.0
|
14.9%
|
14.8
|
Onerous contract
provision
|
|
(3.1)
|
(100.0%)
|
-
|
Ocean Cruise insurance
compensation for refunds paid to customers
|
|
(5.0)
|
(100.0%)
|
|
Ocean Cruise discretionary
customer ticket refunds
|
|
(0.9)
|
(100.0%)
|
-
|
Insurance Underwriting profit
commission
|
|
(0.9)
|
(100.0%)
|
-
|
Exit from smaller, loss-making
activities
|
|
1.3
|
100.0%
|
-
|
Revenue
|
|
741.1
|
11.7%
|
663.7
|
Trading EBITDA18 reconciles to Underlying Profit Before
Tax18 as follows:
£m
|
|
12m to
Jan 2024
|
Change
|
12m to
Jan 2023
(restated19)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance Broking Trading
EBITDA18
|
|
47.2
|
(39.6%)
|
78.2
|
Insurance Underwriting Trading
EBITDA18
|
|
1.2
|
(90.7%)
|
12.9
|
Ocean Cruise Trading
EBITDA18,20
|
|
74.8
|
91.8%
|
39.0
|
River Cruise and Travel Trading
EBITDA18
|
|
5.5
|
167.9%
|
(8.1)
|
Other Businesses and Central Costs
Trading EBITDA18
|
|
(12.2)
|
58.6%
|
(29.5)
|
Trading EBITDA18
|
|
116.5
|
25.9%
|
92.5
|
Depreciation and
amortisation
|
|
(34.4)
|
(1.2%)
|
(34.0)
|
Net finance costs (including
Cruise, Travel and Insurance Underwriting)
|
|
(43.9)
|
(2.1%)
|
(43.0)
|
Underlying Profit Before Tax18
|
|
38.2
|
146.5%
|
15.5
|
Adjusted Trading EBITDA18 is used in the Group's
leverage calculation for the Revolving Credit Facility
(RCF) covenant and is
calculated as follows:
£m
|
|
12m to
Jan 2024
|
Change
|
12m to
Jan 2023
(restated19)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Trading
EBITDA18
|
|
116.5
|
25.9%
|
92.5
|
Impact of accounting standard
changes since 31 January 2017
|
|
1.7
|
(39.3%)
|
2.8
|
Spirit of Discovery and Spirit of
Adventure Trading EBITDA18,20
|
|
(74.8)
|
(91.8%)
|
(39.0)
|
Adjusted Trading EBITDA18
|
|
43.4
|
(22.9%)
|
56.3
|
Ocean Cruise Trading
EBITDA18,20reconciles to
Ocean Cruise Trading EBITDA (Excluding Overheads)18 as
follows:
£m
|
|
12m to
Jan 2024
|
Change
|
12m to
Jan 2023
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ocean Cruise Trading
EBITDA18,20
|
|
74.8
|
91.8%
|
39.0
|
Ocean Cruise overheads
|
|
15.1
|
(41.1%)
|
10.7
|
Ocean Cruise Trading EBITDA (Excluding
Overheads)18
|
|
89.9
|
80.9%
|
49.7
|
18 Refer to the Alternative Performance Measures Glossary for
definition and explanation
19 The prior year has been restated to reflect the adoption of
IFRS 17 'Insurance Contracts'
20 Ocean Cruise Trading EBITDA includes
Ocean Cruise overheads
Statement of financial position
Goodwill
During the first half of 2023, high claims cost
inflation, particularly in motor, put pressure on the Insurance
business. Combined with the impact of Saga's three-year fixed-price
products and highly competitive market conditions, this led to
lower margins per policy and lower overall Underlying Profit Before
Tax21 for the Insurance Broking business, compared with
prior growth assumptions. The Group, therefore, conducted an
impairment review of the £449.6m Insurance goodwill asset that was
included on the statement of financial position at 31 January
2023.
The Group's five-year financial forecasts
incorporated the impact of the changes in the market environment,
including the impact of continued pressure on margins. Further
stress tests were considered, including the continuation of high
claims cost inflation for an extended period and further downsides
compared with revised base case assumptions. This resulted in
management taking the decision to impair Insurance goodwill by
£68.1m as at 31 July 2023.
The market challenges in Insurance persisted
through the second half of the year and our latest five-year
forecasts have, therefore, been focused on effectively balancing
the protection and, ultimately, growth of policy sales with the
longer-term sustainability of the business. This, however, is
expected to result in reduced profitability in the short term, when
compared with previous growth projections. Management therefore
considered it necessary to perform a further impairment assessment
of goodwill as at 31 January 2024. Forecast cash flows, consistent
with the latest five-year plan and further stress tests, including
the impact of a slower recovery from high claims inflation, have
been modelled. As a result, management has taken the decision to
impair Insurance goodwill by a further £36.8m, taking the total
impairment charge for the year to £104.9m. Consistent with the
approach taken in previous years, this impairment is not included
within Underlying Profit Before Tax21.
21 Refer to
the Alternative Performance Measures Glossary for definition and
explanation
Carrying value
of Ocean Cruise ships
At 31 January 2024, the carrying value of the
Group's Ocean Cruise ships was £586.7m (31 January 2023: £607.0m).
Trading performance in the current year has been very positive,
and, with strong bookings for 2024/25, the Directors concluded that
there were no indicators of impairment at 31 January
2024.
Investment
portfolio
The majority of the Group's financial assets are
held by its Insurance Underwriting entity and represent premium
income received and invested to settle claims and meet regulatory
capital requirements.
The amount held in invested funds decreased by
£28.0m to £251.9m (31 January 2023: £279.9m), partly due to the
payment of £14.0m of dividends from AICL in the year. At 31 January
2024, 100% of the financial assets held by the Group were invested
with counterparties with a risk rating of BBB or above, compared
with 97% in the prior year, reflecting the relatively stable credit
risk rating of the Group's investment holdings.
|
|
Credit risk
rating
|
At 31 January 2024
|
AAA
|
AA
|
A
|
BBB
|
Unrated
|
Total
|
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investment portfolio:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Debt securities
|
23.9
|
59.2
|
70.4
|
65.6
|
-
|
219.1
|
|
Money market funds
|
32.8
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
32.8
|
Total invested funds
|
56.7
|
59.2
|
70.4
|
65.6
|
-
|
251.9
|
Derivative assets
|
-
|
-
|
0.3
|
-
|
-
|
0.3
|
Total financial assets
|
56.7
|
59.2
|
70.7
|
65.6
|
-
|
252.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Credit risk
rating
|
At 31 January 2023
|
AAA
|
AA
|
A
|
BBB
|
Unrated
|
Total
|
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investment portfolio:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Debt securities
|
23.5
|
74.9
|
64.2
|
91.8
|
-
|
254.4
|
|
Money market funds
|
19.6
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
19.6
|
|
Loan funds
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
5.9
|
5.9
|
Total invested funds
|
43.1
|
74.9
|
64.2
|
91.8
|
5.9
|
279.9
|
Derivative assets
|
-
|
-
|
2.5
|
-
|
-
|
2.5
|
Total financial assets
|
43.1
|
74.9
|
66.7
|
91.8
|
5.9
|
282.4
|
Insurance
reserves
Analysis of insurance contract liabilities at 31
January 2024 and 31 January 2023 is as follows:
|
At 31 January
2024
|
At 31 January 2023
(restated22)
|
£m
|
Gross
|
Reinsurance
assets
|
Net
|
Gross
|
Reinsurance
assets
|
Net
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Incurred claims - estimate of the
present value of future cash flows
|
286.4
|
(141.3)
|
145.1
|
259.2
|
(87.6)
|
171.6
|
Incurred claims - risk
adjustment
|
40.2
|
(33.7)
|
6.5
|
35.6
|
(27.4)
|
8.2
|
Remaining coverage - excluding
loss component
|
56.6
|
3.1
|
59.7
|
44.3
|
5.5
|
49.8
|
Remaining coverage - loss
component
|
16.1
|
(1.3)
|
14.8
|
8.4
|
(2.7)
|
5.7
|
Total
|
399.3
|
(173.2)
|
226.1
|
347.5
|
(112.2)
|
235.3
|
The Group's total insurance contract
liabilities, net of reinsurance assets, decreased by £9.2m in the
year to 31 January 2024 from the previous year end, primarily due
to a £26.5m reduction in net incurred claims reserves. This was
partially offset by a £19.0m increase in net remaining coverage
claims reserves. This was driven by a deterioration in gross
liabilities for claims incurred in prior years in 2023/24, which in
turn, was driven by further claims inflation and an adverse
development on one specific large claim.
22 The prior year has been restated to reflect the adoption of
IFRS 17 'Insurance Contracts'
Financing
At 31 January 2024, the Group's Net
Debt23 was £637.2m, £74.5m lower than at the beginning
of the financial year. The Group's total leverage ratio was 5.4x as
at 31 January 2024 (31 January 2023: 7.5x).
£m
|
Maturity
date24
|
31 January
2024
|
|
31 January
2023
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.375% Corporate bond
|
May
2024
|
150.0
|
|
150.0
|
5.5% Corporate bond
|
July
2026
|
250.0
|
|
250.0
|
RCF
|
May
2025
|
-
|
|
-
|
Loan facility with Roger De
Haan
|
April
2026
|
-
|
|
-
|
Spirit of Discovery ship
loan
|
June
2031
|
173.6
|
|
204.2
|
Spirit of Adventure ship
loan
|
September 2032
|
233.4
|
|
265.0
|
Less Available
Cash23,25
|
|
(169.8)
|
|
(157.5)
|
Net Debt23
|
|
637.2
|
|
711.7
|
Net Debt23 is analysed as
follows:
Adjusted Net Debt23 is used in the
Group's leverage calculation and reconciles to Net
Debt23 as follows:
£m
|
|
31 January
2024
|
|
31 January
2023
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Debt23
|
|
637.2
|
|
711.7
|
Exclude ship loans
|
|
(407.0)
|
|
(469.2)
|
Exclude Ocean Cruise Available
Cash23
|
|
2.7
|
|
1.4
|
Adjusted Net Debt23
|
|
232.9
|
|
243.9
|
Excluding the impact of debt and earnings
relating to the Ocean Cruise ships, the Group's leverage ratio
applicable to the RCF was 5.4x at 31 January 2024 (31 January 2023:
4.3x), within the increased 6.25x covenant.
In order to increase the Group's financial
flexibility, we concluded discussions with our RCF lending banks,
agreeing a series of amendments to the facility,
including:
· an increase to
the 31 January 2024 and all subsequent leverage covenants to
6.25x;
· quarterly
covenant testing, irrespective of whether the loan is
drawn;
· the introduction
of a restriction whereby, post repayment of the 2024 bond, no
utilisation of the facility is permitted if free liquidity is below
£40.0m; and
· consent
requirement for any early repayment of corporate debt or payment of
shareholder dividends.
At 31 January 2024, the RCF remained
undrawn.
The Group made repayments on its Ocean Cruise
ship debt facilities in March 2023 and September 2023 for Spirit of
Adventure and in June 2023 and December 2023 for Spirit of
Discovery.
During the year, the Group agreed an extension
of the loan facility in place with Roger De Haan, increasing the
amount that can be drawn from £50.0m to £85.0m. The facility, which
came into effect on 1 January 2024, and was undrawn at 31 January
2024, is unsecured, and the interest rate remains at 10% provided
that drawn funds are used to repay the corporate bonds due in May
2024. If the loan facility is drawn for general corporate purposes,
the interest rate increases to 18%. While the Group expects to draw
down the loan facility as part of the 2024 bond repayment, it is
not likely to draw the funds for any other purpose. The revision
included some other amendments that are not considered significant
but, for the most part, it continues to follow the wording of the
Group's RCF. The termination date of the facility with Roger De
Haan was also extended from 30 June 2025 to 31 December
2025.
Subsequent to the financial year end, a
reduction to the notice period required for drawdown of the loan to
10 business days was agreed, in addition to a further extension to
the termination date of the facility from 31 December 2025 to 30
April 2026.
23 Refer to the Alternative Performance Measures Glossary for
definition and explanation
24 Maturity date represents the date that the principal must be
repaid, other than the ocean cruise ship loans, which are repaid in
instalments over the next eight years
25 Refer to Note 13 of the financial statements for information
as to how this reconciles to a statutory measure of cash
Pensions
The Group's defined benefit pension scheme
liability, as measured on an International Accounting Standard 19R
basis, increased by £35.8m to a £47.9m liability as at 31 January
2024 (31 January 2023: £12.1m).
£m
|
31 January
2024
|
|
31 January
2023
|
|
|
|
|
Fair value of scheme
assets
|
204.5
|
|
224.1
|
Present value of defined benefit
obligation
|
(252.4)
|
|
(236.2)
|
Defined benefit pension scheme liability
|
(47.9)
|
|
(12.1)
|
The movements
observed in the scheme's assets and obligations have been impacted
by macroeconomic factors during the year where, at a global level,
there have been continued inflation and cost of living pressures,
as well as shifts in long-term market yields. The present value of
defined benefit obligations increased by £16.2m, to £252.4m, and
the fair value of scheme assets decreased by £19.6m, to £204.5m.
The net liability position moved adversely due to asset returns
being significantly lower than expected, as well as the impact of
using updated data from the 2023 triennial actuarial valuation,
which is in progress.
Over 2023, asset performance was impacted by a
repositioning of the growth part of the scheme's portfolio
following the gilts crisis in 2022. Substantive changes to the
overall asset allocation and, in particular, growth assets were
required to support the scheme's interest rate and inflation
hedging during, and in the months following, the gilts crisis. The
portfolio, therefore, became overweight to illiquid assets and
underweight to liquid growth assets, which impacted performance.
Changes to the asset allocation occurred over 2023 as capital was
returned from the illiquid assets and repositioned into more liquid
growth assets.
Meanwhile, the use of updated data from the 2023
draft triennial actuarial valuation had the dual impact of
capturing experience up to 31 January 2023 not already quantified
within previous disclosures, and also allowing for any difference
in the roll-forward and assumption changes of the liability once
allowing for the updated underlying liability profile and cash
flows. The primary component of the adverse
experience adjustment reflects a change in the shape of the
yield curve assumption compared with the prior year, which in a
period of unprecedented market volatility between 30 September 2022
and 31 January 2023 in the wake of the September 2022 mini-budget,
has acted to increase the liabilities of the scheme.
These adverse movements have been partly offset
by a reduction in the value placed on the liabilities as a result
of: changes in market conditions; future life expectancies; the
level of commutation assumed and the use of the latest commutation
factors; and a £5.8m deficit funding contribution being paid by the
Group in February 2023. This related to a
recovery plan agreed under the latest approved triennial valuation
of the scheme as at 31 January 2020.
Net
assets
Since 31 January 2023, total assets have
decreased by £66.5m and total liabilities
have increased by £75.4m, resulting in an
overall decrease in net assets of £141.9m.
The decrease in total assets is primarily due
to:
· a decrease in
goodwill of £104.9m, following impairments to Insurance Broking
goodwill in the year;
· a decrease in
financial assets of £30.2m, mainly relating to a reduction in the
Insurance Underwriting investment portfolio, partly to fund £14.0m
of dividends from AICL;
· an increase in
reinsurance assets of £61.0m due to the receivable on the quota
share contract with AICL's reinsurance increasing in the year;
and
· an increase in
cash and short-term deposits of £12.2m.
The increase in total liabilities largely
reflects:
· an increase of
£33.3m in contract liabilities due to the improved forward booking
position of the Cruise and Travel businesses;
· an increase in
retirement benefit scheme liability of £35.8m;
· an increase in
insurance contract liabilities of £51.8m;
· an increase in
trade and other payables of £14.8m; and
· a decrease of
£68.4m in financial liabilities, which is mainly due to a reduction
of £58.4m in bond and bank loans, as a result of capital repayments
on Spirit of Discovery and Spirit of Adventure
facilities.
Effect of IFRS
17 on net assets
£m
|
|
31 Jan
2024
|
Change
|
31 Jan
2023
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net assets (under previous
IFRS)
|
|
228.9
|
(140.6)
|
369.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reversal of management margin
under previous IFRS
|
|
17.8
|
(6.1)
|
23.9
|
ENIDs under IFRS 17
|
|
(5.9)
|
2.1
|
(8.0)
|
IFRS 17 risk adjustment
|
|
(6.6)
|
1.7
|
(8.3)
|
New approach to reserve
margin
|
|
5.3
|
(2.3)
|
7.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
Revised PPO carer wage inflation
assumption
|
|
(16.6)
|
24.9
|
(41.5)
|
Different discount rate for PPOs
and related reinsurance assets
|
|
9.3
|
(28.8)
|
38.1
|
Change in valuation of PPO
reserves (other than due to 'margin')
|
|
(7.3)
|
(3.9)
|
(3.4)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Discounting non-PPO liabilities
and related reinsurance assets
|
|
10.4
|
(1.7)
|
12.1
|
Expense acquisition costs when
incurred
|
|
-
|
13.9
|
(13.9)
|
Onerous contract provision (net of
related reinsurance assets)
|
|
(14.8)
|
(9.1)
|
(5.7)
|
Other individually immaterial
items
|
|
(0.8)
|
1.3
|
(2.1)
|
Deferred taxation
|
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
1.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
Impact of IFRS 17 on net
assets
|
|
(5.4)
|
(1.3)
|
(4.1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net assets under IFRS 17
|
|
223.5
|
(141.9)
|
365.4
|
At 31 January 2024, net assets under IFRS 17
were £5.4m lower than under previous IFRS (31 January 2023: £4.1m).
The material components of this negative year-on-year movement are
included below:
· £9.1m increase
in the net onerous contracts provision held in relation to motor
insurance contracts. This was driven by a combination of an
increase in contracts that were onerous at initial recognition
(primarily due to renewals in years two and three of three-year
fixed-price policies) and an upwards revaluation of the provision
due to prolonged claims inflation.
· £2.3m reduction
in the positive impact of the new approach to reserve margin. This
is due to a £6.1m reduction in the management margin held under
previous IFRS being greater than the £3.8m reduction in IFRS
'margin' (ENIDs and risk adjustment).
· £3.9m negative
movement due to a change in the impact of revaluing PPO reserves
under IFRS 17. The two impacts of IFRS 17 changes to PPO valuation
assumptions (being the carer wage inflation assumption and the
discount rate) would typically largely offset each other, however,
this is not exact due to the complexities of valuing PPO
liabilities, including related potential lump sum awards. This is
particularly the case in a changing economic
environment.
· £1.7m negative
movement in the impact of discounting non-PPO claim reserves at the
IFRS 17 discount rate. This is due to a reduction in the Group's
net non-PPO claim reserves, which in turn, is due to an increase in
the proportion of gross non-PPO reserves that are ceded to
reinsurers.
These are, however, partially offset
by:
· £13.9m reduction
to the negative impact of expensing insurance acquisition costs
when incurred under IFRS 17, instead of deferring them over the
life of the policy under previous IFRS. This reduced impact is the
result of an impairment to the deferred acquisition costs asset
that would have been recognised in the year to 31 January 2024
under IFRS 4;
· £1.3m of other
individually immaterial adjustments; and
· £0.5m deferred
tax impact of the above adjustments.
Going concern
The Directors have performed an assessment of
going concern to determine the adequacy of the Group's financial
resources over a period of 15 months from the date of signing these
financial statements, a period selected to include consideration of
the expiry date of the Group's currently undrawn £50.0m RCF in May
2025 and the first covenant test date falling due
after that expiry for the Group's ship debt facilities.
This assessment is centred on a base case,
overlaid with risk-adjusted financial projections, that incorporate
scenario analysis, and stress tests on expected business
performance.
The Group's base case modelling assumes
continued strong performance in the Cruise business on the back of
high load factors and per diems. Travel is also expected to achieve
continued growth in profits. After a challenging 2023/24 for
Insurance, which saw a year of high cost and claims inflation and
reducing policy volumes in a competitive market, the plan for this
area of the business focuses on stabilisation over the assessment
period and preparation for future growth.
The Group's severe but plausible stressed
scenario incorporates lower load factors for Ocean Cruise, lower
levels of demand in River Cruise and slower growth in the Travel
business. Downside risks modelled for the Insurance business
reflect the possibility that the expected
benefits from planned cost-saving initiatives may not be
realised in full.
