Despite Ongoing Double-Digit Rates, Healthcare Costs Begin to Moderate, Says Aon Consulting
01 Giugno 2006 - 5:30PM
PR Newswire (US)
Retiree Healthcare Cost Increases Projected Lower Than Active
Employees CHICAGO, June 1 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- While still
reaching double- digit figures, healthcare costs are beginning to
increase at a lower rate, according to Aon Consulting, the human
capital consulting organization of Aon Corporation (NYSE:AOC).
(Logo: http://www.newscom.com/cgi-bin/prnh/20041215/CGW049LOGO )
Aon Consulting surveyed more than 70 leading healthcare insurers
(representing more than 100 million insured individuals) and found
healthcare costs are projected to increase in the next 12 months by
12.2 percent for HMOs, 12.4 percent for PPOs and 11.9 percent for
POS plans. This compared to one year ago, when HMO cost increases
were 13.2 percent, PPO increases were 13.0 percent and POS cost
increases were also 13.0 percent. Meanwhile, consumer-driven health
plans (CDH) are estimated to increase by 12.5 percent, similar to a
year ago when these plans were forecasted to increase 12.7 percent.
(See below for trend data from Aon Consulting's prior healthcare
surveys.) "This is the sixth year of double-digit increases in
healthcare costs," said Bill Sharon, senior vice president with Aon
Consulting and director of the study. "Employers have been
responding to this by using a variety of strategies to control
healthcare costs such as increasing deductibles and co- payments,
expanding disease management programs, adding health promotion
programs and introducing new consumer-driven health plans. While
these initiatives are slowing the rate of increase, healthcare
costs continue to grow at a pace that is three to four times the
rate of general inflation." Insurance companies are forecasting
consumer-driven health plan trend rates to be on par with PPO trend
rates, but it's important to look at the first year of CDH savings,
Sharon said. "Although consumer-driven health plans may increase at
a similar rate as other plans this year, considerable savings still
will be realized by making the switch. Our analysis shows that a
company can achieve first year savings of 8 percent of their
premium if they implement an effective consumer-driven healthcare
strategy." Healthcare rate increases for retiree medical are
projected to be lower than active employees, according to the Aon
Consulting study. During the next 12 months, Medicare Supplement
plans are predicted to increase by 11.5 percent and Medicare
Advantage plans will likely increase by 10.2 percent. "Retiree
medical benefit cost trends are heavily influenced by government
reimbursement rates for Medicare and prescription drug costs," said
Jonathan Nemeth, senior vice president, and chief health and
benefits actuary with Aon Consulting. "Some modest improvements in
these two areas are leading to a slightly lower trend rate for
these plans." As for prescription drugs, general pharmacy costs are
expected to increase by 12.2 percent, compared to 13.1 percent a
year ago. Specialty drug costs will increase by 17 percent, down
from 22.5 percent last year. (Specialty drugs are
biotechnology-derived injectable medications used primarily to
treat high-cost disease states for which previous treatments were
more invasive or unavailable.) About Aon Aon Corporation (
http://www.aon.com/ ) is a leading provider of risk management
services, insurance and reinsurance brokerage, human capital and
management consulting, and specialty insurance underwriting. There
are 46,000 employees working in Aon's 500 offices in more than 120
countries. Backed by broad resources, industry knowledge and
technical expertise, Aon professionals help a wide range of clients
develop effective risk management and workforce productivity
solutions. Aon Consulting is among the top global human resources
consulting firms, with 2005 revenues of $1.255 billion and 7,000
