Aberforth
Geared Value & Income Trust plc
Interim
Results for the period ended 31 December
2024
The
following is an extract from the Company's first Half Yearly Report
and Financial Statements for the period to 31 December 2024. The Half Yearly Report is
expected to be posted to shareholders by 7
February 2025.
Members of
the public may obtain copies from Aberforth Partners LLP, 14
Melville Street, Edinburgh EH3 7NS
or from its website:
www.aberforth.co.uk/trusts-and-funds/aberforth-geared-value-income-trust-plc.
A copy will also shortly be available for inspection at the
National Storage Mechanism at:
https://data.fca.org.uk/#/nsm/nationalstoragemechanism.
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS (SUMMARY)
Total returns in the period from Inception (28 June 2024) to 31
December 2024
Total
Assets
|
-2.3%
|
|
Ordinary
Share NAV
|
-4.2%
|
|
Ordinary
Share Price
|
-17.0%
|
|
ZDP
Share NAV
|
+2.6%
|
|
ZDP
Share Price
|
+6.5%
|
|
|
|
|
Refer to
Note 2, Alternative Performance Measures, and the
Glossary
|
|
|
Total returns in the period from Launch (1 July 2024) to 31
December 2024
|
|
|
Total
Assets
|
-0.6%
|
|
Ordinary
Share NAV
|
-2.2%
|
|
Ordinary
Share Price
|
-17.0%
|
|
ZDP
Share NAV
|
+2.6%
|
|
ZDP
Share Price
|
+6.5%
|
|
|
|
|
Refer to
Note 2, Alternative Performance Measures, and the
Glossary
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dividend Declared
First
interim dividend for the period ending 30
June 2025 of 1.50p.
The first
interim dividend has an ex-dividend date of 6 February 2025, record date of 7 February 2025 and pay date of 10 March 2025.
The Company
Aberforth
Geared Value & Income Trust plc (AGVIT) is a closed-ended
investment company incorporated on 29 March
2024. It has a fixed life of seven years and its shares are
traded on the London Stock Exchange's main market. The Company
acted as a rollover option for shareholders in Aberforth Split
Level Income Trust plc (ASLIT) in connection with the winding up of
ASLIT on 1 July 2024. Further
information is set out in Note 9 of the Financial Statements, the
Company’s Prospectus issued on 28 May
2024, and is also available on the Aberforth website
www.aberforth.co.uk. This is
the Company’s first Half Yearly Report, so no comparative results
are shown.
Investment Objective
The
Company's investment objective is to provide Ordinary Shareholders
with high total returns, incorporating an attractive level of
income, and to provide ZDP Shareholders with a pre-determined Final
Capital Entitlement of 160.58 pence
on the Planned Winding Up Date of 30 June
2031.
CHAIRMAN’S STATEMENT
Introduction
This is my
first Chairman’s statement for Aberforth Geared Value & Income
Trust (“AGVIT”).
It covers
the period from inception on 28 June
2024 to 31 December
2024.
AGVIT’s
launch took place amongst headlines of wars, recessions and
elections.
Less well
appreciated aspects of the backdrop were the attractive valuations
of small UK quoted companies, their resilience when confronted by
challenge and their ability to grow dividends over
time.
These
characteristics were, and are, the basis of AGVIT’s investment
opportunity.
There is
additional encouragement in the elevated rate of M&A activity,
which shows that other rational investors can spot the opportunity
in the valuations of AGVIT’s investment universe.
I am
pleased to report that the Company’s launch was successful with
gross proceeds, before costs, of c.£147.6
million.
The
Company also started its life near fully invested since c.£132.7
million was subscribed by shareholders in Aberforth Split Level
Income Trust (“ASLIT”) who elected to roll over their investments
into AGVIT.
The
balance of c.£14.9 million came from the Company’s placing and
offer for subscription.
On behalf
of the Board, I would like to thank all Shareholders for their
support.
Before
moving on to address performance and developments since launch, the
following bullet points are a reminder of some of the salient
features of your Company.
•
The
Company is an investment trust, with two classes of shares in
issue: Ordinary Shares and Zero Dividend Preference (“ZDP”)
Shares.
Capital
returns to the Ordinary Shareholders are geared by the final
capital entitlement due to the ZDP Shareholders.
In periods
of rising equity prices, this can benefit the net asset value
performance of the Ordinary Shares, but the converse also holds
true.
•
AGVIT’s
investment objective is to provide Ordinary Shareholders with high
total returns, incorporating an attractive level of income, and to
provide ZDP Shareholders with a pre-determined Final Capital
Entitlement of 160.58 pence per ZDP
share on the Planned Winding Up Date of 30
June 2031.
Based on
the issue price of 100 pence per ZDP
Share, this gives a 7.0% gross redemption yield.
•
Ordinary
Shareholders are entitled to all net income generated by the
portfolio of investments.
On a
winding-up, Ordinary Shareholders are entitled to receive
undistributed revenue reserves in priority to the capital
entitlements of the ZDP Shareholders. Ordinary Shareholders are
also entitled to the net assets of the Company, if any, after all
liabilities have been settled and the entitlements of the ZDP
Shares have been met.
•
The
Company invests in a diversified portfolio of 50-100 smaller UK
quoted companies.
There were
69 holdings at 31 December
2024.
•
Aberforth
Partners LLP manage the investment portfolio within parameters set
by the Board.
Their
business was founded in 1990 and specialises in investing in small
UK quoted companies.
The team
of six fund managers have considerable experience both of the asset
class and of managing investment trusts. They have consistently
applied a value investment philosophy to their selection of
portfolio companies.
Review of Performance
Performance
in AGVIT’s first six months was disappointing.
However,
we are looking at a short period and one that was affected by non
recurring launch costs. For AGVIT to succeed over its seven year
life, the Company needs to produce capital returns at the total
assets level in excess of the hurdle rate imposed by the ZDP
Shares.
When
reporting performance, “since inception” refers to periods since
28 June 2024 and reflects the impact
of certain one-off costs associated with the
launch.
“Since
launch” refers to periods since 1 July
2024 and excludes these one-off costs.
Performance backdrop
AGVIT’s
Total Assets Total Return in the period since launch was -0.6%,
which was unaffected by one-off launch costs, and since inception
was -2.3%. Total Assets Total Return is the return from the
portfolio of investments and so is not influenced by AGVIT’s
capital structure.
For
context, in the period since launch, the performance of larger
companies, represented by the FTSE All-Share, was 1.9% and small
companies, in the form of the Deutsche Numis Smaller Companies
Index (excluding Investment Companies), returned
3.8%.
This
latter index, abbreviated throughout this report as “DNSCI (XIC)”,
is the Company’s opportunity base of small UK quoted
companies.
Of course,
AGVIT’s investment objective and capital structure reduce the
relevance of assessing its performance relative to an equity
index.
The
negative total return is disappointing, but it is over a short
period.
I would
note that it is not inconsistent with the performance of the
Managers’ other client portfolios over this six month
period.
As those
ASLIT investors who rolled over into AGVIT will recall, there was a
particularly strong period of performance in the first half of
2024, which was captured in the run-up to the end of ASLIT’s
life.
Given the
turbulence of world and domestic events since then, some subsequent
rotation is perhaps unsurprising.
The
Managers’ Report examines the various factors that influenced the
Total Assets Total Return performance since launch.
Performance impact of gearing and one-off
costs
For
Ordinary Shareholders, the portfolio return, represented by the
Total Assets Total Return since launch, is geared by the final
capital entitlement due to the ZDP Shareholders.
Since the
portfolio return was below the ZDP Shares’ entitlement rate, the
Ordinary Share NAV Total Return since launch was -2.2%.
The
Ordinary Share NAV Total Return since inception was
-4.2%.
It is
calculated after one-off costs of c.£2.2 million. Of these, c.£1.2
million are fees and expenses related to launch, which benefited
from a contribution from the Investment Managers of
£450,000.
The other
main element arose from a decline in the value of the investment
portfolio between 21 June 2024, which
was the date agreed with ASLIT for the valuation of assets acquired
from ASLIT, and 28 June
2024.
This
decline reflected general market weakness in that week.
NAVs and share prices at 31
December 2024
At
31 December 2024, the Ordinary Share
NAV per Share was 95.85p.
The
discount of the Ordinary Share price to the NAV widened to 13.4%
over the period.
This
resulted in a share price total return of -17.0%.
The ZDP
Share NAV has increased at a rate consistent with the 7.0% annual
increase in its entitlement.
The ZDP
Share price was at a 3.8% premium to its NAV per Share of 102.6p
per share at 31 December
2024.
Despite
the decline in the value of the portfolio, the projected final
cumulative cover of the ZDP Shares was unchanged at 2.0 times at
the end of the reporting period.
Performance conclusion
As the
Managers set out in their report, the investment opportunity over
AGVIT’s seven year planned life remains
compelling.
One of the
attractions of the Company’s structure is its limited life, which
in due course addresses share price discounts.
Looking
beyond the vagaries of near term market sentiment, a better gauge
of progress for AGVIT is arguably the income performance of its
investments.
Earnings and Dividends
AGVIT’s
income performance has been good in its first six
months.
