Falling Earnings Estimates Signal Weakness Ahead for Grupo Financiero Santander (BSMX) - Tale of the Tape
11 Febbraio 2014 - 2:50PM
Zacks
Similar to wise buying decisions,
exiting certain underperformers at the right time helps maximize
portfolio returns. Selling off losers can be difficult, but if both
the share price and estimates are falling, it could be time to get
rid of the security before more losses hit your portfolio.
One such stock that you may want to consider dropping is Grupo
Financiero Santander Mexico (BSMX) which has witnessed a
significant price decline in the past four weeks, and it has seen
negative earnings estimate revisions for the current quarter and
the current year. A Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) further confirms
weakness in BSMX.
A key reason for this move has been the negative trend in earnings
estimate revisions. For the full year, we have seen 4 estimates
moving down in the past 30 days, compared to no upward revision.
This trend has caused the consensus estimate to trend lower, going
from $1.06 a share a month ago to its current level of 93
cents.
Also, for the current quarter, Grupo Financiero Santander Mexico
has seen 1 downward estimate revision versus no revision in the
opposite direction, dragging the consensus estimate down to 21
cents a share from 25 cents over the past 30 days.
The stock has also seen some pretty dismal trading lately, as the
share price has dropped 19.3% in the past month.
So it may not be a good decision to keep this stock in your
portfolio anymore, at least if you don’t have a long time horizon
to wait.
If you are still interested in the Foreign Banks sector, you may
instead consider some better-ranked stocks including Shinhan
Financial Group Company Limited (SHG), Barclays PLC (BCS), and
Deutsche Bank AG (DB). While Shinhan Financial holds a Zacks Rank
#1 (Buy), Barclays and Deutsche Bank hold a Zacks Rank #2. With
favorable Zacks Ranks, these stocks may be better selections at
this time.
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