Following actions undertaken by management to
reduce the administrative overhead and central cost base in the
second half of 2023/24, both scenarios include an assumption that
the resultant levels of savings are maintained throughout the
assessment period.
Under all scenarios modelled, the Group expects
to meet scheduled Ocean Cruise debt principal repayments as they
fall due over the next 15 months, and to meet the financial
covenants relating to its secured cruise debt.
In addition, in both the base and stressed
scenario, and further incorporating a drawdown under the Group's
£85.0m loan facility with Roger De Haan, repayable in April 2026,
the Group expects to have sufficient resources to enable repayment
of the £150.0m senior bonds on maturity in May 2024 from Available
Cash26 resources.
Over the same time frame and on the same basis,
the Group also expects to remain within the renegotiated financial
covenants and other terms relating to its £50.0m RCF, as set out in
Note 16, in both the base case and the stressed case scenario,
enabling it to draw down on this currently undrawn facility, until
maturity in May 2025, to meet short-term working capital
requirements, should the need arise.
Following the repayment of the £150.0m senior
bonds, the Group will operate with a lower level of Available
Cash26. This may lower the Group's ability to withstand
events that are beyond those contemplated in the severe but
plausible stressed scenario. Notwithstanding this, the Group has
sufficient resources in both the base and severe but plausible
stressed scenarios to continue in operation for at least the next
15 months.
Noting that it is not possible to accurately
predict all possible future risks to the Group's trading, based on
this analysis and the scenarios modelled, the Directors have
concluded that the Group will have sufficient funds to continue to
meet its liabilities as they fall due for a period of at least 15
months from the date of approval of the financial statements. They
have, therefore, deemed it appropriate to prepare the financial
statements to 31 January 2024 on a going concern basis.
26 Refer to the Alternative Performance Measures Glossary for
definition and explanation
Viability
The Directors have considered the viability of
the Group over the five years to January 2029 and the full
Viability Statement will be published within the 2024 Annual Report
and Accounts. Although the outlook for the Cruise and Travel
businesses is healthy, the conditions in Insurance remain
challenging. Against this backdrop, the Directors and Operating
Board have taken steps to strengthen the Group's financial position
to help it mitigate this period of transition.
The Directors have considered the resilience of
the Group, taking account of its current position, the principal
risks facing the business in severe but plausible scenarios and the
effect of any mitigating actions. Under all scenarios modelled, the
Directors have identified a need for additional mitigating action
beyond the scope of normal trading to manage the solvency of the
Group at key pressure points over the five-year period. These
points include the maturity of the £85.0m loan facility with Roger
De Haan in April 2026, and the maturity of the Group's £250.0m
unsecured bond in July 2026. A range of options are currently being
explored, including potential partnership arrangements, which would
release capital and enable the Group to restructure its debt; new
liquidity facilities; and an evaluation of corporate
refinancing.
Based on an assessment of these planned actions,
the Directors have a reasonable expectation that the Group will be
able to continue in operation and meet its liabilities as they fall
due over the next five years. The Directors, however, note that
successful execution of the planned mitigating actions is not fully
within their control and that uncertainty increases over time and,
therefore, future outcomes cannot be guaranteed.
Dividends and financial priorities for
2024/25
Dividends
Given the Group's priority of reducing Net
Debt27, the Board of Directors does not recommend
payment of a final dividend for the 2023/24 financial year, nor
would this currently be permissible under financing arrangements
and while the ship debt facility deferred amounts are
outstanding.
Financial
priorities for 2024/25
The Group's financial priorities for the current
financial year are to reduce Net Debt27 via
capital-light growth, explore partnership opportunities that could
support this objective, continue the growth trajectory of the River
Cruise and Travel businesses, and balance the protection and,
ultimately, growth of policy sales with the delivery of sustainable
profitability within Insurance.
27 Refer to the Alternative Performance Measures Glossary for
definition and explanation
Mark Watkins
Group Chief Financial Officer
16 April 2024
Principal risks and uncertainties
The principal risks and uncertainties
(PRUs) shown below are the
principal risks facing the Group, including those that would
threaten its business model, future performance, solvency or
liquidity. The table also includes the mitigating actions being
taken to manage these risks. The trend denotes the anticipated
future direction of each risk after mitigation, which is influenced
by known key external or internal factors. Saga takes a 'bottom-up'
and 'top-down' approach to developing and reviewing its PRUs, which
occurs at least twice a year with oversight from the Operating
Board and the plc Board. Each PRU has been aligned to the most
relevant strategic priorities.
Key to
strategy elements1
1. Maximising our core businesses
2. Reducing debt through capital-light
growth
3. Growing our customer base and deepening our
customer relationships
Risk
|
Risk
trend2
|
Risk
category
|
Link to
strategy
|
Mitigation
|
Liquidity
risk/debt refinancing
The Group relies on a number of sources of
funding and, as such, is exposed to the risks associated with
repaying or refinancing this funding as it reaches
maturity.
|
Stable
|
Liquidity
|
2
|
The Group increased, and extended, its
currently undrawn unsecured facility with Roger De Haan and we
expect to pay the £150.0m bond due in May 2024 through this,
alongside Available Cash3 resources.
In addition, we amended the leverage ratio
covenant on the Group's undrawn Revolving Credit Facility to 6.25x,
from January 2024 until maturity, to maintain additional
liquidity.
|
Cyber
There is a risk that a cyber security breach
occurs due to failures in keeping pace with external threat actor
capabilities and regulatory expectations, resulting in system
lockdown, ransom demands and/or compromise of substantial data.
This could result in customer/ colleague compensation and
regulatory sanctions
|
Improving
|
Operational
Reputational
|
1
|
Ongoing vulnerability management programme in
place, including industry benchmarking and external penetration
testing, to help maintain security posture.
Continued investment in cyber prevention,
detection and intelligence technologies to help mitigate
attacks.
Awareness and testing programme in place to
protect against social engineering attacks on
colleagues.
Strategy in place to further reduce our
footprint of potential system targets.
|
Breach of
Data Protection Act (DPA)/General Data Protection Regulation
(GDPR)
There is a risk that Saga fails to process and
manage customer data in accordance with their expectations, UK GDPR
and DPA 2018. This could result in potential customer harm,
compensation cost and Information Commissioner's Office
fine/regulatory censure.
|
Worsening
|
Operational
Reputational
|
1 and 3
|
Refreshed Data Management Committee, which
maintains oversight of the management of our most key data risks,
ensuring alignment across all business units.
|
Third-party
suppliers
There is a risk of business interruption,
financial loss and reputational damage arising from loss of key
third parties.
|
Worsening
|
Operational
|
1 and 3
|
Our supplier risk management framework ensures
an appropriate risk-based approach for selecting third-party
partners and overseeing their performance and operational and
financial resilience.
|
Regulatory
action
Risk of customer harm because of our
actions/in-action or failure to implement regulatory change
correctly, which could result in customer remediation, or
regulatory scrutiny, and/or sanction.
|
Stable
|
Operational
Reputational
|
1
|
Continued development of the risk framework to
ensure it evolves in line with regulatory standards.
Horizon-scanning reports produced to identify upcoming regulatory
changes and necessary action.
|
Delivery and
execution
There is a risk that key business change
initiatives fail to be delivered effectively, or at all, due to one
or a combination of the following: resource capability or capacity;
unexpected business as usual risk issues; new regulation; or
material defects in the delivery.
|
Improving
|
Operational
|
1 and 2
|
Review and delivery of our revised operating
model to ensure we are set up to achieve any operational changes
planned.
|
Insurance
pricing modelling error
There is a risk that uncertainty in the
Insurance Broking and Underwriting businesses leads to material
pricing, reserving and/or underwriting issues that cause
significant financial impact and/or customer harm.
|
Stable
|
Operational
Insurance
|
1
|
Product and pricing governance is in place and
we regularly monitor pricing information against
expectation.
|
Organisational
resilience
A risk of failure in one or more key resources
supporting critical services or operations, and inability to
recover within defined parameters in the context of a complex,
dynamic risk environment and ongoing change and
transformation.
|
Stable
|
Operational
|
1, 2 and 3
|
Continued development of the organisational
resilience strategy and plan. Response and recovery planning, and a
resilience testing plan are in place, supported by an operational
resilience self-assessment.
|
Environmental, Social and Governance
(ESG)/climate change
There is a risk that Saga does not maintain
compliance with increasing ESG-related regulation, or fails to
deliver on its stated ESG strategy in line with stakeholder
expectations, causing reputational, customer and financial
impacts.
|
Stable
|
Strategic
Operational
Reputational
|
1 and 3
|
ESG strategy and governance has been defined
and implemented, with ESG embedded into the risk management
framework.
|
Capability
and capacity
There is a risk that the capability and
capacity of colleagues does not align to significant organisational
change needed to deliver strategic objectives.
|
Improving
|
Strategic
Operational
|
2
|
Focus on retention of key colleagues,
alongside review and optimisation of our operating model, ensuring
it supports the planned organisational changes.
|
Fraud and
financial crime
There is a risk that we experience increased
risk of internal or external fraud and financial crime, driven by
remote working and general macroeconomic conditions.
|
Stable
|
Operational
|
1
|
Ongoing monitoring and management of claims
fraud, with regular colleague training and awareness in place.
Financial crime risk frameworks in place and tailored to each
business unit.
|
Pandemic
Risk to the Cruise and Travel businesses and
financial resilience of Saga in the event of new and/or significant
pandemic.
|
Stable
|
Operational
|
1, 2 and 3
|
More in-depth analysis to be carried out to
understand the businesses' resilience to a new pandemic based on
the current diversification of the Group, with business response
plans and any necessary actions identified carried out.
|
Culture
There is a risk that Saga's culture does not
transform in line with the purpose, values and strategy to deliver
the financial results expected per the five-year plan.
|
Improving
|
Operational
Reputational
|
1 and 3
|
Ongoing measurement and monitoring of culture
using colleague surveys, ensuring we take on board, and act on,
feedback to continually improve it.
|
Saga brand
and relevance
There is a risk that the Saga brand and
products do not appeal sufficiently to our target market, such that
competitors gain market share and customer volumes continue to
decline.
|
Stable
|
Strategic
Reputational
|
3
|
Ongoing monitoring of customer transactional
net promoter score, and engagement with customers via the
Experienced Voices panel to understand customer sentiment towards
the brand.
|
[1] Since
the year end, the strategic pillars have evolved as we continually
develop the business to support the changing needs of our
customers. The strategic pillars that applied during the 2023/24
financial year were set out in the 2023 Annual Report and Accounts.
These were maximising our existing businesses; step-changing our
ability to scale while reducing debt; and creating 'The Superbrand'
for older people
2 Risk
trend is the current reporting period trend, not the trend relative
to the last Annual Report and Accounts
3 Refer
to the Alternative Performance Measures Glossary for definition and
explanation
Consolidated income statement
for
the year ended 31 January 2024
|
|
|
2024
|
|
2023
(restated1)
|
|
Note
|
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
Revenue from Cruise and Travel
services
|
3
|
|
410.0
|
|
305.5
|
Revenue from Insurance Broking
services
|
3
|
|
128.7
|
|
147.8
|
Other revenue (non-Insurance
Underwriting)
|
3
|
|
24.8
|
|
17.4
|
Non-insurance revenue
|
3
|
|
563.5
|
|
470.7
|
Insurance revenue
|
3
|
|
177.6
|
|
193.0
|
Total revenue
|
3
|
|
741.1
|
|
663.7
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Decrease in credit loss
allowance
|
|
|
-
|
|
1.3
|
Other cost of sales
|
|
|
(301.1)
|
|
(249.8)
|
Cost of sales (non-Insurance Underwriting)
|
3
|
|
(301.1)
|
|
(248.5)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross profit (non-Insurance Underwriting)
|
|
|
262.4
|
|
222.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance service
expenses
|
15
|
|
(249.2)
|
|
(215.8)
|
Net income from reinsurance
contracts
|
15
|
|
40.2
|
|
27.3
|
Insurance service result
|
|
|
(31.4)
|
|
4.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other income
|
|
|
5.0
|
|
-
|
Administrative and selling
expenses
|
|
|
(214.2)
|
|
(181.5)
|
Increase in credit loss
allowance
|
|
|
(1.1)
|
|
(0.9)
|
Impairment of non-financial
assets
|
|
|
(118.6)
|
|
(271.2)
|
Net finance (expense)/income from
insurance contracts
|
15
|
|
(3.5)
|
|
8.2
|
Net finance income/(expense) from
reinsurance contracts
|
15
|
|
1.9
|
|
(3.7)
|
Net (loss)/profit on disposal of
property, plant and equipment and software
|
|
|
(0.5)
|
|
0.1
|
Investment
income/(loss)
|
|
|
15.4
|
|
(9.7)
|
Finance costs
|
|
|
(44.4)
|
|
(42.2)
|
Finance income
|
|
|
-
|
|
1.5
|
Loss before tax
|
|
|
(129.0)
|
|
(272.7)
|
Tax credit/(expense)
|
4
|
|
16.0
|
|
(0.4)
|
Loss for the year
|
|
|
(113.0)
|
|
(273.1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Attributable to:
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity holders of the
parent
|
|
|
(113.0)
|
|
(273.1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss per share:
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic
|
6
|
|
(80.8p)
|
|
(195.7p)
|
Diluted
|
6
|
|
(80.8p)
|
|
(195.7p)
|
1 For
details of the restatement, please see Notes 2.4, 12a and
15
Consolidated statement of comprehensive
income
for
the year ended 31 January 2024
|
|
|
2024
|
|
2023
(restated2)
|
|
Note
|
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss for the year
|
|
|
(113.0)
|
|
(273.1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other comprehensive
income
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other comprehensive income
to be reclassified to income statement in subsequent
years
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net losses on hedging instruments
during the year
|
12
|
|
(1.3)
|
|
(2.0)
|
Recycling of previous losses to
income statement on matured hedges
|
12
|
|
1.0
|
|
0.3
|
Total net losses on cash flow
hedges
|
|
|
(0.3)
|
|
(1.7)
|
Associated tax effect
|
|
|
0.6
|
|
(0.8)
|
Total other comprehensive
income/(losses) with recycling to income statement
|
|
|
0.3
|
|
(2.5)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other comprehensive income
not to be reclassified to income statement in subsequent
years
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Remeasurement losses on defined
benefit plans
|
|
|
(41.1)
|
|
(19.1)
|
Associated tax effect
|
|
|
10.3
|
|
4.8
|
Total other comprehensive losses
without recycling to income statement
|
|
|
(30.8)
|
|
(14.3)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total other comprehensive losses
|
|
|
(30.5)
|
|
(16.8)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total comprehensive losses for the year
|
|
|
(143.5)
|
|
(289.9)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Attributable to:
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity holders of the
parent
|
|
|
(143.5)
|
|
(289.9)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2 For
details of the restatement, please see Notes 2.4, 12a and
15
Consolidated statement of financial
position
as
at 31 January 2024
|
|
|
2024
|
|
2023
(restated3)
|
|
1 Feb
2022 (restated3)
|
Assets
|
Note
|
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
Goodwill
|
8
|
|
344.7
|
|
449.6
|
|
718.6
|
Intangible assets
|
9
|
|
60.7
|
|
51.3
|
|
47.1
|
Retirement benefit scheme
surplus
|
14
|
|
-
|
|
-
|
|
1.1
|
Property, plant and
equipment
|
10
|
|
593.4
|
|
611.0
|
|
646.5
|
Right-of-use assets
|
11
|
|
24.6
|
|
30.7
|
|
36.0
|
Financial assets
|
12
|
|
252.2
|
|
282.4
|
|
332.1
|
Current tax assets
|
|
|
4.8
|
|
4.4
|
|
4.3
|
Deferred tax assets
|
4
|
|
49.4
|
|
20.8
|
|
15.0
|
Reinsurance contract
assets
|
15
|
|
173.2
|
|
112.2
|
|
81.1
|
Inventories
|
|
|
8.1
|
|
7.0
|
|
6.3
|
Trade and other
receivables
|
|
|
127.7
|
|
136.0
|
|
115.6
|
Trust and escrow
accounts
|
|
|
37.9
|
|
36.2
|
|
23.4
|
Cash and short-term
deposits
|
13
|
|
188.7
|
|
176.5
|
|
226.9
|
Assets held for sale
|
19
|
|
17.4
|
|
31.2
|
|
12.9
|
Total assets
|
|
|
1,882.8
|
|
1,949.3
|
|
2,266.9
|
Liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Retirement benefit scheme
liability
|
14
|
|
47.9
|
|
12.1
|
|
-
|
Insurance contract
liabilities
|
15
|
|
399.3
|
|
347.5
|
|
359.6
|
Reinsurance contract
liabilities
|
15
|
|
-
|
|
-
|
|
1.1
|
Provisions
|
|
|
8.0
|
|
5.2
|
|
5.4
|
Financial liabilities
|
12
|
|
828.4
|
|
896.8
|
|
936.2
|
Deferred tax
liabilities
|
4
|
|
14.6
|
|
9.3
|
|
7.8
|
Contract liabilities
|
|
|
159.8
|
|
126.5
|
|
118.1
|
Trade and other
payables
|
|
|
201.3
|
|
186.5
|
|
187.3
|
Total liabilities
|
|
|
1,659.3
|
|
1,583.9
|
|
1,615.5
|
Equity
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Issued capital
|
17
|
|
21.3
|
|
21.1
|
|
21.1
|
Share premium
|
|
|
648.3
|
|
648.3
|
|
648.3
|
Own shares held reserve
|
|
|
(1.2)
|
|
-
|
|
-
|
Retained deficit
|
|
|
(452.5)
|
|
(309.7)
|
|
(24.7)
|
Share-based payment
reserve
|
|
|
10.5
|
|
8.9
|
|
7.4
|
Hedging reserve
|
|
|
(2.9)
|
|
(3.2)
|
|
(0.7)
|
Total equity
|
|
|
223.5
|
|
365.4
|
|
651.4
|
Total equity and liabilities
|
|
|
1,882.8
|
|
1,949.3
|
|
2,266.9
|
3 For
details of the restatement, please see Notes 2.4, 12a and
15
Consolidated statement of changes in equity
for the year ended 31 January 2024
|
|
Attributable to the equity holders of the parent
|
|
Issued
capital
|
Share
premium
|
Own
shares held reserve
|
Retained
(deficit)/
earnings
|
Share-based payment reserve
|
Fair
value reserve
|
Hedging
reserve
|
Total
equity
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 1 February 2023 (restated4F)
|
21.1
|
648.3
|
-
|
(309.7)
|
8.9
|
-
|
(3.2)
|
365.4
|
Loss for the year
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(113.0)
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(113.0)
|
Other comprehensive losses
excluding recycling
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(30.8)
|
-
|
-
|
(0.8)
|
(31.6)
|
Recycling of previous losses to
income statement
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
1.1
|
1.1
|
Total comprehensive
(losses)/income
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(143.8)
|
-
|
-
|
0.3
|
(143.5)
|
Issue of share capital (Note
17)
|
0.2
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.2
|
Share-based payment
charge
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
3.4
|
-
|
-
|
3.4
|
Own shares transferred
|
-
|
-
|
(1.2)
|
(0.8)
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(2.0)
|
Transfer upon vesting of share
options
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
1.8
|
(1.8)
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
At 31 January 2024
|
21.3
|
648.3
|
(1.2)
|
(452.5)
|
10.5
|
-
|
(2.9)
|
223.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Attributable to the equity holders of the parent
|
|
Issued
capital
|
Share
premium
|
Own
shares held reserve
|
Retained
(deficit)/
earnings
|
Share-based payment reserve
|
Fair
value reserve
|
Hedging
reserve
|
Total
equity
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 1 February 2022 (as reported)
|
21.1
|
648.3
|
-
|
(22.4)
|
7.4
|
(0.8)
|
(0.7)
|
652.9
|
Effect of adoption of IFRS
17
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(2.3)
|
-
|
0.8
|
-
|
(1.5)
|
At 1 February 2022 (restated4)
|
21.1
|
648.3
|
-
|
(24.7)
|
7.4
|
-
|
(0.7)
|
651.4
|
Loss for the year
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(273.1)
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(273.1)
|
Other comprehensive losses
excluding recycling
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(14.3)
|
-
|
-
|
(2.9)
|
(17.2)
|
Recycling of previous losses to
income statement
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
Total comprehensive
losses
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(287.4)
|
-
|
-
|
(2.5)
|
(289.9)
|
Share-based payment
charge
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
3.9
|
-
|
-
|
3.9
|
Transfer upon vesting of share
options
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
2.4
|
(2.4)
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
At 31 January 2023 (restated4)
|
21.1
|
648.3
|
-
|
(309.7)
|
8.9
|
-
|
(3.2)
|
365.4
|
4 For
details of the restatement, please see Notes 2.4, 12a and
15
Consolidated statement of cash flows
for
the year ended 31 January 2024
|
|
|
|
|
2024
|
|
2023
(restated5)
|
|
|
|
Note
|
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
Loss before tax
|
|
|
|
|
(129.0)
|
|
(272.7)
|
Depreciation, impairment and loss
on disposal, of property, plant and equipment and right-of-use
assets
|
|
|
|
|
35.1
|
|
32.9
|
Amortisation and impairment of
intangible assets and goodwill, and profit or loss on disposal of
software
|
|
|
|
|
117.2
|
|
278.6
|
Impairment of assets held for
sale
|
|
|
19
|
|
10.4
|
|
1.2
|
Share-based payment
transactions
|
|
|
|
|
3.4
|
|
3.9
|
Net finance expense/(income) from
insurance contracts
|
|
|
15
|
|
3.5
|
|
(8.2)
|
Net finance (income)/expense from
reinsurance contracts
|
|
|
15
|
|
(1.9)
|
|
3.7
|
Finance costs
|
|
|
|
|
44.4
|
|
42.2
|
Finance income
|
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
(1.5)
|
Interest (income)/expense from
investments
|
|
|
|
|
(15.4)
|
|
9.7
|
Increase in trust and escrow
accounts
|
|
|
|
|
(1.7)
|
|
(12.8)
|
Movements in other assets and
liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
40.8
|
|
(57.8)
|
|
|
|
|
|
106.8
|
|
19.2
|
Investment income interest
received
|
|
|
|
|
11.9
|
|
5.4
|
Interest paid
|
|
|
|
|
(38.2)
|
|
(37.6)
|
Income tax
received/(paid)
|
|
|
|
|
3.2
|
|
(0.9)
|
Net cash flows from/(used in) operating
activities
|
|
|
|
|
83.7
|
|
(13.9)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investing activities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Proceeds from sale of property,
plant and equipment, and right-of-use assets
|
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
0.2
|
Purchase of, and payments for, the
construction of property, plant and equipment and intangible
assets
|
|
|
|
|
(26.7)
|
|
(20.8)
|
Disposal of financial
assets
|
|
|
|
|
56.4
|
|
65.8
|
Purchase of financial
assets
|
|
|
|
|
(11.7)
|
|
(40.2)
|
Disposal of subsidiary, net of
cash in business disposed of
|
|
|
7
|
|
-
|
|
-
|
Acquisition of subsidiary, net of
cash in business acquired
|
|
|
7
|
|
-
|
|
(0.9)
|
Net cash flows from investing activities
|
|
|
|
|
18.0
|
|
4.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Financing activities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Payment of principal portion of
lease liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
(11.6)
|
|
(7.8)
|
Repayment of borrowings
|
|
|
|
|
(62.2)
|
|
(46.4)
|
Net cash flows used in financing activities
|
|
|
|
|
(73.8)
|
|
(54.2)
|
Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash
equivalents
|
|
|
|
|
27.9
|
|
(64.0)
|
Cash and cash equivalents at the start of the
year
|
|
|
|
|
191.7
|
|
255.7
|
Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the
year
|
|
|
13
|
|
219.6
|
|
191.7
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5 For
details of the restatement, please see Notes 2.4, 12a and
15
Notes to the consolidated financial
statements
1 Corporate information
Saga plc (the Company) is a public limited company
incorporated and domiciled in the United Kingdom under the
Companies Act 2006 (registration number 8804263). The Company is
registered in England and its registered office is located at 3
Pancras Square, London N1C 4AG.