The
positive dividend experience of the portfolio is reflected in the
3.24p of revenue returns per Ordinary Share in the period to
31 December 2024.
This was
above the Managers’ estimates at launch, which underlines the
resilience of AGVIT’s investee companies.
While
revenue per share has so far been better than expected, it is
prudent to point out that the December year end reporting season is
still ahead of us and so the dividend experience in the next two
quarters will be important for the full year outcome.
Shareholders
will recall the Prospectus stated that, in the absence of
unforeseen circumstances, the Company will target dividends in the
range of 4.00 and 5.00p per Ordinary Share, in respect of the
period from launch to 30 June
2025.
The
Prospectus Assumptions stated that the first interim dividend will
be approximately 30% of the total each year.
Given the
positive income experience so far, the Board is pleased to be able
to focus on the top end of the Prospectus range and to announce a
first interim dividend of 1.50p per Ordinary Share in respect of
the financial period to 30 June
2025.
The first
interim dividend will be paid on 10 March
2025 to Ordinary Shareholders on the register as at close of
business on 7 February
2025.
The ex
dividend date is 6 February
2025.
The
Company operates a Dividend Reinvestment Plan.
Details of
the plan are available from Aberforth Partners LLP or on their
website,
www.aberforth.co.uk.
Outlook
As your
Company launched, the mood in the UK was starting to improve and
low stockmarket valuations were attracting M&A interest from
larger companies and private equity.
The
decisive election result in the UK promised to add a shot of
political stability to the cocktail of investment opportunities for
your Company.
However,
in the short period since launch, other complications have emerged,
notably the UK’s business-unfriendly Budget and political
uncertainties overseas.
Consequently,
investors have been given further pause for thought and are not yet
convinced that the attractive stockmarket valuations of small UK
quoted companies outweigh the risks.
Taking a
longer term view, the Board continues to believe that small UK
quoted companies can generate capital and dividend growth to
provide good total returns for both Ordinary and ZDP
Shareholders.
As the
Managers’ Report describes, the portfolio is invested in good
businesses with strong balance sheets, which have coped well with
political and macro-economic tests over the
years.
It is
encouraging that their resilience is already evident in AGVIT’s
income performance, which has so far been better than expected at
launch.
In my
experience, it is a reasonable assumption that rising dividends
will support the portfolio’s capital growth in due
course.
Beyond the
progress likely to be achieved by individual investee companies
over the Company’s planned seven year life, AGVIT can also benefit
from a broader reappraisal of small UK quoted
companies.
Despite
some improvement, valuations remain depressed and are attracting
attention.
On-going
M&A activity confounds the gloominess of the stockmarket and
highlights the qualities of the sorts of companies selected by the
Managers.
It seems
to me likely that, until a broad revaluation of the asset class
comes to pass, takeover activity will continue.
This may
not deliver smooth returns, but it is an obvious means through
which the many value opportunities in AGVIT’s portfolio can be
realised.
Your Board
therefore believes that AGVIT’s portfolio and capital structure are
fit for purpose – they can deliver on the investment objectives of
both classes of shareholder over the Company’s seven year planned
life.
My fellow
directors and I would welcome the views of all Shareholders about
any matter pertinent to the Company, to which end my email address
is noted below.
Angus Gordon Lennox
Chairman
28 January 2025
Angus.GordonLennox@aberforth.co.uk
MANAGERS’ REPORT
Introduction
In the six
months from launch to 31 December
2024, AGVIT’s total assets total return was
-0.6%.
This
represents the performance of the Company’s portfolio of small UK
quoted companies.
AGVIT’s
investment universe is the Deutsche Numis Smaller Companies Index
(excluding Investment Companies) or DNSCI (XIC). The total return
from this index in the period was +3.8%.
For
further context, the total return from larger UK companies, in the
form of the FTSE All-Share index was +1.9%.
The
Performance Analysis and Portfolio Characteristics section of this
report sets out the influences on AGVIT’s return in the
period.
Investment background
The
top-down backdrop for stockmarkets was inauspicious around AGVIT’s
launch.
The war in
Ukraine continued, as did the
conflict between Israel and
Hamas.
The risk
of escalation buffeted oil prices and equity
valuations.
Political
uncertainty was an additional challenge.
The
results of the elections in the UK and the US were broadly as
expected, though the markets are now digesting the implications of
policy change under the new regimes.
Politics
are more unclear elsewhere.
An
election looms in Japan, while
South Korea has seen its president
attempt to impose martial law.
In
Europe, June’s election for the
European parliament was the catalyst for a snap election in
France, where a stable government
has yet to be established.
Meanwhile,
Germany is also facing elections
early in 2025 following the collapse of the ruling
coalition.
On the
economic front, the UK pulled out of the recession in the second
half of 2023.
The
recovery has been tentative so far, but prospects for wage growth
above the rate of inflation, lower mortgage rates and high
household savings offer encouragement for the coming
year.
In
Europe, Germany continues to struggle to escape
recessionary conditions.
Its export
reliant industrial economy is contending with Chinese and Japanese
competition, while demand for its products from China and elsewhere is
depressed.
The bright
spot has remained the US, though even here recent macro-economic
data have been patchy and hint at slowing growth.
Despite
these challenges, equities have not performed badly, even stripping
out the boost to the US market from the “Magnificent Seven” and
artificial intelligence.
The main
reason was optimism about the interest rate cycle – for equity
markets, the promise of a lower cost of money can overcome a host
of other issues. The prospect of lower rates was fuelled by that
lacklustre growth environment described above and by improving
inflation data, as the pace of inflation continued to subside from
the very high rates of 2022. Interest rate cuts were duly
forthcoming, with the European Central Bank cutting in June, the
Bank of England in July and the
Federal Reserve in September.
Stockmarkets’
great hope is that the Federal Reserve can achieve the historically
elusive “soft landing” – taming inflation without tipping the US
economy into recession.
However,
towards the end of 2024, politics intruded to unsettle the
narrative of disinflation and lower interest
rates.
The
Republican clean sweep in America’s Presidential and Congressional
elections increased the likelihood of potentially inflationary
policies, such as trade tariffs, lower immigration and tax
cuts.
It remains
to be seen whether tariffs are implemented in full force or are
more of a negotiation tactic.
And it is
still unclear whether the new Department of Government Efficiency
can mitigate the impact of tax cuts on budget
deficits.
Therefore,
the assumption of a swift return to the lower inflation and
interest rate environment of the pre-pandemic era has been
undermined.
It is
notable that US bond yields have risen and that the market now
expects a slower pace of interest rate cuts than it did before the
elections.
In the UK,
there have been similar developments.
Labour’s
first Budget in nearly 15 years has clouded the outlook for
monetary policy and the economy.
It seems
likely that increases to the National Living Wage and employers’
national insurance contributions will be inflationary, as
businesses seek to pass on their cost increases.
At the
same time, higher government spending and borrowing threatens to
crowd out the private sector, which must also contemplate further
tax increases if the government’s growth ambitions do not transpire
as intended.
Again,
fiscal action jeopardises the outlook for monetary policy:
expectations today are now for less significant interest rate cuts
than was the case before the Budget.
As in the
US, the point here is not to judge the merits of government
policies;
rather, it
is to highlight the unintended consequences of governments’ plans
for what buoyed stockmarket valuations through 2024, namely
expectations of lower interest rates.
Turning to
the UK stockmarket, its relevance has been widely questioned in
recent years against a backdrop of outflows from equity funds and a
dearth of IPO activity.
The angst
has been shared by regulators and successive
governments.
Several
changes have followed, notably to the listing rules, and more are
to come with the new prospectus regime in 2025.
Other
initiatives may follow, but the new Chancellor’s commentary thus
far has been rather vague and, as the short-lived flirtation with
the UK ISA shows, policy change can be abrupt.
Indeed,
reliance on government diktat, with all its unintended
consequences, is seldom comfortable. Therefore, other signs of life
in the UK stockmarket are more encouraging.
Valuations
were at a particularly low ebb little over a year ago, when the
UK’s economic and political situation appeared particularly
uncertain in comparison with those of other
countries.
A year on,
the UK looks less of an outlier.
This has
helped to bring tension back into the valuation of UK equities and
to elicit a re-rating of small and large companies in the first
half of 2024.
At the
same time, the identity of the marginal buyers of small UK quoted
companies is now clear: larger companies and overseas companies
through M&A, overseas asset managers, the companies themselves
through buy-backs, and of course AGVIT.
Performance analysis and portfolio
characteristics
Over the
six months to 31 December 2024, AGVIT
total assets total return was -0.6%.
The DNSCI
(XIC)’s was +3.8%.
The
paragraphs below provide context for these numbers and also set out
the important characteristics of AGVIT’s portfolio.
