International Petroleum Corporation Announces 2024 Year-End
Financial and Operational Results and 2025 Budget, Reserves and
Guidance
International Petroleum Corporation (IPC
or the Corporation) (TSX, Nasdaq Stockholm: IPCO) today released
its financial and operating results and related management’s
discussion and analysis (MD&A) for the three months and year
ended December 31, 2024. IPC is also pleased to announce its 2025
budget, including that IPC continues to progress the development of
the Blackrod Phase 1 project in Canada in line with schedule and
budget. IPC previously announced the renewal of the normal course
issuer bid (NCIB) under which IPC may acquire a further 5.3 million
common shares up to December 2025, in addition to the 2.2 million
common shares already purchased for cancellation under the NCIB in
December 2024 and January 2025. IPC’s 2025 capital and
decommissioning expenditure budget is USD 320 million and its 2025
average daily production guidance is between 43,000 and 45,000
barrels of oil equivalent (boe) per day (boepd). 2024 year-end
proved plus probable (2P) reserves are 493 million boe (MMboe) and
best estimate contingent resources (unrisked) are 1,107
MMboe.(1)(2)
William Lundin, IPC's President and Chief
Executive Officer, comments: “We are very pleased to announce that
IPC achieved strong operational results in 2024. Our average net
production was 47,400 boepd for the full year, with very strong
operational and ESG performance across all our areas of operation.
2024 was a very significant investment year for our Blackrod Phase
1 development project, and we have spent over two-thirds of the
forecast capital expenditure by the end of 2024. We generated
strong cash flows from our business, and we returned USD 102
million to shareholders through share buybacks in 2024. With gross
cash resources of USD 247 million at 2024 year-end, we continue to
be well positioned to deliver on our three strategic pillars of
Organic Growth, Stakeholder Returns, and M&A that drive value
creation for our
stakeholders.(1)(3)
On Organic Growth, we are very pleased with the
progress of the development of Phase 1 of the Blackrod project,
Canada, which remains in line with schedule and budget. Phase 1 of
the Blackrod project continues to forecast first oil in late 2026,
with peak production planned to increase to 30,000 bopd by 2028. In
2024, IPC achieved over 250% reserves replacement ratio, ending the
year with 493 MMboe of 2P reserves, the highest in our
history.(1)(2)
On Stakeholder Returns, we completed the
2023/2024 NCIB program, purchasing and cancelling 8.3 million IPC
common shares over the period of December 5, 2023 to December 4,
2024, representing approximately 6.5% of the common shares
outstanding at the start of that program. We immediately
recommenced purchasing under the renewed 2024/2025 NCIB, purchasing
for cancellation 0.8 million common shares during December 2024 and
over 1.4 million common shares during January 2024. We are
permitted to purchase up to a further 5.3 million common shares by
early December 2025, which will represent a 6.2% reduction in the
number of shares common outstanding at the beginning of the
2024/2025 NCIB.
On M&A, we continue to review potential
opportunities in Canada and internationally. IPC’s principal focus
continues to be on progressing the Blackrod Phase 1 development as
well as developing our existing asset base in Canada, France and
Malaysia.
IPC is well-positioned for 2025 and beyond as
our Blackrod Phase 1 project is progressing according to plan, our
existing production operations continue to generate strong cash
flows, and our balance sheet is strong. At the same time, we
continue return value to our shareholders by repurchasing and
cancelling our common shares under the NCIB. I look forward to
another exciting year at IPC with our high quality assets and our
highly skilled and motivated teams across all areas of
operation.”
2024 Business Highlights
- Average net production of
approximately 47,400 boepd for the fourth quarter of 2024 was in
line with the guidance range for the period (51% heavy crude oil,
15% light and medium crude oil and 34% natural
gas).(1)
- Full year 2024 average net
production was 47,400 boepd, above the mid-point of the 2024 annual
guidance of 46,000 to 48,000 boepd.(1)
- Development activities on Phase 1
of the Blackrod project progressed in 2024 on schedule and on
budget, with forecast first oil in late 2026. All major third-party
contracts have been executed and construction is advancing
according to plan, including construction of the central processing
facility (CPF) and well pad facilities, finalization of the
midstream agreements for the input fuel gas, diluent and oil blend
pipelines, and advancement of drilling operations. As at the end of
2024, over two-thirds of the forecast Blackrod Phase 1 development
capital expenditure of USD 850 million has been spent since project
sanction in early 2023.