The consolidated financial statements of Saga
plc and the entities controlled by the Company (its subsidiaries,
collectively Saga Group or
the Group) for the year
ended 31 January 2024 were approved for issue by the Board of
Directors on 16 April 2024 and will be made available on the
Company's website in due course.
2.1 Basis of preparation
The results in this preliminary announcement
have been taken from the Group's 2024 Annual Report and Accounts.
The consolidated financial statements of the Group have been
prepared in accordance with UK-adopted international accounting
standards.
The basis of preparation, basis of
consolidation and summary of material accounting policies
applicable to the Group's consolidated financial statements will be
published in the Notes to the consolidated financial statements in
the 2024 Annual Report and Accounts.
The consolidated financial statements have
been prepared on a going concern basis and on a historical cost
basis, except as otherwise stated. The Group has reviewed the
appropriateness of the going concern basis in preparing the
financial statements, details of which are included below. Based on
those assumptions, the Directors have concluded that it remains
appropriate to adopt the going concern basis in preparing the
financial statements.
The preliminary announcement for the year
ended 31 January 2024 does not constitute statutory accounts as
defined in Section 434 of the Companies Act 2006.
The consolidated financial statements for the
full year ended 31 January 2024 and 31 January 2023 have been
audited by KPMG LLP. Their report was unqualified and did not
contain any statement under Section 498(2) or Section 498(3) of the
Companies Act 2006.
Going
concern
The Directors have performed an assessment of
going concern to determine the adequacy of the Group's financial
resources over a period of 15 months from the date of signing these
financial statements, a period selected to include consideration of
the expiry date of the Group's currently undrawn £50.0m Revolving
Credit Facility (RCF) in
May 2025 and the first covenant test date falling due
after that expiry for the Group's ship debt facilities.
This assessment is centred on a base case,
overlaid with risk-adjusted financial projections, that incorporate
scenario analysis, and stress tests on expected business
performance.
The Group's base case modelling assumes
continued strong performance in the Cruise business on the back of
high load factors and per diems. Travel is also expected to achieve
continued growth in profits. After a challenging 2023/24 for
Insurance, which saw a year of high cost and claims inflation and
reducing policy volumes in a competitive market, the plan for this
area of the business focuses on stabilisation over the assessment
period and preparation for future growth.
The Group's severe but plausible stressed
scenario incorporates lower load factors for Ocean Cruise, lower
levels of demand in River Cruise and slower growth in the Travel
business. Downside risks modelled for the Insurance business
reflect the possibility that the expected benefits from planned
cost-saving initiatives may not be realised in full.
Following actions undertaken by management to
reduce the administrative overhead and central cost base in the
second half of 2023/24, both scenarios include an assumption that
the resultant levels of savings are maintained throughout the
assessment period.
Under all scenarios modelled, the Group
expects to meet scheduled Ocean Cruise debt principal repayments as
they fall due over the next 15 months, and to meet the financial
covenants relating to its secured cruise debt.
In addition, in both the base and stressed
scenario, and further incorporating a drawdown under the Group's
£85.0m loan facility with Roger De Haan, repayable in April 2026,
the Group expects to have sufficient resources to enable repayment
of the £150.0m senior bonds on maturity in May 2024 from Available
Cash6 resources.
Over the same time frame and on the same
basis, the Group also expects to remain within the renegotiated
financial covenants and other terms relating to its £50.0m RCF, as
set out in Note 16, in both the base case and the stressed case
scenario, enabling it to draw down on this currently undrawn
facility, until maturity in May 2025, to meet short-term working
capital requirements, should the need arise.
Following the repayment of the £150.0m senior
bonds, the Group will operate with a lower level of Available
Cash6. This may lower the Group's ability to withstand
events that are beyond those contemplated in the severe but
plausible stressed scenario. Notwithstanding this, the Group has
sufficient resources in both the base and severe but plausible
stressed scenarios to continue in operation for at least the next
15 months.
Noting that it is not possible to accurately
predict all possible future risks to the Group's trading, based on
this analysis and the scenarios modelled, the Directors have
concluded that the Group will have sufficient funds to continue to
meet its liabilities as they fall due for a period of at least 15
months from the date of approval of the financial statements. They
have, therefore, deemed it appropriate to prepare the financial
statements to 31 January 2024 on a going concern basis.
6 For
details of the restatement, please see Notes 2.4, 12a and
15
2.2 Summary of material accounting policies
There have been no significant changes to the
accounting policies of the Group during the year ended 31 January
2024, except for changes required as a result of the transition to
a new accounting standard for insurance and reinsurance contracts,
IFRS 17 'Insurance Contracts'. Full details of the accounting
policies of the Group will be published in the Annual Report and
Accounts for the year ended 31 January 2024 available at
www.corporate.saga.co.uk.
In addition, as a result of IFRS 17 being
adopted and applied, the Group has changed the classification of
debt securities under IFRS 9 'Financial Instruments', from fair
value through other comprehensive income (FVOCI) to fair value through profit or
loss (FVTPL). IFRS 17
permits financial assets to be classified as FVTPL on transition to
IFRS 17 if doing so eliminates, or significantly reduces, a
measurement or recognition inconsistency. For the debt securities
that support the Group's insurance liabilities, this condition is
met as fair value gains or losses on these securities are expected
to be offset, to a significant degree, by the impact of changes in
the discount rate on the measurement of IFRS 17 liabilities for
incurred claims (net of the impact on related reinsurance
assets).
IFRS 17 is effective for annual reporting
periods beginning on, or after, 1 January 2023. The Group has
initially applied IFRS 17 in its consolidated financial statements
for the year ending 31 January 2024, with the date of initial
application being 1 February 2023 and the transition date being 1
February 2022.
Details of the new accounting policies for
insurance contracts underwritten by the Group and reinsurance
contracts are disclosed below.
a) Revenue recognition -
Insurance
The amounts received from customers for
insurance policies comprise three main elements: the premium
charged to the customer in respect of the insurance cover
(gross
premium); insurance premium tax
(IPT);
and an arrangement fee, where applicable (only applied to
policies that are brokered via a panel). The gross premium itself
comprises two elements: the premium charged by the underwriter of
each policy (net
premium), which may be provided by the Group's
in-house underwriter or by a third-party underwriter, plus any
adjustment to the net premium that is applied by the Group's broker
during the broking service (street pricing
adjustment).
The Group may also charge additional amounts,
where the customer pays in instalments, for mid-term cancellations
or for adjustments made to policies mid-term.
IPT is excluded from all revenue recognised by
the Group.
i) For 12-month insurance
policies with no option to fix the premium at renewal (annual policies)
For insurance policies underwritten by the
Group:
·
the gross insurance premium,
and any amounts received as a result of the policyholder opting to
pay in instalments, are recognised as insurance revenue on a
straight-line, time-apportioned basis over the coverage
period;
·
any such amounts received in
advance of coverage being provided to the policyholder are deferred
within insurance contract liabilities in the statement of financial
position;
·
mid-term adjustments to
premiums are recognised on a straight-line, time-apportioned basis
over the remaining coverage period of the policy; and
·
reductions in premiums arising
from mid-term cancellations are recognised on the effective date of
the cancellation.
The above treatment is in line with the
requirements of IFRS 17.
For insurance policies not underwritten by the
Group:
· the portion of
the gross premium that is retained by the Group, otherwise referred
to as the street pricing adjustment, is allocated to performance
obligations and recognised as those performance obligations are
satisfied. The most material amount is allocated to the performance
obligation relating to the brokerage service, which is recognised
on the inception date of the insurance contract; and
· the portion of
the gross premium charged by the third-party underwriter, otherwise
referred to as the net premium, is not recognised as revenue in the
income statement.
The above treatment is in line with the
requirements of IFRS 15 'Revenue from Contracts with
Customers'.
For all insurance policies:
· the arrangement
fee that is charged in respect of the broking service is recognised
within revenue from Insurance Broking services on the date that
each policy is arranged; and
· any fee income
charged for a mid-term cancellation or adjustment is recognised on
the date the adjustment is made, being the point that the mid-term
service is fulfilled. Where these amounts arise from insurance
contracts underwritten by the Group, they are presented within
Insurance revenue, otherwise they are presented within revenue from
Insurance Broking services.
i) For 12-month
insurance policies with the option to fix the premium over three
years (three-year fixed-price
policies)
The policyholder's option to fix the premium
at the first and second renewal points is accounted for under IFRS
15 as a promise to the customer.
Where the related insurance policy is not
underwritten by the Group, this promise is accounted for as a
separate performance obligation to the brokerage
service.
Where the related insurance policy is
underwritten by the Group, this promise is a distinct service that
is accounted for separately from the host insurance contract
as:
· the cash flows
and risks of the price promise service are not highly interrelated
with those of the insurance contract; and
· the Group does
not provide a significant service in integrating the price promise
with the insurance underwriting service.
Therefore, the accounting treatment of the
Group's obligation to fix the premium does not depend on whether
the related insurance policy is underwritten by the
Group.
For all three-year fixed-price policies, the
Group allocates a portion of the gross premiums received at
inception and at the first renewal point to the price promise
service. The amount allocated to this service is an estimate of its
standalone selling price, being an actuarial estimate of the cost
of transferring the obligation to a third-party plus an appropriate
profit margin.
Amounts allocated to the price promise service
are initially deferred within contract liabilities in the statement
of financial position and subsequently recognised as revenue as the
option to fix is exercised by the customer (and the Group's
performance obligation is satisfied).
If a customer cancels a three-year fixed-price
policy mid-term, or chooses not to renew in the second or third
years, any remaining deferred revenue is recognised within revenue
at the point the cover ends, being the point that the Group is
released from the obligation to fix the price at
renewal.
The Group previously entered into contracts to
transfer part of the risk arising from the Group's promise to fix
the customer's premium for three-year fixed-price policies. The
Group continues to recognise amounts arising from those contracts.
Those contracts are classified as insurance contracts
held.
ii) Other sources of
revenue relating to insurance policies
Profit commissions due to the Group, from
acting as an insurance intermediary on behalf of third-party
underwriters, are recognised and valued in accordance with the
contractual terms to which they are subject, when it is highly
probable that a significant reversal of revenue will not
occur.
Where claims arise on insurance policies that
are not the fault of the insured, the Group may earn revenue
from:
· referrals to
credit hire companies (in relation to policies underwritten by the
Group or by third parties); and
· referrals to
credit repair companies (in relation to policies underwritten by
third parties only).
This revenue is recognised at the point of
referral.
a) Cost
recognition - Insurance
i) Costs of acquiring
insurance contracts
Acquisition costs arising from the selling, or
renewing, of insurance policies underwritten by the Group
(insurance acquisition cash
flows) are expensed when they are incurred within insurance
service expenses in the income statement.
For insurance policies not underwritten by the
Group, fees charged by price-comparison websites are recognised as
a contract cost asset within trade and other receivables and
amortised in line with the pattern of revenue recognition for the
related insurance policies. This takes into account revenue
expected to be generated from future renewals. Other incremental
costs of obtaining insurance policies not underwritten by the
Group, such as payment processing costs, would be incurred again if
the insurance contract renews. Therefore, the pattern of revenue
recognition relating to these incremental costs is one year. As
permitted by IFRS 15, such costs are expensed when
incurred.
ii) Claims
costs
Claims costs incurred in respect of insurance
policies underwritten by the Group are included within insurance
service expenses in the income statement. These costs include
estimates in respect of losses reported as having occurred during
the period, an estimate for the cost of claims incurred during the
period but not reported as at the reporting date, and any
adjustments to claims outstanding from previous periods.
The portion of claims costs recoverable from
reinsurance contracts is recognised within net income from
reinsurance contracts in the income statement. These recoveries are
recognised in the same period in which the claims costs are
recognised.
b) Insurance
contracts underwritten by the Group and reinsurance
contracts
i) Classification
The Group issues insurance contracts, under
which it accepts significant insurance risk from policyholders, and
also enters into reinsurance contracts, under which it transfers
significant insurance risk related to underlying insurance
contracts. 'Reinsurance contracts' refers to reinsurance contracts
held by the Group. The Group does not issue any reinsurance
contracts.
Insurance and reinsurance contracts can also
expose the Group to financial risk.
ii) Separating
components from insurance and reinsurance contracts
When the Group underwrites an insurance
contract, a number of separate contracts may be entered into at the
same time. These contracts may involve more than one legal entity
within the Group.
As the set of contracts is designed to achieve
an overall commercial effect for the Group, for accounting purposes
the following steps are taken:
· The total cash
flows arising from all contracts are initially considered as a
whole (together the host
insurance contract).
· The Group then
identifies any service components that are distinct and, therefore,
require separation for accounting
purposes. A service is distinct if the
policyholder can benefit from it either on its own or with other
resources that are readily available to the policyholder. The
following distinct service components were identified:
o The brokerage
of the core insurance contract (where it has first
been subject to the competitive pricing panel that the Group
operates).
o The brokerage
of any add-on cover underwritten by a third-party.
o The promise
to fix the premium for three years (where this option is taken by
the policyholder).
These distinct service components are
accounted for as separate customer contracts under IFRS
15.
· The
total cash inflows from the combined set of
contracts are then allocated, for accounting purposes,
between:
o any distinct
service components; and
o the insurance
component of the host insurance contract.
This allocation is performed based on the
standalone selling price of each component.
· Cash outflows
that relate directly to each component are attributed to that
component, with any remaining cash outflows attributed on a
systematic and rational basis, reflecting the cash outflows the
Group would expect to arise if that component were a separate
contract.
iii) Aggregation of
insurance and reinsurance contracts
The Group applies the requirements of IFRS 17
at the level of groups of insurance contracts issued. Groups of
insurance contracts are determined by identifying portfolios of
insurance contracts, which comprise contracts that are subject to
similar risks and managed together, and dividing each portfolio
into annual cohorts (i.e. by year of issue) and each annual cohort
into three groups based on the expected profitability of each
contract at initial recognition:
· Any
contracts that are onerous at initial
recognition.
· Any
contracts that, at initial recognition, have no
significant risk of becoming onerous.
· Any
other contracts.
Groups of reinsurance contracts are
established such that each group comprises a single
contract.
iv) Recognition of
insurance and reinsurance contracts
The Group recognises insurance contracts
issued from the earliest of:
· the
beginning of the coverage period;
· when the
first payment from a policyholder becomes due
or, if there is no due date, when the first payment is received;
and
· when facts and
circumstances indicate that the contract is onerous. This could be
as early as the date on which the contract is first entered
into.
When a contract is recognised, it is added to
an existing group of contracts or, if the contract does not qualify
for inclusion in an existing group, it forms a new group to which
future contracts are added. Groups of contracts are established on
initial recognition and their composition is not revised once all
contracts have been added to the group.
The Group recognises groups of reinsurance
contracts as follows:
· Groups
of reinsurance contracts that provide proportionate coverage
(primarily quota share arrangements) are recognised when any
underlying insurance contract is initially recognised.
· All other groups
of reinsurance contacts (primarily excess of loss arrangements) are
recognised from the earlier
of:
o the beginning
of the coverage period of the group of reinsurance contracts;
or
o the date on
which an onerous group of underlying contracts is recognised
(provided that the related reinsurance contract was entered into
on, or before, that date).
v) Contract
boundaries
The measurement of groups of insurance
contracts issued, and reinsurance contracts, reflects all future
cash flows arising from insurance coverage within the boundary of
each contract (the contract
boundary).
Cash flows are within the contract boundary if
they arise from substantive rights and obligations that exist
during the reporting period in which the Group can compel the
policyholder to pay premiums or has a substantive obligation to
provide services.
vi) Measurement -
insurance contracts
The Group measures all groups of insurance
contracts issued in accordance with IFRS 17's simplified premium
allocation approach (PAA).
They are eligible for the PAA as the coverage period of each
contract in each group is one year or less.
The following sections set out the Group's
approach to measuring groups of insurance contracts under the
PAA.
Measurement at initial
recognition
On initial recognition, the liability for
remaining coverage of groups of insurance contracts issued is
measured as:
· any
premiums received at, or before, initial
recognition; plus
· for groups of
contracts that are onerous (expected to be loss-making) at initial
recognition, a loss component measured as the excess of the
fulfilment cash flows over the carrying amount of the liability for
remaining coverage, excluding the loss component. A corresponding
loss is recognised in profit or loss. At initial recognition, the
loss component is only recognised and measured in respect of
policies that individually meet the recognition criteria at that
date.