Portfolio
Characteristics
as
at
31
December
2024
|
AGVIT
|
DNSCI
(XIC)
|
Number
of
companies
|
69
|
350
|
Weighted
average
market
capitalisation
|
£659m
|
£1,019m
|
Weighting
in
“smaller
small”
companies*
|
44%
|
21%
|
Price
earnings
(PE)
ratio
(historical)
|
9.6x
|
13.0x
|
Dividend
yield
(historical)
|
5.6%
|
3.4%
|
Dividend
cover
(historical)
|
1.9x
|
2.2x
|
*“Smaller
small” companies are members of the DNSCI (XIC) that are not also
members of the FTSE 250
Geography
AGVIT’s
investment return in the six months to 31
December 2024 was hindered by the weak share prices of
several of its industrial holdings, companies which tend to
generate their revenues and profits outside the
UK.
This is
unusual in the context of the past eight years.
In 2016,
the EU referendum spurred a decline in sterling that boosted the
translated profits earned outside the UK.
Overseas
earners also fared relatively well during the pandemic, since
businesses dependent on the UK economy were particularly badly
affected by lockdown.
The change
in sentiment in the second half of 2024 had several
causes.
First,
trading conditions for overseas businesses are subdued as much of
the world is experiencing lacklustre economic
growth.
Second, US
trade tariffs loom following the election of Donald Trump.
Finally,
sterling’s recent strength against the euro is negative for the
translation of profits earned in Europe, reversing some of the advantage gained
by overseas earners in the wake of the EU
referendum.
Towards
the period end, the effects of the Budget were felt on the share
prices of domestic businesses and the Managers are seeing
investment opportunities in both groups of companies.
Despite
their recent challenges, AGVIT’s overseas earners remain strong
businesses.
A good
example is the DNSCI (XIC)’s engineering sector.
Most
engineers, including those owned by AGVIT, are truly international
businesses.
They have
grown geographically over the years in response to shifting global
demand, locating plants close to those of their
customers.
Their
experienced management and strong balance sheets mean that, if the
US does impose stringent tariffs on the likes of Mexico, it is probable that they will adapt
again, moving capacity from Mexico
to their US facilities.
Some
transitional costs could be incurred to achieve this, but the
underlying viability and relevance of the businesses would likely
be unaffected.
Style
The
Managers invest in accordance with their value investment
philosophy. For existing and potential investments, they calculate
target valuations. These are influenced by fundamental analysis,
judgement informed by experience, and reference to other relevant
valuations in equity markets or corporate activity. Growth of
profits is an important component of a target valuation, but the
Managers find that stockmarket valuations are often too generous in
their assumptions of the sustainability and pace of
growth.
The value
investment philosophy means that AGVIT’s returns are influenced by
the stockmarket’s preference in any period for more expensively
priced growth stocks or more modestly rated value stocks. In
respect of the six months to 31 December
2024, analysis by London Business
School of the DNSCI (XIC) suggests that the value style
performed in line with the growth style, with the latter buoyed in
sympathy with America’s large technology companies. Style was not,
therefore, a significant influence on AGVIT’s performance in the
period under review. Over recent years, however, style has been
beneficial. Value stocks have out-performed since the recovery from
the pandemic started towards the end of 2020. A further boost came
as inflation soared in 2022 and drove bond yields higher. While the
rate of inflation has declined, its future path is uncertain. This
should help maintain interest in the value style.
Size
The DNSCI
(XIC) includes all main listed stocks in the UK with market
capitalisations below c.£1.9bn.
It
therefore includes many mid cap companies.
For much
of the period since the global financial crisis in 2008, the
Managers have found more attractive valuations down the market
capitalisation scale.
AGVIT has
therefore a relatively high exposure to what might be termed the
“smaller small” companies.
Since late
2020, as the pandemic recovery commenced, the share prices of
“smaller small” companies have performed better than those of the
mid caps within the DNSCI (XIC).
This was
also the case in the six months to 31
December 2024.
AGVIT’s
returns therefore benefited from its size
positioning.
Notwithstanding
this improved performance from the “smaller smalls”, they continue
to exhibit more attractive valuation characteristics, as the
section on Valuations below demonstrates.
Balance sheets
The
following table sets out the balance sheet profile of AGVIT’s
portfolio and of the Managers’ Tracked Universe.
This
subset of the DNSCI (XIC) represents 98% by value of the index as a
whole and is made up of the 234 companies that the Managers follow
closely.
Weight in companies with:
|
Net cash
|
Net debt/EBITDA < 2x
|
Net debt/EBITDA > 2x
|
Other*
|
Portfolio
2024
|
31%
|
51%
|
15%
|
3%
|
Tracked
Universe 2024
|
30%
|
41%
|
23%
|
7%
|
*includes
loss-makers and lenders.
Balance
sheets are robust both within the portfolio and among small
companies in general.
Around one
third of both the portfolio and index by value is represented by
companies with net cash on their balance sheets.
The more
highly leveraged companies tend to be those with asset backing,
such as property companies.
It has
been argued that small companies are less securely funded than
large companies and that they therefore merit lower
valuations.
Some also
claim that value stocks are less securely funded than growth
stocks.
Neither of
these contentions hold true today, which underscores the
attractiveness of AGVIT’s current investment
opportunity.
The
strength of balance sheets naturally makes the question of capital
deployment more urgent.
The
Managers frequently engage on this issue with the boards of AGVIT’s
investee companies.
The
highest priority should be organic investment to maintain the
viability of a business and allow it to grow.
Thereafter,
a coherent and appropriate dividend policy is essential, optimally
one that allows ordinary dividends to grow in real terms through
economic cycles.
After
that, acquisitions may be considered, but these should be assessed
against the benchmark of lower risk special dividends or share
buy-backs.
It is
notable that numerous small companies bought back shares in
calendar 2024, which points to the value that boards of directors
see in their companies.
Among
AGVIT’s 69 investee companies, buy-backs were undertaken by 16
companies, nine of which were among the top 20 holdings.
Income
The table
below categorises AGVIT’s 69 holdings at 31
December 2024 according to each company’s most recent
dividend action.
Nil Payer
|
Cutter
|
Unchanged Payer
|
Increased Payer
|
New / Returner
|
4
|
11
|
16
|
35
|
3
|
The
message from the analysis is good, with the most populated category
being those companies that most recently increased their
dividends.
There was
further benefit from the three companies recommencing dividends or
making payments for the first time.
Less
positively, eleven companies cut their
dividends.
Six of
these were businesses operating in the domestic economy, usually
close to the housing market.
Their
dividend decisions in 2024 were influenced by the impact of the
recession towards the end of 2023.
In the
round, this income analysis is consistent with AGVIT’s dividend
receipts in the six months to 31 December
2024, which was better than the Managers had expected at
launch.
The
historical dividend yield of AGVIT’s holdings at 31 December 2024 was 5.6%.
The
average dividend cover was 1.9x.
This
reflects a weak earnings performance from small companies in 2024,
consistent with the recession impact, along with the resilience of
dividends previously described.
As profits
continue their recovery from the downturn, it is likely that
dividend cover will rise from here.
Corporate activity
Stockmarket
valuations in the UK remain attractive and so M&A activity
continues apace.
If UK
institutions and retail investors are willing sellers of domestic
equities, larger overseas companies and private equity are willing
buyers.
For
context, in calendar 2024, the takeovers of 15 companies within the
DNSCI (XIC) were completed.
As the
year ended, there were offers outstanding for three and approaches
had been made for another two.
Of these
20 deals, the buyers were evenly split between private equity and
other companies. Most of the acquirers were overseas based, with
domestic buyers in six of the situations.
Turning to
AGVIT’s experience in the six months to 31
December 2024, it had investments in three takeover
targets.
One of
these deals was completed by the calendar year end, whereas the
other two were outstanding.
Over the
years, the Managers’ value investment style has meant that its
clients have been disproportionate beneficiaries of M&A
activity.
Takeovers
can be a good means of closing value gaps, but the low valuations
that still prevail in the UK stockmarket mean that the risk is high
of some takeovers being done on unattractive
terms.
The risk
is exacerbated by boards and other shareholders yielding too
quickly to takeover interest, no doubt succumbing to the gloomy
sentiment towards the UK.
The
Managers’ approach in such situations is purposeful engagement, as
described in the section on Engagement below.
As the
attractive valuations of small UK quoted companies draw takeover
interest, the corollary is a subdued IPO market.
Just two
IPOs of a reasonable size and eligible for the DNSCI (XIC) were
completed in calendar 2024.
The
Managers view this dearth of activity as a temporary phenomenon and
a function of prevailing valuations.
The UK’s
new listing rules and the imminent changes to the prospectus regime
are likely to encourage IPOs once the valuation basis of the UK
market recovers.
Engagement
Since
Aberforth started investment management in 1990, an integral part
of its investment process has been engagement with the boards of
the investee companies.
The
approach to engagement is intended to be purposeful, discreet and
constructive.
Its
purpose is to improve investment outcomes for Aberforth’s clients
and investors.
The
Managers engage on any topic that they perceive to be affecting the
valuation of a company.
The most
common issue addressed is capital allocation, though M&A terms
were an important topic in the first six months of AGVIT’s
life.
Engagement
includes regular updates with executive directors and also
encompasses meetings with non executives.
There is a
particular focus on the chair, which is the most important role in
the UK’s system of corporate governance.
The
Managers are prepared to be taken inside for extended periods,
which indicates their commitment to responsible stewardship and
which can be helpful to investee companies.
