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What is the risk?
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How
is it managed?
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Current assessment of risk
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Financial
risk
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The Company's assets consist mainly of listed
securities (91.5% of the investment portfolio) and its principal
and emerging financial risks are therefore market related and
include market risk (comprising currency risk, interest rate risk
and other price risk), liquidity risk and credit risk. An
explanation of those risks and how they are managed is contained in
note 18 to the Financial Statements on pages 107 to 112.
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The Board has, in particular, considered the
impact of increasing market volatility due to macroeconomic factors
such as higher inflation and interest rates and geopolitical
concerns. In order to oversee this risk, the Board considers at
each meeting various metrics including industrial sector
weightings, top and bottom stock contributors to performance along
with sales and purchases of investments. Individual investments are
discussed with the portfolio manager together with general views on
the investment markets and sectors. A strategy session is held
annually.
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This risk is increasing due to increased market
volatility as a result of increasing macroeconomic and geopolitical
concerns.
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Investment
strategy risk
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Inappropriate business strategy and/or changes
in the financial services market leads to lack of demand for the
Company's shares and its shares trading at a persistent and
anomalous discount to the NAV. Poor investment performance,
including through inappropriate asset allocation, leads to value
loss for shareholders in comparison to the benchmark or the peer
group
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The Board reviews its strategy at an annual
strategy meeting. It considers investor feedback, consults with its
broker and reviews its marketing strategy. It regularly reviews its
liquidity policy. The strategy is considered in the context of
developments in the wider financial services industry. The
performance of the Managers is reviewed at each Board meeting and
compared against the benchmark and peer group. Exposures are
reviewed against benchmark exposures to identify the highest risk
exposures. The Board regularly reviews and monitors the Company's
objective and investment policy and strategy.
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This risk is increasing as the market's
appetite for growth stocks, typically held by the Company, has
decreased during the recent period of increasing macroeconomic and
geopolitical concern.
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Discount
risk
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The discount/premium at which the
Company's shares trade relative to its net asset value can change.
The risk of a widening discount is that it may undermine investor
confidence in the Company.
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To manage this risk, the Board
monitors the level of discount/premium at which the shares trade
and the Company has authority to buy back its existing shares, when
deemed by the Board to be in the best interests of the Company and
its shareholders.
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The Company's discount widened
during the year (see chart on page 2). The Company has been buying
back shares during the year to 31 January 2024.
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Regulatory
risk
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Failure to comply with applicable
legal and regulatory requirements such as the tax rules for
investment trust companies, the FCA Listing Rules and the Companies
Act could lead to suspension of the Company's Stock Exchange
listing, financial penalties, a qualified audit report or the
Company being subject to tax on capital gains. Changes to the
regulatory environment could negatively impact the
Company.
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To mitigate this risk, Baillie
Gifford's Business Risk, Internal Audit and Compliance Departments
provide regular reports to the Audit Committee on Baillie Gifford's
monitoring programmes. Major regulatory change could impose
disproportionate compliance burdens on the Company. In such
circumstances representation is made to ensure that the special
circumstances of investment trusts are recognised. Shareholder
documents and announcements, including the Company's published
Interim and Annual Report and Financial Statements, are subject to
stringent review processes and procedures are in place to ensure
adherence to the Transparency Directive and the Market Abuse
Directive with reference to inside information.
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All control processes are working
effectively. There have been no material regulatory changes that
have impacted the Company during the year.
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Custody and
Depositary risk
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Safe custody of the Company's assets
may be compromised through control failures by the Depositary,
including breaches of cyber security.
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To mitigate this risk, the Audit
Committee receives six-monthly reports from the Depositary
confirming safe custody of the Company's assets held by the
Custodian. Cash and portfolio holdings are independently reconciled
to the Custodian's records by the Managers who also agree
uncertificated private portfolio holdings to confirmations from
investee companies. The Custodian's audited internal controls
reports are reviewed by Baillie Gifford's Business Risk Department
and a summary of the key points is reported to the Audit Committee
and any concerns investigated. In addition, the existence of assets
is subject to annual external audit.
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All control procedures are working
effectively.
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Operational
risk
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Failure of Baillie Gifford's systems
or those of other third party service providers could lead to an
inability to provide accurate reporting and monitoring or a
misappropriation of assets.
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To mitigate this risk, Baillie
Gifford has a comprehensive business continuity plan which
facilitates continued operation of the business in the event of a
service disruption or major disaster. The Audit Committee reviews
Baillie Gifford's Report on Internal Controls and the reports by
other key third party providers are reviewed by Baillie Gifford on
behalf of the Board and a summary of the key points is reported to
the Audit Committee and any concerns investigated. In the year
under review, the other key third party service providers have not
experienced significant operational difficulties affecting their
respective services to the Company.
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All control procedures are working
effectively.
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Leverage
risk
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The Company may utilise borrowings
in order to increase its investment exposure. While such leverage
presents opportunities for increasing total returns, it can also
have the opposite effect of increasing losses. If income and
capital appreciation on investments acquired with borrowed funds
are less than the costs of the leverage, the Company's net asset
value will decrease. The use of leverage also increases the
investment exposure, which means that if the market moves
adversely, the resulting loss to capital would be greater than if
leverage were not used.