Subsequent
measurement
At the end of each reporting period, each
group of contracts is measured as the sum of the liability for
remaining coverage and the liability for incurred
claims.
Liability
for remaining coverage
At the end of each reporting period, the
carrying amount of the liability for remaining coverage (excluding
the loss component) of each group of contracts is equal
to:
· the
opening carrying amount of the liability for
remaining coverage;
· plus premiums
received in the period;
· less the amount
recognised as insurance revenue for coverage provided in the
period. Insurance revenue is the amount of total expected premium
receipts (excluding premium taxes) allocated to each period of
coverage on the basis of the passage of time (i.e. a straight-line
basis). This is appropriate as, for the insurance contracts that
the Group issues, the expected pattern of release of risk during
the coverage period does not differ significantly from the passage
of time.
The liability for remaining coverage
(excluding the loss component) is not adjusted for the time value
of money.
For groups of contracts that were onerous at
initial recognition:
· the loss
component of the liability for remaining coverage is increased in
respect of any individual policies added to the group;
· the loss
component is reversed as coverage is provided, reducing the
liability for remaining coverage. A corresponding credit to profit
or loss means that the onerous loss is not recognised a second time
when a liability for incurred claims is established as coverage is
provided; and
· the expected
profitability of remaining coverage is reassessed at each reporting
date, with any changes since initial
recognition reflected in the valuation of the
remaining loss component of the liability for remaining coverage,
with a corresponding entry in profit or loss.
For other groups of contracts, at each
reporting date the Group considers whether the remaining coverage
has become onerous. If so, a loss component of the liability for
remaining coverage is established with a corresponding loss
recognised in profit or loss.
Liability
for incurred claims
As coverage is provided, the Group establishes
a liability for incurred claims. The liability is estimated based
on the fulfilment cash flows relating to incurred claims, including
both claims that have been notified (i.e. outstanding claims) and
claims incurred but not reported (IBNR). These fulfilment cash
flows:
· include
an estimate of claims handling costs and the expected value
of salvage and other recoveries;
· incorporate, in
an unbiased way, all reasonable and supportable information
available without undue cost or effort about the amount, timing and
uncertainty of those future cash flows;
· reflect
current estimates from the Group's perspective;
· are
adjusted to reflect the time value of money and
effect of financial risk (a discounting adjustment). The Group has
not taken the PAA option to not discount claims expected to be paid
within one year of the loss event; and
· include
an explicit adjustment for non-financial risk
(the risk adjustment),
which reflects the compensation required for bearing uncertainty
about the amount and timing of cash flows that arises from
non-financial risk.
vi) Measurement -
reinsurance contracts
The Group also measures all groups of
reinsurance contracts in accordance with the PAA. Groups of excess
of loss reinsurance contracts are eligible for the PAA as each
contract has a coverage period of one year or less. Groups of other
reinsurance contracts (primarily the motor quota share arrangement)
are eligible for the PAA as, at initial recognition, the Group
expects that the resulting measurement of the asset for remaining
coverage would not differ materially to that under the IFRS 17
general measurement model.
Groups of reinsurance contracts are measured
on the same basis as the underlying insurance contracts, adapted as
appropriate to reflect the different features of reinsurance
contracts, including:
· where the Group
recognises a loss on initial recognition of an onerous group of
underlying insurance contracts, or when further onerous insurance
contracts are added to a group, the Group establishes a
loss-recovery component of the asset for remaining coverage for
groups of reinsurance contracts depicting any recovery of losses.
The loss-recovery component is calculated by multiplying the loss
recognised on the underlying insurance contracts and the percentage
of claims on the underlying insurance contracts the Group expects
to recover from the group of reinsurance contracts;
· reinsurance cash
flows that are contingent on claims experience are treated as part
of the claims expected to be reimbursed. This applies to profit
commission clauses within the Group's motor quota share reinsurance
contracts; and
· the Group
assesses the risk that the counterparties to its reinsurance
contracts are not able to fulfil their obligations (non-performance
risk, or default risk), including by considering available data on
the financial strength of the reinsurers. An allowance is included
in the relevant estimate of the present value of future cash flows
to reflect this risk.
vii) Measurement -
insurance acquisition cash flows
The Group identifies insurance acquisition
cash flows, being the costs of selling, underwriting and starting
insurance contracts. The costs are primarily commissions paid to
intermediaries, including price-comparison websites, and an
allocation of other operating expenses.
The Group has taken the IFRS 17 option to
expense insurance acquisition cash flows immediately where the
coverage period of the related contract is one year or less. As all
the Group's insurance contracts have a coverage period of one year
or less, all insurance acquisition cash flows are expensed when
they are incurred.
viii) Modification
and derecognition
An insurance contract is derecognised
when:
· it is
extinguished (i.e. when the obligation expires
or is discharged or cancelled); or
· there is
a modification of the contract that is
treated as a derecognition and recognition of a new contract. This
is the case where the modified terms, if applied at inception,
would have resulted in:
o a change in
the measurement model or the applicable standard for measuring a
component of the contract;
o a
substantially different contract boundary; or
o the contract
being included in a different group of contracts.
When a modification is not treated as a
derecognition, the Group recognises amounts paid, or received, for
the modification as an adjustment to the relevant liability for
remaining coverage relating to the existing contract.
ix) Presentation
The Group disaggregates the total amount
recognised in the statement of profit or loss into an insurance
service result, comprising insurance revenue and insurance service
expenses, and insurance finance income or expenses.
Separate presentation of portfolios in
an asset or liability position
In the statement of financial position, where
applicable, the Group separately presents the carrying amount of
portfolios of insurance contracts issued that are assets,
portfolios of insurance contracts issued that are liabilities,
portfolios of reinsurance contracts that are assets and portfolios
of reinsurance contracts that are liabilities.
Changes in the risk
adjustment
The Group disaggregates the change in risk
adjustment for non-financial risk between a financial and
non-financial portion, included within insurance finance expenses
and the insurance service result respectively.
Reinsurance
On the face of the consolidated income
statement, income or expenses from reinsurance contracts (other
than insurance finance income or expenses) are presented as a
single amount, separately from the income or expenses from
insurance contracts issued.
Insurance finance income or
expenses
Insurance finance income or expenses comprise
the change in the carrying amount of the group of insurance
contracts arising from:
· the effect of
the time value of money and changes in the time value of money;
and
· the effect of
financial risk and changes in financial risk.
This largely represents:
· the unwind of
the discounting of the liability for incurred claims;
· the impact of
changes in the discount rate used in the measurement of the
liability for incurred claims; and
· the impact of
changes in the care worker inflation assumption used in the
measurement of claims settled as periodical payment orders
(PPOs).
Reinsurance finance income, or expense, is the
change in the carrying value of amounts relating to reinsurance
contracts arising for the same reasons.
The Group does not disaggregate insurance
finance income or expenses between profit or loss and other
comprehensive income (OCI)
as permitted by the standard.
x) Transition
In adopting IFRS 17, the Group applied a full
retrospective approach to transition. Under the full retrospective
approach to transition, at 1 February 2022, the Group:
· identified,
recognised and measured each group of insurance and reinsurance
contracts as if IFRS 17 had always been applied;
· derecognised
previously reported balances that would not have existed if IFRS 17
had always been applied (e.g. insurance receivables and payables
that under IFRS 17, are included in the measurement of the
insurance contracts); and
· recognised any
resulting net difference in equity.
However, the Group applied a transition
exemption to not disclose previously unpublished information about
claims development that occurred earlier than five years before the
end of the annual reporting period in which it first applied IFRS
17.
2.3 Standards issued but not yet
effective
The following is a list of standards, and
amendments to standards, that are in issue but are not effective,
or adopted, as at 31 January 2024.
a)
Classification of liabilities as current or non-current (amendments
to International Accounting Standard (IAS)
1)
The amendments aim to promote consistency in
applying the requirements by helping companies determine whether,
in the statement of financial position, debt and other liabilities
with an uncertain settlement date should be classified as current
(due, or potentially due, to be settled within one year) or
non-current. The amendments are effective for annual periods
beginning on, or after, 1 January 2024 and are not likely to have a
material effect on the Group's financial statements because it
presents the items included in its statement of financial position
by order of liquidity. The amendments have been endorsed by the UK
Endorsement Board.
b) Definition
of lease liability in a sale and leaseback (amendment to IFRS
16)
The amendment clarifies how a seller-lessee
subsequently measures sale and leaseback transactions that satisfy
the requirements in IFRS 15 to be accounted for as a sale. The
amendment is effective for annual reporting periods beginning on,
or after, 1 January 2024. The amendment is not expected to have a
material impact on the Group's financial statements. This amendment
has been endorsed by the UK Endorsement Board.
c) Supplier
finance arrangements (amendments to IAS 7 and IFRS
7)
The amendments add disclosure requirements,
and 'signposts' within existing disclosure requirements, that ask
entities to provide qualitative and quantitative information about
supplier finance arrangements. The amendments are effective for
annual reporting periods beginning on, or after, 1 January 2024.
The amendments are not expected to have a material impact on the
Group's financial statements. The amendments have been endorsed by
the UK Endorsement Board.
d) Lack of
exchangeability (amendments to IAS 21)
The amendments contain guidance to specify
when a currency is exchangeable and how to determine the exchange
rate when it is not. The amendments are effective for annual
reporting periods beginning on, or after, 1 January 2025. The
amendments are not expected to have a material impact on the
Group's financial statements. The amendments are not currently
endorsed by the UK Endorsement Board.
2.4 First-time adoption of new standards and
amendments
The following is a list of standards, and
amendments to standards, that became effective, or were adopted,
for the first time during the year ended 31 January
2024.
a) IFRS 17
'Insurance Contracts'
The Group adopted IFRS 17 'Insurance
Contracts' for the first time in the year ended 31 January 2024,
with prior period comparatives also restated. IFRS 17 is a
comprehensive new accounting standard that applies to all insurance
and reinsurance contracts, covering the principles of recognition,
measurement, presentation and disclosure.
IFRS 17 only applies to insurance contracts
that are underwritten by the Group and related reinsurance
contracts held. It does not affect the accounting for the Group's
Insurance Broking activities.
The changes introduced by IFRS 17 are
summarised as follows:
The Group has applied IFRS 17's simplified PAA
to all insurance contracts issued and reinsurance contracts
held.
Applying the PAA, the measurement of
liabilities for remaining coverage continues to be based on a
deferred premium approach, as under previously reported IFRS.
However, key differences compared with previously reported IFRS are
as follows:
· IFRS 17 requires
identification of any contracts that are expected to be onerous at
initial recognition. The expected losses are recognised immediately
in profit or loss, with a liability (a loss component) established
on the statement of financial position. Under previously reported
IFRS, onerous contracts were assessed at a more aggregated level,
which resulted in fewer onerous contract losses being explicitly
recognised. Instead, any expected losses on individual policies
were typically recognised in profit or loss over the coverage
period of the insurance contracts.
· The Group has
taken the PAA option to expense insurance acquisition costs
immediately in profit or loss, meaning that the deferred insurance
acquisition cost asset held under previously reported IFRS has not
been recognised.
The measurement of insurance contract
liabilities in relation to coverage provided before the statement
of financial position date, referred to as liabilities for incurred
claims under IFRS 17, has changed. Under IFRS 17, liabilities for
incurred claims are now measured as the sum of the following
components (collectively referred to as the fulfilment cash flows):
· The expected
future cash flows, all of which are discounted using a risk-free
rate adjusted to reflect the liquidity characteristics of the
insurance contracts.
· A risk
adjustment, being an explicit margin above the expected future cash
flows that represents the compensation required for bearing
non-financial uncertainty. The Group has derived the risk
adjustment by selecting an appropriate confidence interval using
the expected loss distribution for incurred claims.
This differs from previously reported IFRS,
under which:
· only certain
long-tail claim liabilities were discounted. This discounting used
a discount rate that did not typically move in line with market
interest rates; and
· the reserve
margin was not explicit or linked to a target confidence
level.
The presentation of the consolidated income
statement changes under IFRS 17, including:
· introduction of
'Insurance revenue', which is similar to gross earned premiums from
previously reported IFRS. Further changes to the presentation of
revenue have been made as follows:
o Revenue from
Cruise and Travel services and Insurance Broking services are shown
separately (this is not required by IFRS 17).
o Total revenue
is no longer stated after the deduction of reinsurance premiums
(the presentation of amounts arising from reinsurance contracts is
explained below).
· introduction of
an 'Insurance service expenses' line item, comprising all expenses
relating to insurance contracts (except for 'Net finance
(expense)/income from insurance contracts');
· introduction of
a single line item including all income and expenses arising from
reinsurance contracts (except for 'Net finance income/(expense)
from reinsurance contracts');
· introduction of
'Net finance (expense)/income from insurance contracts' and an
equivalent for reinsurance. This caption includes:
o the unwind of
the discounting of the liability for incurred claims. Under
previously reported IFRS, only PPO liabilities were discounted,
with the unwind of discounting implicitly included within gross
claims incurred;
o the impact of
changes in the discount rate used in the measurement of the
liability for incurred claims; and
o the impact of
changes in the care worker inflation assumption used in the
measurement of claims settled as PPOs.
· the netting down
of amounts relating to quota share reinsurance arrangements so that
only amounts expected to be paid, or received, are accounted for.
Under previously reported IFRS, quota share reinsurance
arrangements were grossed up in the income statement, with large
nominal premiums ceded and claims recovered balances that do not
necessarily reflect amounts expected to be paid or
received.
Full details of the new accounting policy for
insurance and reinsurance contracts are included in Note
2.2.
b) Deferred
tax related to assets and liabilities arising from a single
transaction (amendments to IAS 12)
The amendments clarify that the initial
recognition exemption does not apply to transactions in which equal
amounts of deductible and taxable temporary differences arise on
initial recognition. They will typically apply to transactions such
as leases of lessees and will require the recognition of additional
deferred tax assets and liabilities. The amendments are effective
for annual reporting periods beginning on, or after, 1 January
2023. The amendments had no effect on the Group's financial
statements.
c) Disclosure
of accounting policies (amendments to IAS 1 and IFRS Practice
Statement 2)
The amendments require that an entity
discloses its material accounting policies, instead of its
significant accounting policies. Further amendments explain how an
entity can identify a material accounting policy. The amendments
are effective for annual reporting periods beginning on, or after,
1 January 2023. The amendments had no effect on the Group's
financial statements.
d) Definition
of accounting estimates (amendments to IAS 8)
The amendments clarify the distinction between
changes in accounting estimates, changes in accounting policies and
the correction of errors. Under the new definition, accounting
estimates are "monetary amounts in financial statements that are
subject to measurement uncertainty". The amendments clarify that a
change in accounting estimate that results from new information, or
new developments, is not the correction of an error. The amendments
are effective for annual reporting periods beginning on, or after,
1 January 2023. The amendments had no effect on the Group's
financial statements.
e)
International tax reform - Pillar Two model rules (amendments to
IAS 12)
The amendments provide a mandatory temporary
exception to the requirements regarding deferred tax assets and
liabilities related to Pillar Two income taxes. The application
(issued 23 May 2023) of the exception and disclosure of that fact
is effective immediately with the other disclosure requirements
effective for annual reporting periods beginning on, or after, 1
January 2023. The amendments had no impact on the Group's
consolidated financial statements as the Group is not in scope of
the Pillar Two model rules since: (a) it is UK based, with all
revenue being generated solely in the UK; and (b) excluding revenue
subject to tonnage tax, the Group's revenue is less than €750m per
annum.
2.5 Significant accounting judgements, estimates and
assumptions
The preparation of financial statements
requires the Group to select accounting policies and make estimates
and assumptions that affect items reported in the primary
consolidated financial statements and Notes to the consolidated
financial statements.
The major areas of judgement used as part of
accounting policy application are summarised below.
Accounting policy references below are to the
Notes to the Annual Report and Accounts for the year ended 31
January 2024.
a)
Significant judgements
Acc.
policy
|
Items
involving judgement
|
Critical
accounting judgement
|
2.3a
|
Revenue recognition - identification of
performance obligations arising from insurance policies brokered by
the Group
|
Management has exercised judgement in
identifying separate performance obligations arising from insurance
policies brokered by the Group, namely:
· where the
insurance contract is also underwritten by the Group, the judgement
that the arrangement of the insurance policy is a service
(performance obligation) that is distinct from the insurance
underwriting service. The revenue allocated to the arrangement
performance obligation is recognised earlier than the revenue that
is allocated to the insurance underwriting service; and
· the
judgement that the option to fix the customer's premium at renewal
for three-year fixed-price insurance policies is a separate
performance obligation to the arrangement of the insurance policy.
This results in the deferral of a portion of revenue from policy
years one and two to policy years two and three.
Please refer to Note 2.3a for further
information on the Group's approach to revenue recognition for each
performance obligation.
|
2.3r
|
Classification of the Group's risk transfer
arrangements as reinsurance contracts
|
This judgement is now made by applying the
principles of IFRS 17 rather than IFRS 4 (the previous
international accounting standard for insurance and reinsurance
contracts). This has not resulted in any changes to the conclusions
reached.
The Group's excess of loss and funds-withheld
quota share reinsurance arrangements, relating to its motor
underwriting line of business, are deemed to transfer significant
insurance risk to the reinsurers. They are, therefore, classified
as reinsurance contracts under IFRS 17.
Separately, the Group had previously entered
into contracts to transfer part of the risk arising from the
Group's promise to fix the customer's annual premium for three-year
fixed-price policies. The Group continues to recognise amounts
arising from those contracts. As the underlying promise is not an
insurance contract, the contracts that transfer part of the risk
arising from the promise are not classified as reinsurance
contracts. Instead, they are classified as insurance contracts
held, which are not in the scope of IFRS 17.
|
2.3h
|
Impairment testing of goodwill and other major
classes of assets
|
Goodwill
The Group determines whether goodwill needs to
be impaired at least annually and twice-yearly if indicators of
impairment exist at the interim reporting date of 31
July.
New pricing rules set by the Financial Conduct
Authority (FCA) came into
effect on 1 January 2022, following the conclusion of the General
Insurance Pricing Practices (GIPP) market study. As a result of the
impact of the GIPP changes on customer pricing, especially in the
highly competitive motor insurance market, there was a fall in
policy volumes in the period to 31 July 2022, year to 31 January
2023, period to 31 July 2023 and year to 31 January 2024, with a
consequential adverse impact on the profitability of the Insurance
business. Management considered this to be an indicator of
impairment and therefore conducted full impairment reviews of the
Insurance Broking cash generating unit (CGU) as at 31 July 2022, 31 January
2023, 31 July 2023 and 31 January 2024. As a result of these
reviews, management deemed it necessary to impair the goodwill
allocated to the Insurance Broking CGU by £269.0m at 31 July 2022,
by £68.1m at 31 July 2023 and by £36.8m at 31 January
2024.
No further impairment was deemed necessary at 31
January 2023.
Given the low materiality of the amounts in
question, the Group decided to write off, in full, the £0.5m
goodwill arising on acquisition of The Big Window Consulting
Limited (the Big Window) in
the period to 31 July 2022.
Property, plant and
equipment
Following the continued impact of the COVID-19
pandemic on the Group's Cruise and Travel operations, management
concluded that potential indicators of impairment existed and
conducted impairment reviews at 31 July 2022 of the Group's two
ocean cruise ships, Spirit of Discovery and Spirit of Adventure.
Management considered a range of scenarios and used its judgement
to conclude that no impairment was necessary.
As at 31 January 2024, 31 July 2023 and 31
January 2023, management did not consider it necessary to conduct
an impairment review of the Group's two ocean cruise ships since no
new indicators of impairment were identified. Please refer to Note
17 for further detail.
In the year ended 31 January 2024, management
exercised its judgement in relation to the impairment of plant and
equipment assets and performed an impairment review of the
recoverable amount of plant and equipment assets used by the Group.
As a result of this review, management deemed it necessary to
impair plant and equipment assets by £0.1m in the Central Costs
division. Please refer to Note 17 for further detail.
Right-of-use assets
In the years to 31 January 2024 and 31 January
2023, management did not consider it necessary to conduct an
impairment review of right-of-use river cruise ship assets, since
no indicators of impairment were identified.
