The Timken Company - Value
22 Agosto 2011 - 2:00AM
Zacks
The Timken Company (TKR) reported a record second quarter as
demand remained strong. This Zacks #1 Rank (strong buy) also raised
full year guidance as it expects record sales and earnings in 2011.
With the recent stock sell off, shares are now dirt cheap at just
7.6x forward estimates.
Timken manufactures antifriction bearings and power
transmission products and services as well as alloy steel and
components.
Its friction management and power transmission
services a variety of markets including aerospace, automotive,
consumer, energy, heavy industry, power generation and rail.
Timken Surprised By 7% in the Second
Quarter
On July 28, Timken reported its second quarter
results and beat the Zacks Consensus by 8 cents per share. Earnings
per share were $1.22 compared to the consensus of $1.14. It was the
8th consecutive earnings beat.
Sales jumped 31% to $1.3 billion based on growing
demand in the company's broad industrial markets as well as
favorable effects from pricing, currency and material
surcharges.
The Process Industries and Steel segments were
stronger than expected.
Process Industries saw sales rise 46% to $308.3
million compared to $211.6 million a year ago based on higher
demand from industrial distribution, growth in Asia, growing sales
of new products and a small improvement in demand from the capital
equipment sector.
The Steel segment saw a sales increase of 49% to
$338.1 million due to stronger demand, especially in the oil and
gas and industrial market sectors. Raw material surcharges also
increased about $50 million from the year ago quarter.
Expects a Record 2011- Raised Full Year
Guidance
In July, Timken was bullish about 2011. Coming off
of a record second quarter and stronger than expected demand in its
Steel and Process Industries segments, the company was feeling good
that 2011 would be a record year in both sales and earnings.
Sales are expected to increase 25% and 30% in 2011.
This will also be boosted by the second quarter $200 million
acquisition of Philadephia Gear.
Full year guidance was raised to the range of $4.30
to $4.50 per share from the prior guidance of $3.80 to $4.10 per
share.
Zacks Consensus Estimates Rise
Given the raised guidance and earnings beat, it's
not surprising that analysts adjusted their estimates for 2011
higher.
The 2011 Zacks Consensus rose to $4.50 from $4.25
per share in the last 30 days. This is at the high end of the
company's guidance range.
This is also earnings growth of 52.4% over 2010 as
the company made only $2.95 in 2010.
Timken is Dirt Cheap
Shares have sold off during the recent stock market
pull back which has resulted in Timken being even cheaper than
before.
![](http://www.zacks.com/images/upload_dir/1313783625.jpg)
In addition to a P/E under 8, the company also has
a price-to-book of just 1.5. This is well under the cut-off for
value which is 3.0.
Timken's price-to-sales ratio of 0.7 also indicates
value as company's with a P/S ratio under 1.0 are usually
considered undervalued.
Shareholders are also rewarded with a dividend,
currently yielding a not-too-shabby 2.1%.
Investors, worried about global growth, have sold
the industrial and cyclical stocks in recent weeks making Timken an
attractive value stock at its current price levels.
Tracey Ryniec is the Value Stock Strategist for
Zacks.com. She is also the Editor of the Turnaround Trader and
Insider Trader services. You can follow her at
twitter.com/traceyryniec.
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