German Construction Sector Continues To Shrink
06 Febbraio 2025 - 5:24AM
RTTF2
Germany's construction sector remained firmly in contraction but
the pace of fall softened in January, survey data from S&P
Global revealed Thursday. The HCOB construction Purchasing
Managers' Index rose to 42.5 in January from 37.8 in December.
Although the score was firmly below the neutral 50.0 that
separates growth from contraction, the reading was the highest
since May 2023.
There were slower decreases in activity across each of the three
broad construction categories.
Civil engineering reported the smallest decline, where activity
dropped at the weakest rate for eleven months. The contractions in
housing and commercial activity were the softest since May
2023.
Activity was held back by a lack of demand. The fall in orders
was the most marked since the opening month of last year.
Employment decreased in each of the past 34 months in January.
Also, the use of subcontractors decreased sharply.
Lower workloads translated into job cuts, meaning construction
employment has fallen in each of the past 34 months. Further,
constructors scaled back their purchasing activity.
Lower demand for building materials and products in turn
imparted downward pressure on purchase prices. Average input costs
dropped for the first time in three months. Average lead times for
purchases lengthened slightly in January.
German building companies expect their activity levels to drop
over the coming twelve months. Expectations were the least
pessimistic since last June.
Hamburg Commercial Bank Chief Economist Cyrus de la Rubia said
the New Year is starting off less bleakly than the old one ended.
The recession, which has been ongoing since spring 2022, has slowed
significantly across all sectors.
The noticeable relief may have something to do with the fact
that market participants expect the European Central Bank to cut
interest rates further, de la Rubia added. Additionally, the
construction sector is less exposed to the threat of US tariffs,
making activity in this sector more attractive, the economist
said.
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