In the year ended 31 January 2024, management
exercised its judgement in relation to the impairment of
right-of-use assets used by the Group's Publishing business
following a restructuring exercise. As a result of this review,
management deemed it necessary to impair long leasehold land and
buildings assets by £0.1m in that business. Please refer to Note
18a for further detail.
Assets held for sale
In the years to 31 January 2024 and 31 January
2023, in light of the Group obtaining updated freehold property
market valuation reports, management exercised judgement in
relation to the impairment of property assets held for sale.
As a consequence of the remeasurement of the
properties to the lower of, fair value less cost to sell, and the
carrying value, management concluded that a net
impairment charge of £10.4m (2023: £1.2m) was accordingly
recognised. Please refer to Note 38 for further detail.
Intangible assets
In the year ended 31 January 2024, following
the cessation of development work and the decision to exit some of
the Group's smaller, loss-making activities, management exercised
its judgement in relation to the impairment of software assets and
performed an impairment review of the recoverable amount of
software assets used by the Insurance Broking and Central Costs
divisions. As a result of this review, management deemed it
necessary to impair software assets by £1.2m in the Insurance
Broking business and also impair the software assets in the Central
Costs division by £1.9m. Please refer to Note 16b for further
detail.
|
2.3r
|
Insurance contract liabilities (and related
reinsurance contract assets)
|
Eligibility of reinsurance contracts
for the PAA
Some of the Group's groups of reinsurance have a
coverage period of more than 12 months, including the
motor quota share arrangement, which has a three-year coverage
period. Management has applied judgement in
concluding that these groups are eligible for the PAA on the basis
that, at initial recognition, it expects that the measurement of
the asset for remaining coverage under the PAA would not differ
materially to that under the IFRS 17 general measurement
model.
Liability for incurred
claims
This judgement relates to the estimation of
future claims costs in relation to areas of uncertainty. It is
relevant to both components of the IFRS 17 liability for incurred
claims:
· The
estimate of the present value of future cash flows
· The risk
adjustment
The approach to determining the risk adjustment
within the liability for incurred claims is a key area of
judgement. Under IFRS 17, the risk adjustment reflects the
compensation required for bearing uncertainty about the amount and
timing of the cash flows that arises from non-financial
risk.
The Group determines the risk adjustment at the
level of each IFRS 17 portfolio of insurance contracts, the most
material of which is the motor portfolio, using a confidence level
technique (also referred to as a Value at Risk (VaR) approach). Following this
approach, the total liability for incurred claims (net of
reinsurance) is set at the 85% confidence level (ultimate basis),
with the net risk adjustment being the difference between this
total net liability for incurred claims and the net estimate of the
present value of future cash flows. The gross risk adjustment is
derived in a similar way, with the reinsurance risk adjustment
being the difference between the gross and net risk adjustments.
This approach, and, in particular, the use of the 85% confidence
level, results in a risk adjustment that meets the IFRS 17
requirement as a key judgement.
As the risk adjustment is determined at the
level of each IFRS 17 portfolio, the confidence level referred to
above does not reflect diversification of risk across these
portfolios.
A further key area of judgement relates to the
discount rate that is applied to the estimate of future cash flows.
Under IFRS 17, the discount rate used should reflect the liquidity
characteristics of the insurance liabilities. Assessing the
liquidity characteristics of the liabilities requires significant
judgement. Management concluded that cash flows relating to the
liability for incurred claims are illiquid and, therefore, the
discount rate should include an illiquidity premium above the
risk-free rate.
|
b)
Significant estimates
All estimates are based on management's
knowledge of current facts and circumstances, assumptions based on
that knowledge and predictions of future events and actions. Actual
results may, therefore, differ from those estimates.
The table below sets out those items the Group
considers to have a significant risk of resulting in a material
adjustment to the carrying amounts of assets and liabilities,
together with the relevant accounting policy.
Accounting policy references below are to the
Notes to the Annual Report and Accounts for the year ended 31
January 2024.
Acc.
Policy
|
Items
involving estimation
|
Sources of
estimation uncertainty
|
2.3ai
|
Revenue recognition - three-year fixed-price
insurance policies
|
The standalone selling price of the option to
fix within the Group's three-year fixed-price insurance policies
has been estimated using the expected cost plus a margin approach,
as set out in paragraph 79 (b) of IFRS 15.
An allowance has also been made for the
likelihood that the option will be exercised by factoring in the
expected rate of renewal at the first and second renewal dates. The
amount of revenue deferred upon initial recognition is, therefore,
reduced to the extent that it is estimated that customers will not
exercise the option because they either decide not to renew or they
make a claim that releases the Group from its obligation to fix the
customer price.
|
2.3f & 2.3i
|
Useful economic lives and residual values of
software, intangible assets and ocean cruise ships
|
The useful economic lives and residual values of
software assets classified as intangible assets (Note 15) and ocean
cruise ship assets classified as property, plant and equipment
(Note 17) are assessed upon the capitalisation of each asset and,
at each reporting date, are based upon the expected consumption of
future economic benefits of the asset.
|
2.3h
|
Goodwill impairment testing
|
The Group determines whether goodwill needs to
be impaired on an annual basis, or more frequently as required.
This requires an estimation of the value-in-use of the CGUs to
which goodwill is allocated. The value-in-use calculation requires
the Group to estimate the future cash flows expected to arise from
the CGUs, discounted at a suitably risk-adjusted rate to calculate
present value.
The impact of changes to pricing rules set by
the FCA following the completion of the GIPP market study,
especially the highly competitive motor insurance market and the
adverse impact on profit before tax for the current and prior year,
has increased the estimation uncertainty in the Insurance Broking
CGU. The outcome of the impairment reviews conducted concluded that
impairment charges of £269.0m, £68.1m and £36.8m be recognised
against the Group's Insurance Broking CGU as at 31 July 2022, 31
July 2023 and 31 January 2024 respectively.
Sensitivity analysis was undertaken to determine
the effect of changing the discount rate, the terminal value and
future cash flows on the present value calculation, as shown in
Note 16a.
|
2.3h
|
Impairment of ocean and river cruise
ships
|
Following the continued impact of the COVID-19
pandemic on the Group's operations, management conducted impairment
reviews at 31 July 2022 of the Group's two ocean cruise ships,
Spirit of Discovery and Spirit of Adventure. Based on these
impairment reviews and looking at the probability of a range of
outcomes, the Group remained comfortable that there was headroom
over and above the carrying value of the two ocean cruise ship
assets and, therefore, concluded that no impairment charges were
necessary.
No impairment indicators were identified in
relation to the Group's two ocean cruise ships, or its river cruise
ships, as at 31 January 2023 and 31 January 2024 and, therefore, no
impairment reviews were conducted at these dates.
|
2.3r
|
Valuation of insurance contract liabilities
(and related reinsurance contract assets)
|
Estimates of future cash flows to
fulfil liabilities for incurred claims
For insurance contracts, estimates have to be
made for the expected cost of claims known but not yet settled
(case reserves) and for the expected cost of IBNR claims, as at the
reporting date. It can take a significant period of time before the
ultimate claims cost can be established with certainty.
The ultimate cost of incurred claims is
estimated by using a range of standard actuarial claims projection
techniques, such as the Chain-Ladder and Bornhuetter-Ferguson
methods. The main assumption underlying these techniques is that
past claims development experience can be used to project future
claims development and hence ultimate claims costs. As such, these
methods extrapolate the development of paid and incurred losses,
average costs per claim and claim numbers based on the observed
development of earlier years. Historical claims development is
primarily analysed by accident year, geographical area, significant
business line and peril. Additional qualitative judgement is used
to assess the extent to which past trends may not apply in the
future (e.g. to reflect one-off occurrences, changes in external or
market factors such as public attitudes to claiming, economic
conditions, levels of claims inflation, judicial decisions and
legislation, as well as internal factors such as portfolio mix,
policy features and claims handling procedures) in order to arrive
at the best estimate of the ultimate cost of claims.
The estimate of future cash flows arising from
PPO liabilities requires an assumption for carer wage inflation.
This assumption is currently set at 1.5% above the discount rate
applied to liabilities for incurred claims (see below). This
assumption will continue to be assessed at future measurement
dates.
Discount rate applied to liabilities
for incurred claims
All the Group's liabilities for incurred claims
(and related reinsurance assets) are discounted.
The determination of the discount rate applied
to liabilities for incurred claims is an estimate. This discount
rate reflects the current risk-free interest rate in the currency
of the insurance liabilities, being British Pounds (GBP), plus an
illiquidity premium. Such a discount rate is not observable and,
therefore, must be estimated. The discount rate is estimated by
removing from the yield curve of a portfolio of GBP-denominated
corporate bonds an estimate of the components of that yield that
relate to expected and unexpected credit losses. The portfolio of
corporate bonds used reflects the debt securities that the Group
holds to support its insurance liabilities.
Following this approach, the GBP discount rate
curves that were applied to liabilities for incurred claims were as
follows:
|
1 year
|
3 years
|
5 years
|
10 years
|
20 years
|
30 years
|
31 January 2024
|
4.9%
|
4.4%
|
4.1%
|
4.3%
|
4.9%
|
4.9%
|
31 January 2023
|
4.2%
|
4.1%
|
4.0%
|
4.1%
|
4.4%
|
4.3%
|
The sensitivity of this assumption is shown in
Note 20(a)(iii).
Risk adjustment
The confidence level technique used by the
Group to determine the risk adjustment requires estimation of the
probability distribution of the present value of future cash flows
arising from liabilities for incurred claims, including estimates
of possible favourable and unfavourable outcomes. These probability
distributions are estimated both gross and net of
reinsurance.
|
2.3u
|
Valuation of pension benefit
obligation
|
The cost of defined benefit pension plans, and
the present value of the pension obligation, are determined using
actuarial valuations. Actuarial valuations involve making
assumptions about discount rates, expected rates of return on
assets, future salary increases, mortality rates and future pension
increases. Due to the complexity of the valuation, the underlying
assumptions and its long-term nature, a defined benefit obligation
is highly sensitive to changes in these assumptions. All
assumptions are reviewed at each reporting date.
All significant assumptions and estimates
involved in arriving at the valuation of the pension scheme
obligation are set out in Note 27.
|
3 Segmental information
For management purposes, the Group is
organised into business units based on their products and services.
The Group has three reportable operating segments as
follows:
· Cruise and Travel:
comprises the operation and delivery of ocean and river
cruise holidays, as well as package tour and other holiday
products. The Group owns and operates two ocean cruise ships. All
other holiday and river cruise products are packaged together with
third-party supplied accommodation, flights and other transport
arrangements.
· Insurance: comprises
the provision of general insurance products. Revenue is derived
primarily from insurance premiums and broking revenues. The segment
is further analysed into four product sub-segments:
o Insurance
Broking, consisting of:
§ Motor
broking
§ Home
broking
§ Other
broking
o Insurance
Underwriting
·
Other Businesses and Central
Costs: comprises the Group's other businesses and its
central cost base. The other businesses primarily include Saga
Money (the personal finance product offering), Saga Publishing and
the Group's mailing and printing business,
CustomerKNECT.
Segment performance is evaluated using the
Group's key performance measure of Underlying Profit/(Loss) Before
Tax8. Items not included within a specific segment
relate to transactions that do not form part of the ongoing segment
performance or are managed at a Group level.
All revenue is generated solely in the
UK.
Transfer prices between operating segments are
set on an arm's-length basis in a manner similar to transactions
with third parties. Segment income, expenses and results include
transfers between business segments that are then eliminated on
consolidation.
Goodwill, bonds and the RCF are not included
within segments as they are managed on a Group basis.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other
Businesses
and
Central
Costs
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cost of sales (non-Insurance
Underwriting)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross profit/(loss) (non-Insurance
Underwriting)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance service
expenses
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income from reinsurance
contracts
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Administrative and selling
expenses
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net finance expense from insurance
contracts
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net finance income from
reinsurance contracts
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net loss on disposal of property,
plant and equipment and software
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reconciliation to Underlying Profit/(Loss) Before
Tax85
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net fair value loss on derivative
financial instruments
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Impairment/loss on disposal of
assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amortisation of fees and costs on
Roger De Haan loan
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Acquisition and disposal costs
relating to the Big Window
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign exchange movement on lease
liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fair value gains on debt
securities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Changes in underwriting discount
rates on non-PPO liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Onerous contract
provisions
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ocean Cruise discretionary ticket
refunds and costs
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Underlying Profit/(Loss) Before
Tax8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other
Businesses
and
Central
Costs
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cost of sales (non-Insurance
Underwriting)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross profit/(loss) (non-Insurance
Underwriting)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance service
expenses
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net (expense)/income from
reinsurance contracts
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Administrative and selling
expenses
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net finance income from insurance
contracts
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net finance expense from
reinsurance contracts
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net profit on disposal of
software
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reconciliation to Underlying (Loss)/Profit Before
Tax8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net fair value gain on derivative
financial instruments
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Acquisition costs relating to the
Big Window
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign exchange movement on lease
liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fair value losses on debt
securities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Changes in underwriting discount
rates on non-PPO liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Onerous contract
provision
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
IFRS 16 lease adjustment on river
cruise vessels
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Underlying (Loss)/Profit Before
Tax8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analysis of total assets less liabilities by
segment:
|
2024
|
|
2023
(restated9613)
|
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
Cruise and Travel
|
89.3
|
|
93.7
|
Insurance
|
37.0
|
|
53.6
|
Other Businesses and Central
Costs
|
152.6
|
|
167.9
|
Adjustments
|
(55.4)
|
|
50.2
|
|
223.5
|
|
365.4
|
Total assets less liabilities detailed as
adjustments relates to the following unallocated items:
|
2024
|
|
2023
|
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
Goodwill (Note 8)
|
344.7
|
|
449.6
|
Bonds
|
(400.1)
|
|
(399.4)
|
|
(55.4)
|
|
50.2
|
Disaggregation of
revenue
The following table provides a disaggregation
of the Group's revenue by major product line, analysed by its core
operating segments.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other
Businesses
and
Central
Costs
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Publishing and
CustomerKNECT
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other
Businesses
and
Central
Costs
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Publishing and
CustomerKNECT
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Included in Insurance Broking revenue is
instalment interest income on premium financing of £6.7m (2023:
£6.1m (restated9)).
7 This relates to amounts received by the Group's insurance
broking entity in relation to insurance policies that are
underwritten by the Group, which are accounted for as insurance
premiums. This includes the street pricing adjustment
8 Refer
to the Alternative Performance Measures Glossary for definition and
explanation
9 For details of the restatement, please see Notes 2.4, 12a and
15
10 This relates to amounts
received by the Group's insurance broking entity in relation to
insurance policies, which are underwritten by the Group, that are
accounted for as insurance premiums. This includes the street
pricing adjustment
4 Tax
The major components of the income tax expense
are:
|
2024
|
|
2023
(restated11)
|
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
Consolidated income statement
|
|
|
|
Current income tax
|
|
|
|
Current income tax
charge
|
-
|
|
1.1
|
Adjustments in respect of previous
years
|
(3.6)
|
|
(0.4)
|
|
(3.6)
|
|
0.7
|
Deferred tax
|
|
|
|
Relating to origination and
reversal of temporary differences
|
(11.5)
|
|
(1.5)
|
Adjustments in respect of previous
years
|
(0.9)
|
|
1.2
|
|
(12.4)
|
|
(0.3)
|
|
|
|
|
Tax (credit)/expense in the income
statement
|
(16.0)
|
|
0.4
|
|
|
|
|
The Group's tax credit for the year was £16.0m
(2023: £0.4m expense (restated11)) representing a tax
effective rate of 66.4% before the impairment of goodwill (2023:
negative 12.5% (restated11)).
Adjustments in respect of previous years
includes an adjustment for the over-provision of tax in prior years
of £4.5m credit (2023: £0.8m expense (restated11)),
which includes £3.2m (2023: £nil) of repayments from HM Revenue
& Customs in respect of the years ended 31 January 2019 and 31
January 2020.
Reconciliation of net deferred tax
assets
|
2024
|
|
2023
(restated11)
|
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
At 1 February
|
11.5
|
|
7.2
|
Tax credit recognised in the
income statement
|
12.4
|
|
0.3
|
Tax credit recognised in
OCI
|
10.9
|
|
4.0
|
At 31 January
|
34.8
|
|
11.5
|
|
|
|
|
On 3 March 2021, it was announced that the
corporation tax rate would increase from 19% to 25% from 1 April
2023. This increase was substantively enacted on 24 May 2021. As a
result, the closing deferred tax balances at the statement of
financial position date have been reflected at 25%. Net deferred
tax assets are expected to be normally settled in more than 12
months.
11
For details of the restatement, please see Notes
2.4, 12a and 15
5 Dividends
The Board of Directors does not recommend the
payment of a final dividend for the 2023/24 financial year (2023:
nil pence per share).
For the current and prior year, no interim or
final dividends were declared, or paid, during the year.
The distributable reserves of Saga plc are
£407.6m deficit as at 31 January 2024, which are equal to the
retained earnings reserve. If necessary, its subsidiary companies
hold significant reserves from which a dividend could be paid.
Subsidiary distributable reserves are available immediately, with
the exception of companies within the River Cruise, Travel and
Insurance Underwriting businesses, which require regulatory
approval before any dividends can be declared and paid. Under the
terms of the ship debt facilities, dividends remain restricted
until the ship debt principal repayments that were deferred as part
of the ship debt repayment holiday are fully repaid (Note 16). In
addition, under the terms of the RCF, dividends also remain
restricted.
6 Loss per share
Basic loss per share is calculated by dividing
the loss after tax for the year attributable to ordinary equity
holders of the parent by the weighted average number of ordinary
shares outstanding during the period. Diluted loss per share is
calculated by also including the weighted average number of
ordinary shares that would be issued on conversion of all
potentially dilutive options.
There have been no other transactions
involving ordinary shares, or potential ordinary shares, between
the reporting date and the date of authorisation of these financial
statements.
The calculation of basic and diluted loss per
share is as follows:
|
|
|
|
2024
|
|
2023
(restated12)
|
|
|
|
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss attributable to ordinary
equity holders
|
|
|
|
(113.0)
|
|
(273.1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted average number of
ordinary shares
|
|
|
|
'm
|
|
'm
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ordinary shares as at 1
February
|
|
|
|
139.5
|
|
139.5
|
Deferred Bonus Plan (DBP) share options exercised
|
|
|
|
0.1
|
|
-
|
Restricted Share Plan
(RSP) share options
exercised
|
|
|
|
0.2
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ordinary shares as at 31
January
|
|
|
|
139.8
|
|
139.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted average number of
ordinary shares for basic loss per share and diluted loss per
share
|
|
|
|
139.8
|
|
139.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic loss per share
|
|
|
|
(80.8p)
|
|
(195.7p)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diluted loss per share
|
|
|
|
(80.8p)
|
|
(195.7p)
|
The table below reconciles between basic loss
per share and Underlying Basic Earnings Per
Share13.
|
2024
|
|
2023
(restated12)
|
|
|
|
|
Basic loss per share
|
(80.8p)
|
|
(195.7p)
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted for:
|
|
|
|
Net fair value loss/(gain) on
derivative financial instruments
|
0.8p
|
|
(1.2p)
|
Impairment, and net loss on
disposal, of assets
|
6.8p
|
|
0.9p
|
Impairment of Insurance
goodwill
|
75.0p
|
|
192.8p
|
Acquisition and disposal costs
relating to the Big Window (Notes 7b and 7c)
|
0.2p
|
|
0.5p
|
Onerous contract
provision
|
6.9p
|
|
3.2p
|
Amortisation of fees and costs on
Roger De Haan loan
|
0.2p
|
|
-
|
Foreign exchange movement on lease
liabilities
|
(0.4p)
|
|
1.7p
|
Fair value (gains)/losses on debt
securities
|
(2.0p)
|
|
12.4p
|
Changes in underwriting discount
rates on non-PPO liabilities
|
(0.6p)
|
|
(5.3p)
|
Restructuring costs
|
23.3p
|
|
3.1p
|
Ocean Cruise discretionary ticket
refunds and associated costs
|
0.6p
|
|
-
|
IFRS 16 lease accounting
adjustment on river cruise vessels
|
-
|
|
0.5p
|
Underlying Basic Earnings Per
Share13
|
30.0p
|
|
12.9p
|
12 For details of the
restatement, please see Notes 2.4, 12a and 15
13 Refer to the Alternative
Performance Measures Glossary for definition and
explanation
7 Business combinations and disposals
a)
Acquisitions during the year ended 31 January
2024
There were no business acquisitions in the
year ended 31 January 2024.
b)
Acquisitions during the year ended 31 January
2023
On 16 February 2022, the Group acquired the
Big Window, a specialist research and insight business focusing on
ageing.