The
Managers’ influence is enhanced by their ability to take
significant stakes of up to 25% of issued share capital across
their client base.
At
31 December 2024, AGVIT had four
holdings in which Aberforth’s clients had a stake of more than 20%
in an investee companies and 20 holdings in which the stake
exceeded 10%.
The
currently high rate of M&A activity within the UK stockmarket
makes engagement particularly relevant. The terms of some of the
takeovers have been frustrating.
Large
control premiums have distracted from uninspiring exit valuations
and from boards too willing to present faits accomplis to their
shareholders. Aberforth has therefore reinforced, in both writing
and in meetings, the importance of boards consulting shareholders
when they are considering a takeover offer or a significant capital
allocation decision.
For
context, in 2024, there were numerous consultations by companies
about M&A.
These
often involved the Managers going inside.
In some
cases, the Managers supported the boards in question to reject a
takeover approach.
In others,
they worked with the boards to improve the initial terms
offered.
This sort
of activity can be difficult and time-consuming, but it is
important particularly when UK valuations remain at such attractive
levels.
The
Managers are confident that their purposeful, discreet and
constructive engagement has enhanced its clients’ returns over time
and will continue to do so.
Valuations
AGVIT’s
portfolio benefits from a triple valuation discount, which is set
out in the following table.
Price earnings (PE) ratio:
|
34 year average
|
At 31 December 2023
|
At 31 December 2024
|
World
equities*
|
15.9x
|
16.0x
|
17.7x
|
FTSE
All-Share
|
15.3x
|
10.3x
|
14.6x
|
Smaller
companies**
|
13.6x
|
10.3x
|
11.9x
|
Aberforth
portfolio / AGVIT
|
12.0x***
|
7.9x***
|
9.6x
|
|
|
|
|
|
* Source:
Bloomberg; Panmure Liberum
** DNSCI
(XIC) to 2013 then Tracked Universe
*** Data
for the portfolio of Aberforth’s longest standing client
The triple
discount comprises the following: (1) UK equities have a lower PE
than do global equities, (2) small UK quoted companies have a lower
PE than does the UK market as a whole, and (3) AGVIT’s portfolio
has a lower PE than do smaller companies.
The table
also demonstrates the valuation opportunity in another way. At
present, UK equities, smaller companies and the portfolio are each
rated on a lower PE than the average over the 34 year history of
Aberforth’s longest standing client.
Therefore,
AGVIT benefits from attractive valuations in comparison both with
history and with broader equity indices.
The table
also reveals some change through calendar 2024: the PEs of all four
groups have risen.
In the
case of world equities, this was principally due to the further
share price gains of the “Magnificent Seven” and their
ilk.
Less
appreciated have been the partial re-ratings of the UK equity
market and smaller companies in 2024.
A broad
re-rating of this sort is welcome but unsurprising given how
unusually low PEs were towards the end of 2023.
The
uncertainty a year ago was when the improvement would come and what
would prompt it.
In the
event, there have been three influences: the improved economic
backdrop, a degree of political stability (at least in relative
terms), and the continued buying pressure in the form of
M&A.
It is
worth dwelling on the components of the
re-rating.
Focusing
on smaller companies, the historical PE rose from 10.3x at the end
of 2023 to 11.9x at the end of 2024.
That is a
16% rise over a period in which the return from the DNSCI (XIC) was
9.5%.
From these
two numbers it may be inferred that small company profits fell in
aggregate, by around 6%.
This
decline in reported profitability is not news – the Managers
expected this outturn given the impact of the recession in the
second half of 2023.
While
lower profits are unwelcome, it is clear that they were not
inconsistent with positive equity returns as the stockmarket
discounted a probable recovery in profits.
There are
parallels here with the early 1990s recession, which was caused by
inflation and the tighter monetary policy required to address
it.
The table
below gives the macro economic context for the early 1990s
downturn, along with how small UK quoted companies performed in the
period.
|
1990
|
1991
|
1992
|
1993
|
Cumulative 1991-3
|
UK
economic context
|
|
|
|
|
|
GDP
YoY
|
+0.6%
|
-1.4%
|
+0.2%
|
+2.3%
|
+1.1%
|
CPI
YoY
|
+7.0%
|
+8.5%
|
+4.2%
|
+2.5%
|
+15.9%
|
Year end
base rates
|
13.9%
|
10.4%
|
6.9%
|
5.4%
|
-
|
DNSCI
(XIC)* experience
|
|
|
|
|
|
Year end
PE ratio
|
8.2x
|
11.3x
|
13.9x
|
18.6x
|
-
|
Implied
earnings growth
|
+1.8%
|
-13.7%
|
-13.1%
|
+6.2%
|
-20.3%
|
Total
return
|
-23.5%
|
+18.3%
|
+6.4%
|
+41.6%
|
+78.2%
|
*Taken or
calculated from London Business School
data
The table
shows the positive total returns generated by smaller companies in
1991 and 1992 even as the recession hit and profits
declined.
These
returns drove the PE ratio up to 13.9x by the end of
1992.
This was,
though, only a partial re-rating since the actual recovery in
earnings, which started in 1993, prompted a very strong performance
from the asset class.
Notwithstanding
the similarities with today’s situation, it would be wrong to
anticipate that the market plays out in precisely this
way.
However,
it is clear that the higher PEs seen in 2024 are not in and of
themselves a barrier to further gains.
The
following table turns to forward valuations.
It uses
the Managers’ favoured valuation metric, EV/EBITA (enterprise value
to earnings before interest, tax and
amortisation).
Ratios are
set out for the portfolio, the Tracked Universe and certain
subdivisions of the Tracked Universe.
The
profits underlying the ratios are based on the Managers’ forecasts
for each company that they track.
The bullet
points following the table summarise its main messages.
EV/EBITA
|
2024
|
2025
|
2026
|
AGVIT’s
portfolio
|
8.1x
|
7.3x
|
6.3x
|
Tracked
Universe (234 stocks)
|
10.0x
|
9.0x
|
7.8x
|
-
38 growth
stocks
|
15.9x
|
14.7x
|
12.7x
|
-
196 other
stocks
|
9.3x
|
8.3x
|
7.2x
|
-
102 stocks
> £600m market cap
|
10.5x
|
9.5x
|
8.3x
|
-
132 stocks
< £600m market cap
|
8.8x
|
7.6x
|
6.6x
|
•
The ratios
are lower in 2025 than in 2024.
This
reflects the Managers’ anticipation of profit growth in 2025, as
lower interest rates and real wage growth drive a recovery in the
profitability of domestic facing companies.
•
The
average EV/EBITA multiples of the portfolio are lower than those of
the Tracked Universe.
This has
been a consistent feature over Aberforth’s history and is
consistent with the Managers’ value investment style.
•
The
portfolio’s 8.1x EV/EBITA ratio for 2024 is considerably lower than
the average multiple of 13.6x at which takeover offers were made in
calendar 2024.
•
Each year,
the Managers identify a cohort of growth stocks within the DNSCI
(XIC).
These
stocks are on much higher multiples than both the portfolio and the
rest of the Tracked Universe.
•
Picking up
on the size commentary above, the “smaller small” companies within
the DNSCI (XIC) remain more attractively valued than do the “larger
smalls”, despite the former grouping’s better share price
performance in the year.
Outlook and conclusion
The
investment outlook is clouded by geopolitics.
The war in
Ukraine continues, while the
situation in the Middle East has
recently become more complicated with the overthrow of the Assad
regime in Syria.
Meanwhile,
there are unstable governments or imminent elections in
France, Germany, Japan, South
Korea and Canada.
Despite
the conclusive Republican victory in the US, uncertainty
lingers.
Donald
Trump’s statements about tariffs and reindustrialisation seem part
of a world view that tends to isolationism, though it is unclear
how much of this is his well-practised tactics to achieve a
deal.
To
complicate matters, his fiscal actions will affect monetary
policy.
This in
turn will influence the US economy, whose resilience has been
welcome as other countries struggle, and the valuation basis of
equities and bonds around the world.
Political
risk remains elevated too in the UK, despite – or perhaps because
of – Labour’s decisive election victory.
The Budget
was uninspiring and impinges upon private sector growth, whatever
the government’s rhetoric about employers’ national insurance
contributions.
Businesses
and consumers can be forgiven for worrying about what might come
next should economic growth not pick up as the Chancellor
predicts.
Some of
that scepticism seems shared by bond investors, with gilt yields
having risen sharply since the Budget.
However,
it is important to put today’s big picture concerns and risks in
perspective.
Macro
economic and geopolitical issues are a fact of
life.
They have
beset equity investors over Aberforth’s 34 years, and indeed
throughout the history of financial markets.
Indeed, an
element of the superior return achieved by equities over the long
term is the reward for taking on those very
risks.
In their
investment discussions, the Managers aim to take into account top
down influences but try not to be distracted by them.
What is
more certain is the resilience and valuations of the companies in
which AGVIT invests.
It is
worth returning to the way in which small UK quoted companies have
dealt so well with recent challenges such as Brexit, the pandemic
and supply chain disruption.
