Obama Bank Proposal Bruises Exchange Sector
21 Gennaio 2010 - 11:17PM
Dow Jones News
Shares of financial-exchange operators took a beating Thursday,
after an Obama administration proposal to curtail banks'
proprietary investing sparked worries of a broader slowdown in U.S.
trading.
President Barack Obama on Thursday outlined a plan to prevent
commercial banks and institutions from operating and investing in
hedge funds, while capping trading activity done for in-house
accounts, in a bid to reduce the risk such firms pose to the
economy.
While Wall Street banks aren't the largest users of exchanges by
volume, cutting their order flow could reduce liquidity and trading
opportunities for others in the market.
"The feeling is that if banks' proprietary trading is going to
be curtailed, that will impact others, like high-frequency trading
firms, that trade on the back of that order flow," said Mark Lane,
an analyst with William Blair & Co.
CME Group Inc. (CME), the Chicago-based futures-market operator,
was the worst-hit in Thursday's stock-market decline. Analysts
estimate it derives approximately 14% of its trading volume from
banks' proprietary trading. CME shares fell $19, or 5.8%, to
$310.96 in late afternoon trade.
New York-based NYSE Euronext (NYX) and Nasdaq OMX Group Inc.
(NDAQ) fell 3.9% and 4.8%, respectively, closing at $24.63 and
$18.97 respectively.
IntercontinentalExchange Inc. (ICE), an Atlanta-based operator
focused on energy and credit markets, saw its shares slide 3.8% to
close $4.08 lower at $103.56.
Officials for NYSE Euronext, Nasdaq OMX, CME and ICE declined to
comment on the proposal.
While the Obama administration sought to ensure banks serve
customers first and their own accounts second, average investors
could be hit anyway if market liquidity is damaged, according to
Gary DeWaal, general counsel for futures brokerage Newedge.
"Reduced liquidity tends to result in less efficient prices, and
that's not a good thing," DeWaal said.
Both DeWaal and Lane stressed that with no detailed plans
revealed so far, much could change in what is expected to be a
drawn-out legislative process.
"I think the market's overreacting a little bit--it's a scary
headline," said Lane, adding that investors may be taking too broad
a view of what constitutes banks' proprietary trading.
Donald Fandetti, a senior analyst with Citi Investment Research,
said the market's reaction to the proposal represents a buying
opportunity in exchange stocks, particularly those focused on
derivatives.
In a note to clients Thursday, Fandetti wrote that proprietary
trades from banks fall into several different categories, and the
true proprietary trading targeted by the Obama administration
represents only 4% to 5% of total volume at CME.
ICE is more heavily weighted toward commercial-market
participants like airlines seeking to hedge energy risk, Fandetti
wrote, while it could capture some trade at its London-based
platform.
"CME and ICE have seen their shares hit from other unexpected
events such as the CFTC's energy derivative position limit
announcement and their shares ultimately recovered," Fandetti
wrote.
DeWaal noted that the Obama proposal endorses Newedge's model--a
business focused entirely on customer trading--that he said has
gained traction amid banks' struggles over the past year.
However, he said that customers ought to have the choice.
"Customers are aware of the issues that are out there, and they
can choose to engage in firms that do proprietary trading and other
activities, because they have value," DeWaal said.
-By Jacob Bunge, Dow Jones Newswires; (312) 750 4117;
jacob.bunge@dowjones.com
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