professionals in 120 offices throughout the world. Aon Consulting
delivers integrated consulting solutions to help clients with
employee benefits, human resources outsourcing, compensation,
communication and management consulting. For more information,
contact: Sara Brownell, Aon Consulting, 312-381-5045, -or- Joe
Micucci, Aon Consulting, 312-381-4786, This press release contains
certain statements related to future results, or states our
intentions, beliefs and expectations or predictions for the future
which are forward-looking statements as that term is defined in the
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These
forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and
uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially
from either historical or anticipated results depending on a
variety of factors. Potential factors that could impact results
include: general economic conditions in different countries in
which we do business around the world, changes in global equity and
fixed income markets that could affect the return on invested
assets, fluctuations in exchange and interest rates that could
influence revenue and expense, rating agency actions that could
affect our ability to borrow funds, funding of our various pension
plans, changes in the competitive environment, our ability to
implement restructuring initiatives and other initiatives intended
to yield cost savings, our ability to implement the stock
repurchase program, changes in commercial property and casualty
markets and commercial premium rates that could impact revenues,
changes in revenues and earnings due to the elimination of
contingent commissions, other uncertainties surrounding a new
compensation model, the impact of investigations brought by state
attorneys general, state insurance regulators, federal prosecutors,
and federal regulators, the impact of class actions and individual
lawsuits including client class actions, securities class actions,
derivative actions, and ERISA class actions, the cost of resolution
of other contingent liabilities and loss contingencies, and the
difference in ultimate paid claims in our underwriting companies
from actuarial estimates. Further information concerning the
Company and its business, including factors that potentially could
materially affect the Company's financial results, is contained in
the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
The following table summarizes Aon Consulting Health Care Trend
Survey results from 2001-2006: Fall 2001 Spring 2002 Fall 2002
Spring 2003 Fall 2003 Medical (w/Rx) HMO 14.4% 16.2% 15.1% 16.4%
14.8% POS 15.7% 16.0% 15.1% 16.1% 14.8% PPO 16.8% 16.0% 15.8% 15.7%
14.9% Indemnity 19.2% 18.3% 18.1% 17.2% 16.3% CDH Medical (w/o Rx)
HMO 12.7% 14.6% 14.0% 14.7% 13.7% POS 14.0% 14.5% 13.9% 14.5% 14.0%
PPO 15.1% 14.6% 14.6% 14.4% 14.3% Indemnity 18.6% 17.1% 17.2% 16.4%
15.5% CDH Dental DHMO 4.4% 4.4% 5.3% 4.8% 5.1% PPO 7.7% 7.6% 7.8%
7.6% 7.7% Indemnity 8.0% 8.4% 8.3% 7.6% 7.6% Pharmacy General 16.0%
17.8% 18.3% 17.7% 15.3% Specialty Vision N/A 3.2% 3.5% 3.8% 3.4%
Spring 2004 Fall 2004 Spring 2005 Fall 2005 Spring 2006 Medical
(w/Rx) HMO 14.1% 13.3% 13.2% 12.9% 12.2% POS 14.1% 13.6% 13.0%
13.0% 11.9% PPO 14.2% 13.6% 13.0% 13.0% 12.4% Indemnity 15.3% 15.4%
14.6% 14.2% 14.4% CDH 14.1% 13.7% 12.7% 13.3% 12.5% Medical (w/o
Rx) HMO 13.4% 12.7% 12.9% 12.7% 12.0% POS 13.5% 13.2% 12.7% 12.8%
11.8% PPO 13.5% 13.2% 12.7% 12.8% 12.3% Indemnity 14.7% 15.1% 14.6%
14.3% 14.4% CDH 13.3% 13.1% 12.4% 13.2% 12.3% Dental DHMO 5.0% 4.3%
4.7% 4.8% 4.8% PPO 7.3% 7.0% 7.1% 7.1% 6.7% Indemnity 7.7% 7.4%
7.6% 7.6% 7.1% Pharmacy General 14.4% 13.1% 13.1% 11.8% 12.2%
Specialty 22.5% 19.0% 17.0% Vision 3.9% 3.3% 3.9% 4.0% 3.6%
http://www.newscom.com/cgi-bin/prnh/20041215/CGW049LOGO
http://photoarchive.ap.org/ DATASOURCE: Aon Corporation CONTACT:
Sara Brownell, +1-312-381-5045, or , or Joe Micucci,
+1-312-381-4786, or , both of Aon Consulting Web site:
http://www.aon.com/
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