About us: Aurora Mobile (NASDAQ: JG) established in 2011, is a
leading customer engagement and marketing technology service
provider in China. Its business
includes notification services, marketing growth, development
tools, and data products. As its sub-brand, MoonFox Data is a
leading expert in data insights and analysis services across all
scenarios, aiming to help companies gain market insights and
empower precise decision-making.
SHENZHEN, China, May 15, 2024
/PRNewswire/ -- As of 2023, the total retail sales of social
consumer goods in China
reached RMB 47.15 trillion, with a year-on-year increase of
7.2%. Under various favorable policies, the consumer market in
China is gradually being
repaired.
However, it is undeniable that the pace of development of a
large number of once fast-growing industries has slowed down under
macro factors such as the global economic downturn and
international social unrest; The scissors difference between M1 and
M2 has widened, and more consumers choose "saving" instead of
"spending", and "careful calculation and strict budgeting" have
become the main theme of the consumer market. On the whole, the
long-term growth of the consumer market in the future is still
under significant pressure.
In this context, the "low price strategy" began to be favored by
more enterprises. With price reduction, subsidies and focusing on
the markets in lower-tier cities, the competition among enterprises
is becoming increasingly fierce. In the long run, does the low
price strategy work? After acquiring users and occupying the
market, how can enterprises further achieve user retention and
long-term operation?
I. From high-end to cost performance, the tea-based drink
market subverts itself
HEYTEA and Nayuki were the first to start, and the price
reduction method has long been nothing new.
Take HEYTEA as an example, RMB 30
used to be the standard average price of its products. From fresh
tea and fresh milk to NFC juice, HEYTEA took the lead in competing
tea-based drink raw materials and raising the specifications;
Meanwhile, in terms of site selection and store decoration, HEYTEA
centers around first-tier cities and only selects core business
districts to open stores. According to iBrand of MoonFox Data, in
April 2020, HEYTEA had more than
1,000 offline stores, thus forming a differentiated image of
high-end tea-based drinks.
In 2021, the high pricing strategy began to come under pressure
due to compounding macro and other factors. HEYTEA began to focus
on innovative products, including freshly squeezed phyllanthus
emblica, bottled sparkling water/light milk tea, etc., but the
popularity was always limited. In 2022, IP co-branding became its
core strategy, with significant results in cooperative marketing
such as HEYTEA x FRAGMENT and HEYTEA x 3CE.
From January 2023 to
March 2024, HEYTEA's Trend of Offline
Customer Flow Index and Monthly Active Users of Applet in
China
Date
|
Average monthly
customer flow index
|
MAU
(million/person)
|
2024/3
|
510,643
|
16.13
|
2024/2
|
430,822
|
12.39
|
2024/1
|
432,150
|
11.76
|
2023/12
|
443,465
|
18.32
|
2023/11
|
423,414
|
10.12
|
2023/10
|
463,065
|
11.72
|
2023/9
|
457,795
|
11.24
|
2023/8
|
408,027
|
15.40
|
2023/7
|
387,358
|
9.76
|
2023/6
|
361,533
|
7.93
|
2023/5
|
318,280
|
6.94
|
2023/4
|
294,948
|
5.70
|
2023/3
|
274,002
|
6.47
|
2023/2
|
261,491
|
6.87
|
2023/1
|
231,830
|
16.13
|
Data
source: MoonFox iApp & iBrand (MoonFox iApp &
iBrand) Data cycle: January 2023 - March
2024
|
The statistical
results only contain applet data, excluding ecological traffic data
such as web pages, application clients and Quick
App.
|
Generally speaking, although the strategy is effective, the
magnitude of high-end market is still limited. In 2022, the store
traffic and applet MAU data of HEYTEA began to fluctuate and
decline. In the context of consumption downgrading, HEYTEA began to
officially focus on the markets in lower-tier cities.
In January 2023, HEYTEA announced
that the prices of some products, including pure tea and fruit tea,
were lowered by about RMB 5. Then at
the end of February of the same year, the official announcement was
made that "RMB 29 and above products
will no longer appear in the standard menu of HEYTEA". With the
price reduction, the store flows of HEYTEA and applet MAU have
climbed. Based on MoonFox Data, in August
2023, the HEYTEA's applet MAU reached a short-term high,
exceeding 15 million.
