Saskatoon,
Montreal and Calgary lead the country with percentage
increases in excess of 50 per cent
TORONTO, April 2, 2024 /CNW/ -- With the end of
quantitative tightening in sight, luxury home-buying activity in
most markets across the country are slowly shifting into high gear
as buyers reap the benefits of softer housing values, according to
a report released today by RE/MAX Canada.
RE/MAX Canada's 2024 Spotlight
on Luxury Report examined luxury home-buying activity in 10
markets across the country in the first two months of the year and
found that, despite a disconnect between buyers looking for deals
and sellers' price expectations, almost all regions reported a
strong start to the year. Ninety per cent of markets experienced an
increase in high-end sales, with more than two-thirds recording
double-digit growth. Saskatoon led
the country in terms of percentage increases, with a 57-per-cent
uptick in luxury home sales, followed by Montreal at almost 56 per cent and
Calgary at 52 per cent.
Edmonton posted a 32-per-cent
increase in luxury sales year-over-year, while Winnipeg, Halifax, Toronto and London reported increases of 19.4 per cent,
16.7 per cent, 14.4 per cent, and 9.4 per cent respectively. Only
Ottawa saw a decline compared to
year-ago levels, with sales down nearly eight per cent.
"While figures remain off peak levels reported during Covid, the
upswing in luxury sales signal a return to overall health in the
country's major centres," according to RE/MAX Canada President
Christopher Alexander. "The ripple
effect is already underway, with stronger home-buying activity at
lower price points pushing sales into the upper end. In some cities
where inventory levels are particularly challenging at the lower
end, multiple offers have returned with a vengeance. While that
isn't the case at the top end, pent-up demand does exist, and
activity is gaining momentum."
Luxury Housing Sales
in Major Canadian Markets
|
|
January 1 -
February 29th
|
|
|
|
|
Market
|
Luxury
|
2024
|
2023
|
%
change
|
|
Price
Point
|
|
|
|
Greater Vancouver
*
|
$3,000,000
|
155
|
151
|
2.6 %
|
Calgary (City
of)**
|
$1,500,000
|
76
|
50
|
52.0 %
|
Edmonton
|
$1,000,000
|
33
|
25
|
32.0 %
|
Saskatoon
|
$700,000
|
22
|
14
|
57.1 %
|
Winnipeg
|
$750,000
|
43
|
36
|
19.4 %
|
London-St.
Thomas
|
$1,000,000
|
58
|
53
|
9.4 %
|
Greater Toronto
Area
|
$3,000,000
|
167
|
146
|
14.4 %
|
Ottawa***
|
$1,200,000
|
48
|
52
|
-7.7 %
|
Island of
Montreal
|
$2,500,000
|
14
|
9
|
55.6 %
|
Halifax-Dartmouth
|
$1,200,000
|
14
|
12
|
16.7 %
|
Source: Based on
local board statistics provided by RE/MAX brokers and sales
representatives.
|
*Detached homes
**Single-family homes ***Residential only
|
|
Lower overall values, strong equity gains and downward trending
interest rates are supporting demand for luxury product including
freehold and condominium properties in markets across the country.
While a disconnect is somewhat hampering activity in larger
markets, with sellers holding out for Covid-era values and buyers
seeking bargains, those serious about making moves are finding
common ground. An ample supply of product exists in most markets,
although some neighbourhoods are experiencing exceptionally low
inventory levels at sought-after price points. An influx of fresh,
new properties in the spring will renew buyer interest and
activity, but chronic supply issues will likely persist at the
entry level to luxury.
"Equity continues to play a significant role in the marketplace,
driving demand at the top end of the market," explains Alexander.
"Although overall gains have been elusive in recent years, a good
percentage of buyers who purchased in 2018 and 2019 are well
positioned to make their next moves. For example, in the
Greater Toronto market, buyers who
purchased homes at an average price in 2018 saw equity rise by
almost 43 per cent by the end of 2023 ($787,842/$1,126,591). These buyers are coming to the table
with a larger downstroke and reduced risk from a lending
perspective."
