Ambac Responds to Moody’s Rating Action
06 Novembre 2008 - 3:03PM
Business Wire
Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: ABK) (Ambac) today commented on
Moody�s announcement that is has downgraded the rating of Ambac
Assurance Corporation (AAC) from Aa3 to Baa1, developing outlook.
David W. Wallis, President and Chief Executive Officer commented,
�It appears that this rating action has been precipitated by our
earnings announcement. It is disappointing that Moody�s has come to
a ratings conclusion without the benefit of completing its own
analysis of our portfolio.� Moody�s now states that Ambac�s
reported losses are broadly in line with their own expectations,
and they acknowledge that Ambac has a meaningful capital cushion
above expected loss levels. Moody�s further notes various factors
that could impact Ambac�s rating in the near to medium term,
including remediation and commutation activity and the beneficial
impact of TARP and other initiatives. Ambac believes that these
factors will have a material and positive effect and that the
timing and extent of this rating action is unfortunate. The most
important impact of the rating downgrade is its effect on liquidity
requirements in our financial services business (which includes the
investment agreement and derivative products businesses). Based on
Ambac�s most recent analysis, the liquidity gap between the market
value of the investment securities held in the financial services
businesses and the value of the financial services liabilities that
may need to be collateralized or terminated at the Baa1 rating is
approximately $3.2 billion. Almost all of the transactions entered
into by our financial services businesses are guaranteed by AAC.
Ambac has received approval from the Wisconsin Office of the
Commissioner of Insurance (OCI) to utilize the resources of AAC to
resolve this liquidity gap. Sean Leonard, Chief Financial Officer,
commented, �We continue to work collaboratively with the OCI as we
seek to reduce balance sheet risk in an orderly fashion. This
increased financial flexibility will enable us to maximize the
value of financial services assets for the benefit of all of our
stakeholders.� About Ambac Ambac Financial Group, Inc.,
headquartered in New York City, is a holding company whose
affiliates provide financial guarantees and financial services to
clients in both the public and private sectors around the world.
Ambac's principal operating subsidiary, Ambac Assurance
Corporation, a guarantor of public finance and structured finance
obligations, has earned a Baa1 rating (developing outlook) from
Moody's Investors Service, Inc. and a AA rating (negative outlook)
from Standard & Poor's Ratings Services. Ambac Financial Group,
Inc. common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange (ticker
symbol ABK). Forward-Looking Statements This release contains
statements that may constitute "forward-looking statements" within
the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Any or all of management�s
forward-looking statements here or in other publications may turn
out to be wrong and are based on Ambac�s management current belief
or opinions. Ambac�s actual results may vary materially, and there
are no guarantees about the performance of Ambac�s securities.
Among events, risks, uncertainties or factors that could cause
actual results to differ materially are: (1)�changes in Ambac�s
and/or Ambac Assurance�s credit or financial strength ratings;
(2)�the risk of credit and liquidity risk due to unscheduled and
unanticipated withdrawals on investment agreements; (3)�the risk
that market risks impact assets in our investment portfolio;
(4)�inadequacy of reserves established for losses and loss
expenses; (5)�credit risk throughout our business, including credit
risk related to residential mortgage-backed securities and CDOs and
large single exposures to reinsurers; (6)�market spreads and
pricing on insured collateralized debt obligations (�CDOs�) and
other derivative products insured or issued by Ambac; (7)�the risk
that holders of debt securities or counterparties on credit default
swaps or other similar agreements seek to declare events of default
or seek judicial relief or bring claims alleging violation or
breach of covenants by Ambac or one of its subsidiaries;
(8)�default by one or more of Ambac Assurance�s�portfolio
investments, insured issuers, counterparties or reinsurers; (9)�the
risk that we may be required to raise additional capital, which
could have a dilutive effect on our outstanding equity capital
and/or future earnings; (10)�our ability or inability to raise
additional capital, including the risks that regulatory or other
approvals for any plan to raise capital are not obtained, or that
various conditions to such a plan, either imposed by third parties
or imposed by Ambac or its Board of Directors, are not satisfied
and thus potentially necessary capital raising transactions do not
occur, or the risk that for other reasons the Company cannot
accomplish any potentially necessary capital raising transactions;
(11)�the risk that Ambac�s holding company structure and certain
regulatory and other constraints, including adverse business
performance, affect Ambac�s ability to pay dividends and make other
payments; (12)�legislative and regulatory developments, including
the Troubled Asset Relief Program and other programs under the
Emergency Economic Stabilization Act and other similar programs;
(13)�changes in the economic, credit, foreign currency or interest
rate environment in the United States and abroad; (14)�changes in
capital requirements whether resulting from downgrades in our
insured portfolio or changes in rating agencies� rating criteria or
other reasons; (15)�changes in accounting principles or practices
relating to the financial guarantee industry or that may impact
Ambac�s reported financial results; (16)�the level of activity
within the national and worldwide credit markets; (17)�competitive
conditions, pricing levels and reduction in demand for financial
guarantee products; (18) changes in our business plan, our decision
to discontinue writing new business in the financial services area,
to significantly reduce new underwriting of structured finance
business and to discontinue all new underwritings of structured
finance business; (19)�the risk that our underwriting and risk
management policies and practices do not anticipate certain risks
and/or the magnitude of potential for loss as a result of
unforeseen risks; (20)�the risk of volatility in income and
earnings, including volatility due to the application of fair value
accounting, or FAS 133, to the portion of our credit enhancement
business which is executed in credit derivative form; (21)�changes
in expectations regarding future realization of gross deferred tax
assets; (22) risks relating to the re-launch of Connie Lee as
Everspan Financial Guaranty Corp.; (23)�operational risks,
including with respect to internal processes, risk models, systems
and employees; (24)�the risk of decline in market position;
(25)�changes in prepayment speeds on insured asset-backed
securities; (26) factors that may influence the amount of
installment premiums paid to Ambac; (27)�the risk of litigation and
regulatory inquiries or investigations, and the risk of adverse
outcomes in connection therewith, which could have a material
adverse effect on our business, operations, financial position,
profitability or cash flows; (28)�changes in tax laws; (29)�the
policies and actions of the United States and other governments;
(30) other factors described in the Risk Factors section in Part I,
1A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended
December 31, 2007 and in Part II, Item 1A of our Quarterly Report
on Form 10-Q for the quarters ended March 31, 2008 and June 30,
2008, and also disclosed from time to time by Ambac in its
subsequent reports on Form 10-Q and Form 8-K, which are or will be
available on the Ambac website at www.ambac.com and at the SEC�s
website, www.sec.gov; and (31)�other risks and uncertainties that
have not been identified at this time. Readers are cautioned that
forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made
and that Ambac does not undertake to update forward-looking
statements to reflect circumstances or events that arise after the
date the statements are made. You are therefore advised to consult
any further disclosures we make on related subjects in Ambac�s
reports to the SEC.
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