Severn Trent Capital Markets
Day
Today Severn Trent are hosting a
Capital Markets Day to bring to life our ambitious plans for AMP8
and beyond following acceptance of the PR24 Final Determination in
January.
We are confident we can deliver a
third consecutive AMP1 of sector-leading operational
performance, including reducing leakage by over 30% in the decade
to 20302, and following our installation of 1,500
interventions on storm overflows in the last year, we are well on
our way to delivering our ambition of halving spills by
2030.
As a result, we are guiding to net
operational outperformance in AMP8 of over £300m in nominal
prices3. This includes up to £50m in Price Control
Deliverables (PCDs), with the rest derived from ODI4
rewards. We anticipate outperformance rewards to be concentrated
towards the later stages of the AMP, therefore we are guiding to at
least £25m in ODI rewards for FY26.
As we grow our business, we are
committed to driving efficiency to protect customer bills and
enable strategic reinvestment of totex. We are utilising AI to
produce better, greener, more efficient designs and our unique Plug
and Play programme is helping to deliver capital works faster and
cheaper together with our culture of working smarter, which we
bring to life at the event.
This gives us confidence we will
deliver our programme within our totex allowance with the
flexibility to absorb unexpected costs and reinvest in strategic
initiatives that will further improve performance,
including:
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Improving standards and capacity at
over 400 pumping stations, as well as hiring a dedicated team of
technical experts, to prevent pollution incidents.
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Investing an extra £50m into
infiltration programmes to keep groundwater out of our sewers and
reduce processing and treatment costs.
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Further investment in our Waste
Operational Control Centre that is using advanced monitoring
technology to detect and prevent waste incidents before they
occur.
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Investing to insource a 450-strong
mains renewal team to replace 1,400km of pipework, that will
support in reducing leakage.
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Looking beyond AMP8, we see this as
the beginning of a multi-decade investment cycle. In addition to
the real RCV5 growth of 45% in AMP8, our Long Term
Delivery Strategy (LTDS) indicates an RCV
growth rate of around 20% on average each AMP over the next 25
years, underpinned by investment to mitigate and adapt to climate
change, population growth and tightening environmental
standards.
Virtual options
For those unable to join us in
person today, videos from the day will be made available on our
website (severntrent.com) as soon as practicable after the
event.
Footnotes
1.
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The regulatory cycle is broken up
into five-year periods known as AMP (Asset Management Plan)
periods. The current period is known as AMP7 (2020-2025), and AMP8
refers to the next period of 1 April 2025 to 31 March
2030.
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2.
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Based on a 2020 baseline.
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3.
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Based on all outperformance being
recognised in revenue in 2027/28, which is the earliest point we
can recognise AMP8 ODIs, using November 2026 and 2021 CPIH.
Equivalent to £250m in 2022/23 prices. All figures are presented
net of tax.
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4.
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A framework made up of customer
outcomes, measures, targets and incentives which provides companies
with rewards for achieving stretching performance targets and
compensates customers if performance is below performance
targets.
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5.
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RCV is used to measure the capital
base of a company when setting price limits. The RCV increases each
year by a proportion of totex that is set at each price review and
by an adjustment for inflation. The RCV is reduced each year
through the run-off mechanism (which is similar to depreciation of
fixed assets). The run-off amount is recovered through revenue in
the year. RCV Growth figure is stated inclusive of AMP8 transition
spend, which has been accelerated into AMP7 and will be included in
the AMP7 closing RCV. Real growth of 45% is equivalent to 64% in nominal prices.
Excluding transition spend, real RCV growth is 40% in AMP8 and
nominal RCV growth is 60%.
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Enquiries
Investors & Analysts
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Nicola Whitehouse
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Severn Trent Plc
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+44 (0) 748 450 8198
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Head of Investor Relations
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Andy Farrell
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Severn Trent Plc
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+44 (0) 798 939 0825
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Investor Relations Manager
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Media
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Jonathan Sibun
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Teneo
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+44 (0) 207 353 4200
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Press Office
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Severn Trent Plc
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+44 (0) 247 771 5640
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Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking
statements
This document contains statements
that are, or may be deemed to be, 'forward-looking statements' with
respect to Severn Trent's financial condition, results of
operations and business and certain of Severn Trent's plans and
objectives with respect to these items.
Forward-looking statements are
sometimes, but not always, identified by their use of a date in the
future or such words as 'anticipates', 'aims', 'due', 'could',
'may', 'will', 'would', 'should', 'expects', 'believes', 'intends',
'plans', 'projects', 'potential', 'reasonably possible', 'targets',
'goal', 'estimates' or words with a similar meaning, and, in each
case, their negative or other variations or comparable terminology.
Any forward-looking statements in this document are based on Severn
Trent's current expectations and, by their very nature,
forward-looking statements are inherently unpredictable,
speculative and involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to
events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the
future.
Forward-looking statements are not
guarantees of future performance and no assurances can be given
that the forward-looking statements in this document will be
realised. There are a number of factors, many of which are beyond
Severn Trent's control that could cause actual results, performance
and developments to differ materially from those expressed or
implied by these forward-looking statements. These factors include
but are not limited to: the Principal Risks disclosed in our latest
Annual Report and Accounts (which have not been updated since the
date of its publication); changes in the economies and markets in
which the group operates; changes in the regulatory and competition
frameworks in which the group operates; the impact of legal or
other proceedings against or which affect the group; and changes in
interest and exchange rates.
All written or verbal
forward-looking statements, made in this document or made
subsequently, which are attributable to Severn Trent or any other
member of the group or persons acting on their behalf are expressly
qualified in their entirety by the factors referred to above. The
final PR24 Business Plan determination may be subject to further
clarification or verification by Severn Trent or Ofwat. This
document speaks as at the date of publication. Save as required by
applicable laws and regulations, Severn Trent does not intend to
update any forward-looking statements and does not undertake any
obligation to do so. Past performance of securities of Severn Trent
Plc cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of
securities of Severn Trent Plc.
Nothing in this document should be
regarded as a profit forecast.
Certain information contained herein
is based on management estimates, interpretation and Severn Trent's
own internal research. Management estimates have been made in good
faith and represent the current beliefs of applicable members of
Severn Trent's management. While those management members believe
that such estimates, interpretation and research are reasonable and
reliable, they, and their underlying methodology and assumptions,
have not been verified by any independent source for accuracy or
completeness and are subject to change without notice, and, by
their nature, estimates may not be correct or complete.
Accordingly, no representation or warranty (express or implied) is
given to any recipient of this document that such estimates are
correct or complete.
This document is not an offer to
sell, exchange or transfer any securities of Severn Trent Plc or
any of its subsidiaries and is not soliciting an offer to purchase,
exchange or transfer such securities in any jurisdiction.
Securities may not be offered, sold or transferred in the United
States, absent registration or an applicable exemption from the
registration requirements of the US Securities Act of 1933 (as
amended).