Luxury home-buying activity is also undergoing change as a
younger demographic moves into the upper end of the market. Demand
is strongest for newer, well-appointed homes in traditional hot
pockets. Turnkey properties are most coveted, although there are
some buyers that are willing to renovate. The desire for more space
and less congestion is once again an emerging trend, as acreage
properties boasting large homes in suburban-rural or rural areas
experience an upswing in popularity in London, Ottawa, Edmonton and Saskatoon. Building activity is also making a
comeback, with new construction and infill on the rise in half of
all markets examined.
Some luxury buyers looking to expand their purchasing power are
moving over into markets such as London (drawing buyers from the Greater Toronto Area), Halifax, Calgary, Edmonton and Saskatoon (drawing buyers from Ontario and British
Columbia). However, activity among foreign buyers has fallen
dramatically since the introduction of the Foreign Buyer Ban by the
Federal Government in January 2023,
which it extended through to early 2027. The impact has been
palpable in the uber-luxe segment of major markets, such as Metro
Vancouver and Toronto, as well as
the condominium market in the City of
Montreal.
"While the idea of a Foreign Buyer Ban sounds good in principle,
it makes less sense in practice," says Alexander. "The ban was
originally intended to make a greater number of properties
available to Canadians and reduce upward pressure on housing
values. The Bank of Canada's 10
rate hikes were all that was needed to achieve that objective, all
the while supply remains at historical lows."
Condominiums have been a popular option this year, despite
single-detached homes comprising the lion's share of luxury sales.
Condo activity was strongest in Metro Vancouver, where sales
climbed close to 70 per cent in the first two months of the year
(27 versus 16). Solid condominium activity at the high-end price
points was also reported in London, fuelled by empty nesters and retirees,
and in Ottawa and Montreal. Halifax, which has limited condo product in
the top end, has already recorded four sales to date. Some baby
boomers in Saskatoon are also
opting to downsize from larger homes in high demand areas to newer
luxury condominiums in the core.
"Buyer enthusiasm is evident as the spring market ramps up,"
says Alexander. "Yet, despite the uptick, we're still seeing some
factors constraining sales at luxury price points. Most significant
is the tax implications at the uber-luxe levels, which have been
weighing down the segment, particularly in the Greater Toronto Area."
On the sale of a $4 million home
in Vancouver, for example, buyers
will pay $90,000 in land transfer
taxes. On the sale of a property of similar value in the
City of Toronto, land transfer
taxes will set buyers back close to $183,000. While sale under $7.5 million remain surprisingly resilient, only
one sale has occurred over that threshold (and it was not located
in the City of Toronto). The
adjustment to higher taxation levels has been slow, but it is being
offset somewhat by pent-up demand, with some deciding they can only
hold off for so long. Others, meanwhile, are reluctant to list
their properties, impacting supply, or are choosing to renovate
rather than take a substantial tax hit.
"Assuming a continuation of current economic fundamentals,
momentum is set to climb at luxury price points from coast to
coast," says Alexander. "With recent inflation numbers coming in
lower than expectations at 2.8 per cent, the possibility of further
improvement in interest rates only strengthens growing optimism.
Yet, there is an air of caution as the challenges of recent years
remain fresh in the minds of buyers and sellers. Confidence is
building, with the light at the end of the tunnel clearly visible.
Demand is coming from a mix of high-income
professionals/executives, retirees, empty-nesters, Gen X and
millennials, newly landed immigrants, as well as large and
multigenerational families – a good sign, as the diversity of
buyers at the top end of the market today bodes well for its
overall health in the future."
HIGHLIGHTS
- Condominium sales are up almost 70 per cent in Greater Vancouver.
- Multiple offers occurring in Calgary; some homes selling sight unseen. Some
multiple offers are occurring in Saskatoon, although at the lower price points.
This may filter upward in coming months.
- Alberta markets remain strong
– Calgary and Edmonton have been bolstered by affordability,
providing buyers with more bang for the buck.
- Double-digit sales growth was seen in two-thirds of markets (70
per cent or seven out of ten markets examined), including
Halifax, Montreal, Toronto, Winnipeg, Calgary, Edmonton and Saskatoon. London is close behind with a 9.4-per-cent
increase in top-end sales.
