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10 April
2024
Pantheon Resources
plc
Webinar and
update
Pantheon Resources plc (AIM: PANR) ("Pantheon" or "the
Company"), the oil and gas company with a 100% working interest in
the Kodiak and Ahpun projects, covered by
193,000 acres of leases with an additional c. 66,000 acres to be
awarded following successful bids in the December 2023 lease sales, all in close
proximity to pipeline and transportation infrastructure
on Alaska's North Slope,
confirms that as previously announced, a webinar
presentation and Q&A will be held at 5.00pm British Summer
Time today and is open to all shareholders and
other interested parties (the "Webinar"). Registration details can
be accessed at:
https://www.investormeetcompany.com/pantheon-resources-plc/register-investor
A copy of the PowerPoint
presentation to be delivered during the Webinar and a recording of
the webinar will be uploaded to the Company's website
at https://www.pantheonresources.com/ once
available.
About the Webinar
In this Webinar, the management team
will provide further context on the newly released Independent
Expert Report ("IER") on the Kodiak Field by Netherland, Sewell
& Associates ("NSAI"), Pantheon's newly released management
resource estimate on the new leases for the Eastern extension of
the Ahpun field, modelled individual well economics, together with
a detailed Q&A session. The presentation will address
the following, including certain updated
information:
1. NSAI Report
Summary and Appraisal Upside
2. Additional IERs
presently underway on Ahpun
3. Modelled
Individual well economics and commerciality
4. Pantheon
management resource estimates - Ahpun project - Eastern
Topsets
5. Discussion on
opportunity for non-equity dilutive funding backed by potential gas
sales to in-state consumers through the AGDC proposed gas
pipeline
6. Discussion on
potential Helium opportunity
7.
Q&A
Current Resource Base for Pantheon Leases in ANS (based upon
100% working interest)
Source
|
Classification
|
Best
Estimate
Oil
(million
bbls)
|
Best
Estimate
NGL
(million
bbls)
|
Total Marketable Liquids
(million bbls)
|
Best
Estimate
Gas (bcf)
|
Kodiak (NSAI - April 24)
|
Contingent
|
425.8
|
782.1
|
1,207.9
|
5,396.3
|
Ahpun - Alkaid
(LKA - Jan
20)
|
Contingent
|
76.5
|
-
|
76.5
|
N/A
|
Ahpun - Western Topsets (management
estimate, July 21)
|
Contingent
|
404
|
-
|
404
|
2,000
|
Ahpun - Eastern Topsets
(management estimate - see
below)
|
Prospective
|
510
|
99
|
609
|
3,300
|
Other Zones, SFS, UBFF,
Kuparuk
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NSAI Contingent Resource Estimates - Kodiak
Field
Following receipt of NSAI's
Independent Expert's Report announced on 9 April 2024, the current
best estimate of contingent recoverable marketable liquids stands
at 1,207.9 million barrels ("mmbbls") and 5,396.3 billion cubic
feet ("bcf") of natural gas for the Kodiak Field. This represents a
25% increase compared to the 2023 assessment prior to the inclusion
of the new leases on which Pantheon was the successful bidder in
December 2023. The high estimate shows a better than 40% increase
on the previous report, reflecting the potential for substantial
improvement in reservoir properties at shallower depths in the new
leases.
Lee
Keeling & Associates ("LKA") Reserves Estimates - Ahpun Field,
Alkaid Horizon
LKA has been contracted to provide
an updated Independent Expert Report ("IER") on the Alkaid horizon
of the Ahpun Field. This work is presently underway and will be
released once completed.
Cawley Gillespie & Associates ("CGA") Contingent Resource Estimates - Ahpun Field, Western
Topsets
CGA has been contracted to provide
an IER on the Western Topsets in the Ahpun Field. This work is
presently underway and will be released once completed.
Management Resource estimate - Ahpun Eastern
Topsets
Approximately 23,000 of the c.66,000
acres successfully bid for in December 20231 cover the
Eastern Topsets of the Ahpun project. Management has completed an
internal resource assessment and, in a P50 case, estimates a
Prospective Resource (gross) of 609 million barrels of marketable
liquids, as summarised in the table below. The Company
intends to drill an exploration/appraisal well in the
Ahpun Eastern Topset, once funded, to further refine the resource
estimate.
1 The Company has paid an initial 20% deposit to the
State of Alaska with the remainder payable on official award of the
new leases which is anticipated this quarter.
Ahpun Eastern Topsets - Management resource estimate - 100%
working Interest1
Resource
Category
|
Oil
(million
bbls)
|
NGLs
(million
bbls)
|
Total Marketable
Liquids
(million
bbls)
|
Low Estimate (1U)
|
383
|
73
|
459
|
Best Estimate (2U)
|
510
|
99
|
609
|
High Estimate (3U)
|
687
|
134
|
818
|
I.
Gross resources - prior to deduction of c. [13.5% to 17.7%]
royalties.
II. Pantheon
will have 100% working interest in all leases once award
complete.
III. Management
resource estimates have been prepared in accordance with
definitions and guidelines set forth in the 2018 Petroleum Resource
Management System (PRMS) approved by the Society of Petroleum
Engineers (SPE).
IV. Estimated 70%
Geological probability of success.
SLB Modelling Update - Ahpun Western
Topsets Individual Well Type Curve
SLB has continued its dynamic
modelling of Pantheon's reservoirs and provided a single well model
based on the rock properties logged and sampled (whole core) at the
Pipeline State-1 well location. This results in per well recoveries
of 3.7 million barrels of marketable liquids and 8 bcf of natural
gas.
