Apache Remains Neutral - Analyst Blog
31 Maggio 2013 - 10:30PM
Zacks
We reaffirmed our Neutral
recommendation on U.S. energy firm Apache Corp.
(APA) on May 23, 2013. Its drilling venture has been helping Apache
to deliver higher liquids production. However, deteriorating oil
and gas price realizations are concerns.
Why the Reiteration?
Apache is one of the world's leading independent energy companies
engaged in the exploration, development and production of natural
gas, crude oil and natural gas liquids. We like Apache’s large
geographically-diversified reserve base, as well as its balanced
exposure to natural gas and crude oil, and multi-year trends in
reserve replacement and production growth. This allows management
to allocate capital and resources to high-return projects.
Additionally, we are bullish on Apache’s international operations.
The company has been steadily building its asset base in Australia
over the last few years. We see meaningful growth in free cash flow
in the coming years, stemming from project start-ups in that
country.
The company’s financial flexibility and strong balance sheet are
real assets in this highly uncertain economy. Leverage is low with
a debt-to-capitalization ratio of 26.4% as of Mar 31, 2013, while
its single-A debt ratings provide a competitive advantage in
accessing capital at a reasonable cost. Furthermore, a steady
dividend and the recently announced share buyback program highlight
the company’s commitment to create value for shareholders.
However, Apache’s long-term production and reserve growth primarily
depends on its acquire-and-exploit model. Apache may find it
difficult to complete accretive transactions in the future, which
could negatively impact its growth rate.
Moreover, as is the case with other independent exploration and
production (E&P) companies, Apache’s results are directly
exposed to oil and gas prices, which are inherently volatile and
subject to complex market forces. Realized prices could differ
significantly from our estimates, thereby affecting the company’s
revenues, earnings and cash flow.
Apache currently holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
However, there are certain other E&P firms in the energy sector
that are worth considering. Those include EPL Oil & Gas
Inc. (EPL), Abraxas Petroleum Corporation
(AXAS) and Sandridge Mississippian Trust II (SDR).
All these stocks hold a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy).
APACHE CORP (APA): Free Stock Analysis Report
ABRAXAS PETE/NV (AXAS): Free Stock Analysis Report
EPL OIL&GAS INC (EPL): Free Stock Analysis Report
SANDRDG MS T II (SDR): Free Stock Analysis Report
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