The fair values of the identifiable assets and
liabilities of the Big Window acquired on the date of acquisition
were:
Assets
|
|
|
£m
|
Trade and other
receivables
|
|
|
0.1
|
Cash
|
|
|
1.3
|
Total assets
|
|
|
1.4
|
Liabilities
|
|
|
|
Trade and other
payables
|
|
|
0.1
|
Corporation tax
liability
|
|
|
0.1
|
Total liabilities
|
|
|
0.2
|
Total identifiable net assets at fair value
|
|
|
1.2
|
Goodwill arising on
acquisition
|
|
|
0.5
|
Cash purchase consideration transferred
|
|
|
1.7
|
The purchase consideration of £1.7m was
settled in cash. In addition to the £1.7m cash purchase
consideration transferred as part of the purchase agreement, the
Group granted a £0.5m share-based payment arrangement that was
transferred in cash to the Group's share administrators on the date
of completion. Cash of £1.3m was acquired with the Big Window,
resulting in a net cash outflow of £0.9m. The resultant goodwill of
£0.5m recognised on acquisition was fully written off in the year
to 31 January 2023.
The Big Window contributed £0.6m of revenue
and a loss of £1.0m to the Group loss before tax from the date of
acquisition to 31 January 2023.
c)
Disposals
During the year ended 31 January 2024, as a
result of the decision to exit some of our smaller loss-making
activities, the Group made the decision to dispose of the Big
Window. On 31 December 2023, the Group sold the Big Window back to
its founder and Chief Executive Officer for a nominal sum of £1.
The disposal did not meet the requirements of IFRS 5 to be
classified as a discontinued operation.
Details of the sale of the Big Window are as
follows:
|
|
|
£m
|
Cash consideration
received
|
|
|
-
|
Cash and short-term deposits
disposed of as part of the transaction
|
|
|
-
|
Carrying value of net liabilities
disposed
|
|
|
-
|
Loss on disposal before
tax
|
|
|
-
|
Tax expense on gain
|
|
|
-
|
Loss on disposal after tax
|
|
|
-
|
7 Business combinations and disposals
(continued)
c) Disposals
(continued)
The carrying amounts of assets and liabilities
as at the date of disposal were:
Assets
|
|
|
£m
|
Trade and other
receivables
|
|
|
0.1
|
Cash
|
|
|
-
|
Total assets
|
|
|
0.1
|
Liabilities
|
|
|
|
Contract liabilities
|
|
|
0.1
|
Total liabilities
|
|
|
0.1
|
|
|
|
|
Net liabilities disposed
|
|
|
-
|
There were no business disposals in the year
ended 31 January 2023.
8 Goodwill
Goodwill acquired through business
combinations has been allocated to CGUs for the purpose of
impairment testing. The carrying value of goodwill by CGU is as
follows:
|
2024
|
|
2023
|
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
Insurance Broking
|
344.7
|
|
449.6
|
|
344.7
|
|
449.6
|
The Group tests all goodwill balances for
impairment at least annually and twice-yearly if indicators of
impairment exist at the interim reporting date of 31 July. The
impairment test compares the recoverable amount of each CGU to the
carrying value of its net assets, including the value of the
allocated goodwill.
On 1 January 2022, new pricing rules arising
from the implementation of recommendations included in the FCA's
GIPP market study came into effect. As a result, and against the
background of a highly competitive motor insurance market, the
Group saw a fall in policy volumes in the period to 31 July 2022
and year to 31 January 2023. In the years to 31 January 2024 and 31
January 2023, high claims cost inflation in a competitive market
continued to have an adverse impact on the profitability of the
Insurance business. Management considered these trading impacts to
constitute indicators of impairment and, therefore, conducted full
impairment reviews of the Insurance Broking CGU as at 31 July 2022,
31 January 2023, 31 July 2023 and 31 January 2024.
The recoverable amount of the Insurance
Broking CGU has been determined based on a value-in-use calculation
using nominal cash flow projections from the Group's latest
five-year financial forecasts to 2028/29, which are derived using
past experience of the Group's trading, combined with the
anticipated impact of changes in macroeconomic and regulatory
factors. A terminal value has been calculated using the Gordon
Growth Model based on the fifth year of those projections and an
annual growth rate of 2.0% (July 2023: 2.0%; January 2023: 2.0%) as
the expected long-term average nominal growth rate of the UK
economy. The cash flows have then been discounted to present value
using a suitably risk-adjusted nominal discount rate based on a
market-participant view of the cost of capital and debt relevant to
the insurance industry.
As at 31 January 2024, the pre-tax discount
rate used for the Insurance Broking CGU was 13.0% (July 2023:
13.8%; January 2023: 13.0%). The Group's five-year financial
forecasts incorporate the modelled impact of the new pricing rules
and the estimated impact this will likely have on future new
business pricing and retention rates. As per IAS 36.44, incremental
cash flows directly attributable to growth initiatives not yet
enacted at the statement of financial position date have then been
removed for the purpose of the value-in-use calculation.
The Group has also considered the impact of
downside stresses, both in terms of adverse impacts to the cash
flow projections and to the discount rate. For the cash flow stress
test, the Group has modelled the impact of a more prudent outlook
on the current competitive challenges seen in the insurance broking
market, in combination with a more cautious nominal terminal growth
rate of 1.5% (July 2023: 1.5%; January 2023: 1.5%), reflecting a
more conservative outlook for growth in the UK economy. For the
discount rate stress test, the Group applied risk premia of +0.2ppt
at 31 January 2024 (July 2023: +0.7ppt; January 2023:
+1.3ppt).
The (deficit)/headroom for the Insurance
Broking CGU against the carrying value of goodwill at the time of
the review of £381.5m at 31 January 2024 (after recognising an
impairment charge of £68.1m at 31 July 2023), and £449.6m at 31
July 2023 and 31 January 2023, was as follows:
|
|
|
Headroom/(deficit) £m
|
|
|
Base
scenario
|
Cash
flow stress test scenario
|
Discount rate stress test scenario
|
|
31
January 2024
|
31
July 2023
|
31 January 2023
|
31
January 2024
|
31
July 2023
|
31 January 2023
|
31
January 2024
|
31
July 2023
|
31 January 2023
|
Insurance Broking
|
(17.8)
|
11.6
|
153.9
|
(55.7)
|
(88.7)
|
12.0
|
(25.0)
|
(9.8)
|
92.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 July 2023, the Group again determined
that the recoverable amount of the goodwill was below the carrying
value, and so the Directors took the decision to impair the
goodwill by a further £68.1m, based on a probability-weighted
assessment of the base and stressed forecast cash flows
modelled.
The market challenges in Insurance persisted
through the second half of the year. Management, therefore,
considered it necessary to perform a further impairment assessment
of goodwill as at 31 January 2024. Forecast cash flows consistent
with the latest five-year plan and further stress tests, including
the impact of a slower recovery from high claims inflation, have
been modelled. Again, and applying a probability weighting to the
base and stressed forecast cash flows modelled, management has
taken the decision to impair goodwill by a further £36.8m, taking
the total impairment charge for the year to £104.9m.
The headroom calculated is sensitive to the
discount rate and terminal growth rate assumed, and to changes in
the projected cash flows of the CGU. Increased inflationary
pressures on claims, the evolving market response to the regulatory
changes introduced in early 2022 and, in particular, the extent to
which market prices move against Saga in a period of heightened
global economic uncertainty, combine to increase the range of
possible cash flow outcomes in management's modelling. A
quantitative sensitivity analysis for each of these as at 31
January 2024, and its impact on the base scenario headroom against
the carrying value of goodwill at the time of the review of
£381.5m, is as follows:
|
Pre-tax
discount rate
|
Terminal growth rate
|
Cash
flow (annual)
|
|
+1.0ppt
£m
|
-1.0ppt £m
|
+1.0ppt
£m
|
-1.0ppt £m
|
+10%
£m
|
-10%
£m
|
Insurance Broking
|
(28.2)
|
33.9
|
30.8
|
(24.7)
|
32.0
|
(32.0)
|
In the prior year, goodwill of £0.5m arising
on the acquisition of the Big Window was immediately impaired in
full (Note 7b).
9 Intangible fixed assets
During the year, the Group capitalised £21.7m
(2023: £13.4m) of software assets, disposed of assets with a net
book value of £0.3m (2023: £nil) and charged £12.0m of amortisation
and impairment to its intangible assets (2023: £9.2m).
10 Property, plant and equipment
During the year, the Group capitalised assets
with a cost of £2.1m (2023: £8.2m), reclassified to assets held for
sale assets with a net book value of £nil (2023: £19.5m),
reclassified from assets held for sale assets with a net book value
of £3.4m (2023: £nil), disposed of assets with a net book value of
£0.2m (2023: £0.2m) and charged £22.9m of depreciation and
impairment to its property, plant and equipment (2023:
£24.0m).
Impairment
review of property, plant and equipment
Due to the continued impact of the COVID-19
pandemic on the Group's Cruise and Travel operations in the first
half of the prior financial year, management concluded that
potential indicators of impairment continued to exist as at 31 July
2022 for both of its ocean cruise ships, Spirit of Discovery and
Spirit of Adventure. Management therefore conducted impairment
reviews at 31 July 2022 for both vessels, following previous
reviews conducted at 31 January 2022.
The impairment test was conducted using a
methodology consistent with that applied at 31 January 2022. The
recoverable amount of each ocean cruise ship was determined based
on a value-in-use calculation using cash flow projections from the
Group's five-year financial forecasts to 2026/27 and applying a
constant annual growth rate of 2% thereafter for subsequent periods
until the end of the ship's useful economic life of 30 years, at
which point a residual value of 15% of original cost was assumed.
This was then discounted back to present value using a suitably
risk-adjusted discount rate. The underlying forecast cash flows
were updated for the latest impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. In
addition, a stress test of the potential adverse medium-term impact
that the pandemic may have on demand for ocean cruises was also
considered, with load factors capped at 80% throughout 2023/24. The
annual growth rate beyond the fifth year of management forecasts
was reduced to 1.5% in the stress test scenario, reflecting a more
cautious outlook for long-term growth in the UK economy.
Potential environmental regulatory changes
were also considered as part of this assessment. The shipping
industry has made a commitment to reduce CO2 emissions
by 40% by 2030 (from a 2008 baseline), and the UK Government has
made commitments to reach net zero emissions by 2050. The Energy
Efficiency eXisting ship Index and Carbon Intensity Indicator
regulations were introduced internationally in 2023 to enable the
industry to meet the 2030 target and both of Saga's ocean cruise
ships meet the requirements of these regulations. The end of their
useful economic lives of 30 years will have been reached by 2049 in
the case of Spirit of Discovery and 2051 in the case of Spirit of
Adventure.
The Group did not factor in any potential fuel
modifications that may occur in the future into the cash flow
forecasts used for the impairment assessment of either ship. While
alternative fuels may present a viable route to decarbonisation for
the Ocean Cruise business, there are significant upstream supply
challenges, that will need to be resolved before these become
viable for deployment. The main engines currently installed in the
Group's ocean cruise ships are capable of being modified for use
with certain alternative fuels. Being new vessels, the design and
specification of the Group's ocean cruise ships was guided by a
desire to maximise efficiency through deployment of the most
up-to-date technology. Their hull design maximises fuel efficiency,
onboard technology minimises fuel consumption and catalytic
converters reduce carbon emissions. Additionally, the Group has
commenced the retro-fit of shore power connections to one of its
vessels and is planning on doing the same to the other vessel,
allowing them to use clean energy, where available, in ports of
call, and has commenced a study to evaluate other emerging
technologies. The capital expenditure required for the shore power
connections has been included in the forecast cash flows used in
the assessment.
There is also currently no technological
alternative to either oil or gas to power large vessels and it is
not clear if such technology will ever be commercially viable, or
in what time frame this might be achieved.
The cash flows were discounted to present
value using a pre-tax discount rate of 8.6% for both vessels. As at
31 July 2022, the headroom for each of the ships against the
carrying value was as follows:
|
Headroom £m
|
Base
scenario
|
Lower
trading stress test scenarios
|
Spirit of Discovery
|
169.0
|
146.5
|
Spirit of Adventure
|
114.7
|
91.6
|
Based on these impairment tests, and looking
at the likelihood of a range of outcomes, the Group was satisfied
that no impairment of either vessel was necessary as at 31 July
2022.
Subsequent to 31 July 2022, further COVID-19
restrictions were lifted for cruise passengers and the business
returned to fully operational conditions. Discount rates have
risen, but not to the extent that they materially change the
headroom in the impairment calculation. The Directors, therefore,
concluded that there were no additional indicators of impairment at
31 January 2024 and 31 January 2023 and, accordingly, no further
impairment review was deemed necessary.
In addition, management has assessed the
recoverable amount of plant and equipment assets as at 31 January
2024 and concluded that an impairment charge of £0.1m was required
in the Group's Central Costs division.
As the Group planned to vacate its properties
(Note 19), management concluded that this constituted an indicator
of impairment and duly conducted an impairment review as at 31
January 2023 of the Group's freehold and long leasehold land and
buildings, and related fixtures and fittings. In relation to these
freehold and long leasehold properties, value-in-use is negligible
and so the Group obtained market valuations to determine the fair
value of each building. The outcome of these impairment reviews
concluded that an impairment charge totalling £0.5m relating to
fixtures and fittings should be recognised against the Group's
assets as at 31 January 2023. At 31 January 2023, the Group
reclassified assets with a net book value of £19.5m to assets held
for sale (Note 19).
During the current year, the Group
declassified one of the properties classified as held for sale at
31 January 2023 to property, plant and equipment since it was no
longer being actively marketed for disposal (Note 19). The carrying
value of this property as at 31 January 2023 was £3.4m.
11 Right-of-use assets
During the year, the Group capitalised assets
with a cost of £5.9m (2023: £25.6m), disposed of assets with a net
book value of £nil (2023: £nil), reduced net book value for
reassessment of lease terms by £nil (2023: £22.0m) and charged
£12.0m of depreciation and impairment to its right-of-use assets
(2023: £8.9m).
The total cash outflow for leases amounted to
£13.6m (2023: £9.1m).
River cruise ship additions in the year ended
31 January 2023 relate to the river cruise vessels, Spirit of the
Danube, MS River Discovery II and MS Serenade 1.
During the year ended 31 January 2023,
management reviewed the allocation of costs under its river cruise
charter agreements. As a consequence, a proportion of costs
previously included as lease costs for Spirit of the Rhine were
reassessed as costs of ongoing service provision. Accordingly, the
right-of-use asset and liability relating to this ship were
adjusted in the prior year, reflecting a prospective change in
estimate as required under IAS 8.
Impairment
review of right-of-use assets
In the year to 31 January 2024, management
decided to restructure the Group's Publishing business. As a result
of this exercise, management performed an impairment review of
right-of-use assets used by the Publishing business. The outcome of
this review concluded that an impairment charge of £0.1m be
recognised against the Group's long leasehold land and buildings as
at 31 January 2024.
With the exception of the above, the Group
does not consider it necessary to conduct an impairment review of
right-of-use assets as at 31 January 2024 since no indicators of
impairment exist. In the prior year, the Directors concluded that
there were no indicators of impairment at 31 January 2023 and,
accordingly, no impairment review was deemed necessary.
12 Financial assets and financial
liabilities
a)
Financial assets
|
|
2024
|
|
2023
(restated14)
|
|
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
FVTPL
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign exchange forward
contracts
|
|
-
|
|
0.4
|
Loan funds
|
|
-
|
|
5.9
|
Money market funds
|
|
32.8
|
|
19.6
|
Debt
securities14
|
|
219.1
|
|
254.4
|
|
|
251.9
|
|
280.3
|
FVTPL designated in a hedging relationship
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign exchange forward
contracts
|
|
-
|
|
2.1
|
Fuel oil swaps
|
|
0.3
|
|
-
|
|
|
0.3
|
|
2.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total financial assets
|
|
252.2
|
|
282.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current
|
|
74.1
|
|
62.8
|
Non-current
|
|
178.1
|
|
219.6
|
|
|
252.2
|
|
282.4
|
b) Financial
liabilities
|
|
2024
|
|
2023
|
|
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
FVTPL
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign exchange forward
contracts
|
|
0.5
|
|
0.2
|
|
|
0.5
|
|
0.2
|
FVTPL designated in a hedging relationship
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign exchange forward
contracts
|
|
2.7
|
|
1.0
|
Fuel oil swaps
|
|
0.8
|
|
4.0
|
|
|
3.5
|
|
5.0
|
Amortised cost
|
|
|
|
|
Bond and ship loans (Note
16)
|
|
796.2
|
|
854.6
|
Lease liabilities
|
|
26.3
|
|
32.6
|
Bank overdrafts
|
|
1.9
|
|
4.4
|
|
|
824.4
|
|
891.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total financial liabilities
|
|
828.4
|
|
896.8
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current
|
|
238.2
|
|
118.6
|
Non-current
|
|
590.2
|
|
778.2
|
|
|
828.4
|
|
896.8
|
c) Fair value
hierarchy
|
As at 31 January
2024
|
|
As at
31 January 2023
|
|
Level
1
|
Level
2
|
Level
3
|
Total
|
|
Level
1
|
Level
2
|
Level
3
|
Total
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
Financial assets measured at fair value
|
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign exchange
forwards
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
-
|
2.5
|
-
|
2.5
|
Fuel oil swaps
|
-
|
0.3
|
-
|
0.3
|
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Loan funds
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
5.9
|
-
|
-
|
5.9
|
Debt securities
|
219.1
|
-
|
-
|
219.1
|
|
254.4
|
-
|
-
|
254.4
|
Money market funds
|
32.8
|
-
|
-
|
32.8
|
|
19.6
|
-
|
-
|
19.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Financial liabilities measured at fair
value
|
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign exchange
forwards
|
-
|
3.2
|
-
|
3.2
|
|
-
|
1.2
|
-
|
1.2
|
Fuel oil swaps
|
-
|
0.8
|
-
|
0.8
|
|
-
|
4.0
|
-
|
4.0
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Financial liabilities for which fair values
are disclosed
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bonds and ship loans
|
356.3
|
356.1
|
-
|
712.4
|
|
-
|
788.9
|
-
|
788.9
|
Lease liabilities
|
-
|
26.3
|
-
|
26.3
|
|
-
|
32.6
|
-
|
32.6
|
Bank overdrafts
|
-
|
1.9
|
-
|
1.9
|
|
-
|
4.4
|
-
|
4.4
|
d) Other
information
Debt securities, loan funds and money market
funds relate to monies held by the Group's Insurance Underwriting
business, are subject to contractual restrictions and are not
readily available to be used for other purposes within the Group.
The values of the debt securities, money market funds and loan
funds are based upon publicly available market prices.
Following a review of the Group's loans and
borrowings during the year, bonds have been transferred from Level
2 to Level 1 in the fair value hierarchy. There have been no
non-recurring fair value measurements of assets and liabilities
during the year (2023: none). The Group's policy is to recognise
transfers into, and out of, fair value hierarchy levels as at the
end of the reporting period.
Foreign exchange forwards are valued using
current spot and forward rates discounted to present value. They
are also adjusted for counterparty credit risk using credit default
swap curves. Fuel oil swaps are valued with reference to the
valuations provided by third parties, which use current Platts
index rates, discounted to present value.
Bonds are valued at quoted market bid
prices.
Ship loans are valued using discounted cash
flows at the current rates of interest.
The Group operates a programme of economic
hedging against its foreign currency and fuel oil exposures. During
the year, the Group designated 126 (2023: 352) foreign exchange
forward currency contracts as hedges of highly probable foreign
currency cash expenses in future periods and designated 37 (2023:
68) fuel oil swaps as hedges of highly probable fuel oil
purchases in future periods. As at 31 January 2024, the Group
has designated 208 (2023: 446) forward currency contracts and 65
(2023: 68) fuel oil swaps as hedges.