- The uber-luxe market has heated up significantly in
Toronto, with a 77-per-cent jump
in sales over $5 million (32 vs. 18),
split evenly between the 416 and 905. On the west coast, demand for
uber-luxe properties has fallen year-over-year, largely attributed
to the Foreign Buyer Ban.
- Inventory in Toronto is tight
in many hot-pocket areas, but values are being held in check for
the most part, for now.
MARKET-BY-MARKET OVERVIEW
METRO VANCOUVER
Although softer housing values and greater selection have
bolstered sales of detached homes over $3
million in the luxury segment of the Metro Vancouver market
in the first two months of the year, strata condominium sales have
taken the lead in terms of percentage increases, with sales volumes
up 68 per cent year-over-year.
Twenty-seven strata condo sales averaging $4 million were recorded between January 1 and February 29 of this year.
In contrast, there were 16 sales during the same period in 2023,
with an average price of $4.5
million. Just over half of 2024's strata sales (14) occurred
in Vancouver's Westside, compared
to 11 sales in 2023. Luxury condo buyers at the top end of the
market have adjusted expectations, allowing them to sidestep higher
interest rates by choosing smaller apartments rather than larger
units in the city's most coveted strata buildings.
While 2024 appears to be the year of the condominium,
year-to-date sales of luxury detached properties in Metro Vancouver
have climbed as well, rising almost three per cent in the first of
two months of the year. One hundred and fifty-five detached homes
changed hands over the $3 million
price point so far this year, compared to 151 properties sold
during the same period in 2023. Nearly half of those sales (74)
occurred in the Westside, where the lion's share of high-end
activity occurs in communities, including Point Grey, Dunbar,
Kerrisdale, Kitsilano, Kerrisdale and S.W. Marine Dr.
Demand for detached housing at uber-luxe levels has fallen this
year in large part due to today's high interest rate environment
coupled with the Foreign Buyers Ban (implemented by the Canadian
government in 2023 and extended until early in 2027). For every
quarter point uptick in interest rates, a $50,000 increase in income is required. Those
factors, combined with local municipal taxes, including a vacant
home tax at two per cent of the total value of the property, and a
hefty land transfer tax, have proven insurmountable. Just nine
detached homes were sold over $6
million in the first two months of this year in Metro
Vancouver, compared to 20 during the same period in 2023.
Evidence of the shift in the detached uber-luxe market appeared
in the second half of 2023 but has accelerated in the first few
months of 2024. Fewer buyers and an increase in the number of
high-end detached properties listed for sale in Metro Vancouver has
resulted in some downward pressure on values, as evidenced from the
sales stats. However, many sellers are holding firm, rather than
entertaining lowball offers.
Local buyers are the driving force in Vancouver's housing market, but momentum has
yet to reach the upper price points for detached housing.
Long-anticipated cuts to interest rates are expected to breathe new
life into the city's luxury segment as the ripple effect moves
through the overall market in the latter half of the year. Demand
for both condominiums and detached homes at the top end is expected
to improve, especially with rate cuts on the horizon, moving
through 2024.
CALGARY
Calgary's juggernaut real
estate market continues to advance, with home-buying activity at
the top end of the market climbing 52 per cent in the first two
months of 2024. Seventy-six single family homes changed hands over
$1.5 million between January 1 and February 29, up from 50
properties during the same period in 2023. Nearly 60 per cent of
sales took place in February.
Considerable equity gains have allowed local homeowners to step
up to larger homes organically in recent years, while luxury buyers
from provinces such as British
Columbia and Ontario are
realizing their dollar stretches much further in the city. The vast
majority of purchasers are active in the lower end of the luxury
market, stimulating sales between $1.5
million and $2 million.
Multiple offers are occurring, and some properties have sold sight
unseen in recent weeks. Two-thirds of sales are taking place in
Calgary's inner city – including
Mt. Royal, Elbow Park,
Britannia and Belair – and in neighbourhoods on the
periphery of the core such as the Westside, which offer a balance
of accessibility and amenities. Communities on the city's outskirts
make up the remainder of sales, where the combination of the luxury
lifestyle and acreage play a substantial role.
