Aon Terrorism Threat Map Shows Shift in Sphere of Conflict
02 Giugno 2009 - 4:02PM
PR Newswire (US)
The Next Generation: the re-emergence of traditional ideologies
LONDON and CHICAGO, June 2 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- A shift in
Islamist terrorist activity from the Middle East to South Asia is
the primary feature of the Aon 2009 Terrorism Threat Map, launched
today by Aon Crisis Management. The map shows a trend towards fewer
terrorist attacks in the Middle East but increased activity in
Pakistan, India and Afghanistan, with Thailand and Nepal also
showing higher levels of activity. (Logo:
http://www.newscom.com/cgi-bin/prnh/20041215/CGW049LOGO) The Aon
2009 Terrorism Threat Map, produced in coordination with security
consultancy firm Janusian, is derived from data recorded on a new
'Terrorism Tracker' database*, which tracks global levels of
terrorist activity, including attacks, plots, communiques and
government countermeasures. It represents a snapshot of terrorist
groups' intent and capability and provides an indication of the
current threat of attack in each country. Another key trend from
this year's analysis is the re-emergence of terrorist groups with
more traditional ideological leanings. Craig Preston, executive
director at Aon, explained: "Our analysis shows the re-emergence of
groups like the communist Shining Path in Peru and a revolutionary
anarchist movement in Greece. "In a global recession it is not
inconceivable that a new generation of terrorists will emerge from
disaffected communities in a re-emergence of class-based politics.
This raises the prospect of new terrorist groups forming in the
developed world on the far right and far left of the ideological
spectrum. With the election of a more liberal President in the
U.S., it is possible we may see an uplift in activity from domestic
far right and militia groups." Aon's 2009 Terrorism Threat Map also
shows a more settled outlook for North America, Europe and
Australia. Craig explained: "Although the prospect of a major
terrorist attack in a Western country is ever present, and there
are signs of more sophisticated plots, we have noted that in recent
years such attacks have not come to pass. While evidence of plots
emerges from time to time, there is often a protracted timeframe
between them, and we are unlikely to see the frequency of attacks
in Western countries that we might have expected a few years ago.
We attribute this to better counter-terrorism capability and some
shift of focus among terrorist groups towards establishing new
fronts in places like Pakistan and Somalia. In general, operating
conditions for terrorists have become more difficult in Western
countries as well as in some Middle Eastern countries, such as
Saudi Arabia." The past year has highlighted the tenacity of
leftist/Maoist activity in India and Nepal. Outside India little
attention is paid to the activities of the rural conflict in the
north east part of the country but Maoist terrorists have become
amongst the most prolific in the world. The recent Indian elections
led to a significant spike in attacks; in April 2009, 65 terrorist
incidents were recorded there. "Businesses can mitigate a terrorism
threat by implementing a proportionate security risk management
scheme to identify and reduce the vulnerabilities to personnel and
business assets based on an expert risk assessment," Craig added.
"Firms also can transfer their risk through an appropriate
insurance policy to reduce the impact of any such attack." A copy
of the 2009 Terrorism Threat Map can be requested from
http://www.aon.com/ For more information contact: Reuben Aitchison
+44 (0)20 7086 7201 http://aon.mediaroom.com/ The Terrorism Threat
Map 2009 Terrorism threat is defined as an assessment of the
intent, capability and likelihood of terrorists to stage attacks.
The assessments in this Terrorism Threat Map 2009 draw upon
empirical data and open source intelligence from the Terrorism
Tracker online database. Terrorism Tracker* records all global
terrorist attacks and plots, as well other threat indicators such
as terrorist group communiques, counter-terrorist actions and
government threat warnings. Using this data, a panel of analysts
from Janusian has assigned threat levels by scoring each country
according to the following threat indicators for 2009: -- Evidence
of known and active groups or networks operating in a given
country. -- Their aims and stated objectives. -- Their track record
of terrorist activity, including target selection and activity
levels. -- Their operational capabilities to stage attacks. -- The
likely erosion of terrorist capabilities through the current
counter-terrorism regime in the given country. * A collaboration
between Aon and Janusian, Terrorism Tracker is a set of tools to
help businesses assess and manage terrorism risk. At its core is
the Terrorism Tracker database, which allows subscribers to conduct
their own research on terrorist activity around the world and
display their results using Google Maps. The database informs
Janusian's ratings for the annual Aon Terrorism Threat map and
supports a monthly newsletter available to Aon's clients. About Aon
Aon Corporation (NYSE:AOC) is the leading global provider of risk
management services, insurance and reinsurance brokerage, and human
capital consulting. Through its more than 37,000 colleagues
worldwide, Aon readily delivers distinctive client value via
innovative and effective risk management and workforce productivity
solutions. Aon's industry-leading global resources and technical
expertise are delivered locally through more than 500 offices in
more than 120 countries. Named the world's best broker by Euromoney
magazine's 2008 and 2009 Insurance Survey, Aon also ranked highest
on Business Insurance's listing of the world's largest insurance
brokers based on commercial retail, wholesale, reinsurance and
personal lines brokerage revenues in 2008. A.M. Best deemed Aon the
number one insurance broker based on brokerage revenues in 2007 and
2008, and Aon was voted best insurance intermediary, best
reinsurance intermediary and best employee benefits consulting firm
in 2007 and 2008 by the readers of Business Insurance. For more
information on Aon, log onto http://www.aon.com/. Sign up to
receive Aon news alerts by email or RSS feed at:
http://aon.mediaroom.com/index.php?s=58. Safe Harbour Statement:
http://aon.mediaroom.com/index.php?s=67 Aon Limited is authorised
and regulated by the Financial Services Authority in respect of
insurance mediation activities only. About Janusian Janusian
provides security consultancy and services to multinational
companies and other large organizations. The Janusian team
comprises intelligence analysts and security specialists who
co-operate closely to ensure that our advice is appropriate to the
threats our clients encounter and their business needs Janusian's
sister company Risk Advisory offers intelligence and investigations
services. These include integrity due diligence, strategic
intelligence, asset tracing, fraud investigations, system assurance
and employee screening.
http://www.newscom.com/cgi-bin/prnh/20041215/CGW049LOGO
http://photoarchive.ap.org/ DATASOURCE: Aon Corporation CONTACT:
Reuben Aitchison of Aon Corporation, +44 (0)20 7086 7201, Web Site:
http://www.aon.com/
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