In the second half of 2023, HEYTEA and Nayuki announced further
price cuts for their products, and the RMB
19 era began; Subsequently, through cooperation and
subsidies with some platforms, activities such as "drinking 10 cups
in RMB 100" and "delivering to your
home in RMB 9.9" rose. In terms of
store location, HEYTEA is no longer confined to the core business
districts of first-tier cities, and the secondary business
districts of new first-tier and second-tier cities can also apply
to join, and the number of stores is rising rapidly.
II. The coffee market with continuous involution and fierce
competition
"Let coffee return to a reasonable price". Compared with
tea-based drink, the price war in the field of coffee started
earlier.
In 2017, Luckin Coffee was established. Relying on the price
advantage and the rapid opening of stores, Luckin quickly occupied
the slightly blank coffee market in China. In 2019, its number of stores surpassed
Starbucks for the first time. Although it was subsequently delisted
from NASDAQ due to virtual trading, Luckin still maintained its
leading position in the Chinese market through rapid iteration of
low price and products.
But with the departure of the founders of Luckin, they brought
their low price strategy and rapid expansion to their new brand -
COTTI COFFEE. In 2022, COTTI COFFEE was established. With the formats
of quick-access stores and in-store stores, it has grown rapidly
and quickly entered the first echelon.
Comparison of Offline Customer Flow Index and Number of
Active Business Stores among Leading Coffee Brands in the Chinese
Market in 2024
|
Offline Customer Flow
Index (April 7, 2024)
|
Number of Active
Business Stores (Units) (February 2024)
|
COTTI COFFEE
|
2,847,213
|
6,431
|
Starbucks
|
1,787,452
|
6,849
|
Luckin
Coffee
|
1,467,712
|
13,080
|
Data
source: MoonFox iBrand Data cycle: February 2024 - April
2024
|
Based on MoonFox Data, COTTI
COFFEE's offline customer flow index surpassed Starbucks and
Luckin in June-July 2023 and
continues to grow. Currently, under the premise that the number of
stores is less than that of Starbucks and Luckin, COTTI COFFEE can still maintain a high level of
offline customer flow index.
As for the low price strategy, COTTI chose to further lower the
average order value after entering the market. At the initial stage
of brand establishment, the average order value is RMB 10-12. Later, with the further
intensification of market competition, the price of RMB 8.8, RMB 7.8
per cup once again penetrated the bottom line of the price of
coffee, through the highly overlapping with Luckin Coffee's site
selection strategy and store specifications; COTTI's market share
has further increased.
Meanwhile, with the fermentation of the "price war" between
Luckin and COTTI, low price gradually became an important feature
of the coffee market and brand consensus, and "how to be cheaper"
began to become the core focus of emerging brands. For example,
Mixue Ice Cream & Tea, which is famous for its cost
performance, incubated the coffee brand "Lucky Cup" in 2017,
focusing on low-priced coffee drinks and drip coffee bags; For
example, Jueco Coffee, which continues to lower the price of the
basic model and introduce American coffee for RMB 5 per cup; For example, Manner Coffee, which
focuses on boutique coffee, backed by a purely direct operation,
reduces the price of fancy coffee by bringing your own cup and
other forms.
III. Simultaneously focus on the markets in lower-tier cities
online, and there are rich cases in the fields of e-commerce and
games
The "low price" strategy is not only fermented offline, but also
the low-priced method in many fields online has been implemented
earlier and achieved remarkable results. The first is the
e-commerce industry that intensifies the involution and the leading
platforms compete fiercely with each other.
In 2018, Pinduoduo, whose GMV was less than 10% of Taobao's,
started the road of growth. Pinduoduo took the lead in defining the
low price route and focused on the markets in lower-tier cities. It
cancels the shopping cart and puts forward "order first and then
pay"; It encourages consumers to share shopping links for
bargaining, etc. And as a merchant, low-priced goods have become
the only choice for them to gain market share and seek
increment.
Not only Pinduoduo, Taobao and JD.com also pay close attention
to the integration of low price strategy and platform. For example,
Taobao, its own brand "Taogongchang", which is responsible for
docking the source factory, further reduces the entry threshold and
accelerates the simplification of the entry process, including
individual industrial and commercial households uploading business
licenses to apply for settlement, 5-minute approval, and Taobao and
Tmall merchants one-click settlement. Meanwhile, focusing on the
platform itself, Taobao use the supply side advantages to further
expand investment, rich merchant categories to enhance the overall
number, further intensifying the internal competition of sellers
and continue to compete for prices; Facing buyers, it launched
special channels such as "comparison of prices for the same model"
and "99 sale" to enhance consumer stickiness.
