MCVT Mill City Ventures III Ltd

ITEM 1A  RISK FACTORS

You should consider the following risk factors, in addition to the other information presented or incorporated by reference into this Annual Report on Form 10-K, in evaluating our business and any investment decision relating to our securities.

We have a short operating history upon which to evaluate our current business.

We withdrew our election to be treated as a BDC under the 1940 Act at the end of 2019, and during the three years since that time have refocused our business on providing short-term specialty finance solutions to private businesses, small-cap public companies and high-net-worth individuals. Given that our current business has been developed and pursued over the three years prior to this filing, investors have limited means to evaluate our performance, its evolution, and the likelihood of our future success.

We may need to raise additional capital to fund our operations, and such capital may not be available to us in sufficient amounts or on acceptable terms.

For the time being, management believes that our current cash is sufficient to continue operations for the foreseeable future.  Nevertheless, various future developments may cause us to seek or require additional financing.  For instance, our letter of intent with Mustang Litigation Funding contemplates an additional financing, of some kind, being undertaken by us as a condition to the closing of that transaction. In addition, we may determine to seek additional financing in order to avail ourselves of additional opportunities to provide specialty finance solutions to borrowers.  Alternatively, we may seek additional financing in the event that a material portion of our investments default, leaving us with little means to pay for our operations and continue making investments.

In any event, additional financing could be sought from a number of sources, including but not limited to additional sales of equity or debt securities, or loans from financial institutions or our affiliates.  We cannot, however, be certain that any such financing will be available on terms favorable or acceptable to us if at all.  If additional funds are raised by the issuance of our equity securities, such as through the issuance of stock, convertible securities, or the issuance and exercise of warrants, then the ownership interest of our existing shareholders will be diluted.  If additional funds are raised by the issuance of debt or other equity instruments, we may become subject to certain operational limitations, and such securities may have rights senior to the rights of our common shareholders.  If adequate funds are not available on acceptable terms, we may be unable to consummate acquisitions or investments desired by our management and board.

If we are unable to maintain diverse and robust sources of capital, our growth prospects, business, financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected.

Our business depends on maintaining diverse and robust sources of capital to originate our short-term loans. In January 2022, we entered into a Loan and Security Agreement (the “Loan Agreement”) with Eastman Investment, Inc., a Nevada corporation, and Lyle A. Berman, as trustee of the Lyle A. Berman Revocable Trust (collectively, the “Lenders”). Mr. Berman is a director of our company. Under the Loan Agreement, the Lenders made available to us a $5 million revolving line of credit for us to use in the ordinary course of our short-term specialty finance business. Amounts drawn under the Loan Agreement accrue interest at the per annum rate of 8%, and all our obligations under the Loan Agreement are secured by a grant of a collateral security interest in substantially all of our assets. As a Lender, Mr. Berman is obligated to furnish only one-half of the aggregate $5 million available under the Loan Agreement. The Loan Agreement has a five-year term ending on January 3, 2027, at which time all amounts owing under the Loan Agreement will become due and payable; subject, however, to each Lender’s right, including Mr. Berman, to terminate the Loan Agreement, solely with respect to such Lender’s obligation to provide further credit, at any time after January 3, 2023. See “Certain Relationships and Related Transactions.” We cannot be sure that this funding source, or others, will continue to be available on reasonable terms or at all beyond its current maturity date.

Events of default or breaches of financial, performance or other covenants, or worse than expected performance of one or more of our short-term loans, could reduce or terminate our access to funding from the Loan Agreement. The availability and capacity of sources of capital also depends on many factors that are outside of our control, such as credit market volatility and regulatory reforms. In the event that we do not maintain adequate sources of capital, we may not be able to maintain the necessary levels of funding to retain current loan volume, which could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.

Changes in laws or regulations, or a failure to comply with laws and regulations, may adversely affect our business, including our results of operations and ultimately the price of our common stock.

We are subject to various local, state and federal laws and regulations. Compliance with, and monitoring of, applicable laws and regulations may be difficult, time consuming and costly. Those laws and regulations and their interpretation and manner of application or enforcement may also change from time to time and those changes could have a material adverse effect on our business, investments and results of operations. In addition, a failure to comply with applicable laws or regulations, as interpreted and applied, could have a material adverse effect on our business and results of operations.  Any of these outcomes would likely adversely affect the trading price of our common stock.