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Under the Investment Policy, the
maximum gearing is 25% of gross assets, though the Company does not
expect borrowing to be in excess of 20% of gross assets. All
borrowing facilities are approved by the Board and gearing levels
are discussed by the Board and the Managers at every meeting.
Covenant levels are monitored regularly by the Board and the
Managers.
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No significant change in risk level.
The Company continues to deploy gearing and has a revolving credit
facility in place which expires in April 2024. The board are
seeking to renew the loan facility.
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Climate and Governance risk
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As investors place increased
emphasis on climate change and other Environmental, Social and
Governance ('ESG') issues, perceived problems with these matters in
an investee company could lead to that company's shares being less
attractive to investors, adversely affecting its share price. In
addition, potential valuation issues could arise from any direct
impact of the failure to address the ESG weakness on the operations
or management of the investee company (for example in the event of
an industrial accident or spillage). Repeated failure by the
Investment Manager to identify climate/ESG weaknesses in investee
companies could lead to the Company's own shares being less
attractive to investors, adversely affecting its own share
price.
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As described on page 74, the
consideration of ESG (including climate change) is a core component
of Baillie Gifford's investment process, with the Board overseeing
and challenging Baillie Gifford on ESG matters. The Board meet with
the Investment Manager and discuss the investment portfolio,
including the application of Baillie Gifford's ESG framework.
Baillie Gifford's Governance and Sustainability team undertake
specific ESG reviews on investment portfolios.
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The Investment Manager continues to
employ strong ESG stewardship and engagement policies.
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Cyber security risk
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A cyber-attack on Baillie Gifford's
network or that of a third party service provider could impact the
confidentiality, integrity or availability of data and
systems.
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The Audit Committee reviews Reports
on Internal Controls published by Baillie Gifford and other third
party service providers. Baillie Gifford's Business Risk Department
report to the Audit Committee on the effectiveness of information
security controls in place at Baillie Gifford and its business
continuity framework. Cyber security due diligence is performed by
Baillie Gifford on third party service providers which includes a
review of crisis management and business continuity
frameworks.
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This risk is seen as increasing due
to recent indications that the continuation of geopolitical
tensions could lead to cyber attacks. Emerging technologies,
including AI, could potentially increase information security
risks. In addition, service providers operate a hybrid approach of
remote and office working, thereby increasing the potential of a
cyber security threat.
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Single country risk
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The Company invests predominantly in
equities of companies which are incorporated or domiciled, or which
conduct a significant portion of their business, in China.
Investing in a single country is generally considered a higher risk
investment strategy than investing more widely, as it exposes the
investor to the fluctuations of a single geographical market, in
this case the Chinese market.
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The Company's exposure to a single
country, China, is an integral part of its investment strategy.
Risk is mitigated to a degree by appropriate portfolio
diversification and careful analysis of investment
opportunities.
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This risk is seen as increasing due
to concerns over geopolitical risks.
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Emerging market risk
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Investing in an emerging market such
as China subjects the Company to a higher level of market risk than
investment in a more developed market. This is due, among other
things, to the existence of greater market volatility, lower
trading volumes, the risk of political and economic instability,
legal and regulatory risks, risks relating to accounting practices,
disclosure and settlement, a greater risk of market shut down,
standards of corporate governance and more governmental
limitations on foreign investment than are typically found in
developed markets. Geopolitical tensions between the US and China,
in particular relating to Taiwan, remain heightened with the
potential for further sanctions to be imposed. Investing in China
is often through contractual structures, such as Variable Interest
Entities ('VIEs', see Glossary of terms and alternative performance
measures on page 128) that are complex and could be open to
challenge.
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The Managers are cognisant of the
risks associated with investing in emerging markets such as China,
and they shape their investment strategy and due diligence
accordingly. The Board is kept informed of political and regulatory
issues impacting China and the portfolio. The Board monitors the
risks associated with any complex investment structures, including
the proportion of investments held in VIEs (estimated to be 28% as
at 31 January 2024).
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Rising concerns over geopolitical
risk.
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Unlisted securities
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The Company may invest in unlisted
securities, which are not readily realisable and are more difficult
to value given the absence of a quoted price. There may be less
available information and there will be less regulation in respect
of disclosures and corporate governance.
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Baillie Gifford conducts appropriate
due diligence in respect of all unlisted investments, and has an
established valuation approach (as described on page 52), which is
carefully reviewed by the Board.
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No change in assessment of
risk.
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Emerging risk
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As explained on pages 72 to 74, the
Board has regular discussions on principal risks and uncertainties,
including any risks which are not an immediate threat but could
arise in the longer term. The Board considers that the key emerging
risks arise from the interconnectedness of global economies and the
related exposure of the investment portfolio to external and
emerging threats such as escalating geopolitical tensions, cyber
security risks including developing AI and quantum computing
capabilities, and new coronavirus variants or similar public health
threats.
This is mitigated by the Board
discussing at each Board meeting the impact of such threats on both
markets globally and also more specifically on the Chinese market.
This is mitigated by the Managers' close links to the investee
companies and their ability to ask questions on contingency plans.
The Managers believe the impact of such events may be to slow
growth rather than to invalidate the investment rationale over the
long term. The Company also monitors its service providers to
ensure there is adequate business continuity.
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