By Amy Guthrie 

Mexico's fourth-biggest bank lender, Grupo Financiero Santander Mexico SAB, projected Friday that its credit portfolio will expand roughly 15% this year, with an outsized rise in loans to small businesses.

Santander Mexico Chief Executive Marcos Martinez told reporters during a conference call that such growth would likely top the broader expansion of bank credit in Mexico. The bank supplies around 10% of Spanish parent Banco Santander SA's annual profit.

"We see renewed excitement for Mexico as a great investment destination, " Mr. Martinez said.

Santander Mexico reported a 12.6% expansion in credit last year, aided by efforts to lend to small businesses and growth in home loans following the acquisition of ING's Mexican mortgage business.

Analysts were underwhelmed by Santander Mexico's fourth-quarter recurring net income of 3.1 billion pesos ($232 million), which represented a 27% decline year-over-year. The bank reported quarterly results after the market close Thursday.

Deutsche Bank analyst Mario Pierry called the results "disappointing" and said the report is likely to lead to negative earnings revisions.

Write to Amy Guthrie at amy.guthrie@wsj.com

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