Take JD.com as an example. In 2023, JD.com began to fully
implement the low price strategy. In March, it launched a special
channel of RMB 10-billion subsidies;
In August, the threshold of exemption from postage for
self-operated goods was lowered throughout the year. A package can
be free of postage by reducing the amount from RMB 99 to RMB 59.
JD.com PLUS members can enjoy unlimited exemption from postage for
self-operated goods.
From March 2022 to March 2024, Trend of User Repetition Rate in
Taobao, Pinduoduo and JD.com
Date
|
Repetition
rate
|
March 2022
|
41.3 %
|
March 2023
|
49.7 %
|
March 2024
|
52.5 %
|
Data
source: MoonFox iApp; Data cycle: March 2022 - March
2024
The statistical
results only contain application client data, excluding ecological
traffic data such as web pages, applets and Quick App; Repetition
rate - coincident users / union
|
On the whole, regardless of the platform tonality and service
characteristics, the market strategies of the leading platform
gradually converge, and the low price strategies of different forms
and dimensions have achieved certain results, and the giants are
also gradually eroding each other's share.
Based on MoonFox Data, Taobao, for example, in March 2024, its user overlap rate with JD.com and
Pinduoduo was 71.97% and 84.54% respectively, both rose by about 10
percentage points compared to March
2022. Multi-platform purchase, price comparison, goods
comparison and service comparison have become the mainstream
strategies of contemporary core consumer groups.
Not only in the e-commerce industry, have low prices also
frequently appeared in the marketing cases of the game
industry.
With the strong support of WeChat and Tiktok, and the
accelerated integration of ultra-leisure and multi-category method,
the mini-game market has developed rapidly, and now it has
gradually entered the stage of accelerated competition. As a
result, the pressure on medium-level developers has further
intensified. In this context, a large number of medium-level
developers rely on the relatively low development cost of
mini-games, and begin to choose to start from the unit price to
seize market share.
Take marketing materials as an example. Based on DataEye data,
in the past 30 days until January 11,
2024, the titles of purchased materials included "0.1 off"
creative materials for mini-games, and the total number of videos
and pictures exceeded 5,337. Take products as an example. For
example, Mad City Pixel, Demon Warrior, etc., take
the role card drawing as the core payment point, and add
copywriting such as "winning XX in 1
cent" and "648 only needs RMB
6.48" on the in-app purchase page. Up to now, there are
still a few mini-game products that choose to "compete for
copywriting and lower the paid unit price" for marketing, and the
conversion effect of some purchased materials is really
impressive.
IV. Avoiding the trap of low price, quality/brand should be
the core
Lowering the price of a product is in itself consumer-friendly
behavior. Enterprises gain market share and cultivate user loyalty
by sacrificing profits or even some losses. But at the moment, more
"low price" strategies are going to extremes, and some price wars
are beginning to destroy the enterprise business model. Meanwhile,
some brands are facing a "lose-lose" situation in which the
interests of franchisees are damaged and the quality of products
obtained by consumers is reduced.
Take the industry as an example. As for tea-based drink brands,
large-scale price reduction leads to the decline of the quality of
tea products, and broken tea and inferior fruits cannot guarantee
the taste and have food safety hazards; In the coffee market, a
large-scale price reduction on the brand side will give franchisees
greater stocking pressure, and problems in the supply chain will
make a large number of single products out of stock for a long
time; Even in the game market, excessive marketing around
low-priced internal purchases will significantly affect the overall
development of the mini-game industry, as a result that bad money
drives good money out of circulation.
Under the general trend of consumption downgrading, users'
consumption habits tend to be more rational. In our view, low
prices should be a means, not an end. Enterprises should focus on
the integration of low price and brand identity, and make clear the
subsidy strategy that meets the needs of key users; Meanwhile,
ensuring the core competitiveness of products, quality and service
are still the key factors for enterprises to develop, acquire and
maintain competitiveness in the long run.
Website: https://www.moonfox.cn/
Contact number: 400-888-0936
Name: Felix
Title: Director of Sales, Industry Insight Division
Tel: +86 -13366276383
Email: zhouzt@jiguang.cn
Address: 608/F, Tower B, Wintrust Center, No. 1 Xidawang Road,
Chaoyang District, Beijing,
China
Name: Janette Zhou
Title: Marketing Manager
Tel: +86-13928239332
Email: zhouxt@jiguang.cn
Address: 608/F, Tower B, Wintrust Center, No. 1 Xidawang Road,
Chaoyang District, Beijing,
China
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SOURCE Aurora Mobile Ltd