Changes in consumer finance and other applicable laws and regulations, as well as changes in government enforcement policies and priorities, may negatively impact the management of our business, results of operations, ability to offer certain kinds of specialty finance solutions or the terms and conditions upon which they are offered, and our ability to compete.

Consumer finance regulation is constantly changing, and new laws or regulations, or new interpretations of existing laws or regulations, could have a materially adverse impact on our ability to operate as currently intended or as we may intend to expand in the future, and cause us to incur significant expense in order to ensure compliance. Federal and state financial services regulators are also enforcing existing laws, regulations, and rules aggressively and enhancing their supervisory expectations regarding the management of legal and regulatory compliance risks. These regulatory changes and uncertainties make our business planning more difficult and could result in changes to our business model and potentially adversely impact our results of operations. Because we operate as a non-bank lender, we are sometimes subject to state licensing and usury laws. Furthermore, to the extent applicable, these laws can impose specific statutory liabilities upon creditors who fail to comply with their provisions and may affect the enforceability of a loan. If the application of consumer protection laws were to cause our loans, or any of the terms of our loans, to be unenforceable against the relevant borrowers, our business may be materially adversely affected. Even if we seek to comply with licensing and other requirements that we believe may be applicable to us, if we are found to not have complied with applicable laws, we could lose one or more of our licenses or authorizations or face other sanctions or penalties or be required to obtain a license in one or more such jurisdictions, which may have an adverse effect on our business.

New laws, regulations, policy or changes in enforcement of existing laws or regulations applicable to our business, or reexamination of current practices, could adversely impact our profitability, limit our ability to continue existing or pursue new business activities, require us to change certain of our business practices, affect retention of key personnel, or expose us to additional costs, including compliance costs. These changes also may require us to invest significant resources, and devote significant management attention, to make any necessary changes and could adversely affect our business.

Although we have identified general guidelines that we believe are important in evaluating prospective investment opportunities, we may enter into transactions with borrowers that do not meet such guidelines, increasing the risk that the price of our common stock could be volatile.

Although we have identified general guidelines for evaluating prospective investment opportunities, it is possible that a borrower with which we enter into a transaction will not have all, or any, of the attributes outlined in those guidelines. If we complete transactions with borrowers that do not meet some or any of these guidelines, it is possible that such an investment may not be as successful as an alternative opportunity that were to satisfy some or all of those guidelines.  Investments that do not perform as well as imagined, or as well as they otherwise might have, in combination with the public knowledge that we may stray, or have strayed, from strict implementation of our investment guidelines, could affect the volatility of the trading price of our common stock.

We may provide specialty finance solutions to early-stage companies, financially unstable businesses, or a borrower lacking an established record of revenue or earnings, which could adversely affect the price of our common stock.

While we believe that being entrepreneurial in our approach to specialty finance is a strength, we may complete investments with an early-stage company, a financially unstable business or an entity lacking an established record of revenues, cash flows or earnings.  These kinds of transactions present numerous risks associated with investing in a business without a proven business model and with limited historical financial data, volatile revenues, cash flows or earnings and difficulties in obtaining and retaining key personnel. Although our management endeavors to evaluate the risks inherent in each particular investment we consider and make, we may not be able to properly ascertain or assess all of the significant risk factors and we may not have adequate time to complete a full evaluation of those risks. Furthermore, some of these risks may be outside of our control and leave us with no ability to control or reduce the chances that those risks will adversely impact a borrower or our likelihood of repayment.  The manifestation of any of these risks could adversely affect the trading price of our common stock.

Many of our specialty finance investment transactions involve borrowers about which little, if any, information is publicly available, which may impair our ability to identify borrowers able to repay our loans and adversely affect the price of our common stock.

In pursuing our business, we often interact with a privately held companies about which very little public information exists.  As a result, we are often required to make our investment decision on the basis of limited information, nearly all of which is obtained from the business itself, which may result in our consummating an investment with a borrower that is not as solvent or profitable as we suspected, if at all.  These risks could affect our results of operations and, ultimately, the trading price of our common stock.