Ninety-five per cent of luxury sales are now taking place
between $1.5 million and $3 million, with uber-luxe sales over the
$4 million price point representing a
smaller share of the market. Strong activity at the lower end is
likely connected to the mortgage sliding scale and general
affordability, with higher interest rates having a greater impact
on momentum at the top end. Just over 190 properties are currently
listed for sale over $1.5 million,
which represents approximately 15 per cent of total inventory.
There is a 4.9-month supply of luxury product, which is likely to
increase slightly with the spring market just around the
corner.
The city is on track for a record year of real estate activity
in the high end, with any Bank of Canada cut to interest rates expected to
encourage greater activity in the luxury segment. With an estimated
3,500 inter-provincial migrants arriving monthly, the pressure on
the middle of the market, priced from $800,000 to $1.2
million, will promote spillover into higher price points,
further enabling current homeowners to trade up with relative ease
to more expensive homes.
EDMONTON
Edmonton's luxury market
continues to fire on all cylinders as both local buyers and those
migrating from Ontario and
British Columbia spark home-buying
activity over the $1 million price
point. Sales of high-end homes are up 32 per cent year over year,
with 33 single-family and condominium properties sold between
January and February of 2024, up from 25 sales during the same
period one year earlier.
Detached homes in the $1 million
to $1.5 million range remain the
sweet spot in the market, with the vast majority of sales occurring
between these price points. Demand has been greatest in infill core
areas of South University, near the
University of Alberta and the opposite
side of the North Saskatchewan River, including neighbourhoods such
as Crestwood, Laurier, and
Glenora. The suburban outskirts
have also experienced a surge in demand, given new construction in
areas like Windemere and acreage properties offering homes with
considerable square footage. Condominium sales, on the other hand,
are fewer and farther between, with just two sales occurring this
year, compared to three one year ago.
Large families, multi-generational families, professional
athletes, and high-income professionals are behind the push for
luxury product in Edmonton. Equity
gains have played a role as prices have edged upwards in recent
years. Downsizing, lateral moves, and life events have also
prompted movement in the market.
The upward momentum in the high end is driven by in-migration
and relative affordability, where buyers' dollars stretch further.
An adequate supply of homes is currently available for sale in
Edmonton, with many new builds
under construction. The landscape is also changing in many
established neighbourhoods as tired, older homes are renovated, or
if need be, demolished and replaced by custom builds as investors
and builders move to meet the demands of today's buyer.
Continued strength and growth are forecast for Edmonton's luxury sector, where the high end
represents approximately one per cent of total sales. There are 20
properties pending at present, which foreshadows the strength of
the overall market heading into the spring. With lower interest
rates on the horizon, there's little doubt that Edmonton's housing market will continue to
thrive throughout the remainder of the year.
SASKATOON
Saskatoon's luxury market is
off to a strong start heading into the traditionally busy spring
market. Sales of high-end homes over $700,000 are up 57 per cent in the first two
months of the year, with 22 homes changing hands between
January 1 to February 29, up from 14
during the same period in 2023.
A healthy economy and an influx of new Canadians and
out-of-province buyers have buoyed home-buying activity in
Saskatoon. Net international
immigration to the province was just short of 30,000 in the first
three quarters of 2023, according to Statistics Canada Quarterly
Demographic estimates, provinces and territories: Interactive
Dashboard. The strong demand for housing, coupled with a shortage
of available properties, is placing strong upward pressure on
pricing. Multiple offers are already occurring at lower price
points – $350,000 to $500,000 – and threatening to spill over into
higher-price ranges.
Seventy-nine properties are currently listed for sale over
$700,000, with 14 conditional offers
pending. New home builders are trying to make up for time lost
during the pandemic, when soaring construction and labour costs
stymied homebuilding activity. Prices for new construction now
start at $600,000 in Saskatoon, with pressure building on existing
housing stock. The greatest demand exists at luxury's lower price
points, between $700,000 and
$800,000 at present, although that
could rise in coming months as more sales push through higher price
points.
Affordability has been drawing buyers from other provinces and
there has been a significant increase in young professionals
working in oil and gas, mining, and technology. Many are buying
properties with small acreage on the outskirts of town where prices
are affordable.