Even in
2024, when companies reported results affected by recession, many
grew their dividends and many were able to enhance shareholder
returns with buy-backs.
In this,
they have been helped by their strong balance sheets and
experienced boards of directors.
Given
their demonstrable flexibility, resilience and adaptability, it is
reasonable to expect them to cope well with further
change.
It is
clear, however, that the stockmarket continues to overlook the
resilience and progress of small UK quoted
companies.
Valuations
recovered over the past year but remain low in comparison with
history and with other equity markets.
While the
US market is priced for perfection, small UK quoted companies are
priced for irrelevance.
But this
tunnel vision on the part of equity markets is part of the present
opportunity for investors in AGVIT’s asset
class.
What makes
the valuation discrepancies particularly thought-provoking is that
there are rational investors – other companies and private equity –
who are prepared to pay substantial premiums over stockmarket
prices to own small UK quoted companies.
This
takeover activity has helped to shine a light on AGVIT’s investment
opportunity by raising general awareness of the attractiveness of
valuations.
Encouragingly,
the Managers’ valuation framework suggests upside from the
re-rating of the asset class.
While it
is not guaranteed that this will come in a prompt and smooth
manner, investee companies are likely to continue to make
underlying progress and build value for their
shareholders.
AGVIT is
positioned to benefit from this with its diversified portfolio of
resilient businesses, which has been constructed through the
Managers’ consistent investment process and value investment
philosophy.
Aberforth
Partners LLP
Managers
28 January 2025
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
TOTAL RETURN PERFORMANCE
Period to 31 December
2024
|
|
Ordinary
Share
|
ZDP
Share
|
|
Total
Assets1
|
NAV2
|
Share
Price3
|
NAV4
|
Share
Price5
|
|
------------
|
------------
|
------------
|
------------
|
------------
|
Since
Inception13
|
-2.3%
|
-4.2%
|
-17.0%
|
2.6%
|
6.5%
|
Since
Launch13
|
-0.6%
|
-2.2%
|
-17.0%
|
2.6%
|
6.5%
|
The total
return per Ordinary Share2
for
the period to 31 December 2024 was
-3.6p
ORDINARY SHARE
|
Net
Asset Value per Share
|
Share
Price
|
Discount
/ (Premium)
|
Return
per Share
|
Dividend
per
Share
|
Gearing6
|
As
at:
|
---------
|
---------
|
------------
|
---------
|
------------
|
------------
|
31
December 2024
|
95.9p
|
83.0p
|
13.4%
|
-3.6p
|
1.50p
|
40.1%
|
Inception13
|
100.0p
|
100.0p
|
0.0%
|
n/a
|
n/a
|
37.5%
|
ZERO DIVIDEND PREFERENCE SHARE (ZDP
SHARE)
|
Net
Asset Value per Share
|
Share
Price
|
Discount
/ (Premium)
|
Return
per
Share
|
Projected
Final Cumulative Cover7
|
Redemption
Yield8
|
As
at:
|
---------
|
---------
|
---------
|
---------
|
------------
|
------------
|
31
December 2024
|
102.6p
|
106.5p
|
(3.8)%
|
3.5p
|
1.97x
|
6.5%
|
Inception13
|
100.0p
|
100.0p
|
0.0%
|
n/a
|
2.03x
|
7.0%
|
HURDLE RATES9,a
|
Ordinary
Shares
Hurdle
Rates to return
|
ZDP
Shares
Hurdle
Rates to return
|
|
100p
|
Share
Price
|
Zero
Value
|
160.58p
|
Zero
Value
|
|
------------
|
------------
|
------------
|
------------
|
------------
|
At
31 December 2024
|
3.7%
|
1.9%
|
-10.7%
|
-10.7%
|
-55.3%
|
Inception13
|
3.0%
|
3.0%
|
-10.3%
|
-10.3%
|
-52.9%
|
REDEMPTION YIELDS & TERMINAL NAVs (ORDINARY
SHARES) AS AT 31 DECEMBER
2024a
Capital
Growth (per annum)
|
Ordinary
Share Redemption Yields10
Dividend
Growth (per annum)
|
|
|
-20.0%
|
-10.0%
|
+0.0%
|
+10.0%
|
+20.0%
|
Terminal
NAV11
|
------------
|
-----------
|
------------
|
------------
|
------------
|
------------
|
------------
|
-20.0%
|
-36.0%
|
-28.9%
|
-21.9%
|
-14.9%
|
-8.0%
|
0.0p
|
-10.0%
|
-29.3%
|
-24.6%
|
-19.1%
|
-13.1%
|
-6.7%
|
3.0p
|
+0.0%
|
0.2%
|
1.4%
|
3.0%
|
5.2%
|
8.0%
|
66.1p
|
+10.0%
|
15.2%
|
15.9%
|
16.9%
|
18.2%
|
19.9%
|
175.7p
|
+20.0%
|
27.7%
|
28.3%
|
29.0%
|
29.9%
|
31.1%
|
356.5p
|
a
At
31 December 2024, this represents the
rate/yield for the period to the planned winding-up date on
30 June 2031
The
valuation statistics in the tables above are projected,
illustrative and do not represent profit forecasts. There is no
guarantee these returns will be achieved.
1-13 Refer to
Note 2, Alternative Performance Measures and Glossary
UK GAAP
measures include Net Asset Value and Net Asset Value (ZDP) as
defined in the Glossary, Return per Share and Dividend per
Share.
Principal Risks
The Board
carefully considers the risks faced by the Company and seeks to
manage these risks through continual review, evaluation, mitigating
controls and action as necessary. A risk matrix for the Company is
maintained. It groups risks into the following categories:
portfolio management; investor relations; regulatory and legal; and
financial and operational. The Company outsources all the main
operational activities to recognised, well-established firms and
the Board receives internal control reports from these firms, where
available, to review the effectiveness of their control
frameworks.
The Board
regularly reviews emerging risks. These are risks that are still
evolving, are not fully understood, but that could have a future
impact on the Company. The Board also regularly monitors how the
Managers integrate risks into the investment decision
making.
Principal
risks are those risks derived from the matrix that have the highest
risk ratings based on likelihood and impact. They are expected to
be relatively consistent from year to year given the nature of the
Company and its business. The principal risks faced by the Company,
together with the approach taken by the Board towards them, are
summarised below. To indicate the extent to which the principal
risks change during the period and the level of monitoring
required, each principal risk has been categorised as either
dynamic risk, requiring detailed monitoring as it can change
regularly, or stable risk.
Investment performance and policy risk (a portfolio
management risk)
The
Company’s investment policy and strategy expose the portfolio to
share price movements. The performance of the investment portfolio
will be influenced by stock selection, liquidity and market risk
(see Market risk below). Investment in small companies is generally
perceived to carry more risk than investment in large companies.
While this is reasonable when comparing individual companies, it is
much less so when comparing the risks inherent in diversified
portfolios of small and large companies. The Board's aim is to
achieve the investment objective by ensuring the investment
portfolio is managed in accordance with the policy and strategy.
The Board has outsourced portfolio management to experienced
investment managers with a clearly defined investment philosophy
and investment process. The Board receives regular and detailed
reports on investment performance including portfolio and risk
profile analysis. Senior representatives of Aberforth Partners
attend each Board meeting. This remains a dynamic risk, with
detailed consideration during the period. The Managers’ Report
contains information on portfolio investment performance and
risk.
Market risk (a portfolio management
risk)
Investment
performance is affected by several market risk factors, which cause
uncertainty about future price movements of investments. The Board
delegates consideration of market risk to the Managers to be
carried out as part of the investment process. The Managers
regularly assess the exposure to market risk when making investment
decisions and the Board monitors the results via the Managers’
reporting. The Board and Managers closely monitor economic
developments. This was a dynamic risk during the period, in which
the Managers reported on market risks including those referred to
in the Managers’ Report.
Political and taxation changes outwith the Company’s
control (a portfolio management risk)
Investment
performance is affected by political and taxation risk factors,
which cause uncertainty about future price movements of investments
and may cause shareholder dissatisfaction. The Board monitors in
conjunction with the Managers the political and tax landscape
affecting the Company and takes action if in the best interests of
shareholders as a whole. Company advisors provide regular updates.
This is a dynamic risk.
Structural conflicts of interest (an investor relations
risk)
The
different rights and expectations of the holders of Ordinary Shares
and the holders of ZDP Shares may give rise to conflicts of
interest between them. While the Company’s investment objective and
policy seek to strike a balance between the interests of both
classes of Shareholder, there can be no guarantee that such a
balance will be achieved and maintained during the life of the
Company. The Board acts in a manner that it considers fair,
reasonable and equitable to both classes of Shareholder. This is a
stable risk.
Significant fall in investment income (a portfolio
management risk)
A
significant fall in investment income could lead to the inability
to provide an attractive level of income to Ordinary Shareholders.
The Board receives regular and detailed reports from the Managers
on income performance together with income forecasts. The Board and
Managers monitor investment income and it is considered a dynamic
risk.
Loss of key investment personnel (an operational and
portfolio management risk)
The Board
believes that a risk exists in the loss of key investment personnel
at the Managers. The Board recognises that the collegiate approach
employed by the Managers mitigates this risk. Board members are in
regular contact with the partners and staff of the Managers and
monitor personnel changes. This is a stable risk.