Illustrative Economic Modelling -
Ahpun Western Topsets Individual Well Company Assessment
SLB's results are consistent with
the Company's own modelling, which estimates 3.5 mmbbls and 8 bcf
expected recoveries per well, and yields the following economic
results (on a pre-Federal Income Tax basis):
Illustrative examples - Per well modelled
economics
|
|
Ahpun Topsets EUR 3.5 mmbbls
|
|
ANS price per
bbl
|
NPV @
10% $000's
|
IRR
|
|
$60
|
$43,872
|
>100%
|
|
$70
|
$57,052
|
>100%
|
|
$80
|
$70,232
|
>100%
|
|
$90
|
$83,412
|
>100%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Kodiak - Theta West EUR 3.65 mmbbls
|
|
Kodiak Updip EUR 4.56 mmbbls
|
ANS price per
bbl
|
NPV @
10% $000's
|
IRR
|
|
ANS price per
bbl
|
NPV @
10% $000's
|
IRR
|
$60
|
36,398
|
>100%
|
|
$60
|
48,811
|
>100%
|
$70
|
68,226
|
>100%
|
|
$70
|
83,328
|
>100%
|
$80
|
100,055
|
>100%
|
|
$80
|
117,845
|
>100%
|
$90
|
131,884
|
>100%
|
|
$90
|
152,361
|
>100%
|
Principal assumptions and management
estimates:
•
ANS prices have
been discounted by 10%.
•
Wells modelled
at 3.5 million bbl marketable liquids EUR in Ahpun Topsets, 3.65
million bbl in Kodiak at Theta West-1 location and 4.56 million bbl
in updip Kodiak locations.
•
Assumed zero
revenues for natural gas or helium.
•
Transportation
costs - TAPS tariff and shipping to US West Coast estimated at
$7.50/bbl.
•
1 injection well
modelled for every 3 production wells.
•
Production wells
costed at $17 million and injection wells costed at $15 million per
well.
•
Well pads and
production facilities estimated at $50 million for 20 well
pad.
•
State profits
tax at 35% after payout (4% minimum tax rate prior to payout). Pre
federal taxes.
•
Estimates based
upon information available at the date of announcement - actual
outcomes may differ.
Further information:
Pantheon Resources plc
Jay Cheatham, CEO
David Hobbs, Executive
Chairman
+44 20 7484 5361
Justin Hondris, Director, Finance
and Corporate Development
Canaccord Genuity Limited (Nominated Adviser and broker)
Henry
Fitzgerald-O'Connor, Ana
Ercegovic
+44 20 7523 8000
BlytheRay
Tim Blythe, Megan
Ray, Matthew Bowld
+44 20 7138 3204
In accordance with the AIM Rules -
Note for Mining and Oil & Gas Companies - June 2009, the information
contained in this announcement has been reviewed and signed off
by David
Hobbs, a qualified Petroleum Engineer and a member of
the Society of
Petroleum Engineers, who has nearly 40 years' relevant experience
within the sector.
The information contained within
this Announcement is deemed by Pantheon Resources
PLC to
constitute inside information as stipulated under the Market Abuse
Regulation (EU) No. 596/2014 as it forms part of UK law by virtue of
the European
Union (Withdrawal) Act 2018 ("MAR").
Notes to Editors
Pantheon Resources plc is an
AIM listed Oil & Gas company focused on developing the Ahpun
and Kodiak fields located on state land on the Alaska
North Slope ("ANS"), onshore USA, where it has a 100% working
interest in c. 193,000 acres. In December 2023, Pantheon was
the successful bidder for an additional 66,240 acres with very
significant resource potential, contiguous to the Ahpun
and Kodiak projects. Following the issue of the new
leases, which are expected to be formally awarded in summer 2024
upon payment of the balance of the application monies, the Company
will have a 100% working interest in c. 259,000 acres. Certified
contingent resources attributable to these projects are currently
around 1.3 billion barrels of marketable liquids, located adjacent
to Alaska's Trans Alaska Pipeline System ("TAPS") with
additional IERs expected within the next month.
Pantheon's stated objective is to
demonstrate sustainable market recognition of a value
of $5-$10/bbl of recoverable resources by end 2028. This is
based on targeting Final Investment Decision ("FID") on the Ahpun
field by the end of 2025, subject to regulatory approvals, building
production to at least 20,000 barrels per day of marketable liquids
into the TAPS main oil line, and applying the resultant cashflows
to support the FID on the Kodiak field by the end of
2028.
A major differentiator to other ANS
projects is the close proximity to existing roads and pipelines
which offers a significant competitive advantage to Pantheon,
allowing for materially lower infrastructure costs and the ability
to support the development with a significantly lower pre-cashflow
funding requirement than is typical in Alaska.
The Company's project portfolio has
been endorsed by world renowned experts. Netherland, Sewell
& Associates ("NSAI") estimate a 2C contingent recoverable
resource in the Kodiak project that total 1,208 million
barrels of marketable liquids and 5,396 billion cubic feet of
natural gas. Cawley Gillespie &
Associates and Lee Keeling & Associates are
working on estimates for the Ahpun Field Topset and Alkaid
horizons.
Glossary
Bbls: barrels
Bcf: Billion
cubic feet
Contingent
Resource: Those quantities of petroleum
estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from
known accumulations by application of development projects, but
which are not currently considered to be commercially recoverable
owing to one or more contingencies.
NGLs: Natural
gas liquids (NGL) are components of natural gas that are separated
from the gas state in the form of liquids.
Prospective
Resources: Those
quantities of petroleum which are estimated, on a given date, to be
potentially recoverable from undiscovered accumulations.