Equity gains have also played a role, helping local buyers to
move up to the next level, particularly those in their late 20s and
early 30, who tend to stay in the same neighbourhoods where they
grew up. Many are choosing to renovate the older character homes on
large lot sizes. Infill is on the rise in many established
communities as empty nesters make lateral moves, trading larger lot
sizes for newer homes with all the bells and whistles. Baby boomers
are selling homes in desirable enclaves such as Caswell Hill, River Heights, Mayfair, Buena
Vista, Mt. Royal, North
Park, and the original homes along the South Saskatchewan River,
and moving to some of the newer condominiums in the centre of the
city or across the river in Nutana. The trend toward
multi-generational living has also contributed to the uptick in
luxury sales, with immigration helping to prop up this segment.
With Saskatchewan's
commodity-based economy expected to rebound, demand for homes in
Saskatoon's luxury segment is
forecast to accelerate in 2024. GDP growth in the province is
expected to be the second highest in the country in 2024 at 1.3 per
cent, following on the heels of Alberta, according to the 2023-24 Mid-Year
Report by the Government of Saskatchewan.
WINNIPEG
Affluent purchasers were strong out of the gate in Winnipeg's luxury housing market, with sales
up 19 per cent in the first two months of the year. Forty-three
homes sold for over $750,000 between
January and February of 2024, the most expensive of which topped
$4 million, up from 36 sales during
the same period last year.
While interest rates have proven challenging for many buyers,
the downward trend in mortgage rates has provided some additional
incentive for sidelined buyers to take advantage of lower housing
values in advance of a Bank of Canada rate drop. Pent-up demand will likely
play a significant role in the city housing market once rates fall,
placing additional pressure on Winnipeg's already tight inventory levels.
Just 130 properties are currently listed for sale over $750,000.
Most high-end sales are occurring at entry-level price points,
typically between $750,000 and
$1 million. Most buyers are young
professionals, but there are a growing number of multi-generational
purchasers who are looking for larger homes that can accommodate
several families. In the city's older luxury enclaves, buyers are
looking for dated properties with good bones that are ripe for
renovation, allowing them to customize their homes and build value
immediately.
Demand for infill product is on the upswing, with teardowns now
occurring with greater frequency in Tuxedo and North River Heights,
where older character homes situated on sprawling lot sizes are
commonplace. While many buyers choose to work within the existing
structure, custom home builders typically target homes that have
been neglected and require a full gut. In some communities,
builders are working with the city to sub-divide larger lots in
line with the city's commitment to increase density.
Depending on their price point, buyers are typically drawn to
established communities in Tuxedo, North River Heights, and
Victoria Crescent in Norberry, or newer communities in the south
including South Pointe, Bridgwater and Sage
Creek. These new developments, part of a 15-year development
plan between local homebuilders and the Province of Manitoba, are now nearing completion. The
average price for a new home in these sought-after communities is
close to $1 million.
With affordability driving sales at the lower end of
Winnipeg's housing market,
spillover is expected into higher price points in the months ahead.
Many buyers are reluctant to place their homes up for sale too
early, fearing that they will not be able to find their next home.
Those on the fence are waiting patiently for the right listing to
come along, and once it does, they will pounce.
LONDON
London's housing market is off
to a strong start overall with sales up almost 30 per cent in the
first two months of the year. Multiple offers are occurring
unabated between $400,000-$700,000,
yet softer demand exists for luxury properties in the city.
Fifty-eight properties have sold to date over $999,999, up 9.4 per cent from year-ago levels
for the same period. Most luxury home sales occurred between
$1 million and $1.3 million, with just 10 sales reported over
the $1.3 million threshold,
signifying some hesitancy at the high end. The exception to the
rule is the rare uber-luxe property that offers acreage (two to 10
acres), a larger home, and a triple-car garage. Impeding activity
at the luxury price point is a disconnect between buyers and
sellers, with many sellers still listing properties at loftier 2021
values while buyers are looking for deals.
An ample supply of luxury homes is available for sale heading
into the busy spring market, where sales of all homes, including
freehold and condominium properties, are expected to see increased
pressure as the ripple effect takes hold. London continues to experience an influx of
buyers from other areas of the province, with the largest segment
coming from the Greater Toronto
Area. Drawn to the value proposition of the city's
residential real estate and its growing base, these affluent buyers
are competing with local buyers at the mid-to-top end of the
market. Most of the activity in the higher end is occurring in the
Southwest (18 sales), where selection is greatest, and the
Northwest (20 sales). The remaining sales are occurring on the
outskirts of the city.
