Smooth Sailing for Shipping Stocks - Analyst Blog
30 Gennaio 2014 - 12:45AM
Zacks
A few years ago, as Crude Oil climbed to all-time highs,
investors were turned on to an obscure index shipping companies use
on a daily basis. The Baltic Dry Index showed up in the news along
with dry bulk shipping companies skyrocketing to new
highs.
The index is a daily average of the cost to ship raw materials in
bulk across oceans and seas. Really, it's a measure of demand for
shipping against a relatively static supply of cargo vessels. An
increase in the index implies a rise in economic activity, as raw
materials are the building blocks of
manufacturing and construction. So the index is seen as a leading
indicator, as opposed to all those lagging indicators like GDP and
Non-Farm Payrolls we pay so much attention to.
Last year the index tripled, and after an aggressive pull back in
January is still 50% higher than the start of 2013. This has a
direct impact on the dry bulk shippers. A higher index translates
to higher revenues for shipping companies. We have seen analysts
revise their estimates on a number of stocks in anticipation of
higher fees.
Paragon Shipping (PRGN) is an international
shipping company whose carriers predominantly carry coal and iron
ore for energy and steel production. The last EPS Surprise of
89.74% encouraged analysts to take a more bullish stance on the
stock and helped it gain a Zacks #1 ranking. Well off the 52-week
high at $9.40 the stock has plenty of upside potential.
Genco Shipping & Trading (GNK) transports iron
ore, coal, grain and steel products along worldwide shipping
routes. With a Qtr Earnings ESP of 54.90%, this stock could rally
sharply after it announces earnings on February 19th. However, CFO
John C. Wobensmith reminded investors back in November that first
quarter is seasonally weak for the company so investors should take
measures to manage their risk.
Once the Belle of the Ball, DryShips (DRYS) stock
has fallen from its all-time high over $130 down below $5 where it
sits today. With a newly established Zacks #2 ranking, the stock
looks to rebound as the Baltic Dry Index retraces its recent drop.
Over the last 60 days analysts have revised earnings estimates
upwards for the current quarter, current year, next quarter and
next year. At $3.36 today, DRYS sits comfortably above its 200
Moving Average at $2.70, giving it a bullish technical bias.
DRYSHIPS INC (DRYS): Free Stock Analysis Report
GENCO SHPG&TRDG (GNK): Free Stock Analysis Report
PARAGON SHIPPNG (PRGN): Free Stock Analysis Report
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