By Bradley Olson and Selina Williams
The world's biggest oil companies posted losses or steep
declines in profit for the second quarter, and now face a daunting
remainder of the year as crude prices retreat to about $41 a
barrel.
Exxon Mobil Corp. on Friday reported its quarterly profit fell
60% to the lowest level since 1999, while Chevron Corp. disclosed
its biggest quarterly loss since 2001. The results capped a bad
week for big Western oil companies: BP PLC and Royal Dutch Shell
PLC earlier posted earnings that disappointed investors.
"The second-quarter results reflected lower oil prices and our
ongoing adjustment to a lower oil price world," said Chevron
Chairman and Chief Executive John Watson.
Oil is flirting with bear-market territory once again, as U.S.
prices have fallen nearly 20% since hitting a 52-week high of
$51.23 on June 8. U.S. oil ended up 1.1% on Friday at $41.60 a
barrel.
The average oil price for the second quarter was down from a
year earlier, though the slide in producers' performance was even
worse. One of the main reasons is that margins have fallen
precipitously in the refining business, which had been propping up
the companies' bottom lines as most lost money producing oil and
gas.
Fears of oversupply have gripped the market as a glut of
gasoline has pushed crude prices lower just as the summer driving
season ends. That threatens to upend oil executives' expectations
that the market -- and profits -- would begin to stabilize over the
second half of the year.
Exxon, Shell, Chevron, BP and French oil major Total SA in all
have cut spending by about $50 billion since 2013 and slashed tens
of thousands of jobs; but the cutting hasn't been nearly enough to
protect profits after oil prices began plunging.
In the latest quarter, Exxon's profit fell to $1.7 billion and
Chevron reported a loss of $1.5 billion. Shell's profit fell 93%
from a year earlier to $239 million, and BP reported a $2.25
billion loss, its third straight.
Debt has soared at all five companies as they continue to burn
though cash at an extraordinary rate. Since last year, they have
failed to generate enough cash to pay dividends and invest in new
production. That shortfall is on a pace to exceed $90 billion by
the end of the year.
The results -- and the roller-coaster market for crude -- have
confronted executives, investors and analysts with the sobering
reality that a recovery will be tenuous and arduously slow.
"The road ahead is going to be a tough one for the majors," said
Gianna Bern, an associate professor of finance at the University of
Notre Dame who has advised big oil companies. "The mantra has been
to cut spending, reduce head count and wait for higher prices, but
it doesn't look like those are coming any time soon."
Shares of big oil companies slumped this week as the extent of
their losses became public. Energy executives have sought to
reassure shareholders that energy prices will rebound. Similar
predictions last year were dashed when prices dipped again after a
modest rebound.
Exxon fell 4.9% this week to close at $88.87 on Friday. Chevron
dropped 2.3% to $102.47. BP's American depositary receipts fell 3%
to $34.40 and Shell's fell 4.1% to $51.81.
Shell CEO Ben van Beurden said he believed the market would come
back into balance in the second half of the year.
Billionaire U.S. drilling pioneer Harold Hamm and executives at
EOG Resources Inc., the big shale producer, both predicted that
prices would rebound in the second half of 2015.
Instead, they fell to a 13-year low in January at $27 a
barrel.
Many oil and gas companies have promised to "live within cash
flow" by next year, assuring investors that they will be able to
generate enough money to pay for new projects and dividends without
additional borrowing.
Total said it would need oil prices at $60 a barrel to reach
that mark, while BP Chief Executive Bob Dudley said the company
could deliver in 2017 if oil prices are between $50 and $55 a
barrel.
So far this year, oil has sold for an average of about $40 a
barrel.
"We're not counting on a recovery in oil prices," Mr. Dudley
said in an interview. "Oil companies made money at $20 a barrel in
the past, so if we're going to stay lower, the whole industry would
rebase itself."
That goal may be more elusive than investors realize. In 2013,
when global oil prices averaged about $109 a barrel, the five
companies all failed to generate enough cash to meet spending
commitments and dividend payments.
The shortfall was $41 billion, according to a Wall Street
Journal analysis.
For much of the past month, Brent crude prices have been trading
well below $50 as a gasoline glut undermined the recovery seen in
the second quarter.
Prompted by last year's strong profit margins in refining, most
companies took advantage by ramping up output, which has heightened
oversupply fears. Earlier this week, BP said its profit margins at
its refineries fell to their lowest levels since 2010.
Total blamed its lower earnings on deteriorating revenue from
its refineries and petrochemical plants. Exxon and Chevron saw such
profits fall by almost half.
The decline in refining margins is largely due to oversupply,
said Jeff Woodbury, Exxon's vice president of investor relations,
in a call with investors Friday.
"Demand is growing, but the issue that we're all faced with
right now are very large inventories of products," he said. "Either
the demand has got to grow or the supply's got to shrink."
Some energy experts played down the carnage, saying big oil
firms remain strong bets to bounce back over the long run.
"The difficult times are all a function of the low price, and
while they still remain low, they will come back eventually," said
Ed Hirs, a lecturer on energy economics at the University of
Houston who runs a small oil and gas production firm. "This is
probably the last quarter that we'll see the big oil companies
trying to clean up their balance sheets."
--Anne Steele contributed to this article.
Write to Bradley Olson at Bradley.Olson@wsj.com and Selina
Williams at selina.williams@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
July 30, 2016 02:47 ET (06:47 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
Grafico Azioni Interoil Corp. (delisted) (NYSE:IOC)
Storico
Da Dic 2024 a Gen 2025
Grafico Azioni Interoil Corp. (delisted) (NYSE:IOC)
Storico
Da Gen 2024 a Gen 2025