Regulatory risk (a regulatory and legal
risk)
Breach of
regulatory rules could lead to suspension of the Company’s share
price listings, financial penalties or a qualified audit report.
Breach of Section 1158 of the Corporation Tax Act 2010 could lead
to the Company losing investment trust status and, as a
consequence, any capital gains would then be subject to capital
gains tax. The Board reviews regular reports from the Secretaries
to monitor compliance with regulations. This is a stable
risk.
Cyber security risk (an operational
risk)
The
Company (or Managers) are subject to a cyber risk event negatively
affecting shareholders or the Company’s (or Managers) services. The
Board oversees the Managers’ (and other service providers’) cyber
security controls via external control reports and Board update
papers. This is a dynamic risk.
INTERIM MANAGEMENT REPORT
A review
of the period to 31 December 2024 and
the outlook for the Company can be found in the Chairman’s
Statement and the Managers’ Report.
Risks and Uncertainties
The
Directors have a process for identifying, evaluating and managing
the principal and emerging risks faced by the Company. This process
was in operation during the period ended 31
December 2024 and continues in place up to the date of this
report. The Company's capital structure is such that the underlying
value of assets attributable to the Ordinary Shares is geared by
the rising capital entitlements of the ZDP Shares and accordingly
the Ordinary Shares should be regarded as carrying above average
risk. The Company also has a £2 million overdraft facility, which
when utilised increases the level of gearing. Mitigating factors in
the Company's risk profile include its relatively simple capital
structure, its diversified portfolio of small UK quoted companies,
and outsourcing all of its main operational activities to
recognised, well established firms. Refer also to the ‘Principal
Risks’ section.
Going Concern
The
Directors are satisfied that the Company has sufficient resources
to continue in operation for the foreseeable future, a period of
not less than 12 months from the date of this report. The Company’s
assets comprise mainly readily realisable equity securities, which,
if necessary, can be sold to meet future funding requirements,
though this can typically be achieved through use of the bank
overdraft facility. Accordingly, the Directors continue to adopt
the going concern basis in preparing the financial
statements.
DIRECTORS’ RESPONSIBILITY STATEMENT
The
Directors confirm that, to the best of their knowledge:
(i) the
condensed set of financial statements has been prepared in
accordance with Financial Reporting Standard 104 “Interim Financial
Reporting” and gives
a true and fair view of the state of affairs of the Company and of
the assets, liabilities, financial position and net return of
AGVIT, as at 31 December 2024, as
required by DTR 4.2.4R of the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency
Rules.
(ii) the
Half Yearly Report includes a fair review of information required
by:
(a) DTR
4.2.7R of the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules, being an
indication of important events during the period to 31 December 2024 and their impact on the
financial statements together with a description of the principal
risks and uncertainties for the remaining six months of the year;
and
(b) DTR
4.2.8R of the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules, being
disclosure of related party transactions and changes
therein.
(iii) the
Half Yearly Report, taken as whole, is fair, balanced and
understandable and provides information necessary for Shareholders
to assess the Company’s performance, objective and
strategy.
On behalf
of the Board
Angus Gordon Lennox
Chairman
28 January 2025
The Income
Statement, Reconciliation of Movements in Shareholders’ Funds,
Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement are set out
below:-
INCOME STATEMENT
For
the period from incorporation on 29 March
2024 to 31 December
2024
(unaudited)
|
Revenue
|
Capital
|
Total
|
|
£000
|
£000
|
£000
|
|
|
|
|
Realised
net gains on sales
|
-
|
1,342
|
1,342
|
Movement
in fair value
|
-
|
(6,043)
|
(6,043)
|
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
Net
(losses) on investments
|
-
|
(4,701)
|
(4,701)
|
Investment
income
|
3,683
|
-
|
3,683
|
Other
income
|
148
|
-
|
148
|
Investment
management fee (Note 3)
|
(165)
|
(386)
|
(551)
|
Portfolio
transaction costs1
|
-
|
(776)
|
(776)
|
Other
expenses
|
(183)
|
-
|
(183)
|
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
Net return
before finance costs and tax
|
3,483
|
(5,863)
|
(2,380)
|
Finance
costs:
|
|
|
|
Appropriation
to ZDP Shares (Note 8)
|
-
|
(1,418)
|
(1,418)
|
Interest
expense and overdraft fee
|
(1)
|
(3)
|
(4)
|
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
Return on
ordinary activities before tax
|
3,482
|
(7,284)
|
(3,802)
|
Tax on
ordinary activities
|
(6)
|
-
|
(6)
|
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
Return
attributable to Equity Shareholders
|
3,476
|
(7,284)
|
(3,808)
|
|
======
|
=======
|
=======
|
|
|
|
|
Returns
per Ordinary Share (Note 5)
|
3.24p
|
(6.79)p
|
(3.55)p
|
On
28 January 2025, the Board declared a
first interim dividend for the period ending 30 June 2025 of 1.50p per Ordinary Share, which
will be paid on 10 March
2025.
1 Portfolio
transaction costs includes £602,000 in respect of stamp duty
incurred on the transfer of securities from ASLIT to AGVIT. See
note 9 for more information.
RECONCILIATION OF MOVEMENTS IN SHAREHOLDERS’
FUNDS
For
the period from incorporation on 29 March
2024 to 31 December
2024
(unaudited)
|
Share
|
Share
|
Special
|
Capital
|
Revenue
|
|
|
capital
|
Premium
|
reserve
|
reserve
|
reserve
|
Total
|
|
£000
|
£000
|
£000
|
£000
|
£000
|
£000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance
as at 29 March 2024
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Return on
ordinary activities after tax
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(7,284)
|
3,476
|
(3,808)
|
Equity
dividends paid (Note 4)
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Issue of
Ordinary Shares (Note 9)
|
1,073
|
106,258
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
107,331
|
Ordinary
Share issue costs (Note 9)
|
-
|
(592)
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(592)
|
Share
Premium cancellation (Note 9)
|
-
|
(105,616)
|
105,616
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Cost of
Share Premium cancellation
|
-
|
(50)
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(50)
|
Issue of
Redeemable Shares (Note 9)
|
50
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
50
|
Redemption
of Redeemable Shares (Note 9)
|
(50)
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(50)
|
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
Balance
as at 31 December 2024
|
1,073
|
-
|
105,616
|
(7,284)
|
3,476
|
102,881
|
|
======
|
======
|
======
|
======
|
======
|
======
|
BALANCE SHEET
As
at 31 December
2024
(unaudited)
Fixed
assets
|
|
|
|
|
31
December 2024
£000
|
|
Investments
at fair value through profit or loss (Note 6)
|
|
|
|
|
143,332
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
--------
|
|
Current
assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Debtors
|
|
|
|
|
550
|
|
Cash
at bank
|
|
|
|
|
400
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
--------
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
950
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
--------
|
|
Creditors
(amounts
falling due within one year)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other
creditors
|
|
|
|
|
(111)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
--------
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(111)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
--------
|
|
Net
current assets
|
|
|
|
|
839
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
--------
|
|
Total
assets less current liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
144,171
|
|
Creditors
(amounts
falling due after more than one year)
ZDP
Shares (Note 8)
|
|
|
|
|
(41,290)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
--------
|
|
TOTAL
NET ASSETS
|
|
|
|
|
102,881
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
======
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital
and reserves: equity interests
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Share
Capital
Ordinary
Shares (Note 9)
|
|
|
|
|
1,073
|
|
Reserves
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Special
reserve
|
|
|
|
|
105,616
|
|
Capital
reserve
|
|
|
|
|
(7,284)
|
|
Revenue
reserve
|
|
|
|
|
3,476
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
--------
|
|
TOTAL
EQUITY SHAREHOLDERS’ FUNDS
|
|
|
|
|
102,881
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
======
|
|
Net
Asset Value per Ordinary Share (Note
7)
|
|
|
|
|
95.85p
|
|
Net
Asset Value per ZDP Share (Note
7)
|
|
|
|
|
102.59p
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Approved
and
authorised
for
issue
by
the
Board
of Directors
on
28
January
2025
and
signed
on
its
behalf
by:
Angus Gordon Lennox
Chairman
CASH FLOW STATEMENT
For
the period from incorporation on 29 March
2024 to 31 December
2024
(unaudited)
|
|
|
Period
to
31
December 2024
£000
|
|
|
Net
cash inflow from operating activities
|
|
|
2,603
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investing
activities
|
|
|
|
|
|
Purchases
of investments
|
|
|
(23,426)
|
|
|
Sales of
investments
|
|
|
7,363
|
|
|
|
|
|
--------
|
|
|
Cash
(outflow) from investing activities
|
|
|
(16,063)
|
|
|
|
|
|
--------
|
|
|
Financing
activities
|
|
|
|
|
|
Proceeds
from issue of Ordinary Shares (Note 9)
|
|
|
2,651
|
|
|
Proceeds
from issue of
ZDP Shares
(Note 9)
|
|
|
12,182
|
|
|
Share
issue costs paid (Note 9)
|
|
|
(969)
|
|
|
Interest
and fees paid
|
|
|
(4)
|
|
|
|
|
|
--------
|
|
|
Cash
inflow from financing activities
|
|
|
13,860
|
|
|
|
|
|
--------
|
|
|
Change
in cash during the period
|
|
|
400
|
|
|
|
|
|
--------
|
|
|
Cash at
the start of the period
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
Cash at
the end of the period
|
|
|
400
|
|
|
|
|
|
--------
|
|
|
SUMMARY
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
1.