Retirees and upgrading millennials are responsible for the
lion's share of activity in the luxury segment, which represented
4.5 per cent of total sales (58/1,036) between January 1 and February 29. Most of the
buyers in the city's luxury market are seeking newer homes that are
bolder architecturally, with most offering a modern twist,
including an open concept, high ceilings, and all the usual bells
and whistles. Older character homes in the city's most prominent
areas close to the university are also experiencing solid demand,
but higher price points are proving challenging. Empty-nesters and
retirees are opting for condominiums in close proximity to the city
core. Many are willing to renovate older condominiums offering good
square footage to their specifications.
Home-buying activity in London's luxury segment is expected to heat up
in coming months, with lending rates already reflecting the easing
expected to impact overall interest rates in the months ahead.
Momentum is anticipated to build as buyer's move to realize
homeownership before housing values climb beyond their reach.
GREATER TORONTO AREA
The Greater Toronto Area's
(GTA) luxury market has sprung back to life in the first two months
of the year, with home sales over the $5
million price point leading the way. Thirty-two freehold and
condominium properties changed hands between
January 1 and February 29th, up 77 per cent from the 18
sales reported during the same period in 2023. Of the 32 properties
sold over $5 million to date, 17
sales occurred in the 416, while 15 were located in the 905. While
the new municipal land transfer tax on the luxury segment in the
City of Toronto has had some
effect on housing sales at the $3-million-plus price point, sales over
$7.5 million have borne the brunt,
with only one sale occurring over $7.5
million to date, compared to three during the first two
months of 2023.
Overall luxury sales priced over $3
million are trending higher than year-ago levels, with 167
freehold and condominium properties sold between January and
February, up more than 14 per cent from the 146 sales that were
recorded during the same period last year. Demand is particularly
strong between $3 million and
$4 million for detached product, but
activity in this range is largely hampered by fewer listings
available for sale. Just 115 properties were available for sale
between $3 million and $4 million in the central core heading into the
traditionally busy spring market. Some communities were down to
single-digit inventory levels, including Leaside (3); Cedarvale,
Humewood, Forest Hill South, and
Yonge-Eglinton (5); Banbury-Don Mills (7); the Beaches (4); and
Stonegate-Queensway (5).
Realtors with interested buyers have been in constant contact
with other realtors regarding upcoming listings in coveted hot
pockets and heated price points. Inventory levels remain tight
throughout the Greater Toronto
Area, with few new listings coming to market at the top end.
At least one-third of properties currently listed for sale over
$10 million are carryovers from 2023.
The disconnect between buyers and sellers remains an issue at
luxury price points, where many sellers still expect their homes to
fetch similar value to that of the Covid years. Buyers,
particularly at uber-luxe levels, are submitting offers at 80 per
cent on the dollar but quickly realize that high-end sellers are
holding their ground in anticipation of a stronger luxury market
down the road. Some areas are more impacted than others, with the
Bridle Path in a world of its own, given that listings are
especially scarce in the neighbourhood.
Some downsizing is also occurring in the market, with empty
nesters and retirees making more lateral moves into luxury
condominium apartments, townhomes, and new builds on smaller-sized
lots in desirable neighbourhoods. Eleven condominiums have sold for
more than $3 million in the first two
months of the year, compared to 10 between January and February of
2023. Despite strong demand, new builds on small lots are few and
far between.
Interest rates remain the greatest roadblock to homeownership at
present, with many waiting on the sidelines for rate cuts. It's
anticipated that once rates start to fall, Toronto's housing market will be exceptionally
robust, with pent-up demand the driving force behind heated
home-buying activity.
OTTAWA
While luxury home-buying activity in Ottawa was strong out of the gate, sales
softened somewhat in February with affordability taking a backseat
to inventory. Just 48 freehold properties priced over $1.2 million changed hands in the first two
months of 2024, down over seven per cent when compared to the 52
sales that took place between January and February of 2023.
Fewer homes are listed for sale at the top end of the market
this year, which has hampered sales activity to some extent. Less
than 400 properties are currently available over $1.2 million, 30 per cent of which are priced
over $2 million.