During the year, the Group recognised net
losses of £1.3m (2023: £2.0m losses) on cash flow hedging
instruments through OCI into the hedging reserve. The Group
recognised £nil gains (2023: £nil) through the income statement in
respect of the ineffective portion of hedges measured during the
year.
During the year, the Group has de-designated
12 foreign currency forward contracts, with a transaction value of
£1.3m, where forecast cash flows are no longer expected to occur
with a sufficiently high degree of certainty to meet the
requirements of IFRS 9. The accumulated losses in relation to these
contracts of £0.1m have been reclassified from the hedging reserve
into profit or loss during the year. The Group has not
de-designated any fuel oil swaps during the year. During the year,
the Group recognised a £1.0m loss (2023: £0.3m loss) through the
income statement in respect of matured hedges that have been
recycled from OCI.
13 As a result of the adoption of
IFRS 17 during the current year, the Group has changed
classification of debt securities under IFRS 9 from FVOCI to FVTPL,
with effect from 1 February 2022.This change applies to the whole
amount of debt securities shown in the table. IFRS 17 permits
financial assets to be classified as FVTPL on transition to IFRS 17
if doing so eliminates, or significantly reduces, a measurement or
recognition inconsistency. For the debt securities that support the
Group's insurance liabilities, this condition is met as fair value
gains or losses on these securities are expected to be offset, to a
significant degree, by the impact of changes in the discount rate
on the measurement of IFRS 17 liabilities for incurred claims (net
of the impact on related reinsurance assets)
14
13 Cash and cash equivalents
|
2024
|
|
2023
|
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
Cash at bank and in
hand
|
57.8
|
|
52.0
|
Short-term deposits and money
market funds held outside of the Insurance business
|
130.9
|
|
124.5
|
Cash and short-term deposits
|
188.7
|
|
176.5
|
Money market funds held within the
Insurance business (Note 12)
|
32.8
|
|
19.6
|
Bank overdraft
|
(1.9)
|
|
(4.4)
|
Cash and cash equivalents in the consolidated statement of
cash flows
|
219.6
|
|
191.7
|
Included within cash and cash equivalents are
amounts held by the Group's River Cruise, Travel and Insurance
businesses, which are subject to contractual or regulatory
restrictions. The amounts held are not readily available to be used
for other purposes within the Group and total £49.8m (2023:
£34.2m). Available Cash15 excludes these
amounts.
Cash at bank earns interest at floating rates
based on daily bank deposit rates. Short-term deposits are
typically made for varying periods of between one day and three
months, depending on the immediate cash requirements of the Group,
and earn interest at the respective short-term deposit
rates.
The bank overdraft is subject to a guarantee
in favour of the Group's bankers and is limited to the amount
drawn. The bank overdraft is repayable on demand.
15
Refer to the Alternative Performance Measures
Glossary for definition and explanation
14 Retirement benefit schemes
The Group operates retirement benefit schemes
for the employees of the Group consisting of a defined contribution
plan and a legacy defined benefit plan.
In July 2021, following the completion of a
review of the Group's pension arrangements, a consultation process
with active members was launched. The consultation process
concluded during October 2021 and, with effect from 31 October
2021, the Group closed both its existing schemes to future accrual:
the Saga Pension Scheme (its defined benefit plan) and the Saga
Workplace Pension Plan (its defined contribution plan). In their
place, the Group launched a new defined contribution pension scheme
arrangement, operated as a master trust. This move served to reduce
the risk of further deficits developing in the future on the
defined benefit scheme, while moving to a fairer scheme for all
colleagues.
a) Defined
contribution plans
There was one defined contribution scheme in
the Group at 31 January 2024 (2023: three). The total charge for
the year in respect of the defined contribution schemes was £11.6m
(2023: £9.9m). The assets of these schemes are held separately from
those of the Group in funds under the control of
trustees.
b) Defined
benefit plan
The Group operated a funded defined benefit
scheme, the Saga Pension Scheme, which was closed to future accrual
on 31 October 2021. From 1 November 2021, members moved from active
to deferred status, with future indexation of deferred pensions
before retirement measured by reference to the Consumer Price
Index. There will be no further service charges relating to the
scheme and no future monthly employer contributions for current
service.
The fair value of the assets and present value
of the obligations of the Saga defined benefit scheme are as
follows:
|
2024
|
|
2023
|
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
Fair value of scheme
assets
|
204.5
|
|
224.1
|
Present value of defined benefit
obligation
|
(252.4)
|
|
(236.2)
|
Defined benefit scheme liability
|
(47.9)
|
|
(12.1)
|
The present values of the defined benefit
obligation have been measured using the projected unit credit
valuation method.
During the year ended 31 January 2024, the net
liability position of the Saga scheme increased by £35.8m,
resulting in an overall scheme deficit of £47.9m. The movements
observed in the scheme's assets and obligations have been impacted
by macroeconomic factors during the year where, at a global level,
there have been continued inflation and cost of living pressures,
as well as shifts in long-term market yields. The present value of
defined benefit obligations increased by £16.2m to £252.4m and the
fair value of scheme assets decreased by £19.6m to £204.5m. The net
liability position moved adversely due to asset returns being
significantly lower than expected, as well as the impact of using
updated data from the 2023 triennial actuarial valuation, which is
in progress.
Over 2023, asset performance was impacted by a
repositioning of the growth part of the scheme's portfolio
following the gilts crisis in 2022. Substantive changes to the
overall asset allocation and in particular growth assets were
required to support the scheme's interest rate and inflation
hedging during, and in the months following, the gilts crisis. The
portfolio, therefore, became overweight to illiquid assets and
underweight to liquid growth assets, which impacted performance.
Changes to the asset allocation occurred over 2023 as capital was
returned from the illiquid assets and repositioned into more liquid
growth assets.
Meanwhile, the use of updated data from the
2023 draft triennial actuarial valuation had
the dual impact of capturing experience up to 31 January 2023
not already quantified within previous disclosures and also
allowing for any difference in the roll-forward and assumption
changes of the liability once allowing for the updated underlying
liability profile and cash flows. The
primary component of the adverse experience adjustment
reflects a change in the shape of the yield curve assumption
compared with the prior year, which in a period of unprecedented
market volatility between 30 September 2022 and 31 January 2023 in
the wake of the September 2022 mini-budget, has acted to increase
the liabilities of the scheme.
These adverse movements have been partly
offset by a reduction in the value placed on the liabilities as a
result of: changes in market conditions; future life
expectancies; the level of commutation assumed and the use of the
latest commutation factors; and a £5.8m deficit funding
contribution being paid by the Group in February 2023. This related
to a recovery plan agreed under the latest approved triennial
valuation of the scheme as at 31 January 2020.
15 Insurance contract liabilities and reinsurance
assets
The Group has adopted IFRS 17 'Insurance
Contracts' for the first time in the year ended 31 January 2024,
with the date of initial application being 1 February 2023 and the
transition date being 1 February 2022. The comparatives for the
year ended 31 January 2023 have been restated onto an IFRS 17
basis. For further details of the restatement, please see Note
2.4.
a) Reconciliation of opening and closing
balances
The following tables reconcile the opening and
closing balances held in relation to insurance and reinsurance
contracts:
|
Liabilities for remaining
coverage
|
|
Liabilities for incurred
claims
|
|
|
|
Excluding loss
component
|
Loss
component
|
|
Estimate of the present
value of future cash flows
|
Risk
adjustment
|
|
Total
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
As at 1 February 2023 (restated)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance contract liabilities
|
(44.3)
|
(8.4)
|
|
(259.2)
|
(35.6)
|
|
(347.5)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance revenue
|
177.6
|
-
|
|
-
|
-
|
|
177.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Incurred claims and related
expenses
|
-
|
17.4
|
|
(176.0)
|
(9.7)
|
|
(168.3)
|
Changes to liabilities for
incurred claims
|
-
|
-
|
|
(20.9)
|
5.5
|
|
(15.4)
|
Insurance acquisition cash flows
expensed
|
(26.0)
|
-
|
|
-
|
-
|
|
(26.0)
|
Losses on onerous contracts and
changes in such losses
|
-
|
(25.1)
|
|
-
|
-
|
|
(25.1)
|
Other incurred insurance service
expenses
|
-
|
-
|
|
(14.4)
|
-
|
|
(14.4)
|
Insurance service
expenses
|
(26.0)
|
(7.7)
|
|
(211.3)
|
(4.2)
|
|
(249.2)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance finance
expense
|
-
|
-
|
|
(3.1)
|
(0.4)
|
|
(3.5)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total changes in the consolidated income
statement
|
151.6
|
(7.7)
|
|
(214.4)
|
(4.6)
|
|
(75.1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash flows
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Premiums received
|
(189.9)
|
-
|
|
-
|
-
|
|
(189.9)
|
Insurance acquisition cash flows
incurred
|
26.0
|
-
|
|
-
|
-
|
|
26.0
|
Claims and other expenses
paid
|
-
|
-
|
|
187.2
|
-
|
|
187.2
|
Total cash flows
|
(163.9)
|
-
|
|
187.2
|
-
|
|
23.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at 31 January 2024
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance contract liabilities
|
(56.6)
|
(16.1)
|
|
(286.4)
|
(40.2)
|
|
(399.3)
|
|
Assets for remaining
coverage
|
|
Amounts recoverable on
incurred claims
|
|
|
|
Excluding loss-recovery
component
|
Loss-recovery
component
|
|
Estimate of the present
value of future cash flows
|
Risk
adjustment
|
|
Total
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
As at 1 February 2023 (restated)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reinsurance contract (liabilities)/assets
|
(5.5)
|
2.7
|
|
87.6
|
27.4
|
|
112.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Allocation of reinsurance
premiums
|
(17.0)
|
-
|
|
-
|
-
|
|
(17.0)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amounts recoverable for
incurred
claims and other
expenses
|
-
|
(3.7)
|
|
21.5
|
3.2
|
|
21.0
|
Changes to amounts recoverable for
incurred claims
|
-
|
-
|
|
32.0
|
2.8
|
|
34.8
|
Loss-recovery on onerous
underlying contracts and adjustments
|
-
|
2.3
|
|
-
|
-
|
|
2.3
|
Effect of changes in the risk of
non-performance of reinsurance contracts
|
-
|
-
|
|
(0.9)
|
-
|
|
(0.9)
|
Net (expense)/income from
reinsurance contracts
|
(17.0)
|
(1.4)
|
|
52.6
|
6.0
|
|
40.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reinsurance finance
income
|
-
|
-
|
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
|
1.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total changes in the consolidated income
statement
|
(17.0)
|
(1.4)
|
|
54.2
|
6.3
|
|
42.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash flows
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Premiums paid
|
19.4
|
-
|
|
-
|
-
|
|
19.4
|
Amounts received
|
-
|
-
|
|
(0.5)
|
-
|
|
(0.5)
|
Total cash flows
|
19.4
|
-
|
|
(0.5)
|
-
|
|
18.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at 31 January 2024
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reinsurance contract (liabilities)/assets
|
(3.1)
|
1.3
|
|
141.3
|
33.7
|
|
173.2
|
|
Liabilities for remaining coverage
|
|
Liabilities for incurred claims
|
|
|
|
Excluding loss component
|
Loss
component
|
|
Estimate
of the present value of future cash flows
|
Risk
adjustment
|
|
Total
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
As at 1 February 2022 (restated)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance contract liabilities
|
(54.9)
|
(1.9)
|
|
(267.6)
|
(35.2)
|
|
(359.6)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance revenue
|
193.0
|
-
|
|
-
|
-
|
|
193.0
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Incurred claims and related
expenses
|
-
|
4.4
|
|
(182.7)
|
(10.7)
|
|
(189.0)
|
Changes to liabilities for
incurred claims
|
-
|
-
|
|
19.0
|
9.3
|
|
28.3
|
Insurance acquisition cash flows
expensed
|
(29.5)
|
-
|
|
-
|
-
|
|
(29.5)
|
Losses on onerous contracts and
changes in such losses
|
-
|
(10.9)
|
|
-
|
-
|
|
(10.9)
|
Other incurred insurance service
expenses
|
-
|
-
|
|
(14.7)
|
-
|
|
(14.7)
|
Insurance service
expenses
|
(29.5)
|
(6.5)
|
|
(178.4)
|
(1.4)
|
|
(215.8)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance finance
income
|
-
|
-
|
|
7.2
|
1.0
|
|
8.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total changes in the consolidated income
statement
|
163.5
|
(6.5)
|
|
(171.2)
|
(0.4)
|
|
(14.6)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash flows
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Premiums received
|
(182.4)
|
-
|
|
-
|
-
|
|
(182.4)
|
Insurance acquisition cash flows
incurred
|
29.5
|
-
|
|
-
|
-
|
|
29.5
|
Claims and other expenses
paid
|
-
|
-
|
|
179.6
|
-
|
|
179.6
|
Total cash flows
|
(152.9)
|
-
|
|
179.6
|
-
|
|
26.7
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at 31 January 2023 (restated)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance contract liabilities
|
(44.3)
|
(8.4)
|
|
(259.2)
|
(35.6)
|
|
(347.5)
|
|
Assets
for remaining coverage
|
|
Amounts
recoverable on incurred claims
|
|
|
|
Excluding loss-recovery component
|
Loss-recovery component
|
|
Estimate
of the present value of future cash flows
|
Risk
adjustment
|
|
Total
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
As at 1 February 2022 (restated)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reinsurance contract
liabilities
|
(1.1)
|
-
|
|
-
|
-
|
|
(1.1)
|
Reinsurance contract
assets
|
(5.1)
|
-
|
|
63.7
|
22.5
|
|
81.1
|
Net reinsurance contract
(liabilities)/assets
|
(6.2)
|
-
|
|
63.7
|
22.5
|
|
80.0
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Allocation of reinsurance
premiums
|
(14.8)
|
-
|
|
-
|
-
|
|
(14.8)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amounts recoverable for
incurred
claims and other
expenses
|
-
|
(0.3)
|
|
29.2
|
3.9
|
|
32.8
|
Changes to amounts recoverable for
incurred claims
|
-
|
-
|
|
4.2
|
2.0
|
|
6.2
|
Loss-recovery on onerous
underlying contracts and adjustments
|
-
|
3.0
|
|
-
|
-
|
|
3.0
|
Effect of changes in the risk of
non-performance of reinsurance contracts
|
-
|
-
|
|
0.1
|
-
|
|
0.1
|
Net (expense)/income from
reinsurance contracts
|
(14.8)
|
2.7
|
|
33.5
|
5.9
|
|
27.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reinsurance finance
expense
|
-
|
-
|
|
(2.7)
|
(1.0)
|
|
(3.7)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total changes in the consolidated income
statement
|
(14.8)
|
2.7
|
|
30.8
|
4.9
|
|
23.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash flows
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Premiums paid
|
15.5
|
-
|
|
-
|
-
|
|
15.5
|
Amounts received
|
-
|
-
|
|
(6.9)
|
-
|
|
(6.9)
|
Total cash flows
|
15.5
|
-
|
|
(6.9)
|
-
|
|
8.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at 31 January 2023 (restated)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reinsurance contract (liabilities)/assets
|
(5.5)
|
2.7
|
|
87.6
|
27.4
|
|
112.2
|
b) Claims
development tables
The following tables show the Group's initial
estimate of ultimate gross and net claims incurred in previous
financial years and the re-estimation at subsequent financial
period ends. In producing these tables, the Group has applied an
IFRS 17 transition exemption to not disclose previously unpublished
information about claims development that occurred earlier than
five years before the end of the annual reporting period in which
it first applied IFRS 17.
i) Gross claims
development
|
|
|
Gross loss occurring in
financial
|
|
2020
|
2021
|
2022
|
2023
|
2024
|
years ending:
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
31 January 2019 and prior financial
years
|
|
3,146.5
|
3,085.3
|
3,032.3
|
3,101.7
|
3,182.8
|
31 January 2020
|
|
203.7
|
196.9
|
181.5
|
174.1
|
167.5
|
31 January 2021
|
|
|
130.9
|
125.9
|
117.6
|
102.2
|
31 January 2022
|
|
|
|
146.8
|
221.6
|
279.1
|
31 January 2023
|
|
|
|
|
222.4
|
221.9
|
31 January 2024
|
|
|
|
|
|
259.2
|
Cumulative payments to
date
|
|
|
|
|
|
(3,478.2)
|
Gross undiscounted liabilities -
losses arising from financial years 2020-2024
|
|
|
|
|
|
734.5
|
Claims handling expenses
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.8
|
Effect of discounting
|
|
|
|
|
|
(455.1)
|
Risk adjustment
|
|
|
|
|
|
40.4
|
Total gross liability for incurred claims
|
|
|
|
|
|
326.6
|
ii) Net claims
development
|
|
|
Net loss occurring in
financial
|
|
2020
|
2021
|
2022
|
2023
|
2024
|
years ending:
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
31 January 2019 and prior financial
years
|
|
2,965.6
|
2,943.5
|
2,916.6
|
2,935.7
|
2,956.2
|
31 January 2020
|
|
181.7
|
185.9
|
175.4
|
171.7
|
166.1
|
31 January 2021
|
|
|
121.9
|
114.9
|
116.8
|
101.1
|
31 January 2022
|
|
|
|
136.5
|
170.8
|
146.0
|
31 January 2023
|
|
|
|
|
171.3
|
149.5
|
31 January 2024
|
|
|
|
|
|
60.4
|
Cumulative net payments to
date
|
|
|
|
|
|
(3,425.1)
|
Net undiscounted liabilities -
losses arising from financial years 2020-2024
|
|
|
|
|
|
154.2
|
Claims handling expenses
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.8
|
Net effect of
discounting
|
|
|
|
|
|
(16.0)
|
Net risk adjustment
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.6
|
Total net liability for incurred claims
|
|
|
|
|
|
151.6
|
16 Loans and borrowings
|
2024
|
|
2023
|
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
Bond
|
400.0
|
|
400.0
|
Ship loans
|
407.0
|
|
469.2
|
Accrued interest and fees
payable
|
4.8
|
|
5.5
|
|
811.8
|
|
874.7
|
Less: deferred issue
costs
|
(15.6)
|
|
(20.1)
|
|
796.2
|
|
854.6
|
a) Bonds, RCF
and loan facility with Roger De Haan
At 31 January 2024, the Group's financing
facilities consisted of a £150.0m seven-year senior unsecured bond
(repayable May 2024), a £250.0m five-year senior unsecured bond
(repayable July 2026), a £50.0m five-year RCF (expiring in May
2025) and an £85.0m loan facility with Roger De Haan (expiring
April 2026). The RCF and the loan facility with Roger De Haan were
undrawn as at 31 January 2024.
i) Bonds
The bonds are listed on the Irish Stock
Exchange (Euronext Dublin) and are guaranteed by Saga Services
Limited and Saga Mid Co Limited.
Interest on the 2024 corporate bond is
incurred at an annual interest rate of 3.375%. Interest on the 2026
corporate bond is incurred at an annual interest rate of
5.5%.
ii) RCF
Interest payable on the Group's RCF, if drawn
down, is incurred at a variable rate of Sterling Overnight Index
Average (SONIA) plus a bank
margin that is linked to the Group's leverage ratio.
During the year to 31 January 2023, the Group
agreed amendments with its banks to simplify the RCF arrangement to
remove certain clauses that were introduced during the COVID-19
pandemic and reduce the aggregate facility cost. The amendments to
the RCF include:
· removal of the
£40.0m minimum liquidity requirement;
· removal of the
condition that the facility (if drawn) is repaid on 1 March 2024,
if the existing 2024 bond has not been redeemed prior to this date;
and
· reduction of the
RCF commitment from £100.0m to £50.0m.
In addition, dividends remained restricted
while leverage (excluding Cruise) is above 3.0x.
Also, during the year to 31 January 2023, the
Group had further discussions with its lending banks behind the RCF
and agreed the following amendments to the facility:
· The introduction of
a restriction whereby no utilisation of the facility is permitted
prior to repayment of the 2024 bond if leverage exceeds 5.5x, or
liquidity is below £170.0m.
· During 2023 and
2024, should the RCF be drawn, leverage covenant testing will be
quarterly.
· Repayment of the
2024 bond, ahead of maturity, is restricted while leverage remains
above 3.75x.