Accounting Policies
(a)
Basis of accounting
The
financial statements have been presented under Financial Reporting
Standard 104 (FRS 104) and the AIC’s Statement of Recommended
Practice “Financial Statements of Investment Trust Companies and
Venture Capital Trusts” (SORP). The financial statements have been
prepared on a going concern basis under the historical cost
convention, modified to include the revaluation of the Company’s
investments as described below. The functional and presentation
currency is pounds sterling, which is the currency of the
environment in which the Company operates. The Board confirms that
no significant accounting judgements or estimates have been applied
to the financial statements and therefore there is not a
significant risk of causing a material adjustment to the carrying
amounts of assets and liabilities within the next financial
year.
(b)
Investments
The
Company’s investments have been categorised as “financial assets at
fair value through profit or loss” as the Company’s business is to
invest in financial assets with a view to profiting from their
total return in the form of capital growth and income. Quoted
investments are valued at their fair value, which is represented by
the bid price. Where trading in the securities of an investee
company is suspended, the investment is valued at the Board’s
estimate of its fair value. Purchases and sales of investments are
accounted for on trade date. Gains and losses arising from changes
in fair value are included in the capital return for the period,
and transaction costs on acquisition or disposal of a security are
expensed to the capital reserve.
(c)
Income
Dividends
receivable on quoted equity shares are accounted for on the ex
dividend date as revenue, except where, in the opinion of the
Board, the dividend is capital in nature, in which case it is
treated as a return of capital. Where the Company has elected to
receive its dividends in the form of additional shares rather than
in cash, an amount equivalent to the cash dividend is recognised as
income. Any surplus or deficit in the value of the shares received
compared to the cash dividend forgone is recognised as capital.
Other income is accounted for on an accruals basis.
(d)
Expenses
All
expenses are accounted for on an accruals basis. Expenses are
charged to revenue except as follows:
•
expenses
that are incidental to the acquisition and disposal of an
investment are charged to capital; and
•
expenses
are charged to capital reserve where a connection with the
maintenance or enhancement of the value of the investments can be
demonstrated, in which respect the investment management fee and
finance costs incurred in connection with the overdraft facility
have been allocated 70% to capital reserve and 30% to revenue
reserve.
(e)
Finance costs
The ZDP
Shares are designed to provide a pre-determined capital growth from
their original issue price of 100p on 1 July 2024 to a final
capital entitlement of 160.58p on 30 June 2031, on which date the
Company is planned to be wound up. The final capital entitlement of
160.58p per ZDP Share represents a gross redemption yield of 7.0%
per annum over the life of the ZDP Shares, based on the issue price
of 100p. No dividends are payable on the ZDP Shares. The provision
for the capital growth entitlement of the ZDP Shares is included as
a finance cost and charged to capital within the Income
Statement.
Finance
costs incurred in connection with the overdraft facility are
accounted for on an accruals basis.
(f)
Capital reserve
The
following are accounted for in this reserve:
•
gains and
losses on the realisation of investments;
•
increases
and decreases in the valuation of investments held at the period
end;
•
gains on
the return of capital by way of investee companies paying dividends
which are capital in nature; and
•
expenses,
together with the related taxation effect, charged to this reserve
in accordance with the above policies.
(g)
Special reserve
This
reserve may be treated as distributable profits for all purposes,
including the payment of dividends to Ordinary Shareholders and the
buy-back of shares provided, in both cases, that the projected
final cumulative cover of the ZDP Shares does not fall below 2.0
times, immediately following any distribution to the Ordinary
Shareholders from this reserve.
(h)
Revenue reserve
Dividends
can be funded from this reserve.
(i)
Taxation
UK
corporation tax payable is provided on taxable profits, where
applicable, at the current rate. Deferred tax assets, using
substantially enacted tax rates, are only recognised if it is
considered more likely than not that there will be suitable taxable
profits from which the future reversal of deferred tax assets may
be deducted.
2.
ALTERNATIVE PERFORMANCE MEASURES
Alternative
Performance Measures (APMs) are measures that are not defined under
the requirements of FRS 102 and FRS 104.
The
Company believes that APMs, referred to within “Financial
Highlights” on page 1 of the half yearly report, provide
Shareholders with important information on the
Company.
These APMs
are also a component of management reporting to the
Board.
A glossary
including APMs
can be found below and on page 28 of the half yearly
report.
3.
INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT FEE
The
Managers, Aberforth Partners LLP, receive an annual management fee,
payable quarterly in advance, equal to 0.75% of the Company’s Total
Assets. The investment management fee is allocated between revenue
and capital as set out in note 1 (d).
4.
DIVIDENDS
The
directors have declared a first interim dividend for the period
ending 30 June 2025 of 1.50p which will be paid on 10 March 2025 to
holders of Ordinary Shares on the register on 7 February 2025. The
ex dividend date is 6 February 2025. The first interim dividend has
not been included as a liability in these financial statements.
Deducting the first interim dividend from the Company's revenue
reserves as at 31 December 2024 leaves revenue reserves equivalent
to 1.74p per Ordinary Share.
5.
RETURNS PER SHARE
Net return
for the period
|
|
|
|
£(3,808,000)
|
Weighted
average Ordinary Shares in issue during the period
|
|
|
|
107,331,000
|
|
|
|
|
--------
|
Return
per Ordinary Share
|
|
|
|
(3.55)p
|
|
|
|
|
--------
|
|
|
|
|
|
Appropriation
to ZDP Shares for the period
|
|
|
|
£1,418,000
|
Weighted
average ZDP Shares in issue during the period
|
|
|
|
40,249,000
|
|
|
|
|
--------
|
Return
per ZDP Share
|
|
|
|
3.52p
|
|
|
|
|
--------
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.
INVESTMENTS AT FAIR VALUE
In
accordance with FRS 102 and FRS 104, fair value measurements have
been classified using the fair value hierarchy.
Level 1 -
using unadjusted quoted prices for identical instruments in an
active market.
Level 2 -
using inputs, other than quoted prices included within Level 1,
that are directly or indirectly observable based on market
data.
Level 3 -
using inputs that are unobservable for which market data is
unavailable.
All
investments are held at fair value through profit or loss. As at
the reporting dates all investments are traded on a recognised
stock exchange and have been classified as Level 1.
7.
NET ASSET VALUE (“NAV”) PER SHARE
The Net
Assets and the Net Asset Value per Share attributable to the
Ordinary Shares and ZDP Shares as at 31 December 2024 are as
follows.
|
Ordinary
Shares
|
ZDP
Shares
|
Total
Assets
|
|
|
|
|
Net assets
attributable
|
£102,881,000
|
£41,290,000
|
£144,171,000
|
Number of
Shares
|
107,331,000
|
40,249,000
|
147,580,000
|
|
------------
|
------------
|
------------
|
Net
Asset Value per Share
|
95.85p
|
102.59p
|
97.69p
|
|
------------
|
------------
|
------------
|
8.
ZERO DIVIDEND PREFERENCE SHARES
Period
ended:
|
|
|
31
December 2024
£000
|
Issue of
ZDP Shares (refer to notes 1(e) and 9)
|
|
|
40,249
|
Capitalisation
of issue costs of ZDP Shares
|
|
|
(377)
|
|
|
|
------------
|
Opening
Balance
|
|
|
39,872
|
Issue
costs amortised during the period
|
|
|
22
|
Capital
growth of ZDP Shares
|
|
|
1,396
|
|
|
|
------------
|
|
|
|
41,290
|
|
|
|
------------
|
Expenses
of £377,000 associated with the issue of the ZDP Shares have been
capitalised. These will be amortised over the expected life of the
ZDP Shares and charged to capital as a finance cost within the
Income Statement. Amortisation for the period to 31 December 2024
was £22,000.
9.
SHARE CAPITAL
|
Shares
|
£000
|
As
at 31 December 2024
|
|
|
Ordinary
Shares of 1p each
|
107,331,000
|
1,073
|
ZDP Shares
of 1p each
|
40,249,000
|
402
|
|
------------
|
------------
|
Total
issued and allotted
|
147,580,000
|
1,475
|
|
------------
|
------------
|
Upon
incorporation on 29 March 2024, the Company issued and allotted 1
Ordinary Share at £0.01. On 25 April 2024, 50,000 Redeemable
Preference Shares were issued and allotted to enable the Company to
obtain a trading certificate.
On 28 June
2024, the Company entered into a Transfer Agreement in connection
with the scheme of reconstruction and winding up of ASLIT. Under
this Transfer Agreement, a proportion of the assets of ASLIT were
transferred to AGVIT as consideration for the issue of Ordinary and
ZDP Shares to shareholders of ASLIT who elected to roll over their
investment in ASLIT to AGVIT. The calculation date of 21 June 2024
was used for valuing ASLIT's assets transferred to
AGVIT.