Equity has played a role in luxury sales this year, as existing
homeowners seek to leverage gains against softer housing values.
When combined with lending rates that are trending lower, buyers
are finding that affordability has improved and what was once
beyond their grasp is now attainable.
Buying patterns have also changed in the high end this year,
given increased demand for detached properties that offer greater
privacy and larger lot sizes. As a result, there have been more
sales occurring in suburban-rural neighbourhoods, including
Stittsville, Kanata, Riverside South, Greely, and Manotick. Demand for more traditional areas,
such as McKellar Heights and Westboro, have experienced an uptick.
Fewer sales have occurred in Ottawa's coveted Golden Triangle.
Luxury condominiums have experienced a slight increase in sales
over year-ago levels. Twelve properties were sold over the
$800,000 price point in January and
February of 2024, up from 10 during the same period in 2023.
Condominiums continue to be a popular choice amongst young
professionals and downsizing empty nesters and retirees who want to
be in the city's core. An ample supply of condominium apartments is
available, with 39 properties currently listed for sale.
Heated home-buying activity at lower price points, characterized
by strong demand and multiple offers, is expected to spill over
into Ottawa's luxury market in the
second quarter of the year. While a bounce-back is anticipated in
the top end, fuelled by lower lending rates and lower housing
values, concerns in the civil service sector over the possibility
of a federal election could serve to dampen buyer enthusiasm in the
short term.
CITY OF MONTREAL
Strong activity early in the year has set the stage for a robust
spring housing market in the City of
Montreal's luxury sector. Year-to-date (January 1 – February
29) sales priced over $2.5
million have increased 55 per cent, with 14 freehold and
condominium properties changing hands so far this year, compared to
nine during the same period in 2023.
As lending rates trend lower and consumer confidence levels
climb, more buyers and sellers are expected to enter the top end of
the market. While inventory is currently ample at higher price
points, much of the existing supply has been carried over from
2023. That scenario is expected to change in coming weeks as
sellers move to take advantage of the vibrant spring market. While
some luxury buyers are still sitting on the fence, hoping values
will fall, increased activity is expected to place upward pressure
on pricing in the months ahead.
Pricing is key in today's market, with local buyers more
selective than in years past. Well-appointed homes are generating
the greatest interest, especially when located in the city's
premier communities that have withstood the test of time –
Westmount, Outremont and Hampstead. Younger buyers, looking for more
funky architecture, tend to be drawn to areas like
Plateau-Mont-Royal, Rosemont-La Petite-Patrie and Villeray, where
modern renovations and custom builds are cropping up. New infill
properties with the latest finishes, located in established older
neighbourhoods have also drawn the attention of some high-end
buyers.
While luxury condominiums sales are up over last year, the
market has been somewhat affected by the Foreign Buyer Ban.
Would-be buyers from France, the
Middle East, and Asia have been shut out of the market in
recent years, and the extension of the Federal government's Foreign
Buyer Ban to early 2027 has not helped. Evidence of the slowdown is
most noticeable at the $800,000 to
$1.3 million price point this
year.
With the end of quantitative tightening by the Bank of
Canada in sight, a much-improved
housing market is expected to emerge in the City of Montreal. Sales are forecast to be
especially brisk at the lower end of the luxury market, priced
under the $1.4 million price point,
where multiple offers are expected to be commonplace.
HALIFAX
Despite an overall flattening in residential real estate
activity at luxury price points, sales of properties priced over
$1.2 million in Halifax reported a 16 per cent increase in the
first two months of the year. Fourteen sales occurred between January 1 and February 29, with 10
single-family homes and four condominium/townhomes changing hands,
compared to 12 sales during the same period in 2023.
Local executives and newly-landed immigrants have been behind
the push for high-end housing in Halifax this year. Some softening in values
have contributed to the uptick in activity, with the average price
of a luxury property sold in 2024 hovering at $1.56 million compared to $1.73 million one year ago. Halifax's Peninsula area continues to draw the
greatest number of buyers, with 50 per cent of sales occurring in
the community to date. The area offers up a limited supply of
stately character homes, some offering waterfront with riparian
rights, in a picturesque setting within five minutes of the city
core. While listings are scarce on the Peninsula, there are several
properties in the area that offer potential for renovation where
the money invested will usually provide a decent return upon sale.