If we are deemed to be an investment company under the 1940 Act, we may be required to institute burdensome compliance requirements and our activities may be restricted.  In such an event, our business would likely be materially and adversely affected.

If we are deemed to be an investment company under the 1940 Act, then our activities may be restricted, including:

In order not to be regulated as an investment company under the 1940 Act, unless we can qualify for an exclusion, we must ensure that we are engaged primarily in a business other than investing, reinvesting or trading of “securities” and that our activities do not include investing, reinvesting, owning, holding or trading “investment securities” constituting more than 40% of our assets (exclusive of U.S. government securities and cash items) on an unconsolidated basis.

We do not believe that our principal activities will subject us to the 1940 Act. To this end, we hold reserve un-invested assets in cash and United States “government securities” within the meaning of Section 2(a)(16) of the Act having a maturity of 185 days or less or in money market funds meeting certain conditions under Rule 2a-7 promulgated under the 1940 Act, which invest only in direct U.S. government treasury obligations. Furthermore, we monitor our investment holdings as a whole to ensure that investments and other holdings which may be considered “investment securities” do not comprise more than 40% of our total assets. We undertake this analysis (1) on a quarterly basis and in connection with the review and preparation of our financial statements filed as part of our quarterly and annual reports with the SEC, and (2) at other times when we are considering how to structure a new transaction that is of a significant size—with “significance” largely based on the outcome of our most recent quarterly review.  This review is generally undertaken by our Chief Financial Officer and may involve outside legal counsel, in particular in a case where we are considering the structure of a potential new transaction.

If, however, we do not invest as discussed above or are otherwise unsuccessful in ensuring that no more than 40% of our total assets consist of “investment securities,” then we may be deemed to be subject to the 1940 Act. It is also possible that regulatory authorities, such as the SEC, may disagree with our analysis of whether certain investment holdings constitute “investment securities” and may more broadly disagree with our position that the short-term promissory notes we receive in exchange for our short-term loans are not properly considered “securities” under federal securities law and the 1940 Act in particular. If that were to be the case, compliance with the additional regulatory burdens imposed under the 1940 Act would require additional expenses for which we have not allotted funds, and would surely hinder our ability to operate as profitably as we have since the withdrawal of our BDC election.  This outcome would of course adversely affect the trading price of our common stock.

We may engage in transactions with businesses that may be affiliated with our officers, directors or significant shareholders, and which may involve actual or potential conflicts of interest.

We may decide to make investments in one or more businesses affiliated with our officers, directors or significant shareholders.  Such investment opportunities may compete with other opportunities for our investment dollars.  Although we are not specifically focusing on, or targeting, any particular transaction with any affiliates or affiliated entities, we would pursue such a transaction if we determined that such an affiliated investment were attractive from a risk-adjusted return perspective, and such transaction were approved by a majority of our independent and disinterested directors.  Any such activity would involve actual or potential conflicts of interest.  Although we are confident that we can navigate these conflicts consistent with best practices and applicable law, the existence or appearance of such conflicts of interest could make our common stock less attractive and thereby reduce its trading price.

A limited number of shareholders control a significant majority of our voting stock and, as a result, control the election of our Board of Directors. As a result, these shareholders may exert an influence on actions requiring a shareholder vote, potentially in a manner that you do not support.

Nine shareholders (five of whom are presently officers and directors) beneficially own shares representing approximately 54.01% of our issued and outstanding common stock. As a result, investors in our common stock cannot reasonably expect to have any influence over the election of our directors or other matters submitted to a vote of our shareholders. Instead, our existing significant shareholders will exert a substantial influence on the election of our directors and any actions requiring or otherwise put to a shareholder vote, potentially in a manner that you do not support. Examples of such voting matters, apart from the election of our directors, includes amendments to our articles of incorporation, bylaws, and approval of major corporate transactions. The concentrated amount of control over our affairs held by a relatively few number of significant investors could serve to reduce the attractiveness or liquidity of our common stock, and thereby depress its trading price.

Our ability to identify and consummate investment opportunities, and any need we may have for additional capital, will almost certainly be affected by general economic conditions.

