More US CEOs Back Unwinding Fed Support - Survey
15 Ottobre 2009 - 6:34PM
Dow Jones News
More U.S. business leaders want the Federal Reserve to dismantle
credit market support and head off inflationary pressures,
according to an influential survey released Thursday.
The Business Council said almost half of the surveyed chief
executives said it was time for the Fed to unwind despite many
members being less optimistic than financial markets about
prospects for a "quick rebound."
The Council, based in Washington, is an invitation-only grouping
of more than 100 chief executives currently chaired by Jim Owens,
chairman and chief executive of Caterpillar Inc. (CAT).
"It appears that sentiment concerning the business climate is
changing from the negative to the positive," said Jamie Dimon,
chairman and chief executive of JP Morgan Chase (JPM) and
vice-chairman of the Business Council.
Dimon's remarks, in a statement accompanying its survey, were
tempered by his comment that many executives remained "cautious
when it comes to taking action."
The Council surveyed 115 chief executives in September on a
range of business and regulatory issues.
"In May, just 15% of respondents supported unwinding credit
market support," Dimon said. "Today, that number is 46%."
The Fed's unprecedented move to provide liquidity for frozen
credit markets beginning in late 2008 have raised concerns that the
central bank is potentially stoking inflation now that the worst of
credit crisis has passed.
Sentiment among chief executives increasingly reflects improving
outlooks for the economy and their own companies.
Nearly 63% of the respondents said business conditions in their
companies' industry sectors are improving, compared with 27% in the
May survey.
The majority of respondents seeing improvement, however,
described it as "moderately" rather than "substantially" better.
Just 6% of the respondents said conditions are worsening, versus
18% in May.
Pockets of weakness remain. The Council said a significant
number of executives in manufacturing, energy, retail and the
medical and pharmaceutical sector indicated that conditions have
worsened in recent months.
Executives expect sluggish economic growth in the coming months,
with 64% forecasting U.S. gross domestic product to grow by 2% or
less during the first six months of 2010.
As a result, more than 40% expect the fed-funds rate to hover at
0.51% to 1%. Almost half of the respondents expect unemployment to
range from 9.6% to 10% early next year, while 26% see unemployment
growing to 10.1% to 10.5%.
The Business Council meeting at a North Carolina resort is
focused on energy issues.
The survey results were mixed on the use of market-based
approaches to address energy usage, carbon emissions reduction and
climate change. Thirty-eight percent of the respondents agreed, 34%
disagreed and 28% were neutral.
-By Bob Tita, Dow Jones Newswires; 312-750-4129;
robert.tita@dowjones.com