The remainder of sales activity is occurring in sought-after
suburban neighbourhoods and on the outskirts of town where
waterfront properties offering lake frontage are a popular choice.
Newer, contemporary construction is cropping up in established
older communities such as Bedford
West, where modern homes are quickly snapped up.
An influx of listings early in the year has contributed to
greater selection at the top end of the market for buyers but have
held price appreciation in check for sellers. This is primarily due
to strong upward momentum at lower price points which has pushed
more properties into higher price points. As a result, many
would-be trade-up buyers have been sidelined, especially at the
$800,000 to $1.2 million price point. There are currently 78
properties listed for sale over the $1.2
million price point.
The economic impact of 10 rate hikes by the Bank of Canada in a relatively short period of time
has affected a large percentage of local buyers, but falling
lending rates are slowly drawing some back into the market at lower
price points. On the cusp of the traditional spring market, the
forecast is promising. Although the flurry of activity experienced
during the Covid era is unlikely to repeat itself, the Halifax housing market is expected to ramp up
in coming months.
About the RE/MAX Network
As one of the leading global real estate franchisors, RE/MAX, LLC
is a subsidiary of RE/MAX Holdings (NYSE: RMAX) with more than
140,000 agents in over 9,000 offices with a presence in more than
110 countries and territories. RE/MAX Canada refers to
RE/MAX of Western Canada (1998), LLC,
RE/MAX Ontario-Atlantic Canada, Inc., and RE/MAX Promotions,
Inc., each of which are affiliates of RE/MAX, LLC. Nobody in the
world sells more real estate than RE/MAX, as measured by
residential transaction sides.
RE/MAX was founded in 1973 by Dave and Gail Liniger, with an innovative,
entrepreneurial culture affording its agents and franchisees the
flexibility to operate their businesses with great independence.
RE/MAX agents have lived, worked and served in their local
communities for decades, raising millions of dollars every year for
Children's Miracle Network Hospitals® and other charities. To learn
more about RE/MAX, to search home listings or find an agent in your
community, please visit remax.ca. For the latest news from
RE/MAX Canada, please visit blog.remax.ca.
Forward looking statements
This report includes
"forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the "safe
harbour" provisions of the United States Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements may be
identified by the use of words such as "believe," "intend,"
"expect," "estimate," "plan," "outlook," "project," and other
similar words and expressions that predict or indicate future
events or trends that are not statements of historical matters.
These forward-looking statements include statements regarding
housing market conditions and the Company's results of operations,
performance and growth. Forward-looking statements should not be
read as guarantees of future performance or results.
Forward-looking statements are based on information available at
the time those statements are made and/or management's good faith
belief as of that time with respect to future events and are
subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual
performance or results to differ materially from those expressed in
or suggested by the forward-looking statements. These risks and
uncertainties include (1) the global COVID-19 pandemic, which has
impacted the Company and continues to pose significant and
widespread risks to the Company's business, the Company's ability
to successfully close the anticipated reacquisition and to
integrate the reacquired regions into its business, (3) changes in
the real estate market or interest rates and availability of
financing, (4) changes in business and economic activity in
general, (5) the Company's ability to attract and retain quality
franchisees, (6) the Company's franchisees' ability to recruit and
retain real estate agents and mortgage loan originators, (7)
changes in laws and regulations, (8) the Company's ability to
enhance, market, and protect the RE/MAX and Motto Mortgage brands,
(9) the Company's ability to implement its technology initiatives,
and (10) fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates, and those
risks and uncertainties described in the sections entitled "Risk
Factors" and "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial
Condition and Results of Operations" in the most recent Annual
Report on Form 10-K and Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q filed with
the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") and similar
disclosures in subsequent periodic and current reports filed with
the SEC, which are available on the investor relations page of the
Company's website at www.remax.com and on the SEC website at
www.sec.gov. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on
forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date on
which they are made. Except as required by law, the Company does
not intend, and undertakes no duty, to update this information to
reflect future events or circumstances.
SOURCE RE/MAX Canada