General economic conditions will almost certainly impact our ability to (i) identify, pursue and consummate investment opportunities, and (ii) if necessary, seek and obtain additional financing on terms acceptable or favorable to us, if at all.  Therefore, a deterioration in general economic conditions may adversely affect our business or slow the growth of our business.

Our reputation and brand are important to our success, and if we are unable to continue developing our reputation and brand, our ability to retain existing capital sources, our ability to attract borrowers could be adversely affected.

We believe that maintaining a strong brand and trustworthy reputation is critical to our success and our ability to attract borrowers, attract new capital sources and maintain existing capital sources. Factors that affect our brand and reputation include:

Negative publicity or negative public perception of these factors, even if inaccurate, could adversely affect our brand and reputation. Any negative publicity or negative public perception of the loans we make, or similar loans made by similar lenders or our competitors, may also result in negative publicity that is adverse to our reputation. If we are unable to protect our reputation, our business, financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected.

We are highly dependent on the services provided by certain executives and key personnel.

Our success depends in significant part upon the continued service of our senior management personnel.  In particular, we are materially dependent upon the services of Douglas M. Polinsky, our Chief Executive Officer and Chairman, and Joseph A. Geraci, II, our Chief Financial Officer and a director of our company. Practically, we cannot prevent the departure of these executives, whether due to death, disability, retirement or otherwise.  Any loss of the services provided by these executives would likely have a material and adverse effect on our operations and ability to execute our business plans.

Our articles of incorporation grant our Board of Directors the power to designate and issue additional shares and classes of common and preferred stock.

Our authorized capital consists of 111,111,111 shares of capital stock.  Pursuant to authority granted by our articles of incorporation, our Board of Directors, without any action by our shareholders, may designate and issue shares in such classes or series (including other classes or series of preferred stock) as it deems appropriate, and may establish the rights, preferences and privileges of such shares, including dividends, liquidation and voting rights.  The rights of holders of new classes or series of stock that may be so designated and issued could be superior to the rights of holders of our common shares.  The designation and issuance of shares of capital stock having preferential rights could adversely affect other rights appurtenant to shares of our common stock.  Furthermore, any issuances of additional stock—common or preferred—will dilute the ownership interest of then-current holders of our common stock and may dilute our book value per share.

We may issue additional common stock or preferred shares without the approval of our shareholders. Any such issuances would dilute the interest of our shareholders and likely present other risks.

Our articles of incorporation authorize the issuance of up to 111,111,111 shares of capital stock.  Because we have only 6,185,255 shares of common stock issued and outstanding, our Board of Directors has the power and authority to issue a substantial number of additional shares of common stock or preferred shares. The issuance of additional common stock or preferred shares:

Our search for and ability to consummate specialty finance investment opportunities may be materially and adversely affected by COVID-19.

The global spread of the strain of coronavirus known as COVID-19 and its variants, declared a global pandemic by the World Health Organization on March 11, 2020, has resulted in governmental impositions of mandatory closures, quarantines and other restrictions on, or advisories with respect to, travel, business operations and public gatherings or interactions. It is unclear whether the pandemic may significantly worsen during the upcoming months, which may result in further restrictions on business, travel, and other activities.

The COVID-19 pandemic has adversely affected the domestic and global economies and financial markets, and the business of our potential borrowers could be materially and adversely affected, decreasing our appetite to consummate transactions that we might have otherwise concluded were attractive. Furthermore, we may be unable to complete an investment if continued concerns relating to COVID-19 continue to restrict travel, limit the ability to have meetings or access a potential borrower’s personnel. The extent to which COVID-19 impacts our search for new investment opportunities will depend on future developments, which are highly uncertain and cannot be predicted. If the disruptions posed by COVID-19 or other matters of domestic or global concern continue for an extensive period of time, our ability to consummate investments, or the operations of our potential and actual borrowers, may be materially adversely affected.  Of course, materially adverse effects upon the operations of our actual borrowers could impair their ability to pay us all of the amounts owing to us, or to pay us in a timely manner.