On 28 June
2024, 104,680,290 Ordinary Shares and 28,066,949 ZDP Shares were
allotted to the shareholders of ASLIT who elected to roll over
their investment in ASLIT to AGVIT at the issue price of £1 each.
Assets amounting to £132.7 million were transferred from ASLIT in
consideration for this allotment, including securities valued at
£128.2 million.
In
addition, 2,650,710 Ordinary Shares and 12,182,051 ZDP Shares were
allotted to satisfy the demand of the Placing and Offer for
Subscription at the issue price of £1 each. The proceeds of these
issues were used to acquire securities for the Company’s investment
portfolio.
These
allotments resulted in the Company having a total of 107,331,000
Ordinary Shares and 40,249,000 ZDP Shares, which were admitted to
listing on the Official List and to trading on the London Stock
Exchange on 1 July 2024. In addition, the 50,000 Redeemable
Preference Shares were redeemed in full on 3 December
2024.
In
November 2024, the High Court of Justice confirmed the cancellation
of the entire amount standing to the credit of the Share Premium
account and the creation of a Special Reserve, the balance of which
may be treated as distributable profits for all purposes as
permitted by the Articles of the Company. The Special Reserve will
be available to be used for any buy-back of Ordinary Shares and ZDP
Shares as permitted by the Companies Act 2006 and in accordance
with the Company’s Articles of Association.
Costs of
£592,000 associated with the issue of the Ordinary Shares, net of
the Aberforth Partners LLP cost contribution of £450,000, have been
charged to the Share Premium account. Costs of £377,000 associated
with the issue of the ZDP Shares will be amortised to capital as a
finance cost in the Income Statement over the planned life of the
ZDP Shares. Stamp duty amounting to £602,000 was also paid in
relation to the transfer of securities from ASLIT to AGVIT under
the Transfer Agreement, as detailed above. This cost is included in
portfolio transaction costs as disclosed in the Income
Statement.
10.
Financial instruments and risk management
The
Company’s financial instruments comprise its investment portfolio
(see pages 12 to 13 of half yearly report), cash balances, ZDP
Shares, debtors and creditors that arise directly from its
operations such as sales and purchases awaiting settlement, and
accrued income. Note 1 sets out the significant accounting
policies, including criteria for recognition and the basis of
measurement applied for significant financial instruments,
excluding cash at bank, which is carried at fair value. Note 1 also
includes the basis on which income and expenses arising from
financial assets and liabilities are recognised and
measured.
The main
risks that the Company faces arising from its financial instruments
are as follows:
(i)
Market
price risk – the risk that the market value of investment holdings
will fluctuate as a result of changes in market prices caused by
factors other than interest rate or currency rate
movement.
(ii)
Credit
risk – the risk that a counterparty to a financial instrument will
fail to discharge an obligation or commitment that it has entered
into with the Company. Investment transactions are carried out with
a large number of Financial Conduct Authority regulated brokers
with trades typically undertaken on a delivery versus payment
basis.
(iii)
Liquidity
risk – the risk that the Company will encounter difficulty raising
funds to meet its cash commitments as they fall due. Liquidity risk
may result from either the inability to sell financial instruments
quickly at their fair values or from the inability to generate cash
inflows as required.
(iv)
Interest
rate risk – the risk that the interest receivable/payable and the
market value of investment holdings may fluctuate because of
changes in market interest rates. The Company’s investment
portfolio is not currently directly exposed to interest rate risk.
The Company’s policy is to hold cash in variable rate bank
accounts.
The
Company’s financial instruments are all denominated in sterling and
therefore the Company is not directly exposed to significant
currency risk. However, it is recognised that most investee
companies, whilst listed in the UK, will be exposed to global
economic conditions and currency fluctuations.
11.
Related Party Transactions
The Board
consists of four non-executive Directors, all of whom are
considered to be independent by the Board. Each director has signed
a letter of appointment to formalise the terms of their engagement.
All of the Directors held shares in the Company at 31 December 2024
and their interests, in aggregate, were 852,367 Ordinary Shares and
47,635 ZDP Shares. The fees of the Directors for the period to 31
December 2024 were as follows.
|
|
|
31
December 2024
£
|
Angus
Gordon Lennox
|
|
|
17,500
|
Graeme
Bissett
|
|
|
16,000
|
Lesley
Jackson
|
|
|
16,000
|
Jane
Tufnell
|
|
|
16,000
|
|
|
|
------------
|
|
|
|
65,500
|
|
|
|
------------
|
There have
been no related party transactions during the period to 31 December
2024 that have materially affected the financial position or the
performance of the Company. During the period no Director or entity
controlled by a Director was interested in any contract or other
matter requiring disclosure under section 412 of the Companies Act
2006.
12.
Company Information
Aberforth
Geared Value & Income Trust plc is incorporated in the United
Kingdom under the Companies Act 2006. The address of the registered
office is Level 4, Dashwood House, 69 Old Broad Street, London EC2M
1QS.
13.
Further Information
The
foregoing do not constitute statutory accounts of the Company (as
defined in section 434(4) of the Companies Act 2006). The financial
statements cover the first six months of activities following the
Company's Launch. All information shown for the period to 31
December 2024 is unaudited.
Certain
statements in this report are forward looking. By their nature,
forward looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties
or assumptions that could cause actual results or events to differ
materially from those expressed or implied by those
statements.
Forward
looking statements regarding past trends or activities should not
be taken as representation that such trends or activities will
continue in the future. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be
placed on forward looking statements.
GLOSSARY
UK
GAAP Measures
Net Asset
Value, also described as Shareholders’ Funds, is the value of total
assets less all liabilities. The Net Asset Value or NAV per
Ordinary Share is calculated by dividing this amount by the total
number of Ordinary Shares in issue.
Net Asset
Value (ZDP Share) is the value of the entitlement to the ZDP
Shareholders. The Net Asset Value or NAV per ZDP Share is
calculated by dividing this amount by the total number of ZDP
Shares in issue.
Alternative
Performance Measures
1.
Total
Assets Total Return -
represents the return of the combined funds of the Ordinary
Shareholders and ZDP Shareholders assuming that dividends paid to
Ordinary Shareholders were reinvested at the NAV per Ordinary Share
at the close of business on the day the Ordinary Shares were quoted
ex dividend.
2.
Ordinary
Share NAV Total Return –
represents the theoretical return on the NAV per Ordinary Share,
assuming that dividends paid to Shareholders were reinvested at the
NAV per Ordinary Share at the close of business on the day the
shares were quoted ex dividend.
3.
Ordinary Share Price Total Return –
represents the theoretical return to an Ordinary Shareholder, on a
closing market price basis, assuming that all dividends received
were reinvested, without transaction costs, into the Ordinary
Shares of the Company at the close of business on the day the
shares were quoted ex dividend.
4.
ZDP Share NAV Total Return –
represents the rate of capital growth required to achieve the final
entitlement value of a ZDP Share.
5.
ZDP Share Price Total Return –
represents the return to a ZDP Shareholder, on a closing market
price basis.
Other
Glossary Terms
6.
Gearing – is
calculated by dividing the asset value attributable to the ZDP
Shares by the asset value attributable to the Ordinary
Shares.
7.
Projected Final Cumulative Cover – is the
ratio of the total assets of the Company as at the calculation
date, to the sum of the assets required to pay the final capital
entitlement of 160.58p per ZDP Share on the planned winding-up
date, future estimated investment management fees charged to
capital, and estimated winding-up costs.
8.
Redemption Yield (ZDP Share) – is the
annualised rate at which the planned future payment of capital is
discounted to produce an amount equal to the price at the date of
calculation.
9.
Hurdle Rate - is the
rate of capital growth per annum in the Company’s investment
portfolio to return a stated amount per Share at the planned
winding-up date.
10.
Redemption Yield (Ordinary Share) - is the
annualised rate at which projected future income and capital cash
flows (based on assumed future capital/dividend growth rates) is
discounted to produce an amount equal to the share price at the
date of calculation.
11.
Terminal NAV (Ordinary Share) - is the
projected NAV per Ordinary Share at the planned winding up date at
a stated rate of capital growth in the Company’s investment
portfolio after taking into account the final capital entitlement
of the ZDP Shares, future estimated costs charged to capital and
estimated winding-up costs.
12.
Dividend reinvestment factor - is
calculated on the assumption that dividends paid by the Company
were reinvested into Ordinary Shares of the Company at the NAV per
Ordinary Share or the share price, as appropriate, on the day the
Ordinary Shares were quoted ex dividend.
13.
Key
dates
Incorporation
Date – 29 March
2024
Inception
Date – 28 June
2024
Launch/Listing
Date –
1 July 2024
Planned
Winding-Up Date – 30 June
2031
CONTACT:
Euan
Macdonald/Peter Shaw, Aberforth Partners LLP, 0131 220
0733
Aberforth
Partners LLP, Secretaries
ANNOUNCEMENT
ENDS