· Amendments to the
leverage and interest cover covenants attached to the facility, as
follows:
|
Leverage (excl. Ocean
Cruise)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
During the year to 31 January 2024, the Group
also announced that it had reached agreement with its banks to
amend the covenants on its RCF. The covenants within the Group's
RCF were amended as follows:
· Increase in the
leverage ratio (excluding Cruise debt) covenant for 31 January 2024
from 5.5x to 6.25x.
Since 31 January 2024, the Group concluded
further discussions with the lenders associated with the RCF to
increase the Group's financial flexibility. As a result, the
following amendments were agreed, in addition to smaller,
immaterial changes:
· Increase to the
leverage ratio for all remaining testing periods to
6.25x.
· Quarterly covenant
testing, irrespective of whether the loan is drawn.
· The introduction of
a restriction whereby, post repayment of the 2024 bond, no
utilisation of the facility is permitted if free liquidity is below
£40.0m.
· Consent requirement
for any early repayment of corporate debt or payment of shareholder
dividends.
At 31 January 2024, the Group's £50.0m RCF
remained undrawn. Accrued interest and fees payable on the Group's
bonds and undrawn RCF at 31 January 2024 are £1.8m (2023:
£2.2m).
ii) Loan facility
with Roger De Haan
In April 2023, the Group entered into a
forward starting loan facility agreement with Roger De Haan,
commencing on 1 January 2024, under which the Group could draw down
up to £50.0m with 30 days' notice to support liquidity needs and
specifically the repayment of £150.0m bonds maturing in May 2024.
The facility is provided on an arm's-length basis and is guaranteed
by Saga plc, Saga Mid Co Limited and Saga Services Limited. Per the
original terms of agreement, interest will accrue on the drawn
total of the facility at the rate of 10% and is payable on the last
day of the period of the loan; and the facility was originally due
to mature on 30 June 2025, at which point any outstanding amounts,
including interest, were due to be repaid. The facility is subject
to a 2% arrangement fee, payable on entering into the arrangement.
A drawdown fee of 2% on any amount drawn down under the facility is
payable on the drawing date; and milestone fees of 2% on any
uncancelled amount of the facility become payable on 31 March 2024
and 31 December 2024 respectively.
In September 2023, the Group agreed an
increase and extension to the existing loan facility with Roger De
Haan. This increase was for the value of £35.0m, taking the total
facility to £85.0m, and extended to expire on 31 December 2025,
previously 30 June 2025. The interest rate paid on funds on the
drawn total under this facility to finance the repayment of notes
issued by Saga plc, or to provide cash collateral demanded by
providers of bonding facilities to the Group, remains at 10%, but
increases to 18% for any amounts drawn to support general corporate
purposes. In addition, the previous arrangement and milestone fees
of 2% remain payable; however, the drawdown fee of 2% increases to
5% for drawdowns for general corporate purposes. The amended
facility has been provided on the basis of certain conditions being
met; including:
· no professional
advisers may be appointed to or retained by Saga plc without prior
approval of the Board; and
·
no incremental financial indebtedness, over and above the
facilities already in place, may be incurred by Group
companies.
Subsequent to the financial year end, a
reduction of the notice period required for drawdown of the loan to
10 business days was agreed, in addition to a further extension to
the termination date of the facility, from 31 December 2025 to 30
April 2026.
a) Ocean
cruise ship loans
In June 2019, the Group drew down £245.0m of
financing for its ocean cruise ship, Spirit of Discovery. The
financing represents a 12-year fixed-rate sterling loan, secured
against the Spirit of Discovery cruise ship asset, and backed by an
export credit guarantee. The initial loan was repayable in 24
broadly equal instalments, with the first payment of £10.2m paid in
December 2019.
The Board announced on 22 June 2020 that it
had secured a debt holiday and covenant waiver for the Group's ship
facilities. The Group's lenders agreed to a deferral of £32.1m in
principal payments under the ship facilities that were due up to 31
March 2021. These deferred amounts were to be paid between June
2021 and December 2024 for Spirit of Discovery and between
September 2021 and March 2025 for Spirit of Adventure, and interest
remained payable.
On 29 September 2020, the Group drew down
£280.8m of financing for its ocean cruise ship, Spirit of
Adventure. The financing, secured against the Spirit of Adventure
cruise ship asset, represents a 12-year fixed-rate sterling loan,
backed by an export credit guarantee. The loan is repayable in 24
broadly equal instalments, with the first payment originally due
six months after delivery in March 2021, but initially deferred to
September 2021 as a result of the debt holiday described
above.
In March 2021, the Group reached agreement of
a one-year extension to the debt deferral on its ocean cruise ship
facilities. As part of an industry-wide package of measures to
support the cruise industry, an extension of the existing debt
deferral was agreed to 31 March 2022. The key terms of this
deferral were:
· all principal
payments to 31 March 2022 (£51.8m) deferred and repaid over five
years;
· all financial
covenants until 31 March 2022 waived; and
· dividends remain
restricted while the deferred principal is outstanding.
During the year to 31 January 2024, the Group
concluded discussions with its Cruise lenders in respect of the
covenant restrictions attaching to its two ship debt facilities.
Lenders agreed to a waiver of the EBITDA to debt repayment covenant ratio for the
31 July 2023 testing date. In addition, lenders agreed to amend the
covenants on the two ship debt facilities to reduce the EBITDA to
debt repayment ratio from 1.2x to 1.0x for the additional periods
up to, and including, 31 January 2025.
Interest on the Spirit of Discovery ship loan
is incurred at an effective annual interest rate of 4.31%
(including arrangement and commitment fees). Interest on the Spirit
of Adventure ship loan is incurred at an effective annual interest
rate of 3.30% (including arrangement and commitment fees). Interest
payable on the Group's ocean cruise ship debt deferrals is incurred
at a variable rate of SONIA plus a bank margin.
Accrued interest payable on the Group's ocean
cruise ship loans at 31 January 2024 is £3.0m (2023:
£3.3m).
b) Total debt
and finance costs
At 31 January 2024, debt issue costs were
£15.6m (2023: £20.1m). The movement in the year represents expense
amortisation for the year.
During the year, the Group charged £40.2m
(2023: £41.0m) to the income statement in respect of fees and
interest associated with the bonds, RCF and ship loans. In
addition, finance costs recognised in the income statement include
£1.9m (2023: £1.2m) relating to interest and finance charges on
lease liabilities, £0.5m (2023: £nil) relating to net finance
expense on pension schemes, £0.4m (2023: £nil) in respect of
arrangement and milestone fees associated with the loan facility
agreement with Roger De Haan, as disclosed above, and net fair
value losses on derivatives of £1.4m (2023: £nil). The Group has
complied with the financial covenants of its borrowing facilities
during the current and prior year.
17 Called up share capital
|
Ordinary shares
|
|
Number
|
Nominal value
£
|
Value
£m
|
Allotted, called up and fully paid
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 1 February 2022
|
140,337,271
|
0.15
|
21.1
|
At
31 January 2023
|
140,337,271
|
0.15
|
21.1
|
Issue of shares - 1 August
2023
|
1,458,551
|
0.15
|
0.2
|
At
31 January 2024
|
141,795,822
|
0.15
|
21.3
|
On 1 August 2023, Saga plc issued 1,458,551
new ordinary shares of 15p each, with a value of £0.2m, for
transfer into an employee benefit trust to satisfy employee
incentive arrangements. The newly issued shares rank pari passu
with existing Saga shares.
18 Share-based payments
The Group has granted a number of different
equity-based awards that it has determined to be share-based
payments. New awards granted during the year were as
follows:
a) On 26 May 2023, nil cost options over
376,557 shares were issued under the DBP to Executive Directors,
reflecting their deferred bonus in respect of 2022/23, which vest
and become exercisable on the third anniversary of the grant date.
Under the DBP, executives receive a maximum of two-thirds of the
bonus award in cash and a minimum of one-third in the form of
rights to shares of the Company.
b) During the year, nil cost options over
2,269,377 shares were issued under the RSP to certain Directors and
other senior employees that vest and become exercisable on the
third anniversary of the grant date, subject to continuing
employment.
c) On 8 August 2023, 595,791 shares were
awarded to eligible employees on the ninth anniversary of the
initial public offering and allocated at nil cost; these shares
become beneficially owned over a three-year period from allocation,
subject to continuing service.
The fair values of all awards
granted during the year under the equity-settled and cash-settled
share-based remuneration schemes operated by the Group are assessed
using market price and the Monte Carlo model. The Group charged
£3.4m (2023: £3.9m) during the year to the income statement in
respect of equity-settled share-based payment transactions. This
has been charged to administrative and selling expenses.
19 Assets held for sale
At the end of the year ended 31
January 2021, the Group made the decision to initiate an active
programme to locate buyers for a number of its freehold properties.
At the point of reclassification to held for sale, the carrying
values of £16.9m were considered to be equal to, or below, fair
value less costs to sell, and hence no revaluation at the point of
reclassification was required.
At 31 January 2023, the Group
obtained updated market valuations of its freehold properties held
for sale, to determine the fair value of each building. As a
consequence of the remeasurement of the properties to the lower of
fair value less cost to sell and the carrying value, management
concluded that net impairment charges totalling £1.2m should be
recognised against the Group's property assets held for sale as at
31 January 2023.
At the end of the year ended 31
January 2023, the Group made the decision to initiate an active
programme to locate buyers for a further two of its freehold
properties and one of its long leasehold properties. The Group also
reclassified, to held for sale, the related fixtures and fittings
associated with one of these freehold properties. At the point of
reclassification to held for sale, the carrying values of £15.9m
for the properties and £3.6m for the related fixtures and fittings,
totalling £19.5m, were considered to be equal to, or below, fair
value less costs to sell, and hence no revaluation at the point of
reclassification was required. These properties are being actively
marketed and the disposals are expected to be completed within 12
months of the end of the current financial year.
During the year, the Group
declassified one of the properties held for sale at 31 January 2023
to property, plant and equipment since it was no longer being
actively marketed for disposal. The carrying value of this property
as at 31 January 2023 was £3.4m. Other than this one property,
there have been no changes in relation to the Group's intention to
sell any of the properties classified as held for sale at 31
January 2023 and so the held for sale designation is considered to
remain appropriate for the remaining properties as at 31 January
2024.
At 31 January 2024, the Group
obtained updated market valuations of its freehold properties held
for sale, to determine the fair value of each building. As a
consequence of the remeasurement of the properties to the lower of
fair value less cost to sell and the carrying value, management
concluded that net impairment charges totalling £10.4m should be
recognised against the Group's property assets held for sale as at
31 January 2024.
As at 31 January 2024, the carrying
values of the properties classified as held for sale, totalling
£17.4m, are representative of either each property's fair value or
historic cost less accumulated depreciation and any impairment
charges to date, whichever is lower. Other
than the net impairment charges, no gains or losses were recognised
with respect to the properties during the year ended 31 January
2024.
20 Related party transactions
As set out in Note 16, in April
2023, the Company entered into a forward starting loan facility
agreement with Roger De Haan, commencing on 1 January 2024, under
which the Company could draw down up to £50.0m with 30 days' notice
to support liquidity needs and, specifically, the repayment of
£150.0m bonds maturing in May 2024. The facility is provided on an
arm's-length basis and is guaranteed by Saga plc, Saga Mid Co
Limited and Saga Services Limited. Per the original terms of
agreement, interest will accrue on the facility at the rate of 10%
and is payable on the last day of the period of the loan; and the
facility was originally due to mature on 30 June 2025, at which
point any outstanding amounts, including interest, were due to be
repaid. The facility is subject to a 2% arrangement fee, payable on
entering into the arrangement. A drawdown fee of 2% on any amount
drawn down under the facility is payable on the drawing date; and
milestone fees of 2% on any uncancelled amount of the facility
become payable on 31 March 2024 and 31 December 2024
respectively.
In September 2023, the Group agreed
an increase and extension to the existing loan facility with Roger
De Haan. This increase is for the value of £35.0m, taking the total
facility to £85.0m, and extended to expire on 31 December 2025,
previously 30 June 2025. The interest rate paid on funds drawn
under this facility to finance the repayment of notes issued by
Saga plc, or to provide cash collateral demanded by providers of
bonding facilities to the Group, remains at 10%, but increases to
18% for any amounts drawn to support general corporate purposes. In
addition, the previous arrangement and milestone fees of 2% remain
payable, however, the drawdown fee of 2% increases to 5% for
drawdowns for general corporate purposes. The amended facility has
been provided on the basis of certain conditions being met,
including:
·
no professional advisers may be appointed to or retained by
Saga plc without prior approval of the Board; and
·
no incremental financial indebtedness, over and above the
facilities already in place, may be incurred by Group companies,
including contracts classed as finance lease arrangements under
previous IFRS.
Subsequent to the financial year
end, a reduction of the notice period required for drawdown of the
loan to 10 business days was agreed, in addition to a further
extension to the termination date of the facility, from 31 December
2025 to 30 April 2026.
21 Events after the reporting period
Since 31 January 2024, the Group
agreed a further extension to the termination date of the loan
facility with Roger De Haan, from 31 December 2025 to 30 April
2026, details of which are set out in Notes 16 and 20 above, in
addition to a reduction in the notice period required for drawdown
of the loan to 10 business days.
Alternative Performance Measures Glossary
The Group uses a number of Alternative
Performance Measures (APMs), which are not required or
commonly reported under International Financial Reporting
Standards, the Generally Accepted Accounting Principles
(GAAP) under which the
Group prepares its financial statements, but which are used by the
Group to help the user of the accounts better understand the
financial performance and position of the business.
Definitions for the primary APMs used in this
report are set out below. APMs are usually derived from financial
statement line items and are calculated using consistent accounting
policies to those applied in the financial statements, unless
otherwise stated. APMs may not necessarily be defined in a
consistent manner to similar APMs used by the Group's competitors.
They should be considered as a supplement to, rather than a
substitute for, GAAP measures.
Underlying
Revenue
Underlying Revenue represents revenue, net of
ceded reinsurance premiums earned on business underwritten by the
Group, excluding the onerous contract provision, Insurance
Underwriting profit commission and Ocean Cruise insurance
compensation and discretionary ticket refunds to customers, but
including revenue associated with the exit from some of our
smaller, loss-making activities.
This measure is useful for presenting the
Group's underlying trading performance as it excludes non-cash
technical accounting adjustments and one-off financial impacts that
are not expected to recur. It is reconciled to statutory revenue
within the Group Chief Financial Officer's Review.
Underlying
Profit/(Loss) Before Tax
Underlying Profit/(Loss) Before Tax represents
the loss before tax excluding:
· unrealised fair
value gains and losses on derivatives;
· the net loss on
disposal of assets;
· discretionary
Ocean Cruise customer ticket refunds and associated
costs;
· impairment of
the carrying value of assets, including Insurance
goodwill;
· impact of
changes in the discount rate on non-periodical payment order
(PPO)
liabilities1;
· fair value
losses on debt securities;
· foreign exchange
movements on river cruise ship leases;
· costs and
amortisation of fees relating to the facility with Roger De
Haan;
· movements in the
insurance onerous contract provisions (net of reinsurance
recoveries)2;
· costs in
relation to the acquisition and disposal of the Big
Window;
· the IFRS 16
lease accounting adjustment on river cruise vessels; and
· restructuring
costs.
It is reconciled to statutory loss before tax
within the Group Chief Financial Officer's Review.
This measure is the Group's key performance
indicator and is useful for presenting the Group's underlying
trading performance, as it excludes non-cash technical accounting
adjustments and one-off financial impacts that are not expected to
recur.
Underlying
Profit Before Tax (Under Previous IFRS)
Underlying Profit Before Tax (Under Previous
IFRS) represents Underlying Profit Before Tax, as described above,
but under the previous IFRS 4 'Insurance Contracts', as opposed to
IFRS 17 'Insurance Contracts'. The measure is consistent with the
forecasts of external analysts that are collated into the
company-compiled consensus and allows stakeholders to make
meaningful comparisons with historic reporting.
Trading
EBITDA/Adjusted Trading EBITDA
Trading EBITDA is defined as earnings before
interest payable, tax, depreciation and amortisation, and excludes
the IAS 19R pension charge, exceptional costs and impairments.
Adjusted Trading EBITDA also excludes the impact of IFRS 16
'Leases' and the Trading EBITDA relating to the two ocean cruise
ships, Spirit of Discovery and Spirit of Adventure, in line with
the covenant on the Group's Revolving Credit Facility (RCF). It is reconciled to Underlying
Profit Before Tax within the Group Chief Financial Officer's
Review. Underlying Profit Before Tax is reconciled to statutory
loss before tax within the Group Chief Financial Officer's
Review.
This measure is linked to the covenant on the
Group's RCF, being the denominator in the Group's leverage ratio
calculation.
Ocean Cruise
Trading EBITDA (Excluding Overheads)
Ocean Cruise Trading EBITDA (Excluding
Overheads) reflects the Trading EBITDA for the Ocean Cruise
business, adjusted to exclude the corresponding overheads for those
operations. This measure is comparable with the £40.0m per annum
per ship target that was set at the time the ocean cruise ships
were purchased and is reconciled to Ocean Cruise Trading EBITDA
within the Group Chief Financial Officer's Review.
Gross Written
Premiums
Gross Written Premiums represent the total
premium that the Group charges to customers for a core insurance
product, excluding insurance premium tax but before the deduction
of any outward reinsurance premiums, measured with reference to the
cover start date of the policy. This measure is widely used by
insurers so provides a meaningful comparison of performance with
our peers. It is analysed further within the Group Chief Financial
Officer's Review.
Written Gross
Profit After Marketing Expenses
Written Gross Profit After Marketing Expenses
is calculated as written revenue, less cost of sales and marketing
expenses. This measure provides a meaningful view of the
contribution of each Insurance Broking product, before accounting
for operating expenses, and is analysed further within the Group
Chief Financial Officer's Review.
Underlying
Basic Earnings/(Loss) Per Share
Underlying Basic Earnings Per Share represents
basic loss per share excluding the post-tax effect of:
· unrealised fair
value gains and losses on derivatives;
· the net loss on
disposal of assets;
· discretionary
Ocean Cruise customer ticket refunds and associated
costs;
· impairment of
the carrying value of assets, including Insurance
goodwill;
· impact of
changes in the discount rate on non-PPO
liabilities1;
· fair value
losses on debt securities;
· foreign exchange
gains on river cruise ship leases;
· costs and
amortisation of fees relating to the facility with Roger De
Haan;
· movements in the
insurance onerous contract provisions (net of reinsurance
recoveries)2;
· costs in
relation to the acquisition and disposal of the Big
Window;
· the IFRS 16
lease accounting adjustment on river cruise vessels; and
· restructuring
costs.
This measure is reconciled to the statutory
basic loss per share in Note 6 to the accounts.
This measure is linked to the Group's key
performance indicator Underlying Profit Before Tax and represents
what management considers to be the underlying shareholder value
generated in the year.
Available
Cash
Available Cash represents cash held by
subsidiaries within the Group that is not subject to regulatory
restrictions, net of any overdrafts held by those subsidiaries.
This measure is reconciled to the statutory measure of cash in Note
13 to the accounts.
Available
Operating Cash Flow
Available Operating Cash Flow is net cash flow
from operating activities after capital expenditure but before tax,
interest paid, restructuring costs, proceeds from business and
property disposals and other non-trading items, which is available
to be used by the Group as it chooses and is not subject to
regulatory restriction. It is reconciled to statutory net cash flow
operating activities within the Group Chief Financial Officer's
Review.
Net
Debt
Net Debt is the sum of the carrying values of
the Group's debt facilities less the amount of Available Cash it
holds and is analysed further within the Group Chief Financial
Officer's Review.
Adjusted Net
Debt
Adjusted Net Debt is the sum of the carrying
values of the Group's debt facilities less the amount of Available
Cash it holds, but excludes the Ocean Cruise ship debt and
Available Cash. It is linked to the covenant on the Group's RCF,
being the numerator in the Group's leverage ratio calculation, and
is analysed further within the Group Chief Financial Officer's
Review.
1 This
adjustment reduces the risk of residual volatility from changes in
market interest rates adversely affecting Underlying Profit Before
Tax
2 The
IFRS 17 onerous contract requirements create a timing mismatch
between when claims are incurred and when they are recognised in
profit before tax. Underlying Profit Before Tax adjusts for this
timing mismatch by reversing the impact of these
requirements