Finally, our ability to consummate additional transactions may be dependent on our ability to raise equity and debt financing.  This ability may be impacted by COVID-19 and other events, including as a result of increased market volatility, decreased market liquidity and third-party financing being unavailable on terms acceptable to us or at all. Overall, the COVID-19 pandemic may generally have the effect of heightening many of the other risks described in this “Risk Factors” section by increasing their likelihood or amplifying their magnitude.

Cyber incidents or attacks directed at us could result in information theft, data corruption, operational disruption and/or financial loss.

We depend on digital technologies, including information systems, infrastructure and cloud applications and services, including those belonging to third parties with whom we deal. Sophisticated and deliberate attacks on, or security breaches in, our systems or infrastructure, or the systems or infrastructure of third parties or the cloud, could lead to corruption or misappropriation of our assets, proprietary information and sensitive or confidential data. We have not made a significant investment in data security protection, and we may not be sufficiently protected against such occurrences. We may not have sufficient resources to adequately protect against, or to investigate and remediate any vulnerability to, cyber incidents. It is possible that any of these occurrences, or a combination of them, could have adverse consequences on our business and lead to financial loss.

Our stock price may be volatile, or may decline regardless of our operating performance, and you could lose all or part of your investment as a result.

You should consider an investment in our common stock to be risky, and you should invest in our common stock only if you can withstand a significant loss and wide fluctuation in the market value of your investment. The market price of our common stock could be subject to significant fluctuations in response to the factors described in this section and other factors, many of which are beyond our control. Among the many factors that could affect our stock price are:

In addition, the securities markets have experienced significant price and volume fluctuations that have affected and continue to affect market price of equity securities of many companies. These fluctuations have often been unrelated or disproportionate to the operating performance of particular companies. These broad market fluctuations, as well as general economic, systemic, political and market conditions, such as recessions, loss of investor confidence, interest rate changes, or international currency fluctuations, may negatively affect the market price of our shares.

If any of the foregoing occurs, it could cause our stock price to fall and may expose us to securities class action litigation that, even if unsuccessful, could be costly to defend and a distraction to management.

We do not intend to pay dividends on our common stock.

We intend to retain all of our earnings, if any, for the foreseeable future to finance the operation and expansion of our business and do not anticipate paying cash dividends. Any future determination to pay dividends will be at the discretion of our Board of Directors, subject to compliance with applicable law and any contractual provisions, and will depend on, among other factors, our results of operations, financial condition, capital requirements and other factors that our Board of Directors deems relevant. As a result, investors in our common shares should expect to receive a return on investment only if the market price of the common shares increases, which may never occur.

One of the manners in which we may seek to grow our company is through acquisition or combination transactions.  It is possible that, even after our announcement of a potential acquisition or combination transaction, such transactions may not ultimately close and occur.  Our announcement of these potential transactions, and the occasional failure of them to occur, may cause the price of our common stock to be volatile.

In prior reports, we have publicly announced our intention to grow our company both organically, including by expanding our specialty finance operations into new markets or niches, and through acquisition or combination transactions such as mergers.  In the past, we have announced our execution of non-binding letters of intent for these kinds of acquisition or combination transactions.  These announcements may create volatility in the trading volume and price of our common stock, in particular when there is not significant publicly available information about the counterparty to such a transaction.  Moreover, the failure of the transactions contemplated in these announcements to close could similarly create volatility in the trading volume and price of our common stock.  This volatility could ultimately mean that there are fewer buyers or sellers of our common stock at particular times, which creates the risk that you might not be able to sell any common stock of our company that you own at a time or a price that you believe is fair or desirable.

If securities or industry analysts do not publish research or publish inaccurate or unfavorable research about our business, our stock price and trading volume could decline.

The trading market for our common stock will depend in part on the research and reports that securities or industry analysts publish about us or our business. Securities and industry analysts do not currently, and may never, publish research on our company. If no securities or industry analysts commence coverage of our company, the trading price for our stock may be negatively impacted. In the event securities or industry analysts initiate coverage, if one or more of the analysts who covers us downgrades our stock or publishes inaccurate or unfavorable research about our business, our stock price may decline. If one or more of these analysts ceases coverage of our company or fails to publish reports on us regularly, demand for our stock could decrease, which might cause our stock price and trading volume to decline.