- Drilling activity at the Southern
Alberta assets in Canada continued with a total of thirteen wells
drilled during 2024.
- Successful completion of planned
maintenance shutdowns at Onion Lake Thermal (OLT) in Canada and the
Bertam field in Malaysia during 2024.
- 8.3 million common shares purchased
and cancelled from December 2023 to early December 2024 under IPC’s
2023/2024 NCIB and a further 2.2 million common shares purchased
for cancellation during December 2024 and January 2025 under the
renewed 2024/2025 NCIB.
- In Q3 2024, published IPC’s fifth
annual Sustainability Report.
2024 Financial Highlights
- Operating costs per boe of USD 18.2
for the fourth quarter of 2024 and USD 17.0 for the full year, in
line with the most recent 2024 guidance of less than USD 18.0 per
boe for the full year.(3)
- Strong operating cash flow (OCF)
generation for the fourth quarter and full year 2024 amounted to
MUSD 78 and MUSD 342, respectively.(3)
- Capital and decommissioning
expenditures of MUSD 129 for the fourth quarter and MUSD 442 for
the full year 2024, in line with the full year guidance of MUSD
437.
- Free cash flow (FCF) generation for
the full year 2024 of negative MUSD 135, with negative FCF
generation of MUSD 61 for the fourth quarter in line with
expectations and taking into account the significant capital
expenditures during the quarter in respect of the Blackrod project.
FCF for the full year 2024, before 2024 Blackrod Phase 1
development expenditure of MUSD 351, was MUSD
216.(3)
- Net debt of MUSD 209 and gross cash
of MUSD 247 as at December 31, 2024.(3)
- Net result of MUSD 0.4 for the
fourth quarter of 2024 and MUSD 102 for the full year 2024.
- Entered into a letter of credit
facility in Canada during 2024 to cover operational letters of
credit, giving full availability under IPC’s undrawn CAD 180
million Revolving Credit Facility.
Reserves and Resources
- Total 2P reserves as at December
31, 2024 of 493 MMboe, with a reserve life index (RLI) of 31
years.(1)(2)
- Contingent resources (best
estimate, unrisked) as at December 31, 2024 of 1,107
MMboe.(1)(2)
- 2P reserves net asset value (NAV)
as at December 31, 2024 of MUSD 3,083 (10% discount
rate).(1)(2)(5)(6)
2025 Annual Guidance
- Full year 2025 average net
production forecast at 43,000 to 45,000 boepd.(1)
- Full year 2025 operating costs
forecast at USD 18 to 19 per boe.(3)
- Full year 2025 OCF guidance
estimated at between MUSD 210 and 280 (assuming Brent USD 65 to 85
per barrel).(3)
- Full year 2025 capital and
decommissioning expenditures guidance forecast at MUSD 320,
including MUSD 230 relating to Blackrod capital expenditure.
- Full year 2025 FCF ranges from
approximately MUSD 80 to 150 (assuming Brent USD 65 to 85 per
barrel) before taking into account proposed Blackrod capital
expenditures, or negative MUSD 150 to 80 including proposed
Blackrod capital expenditures.(3)
Business Plan Production and Cash Flow
Guidance
- 2025 – 2029 business plan forecasts:
- average net production forecast approximately 57,000
boepd.(1)(8)
- capital expenditure forecast of USD 8 per boe, including USD 3
per boe for growth expenditure.(8)
- operating costs forecast of USD 18 to 19 per
boe.(3)(8)
- FCF forecast of approximately MUSD 1,200 to 2,000 (assuming
Brent USD 75 to 95 per
barrel).(3)(8)
- 2030 – 2034 business plan forecasts:
- average net production forecast of approximately 63,000
boepd.(1)(8)
- capital expenditure forecast of USD 5 per
boe.(8)
- operating costs forecast of USD 18 to 19 per
boe.(3)(8)
- FCF forecast of approximately MUSD 1,600 to 2,600 (assuming
Brent USD 75 to 95 per
barrel).(3)(8)
|
Three months ended December 31 |
|
Year ended December 31 |
USD Thousands |
2024 |
2023 |
|
2024 |
2023 |
Revenue |
199,124 |
198,460 |
|
797,783 |
853,906 |
Gross profit |
42,774 |
39,955 |
|
210,171 |
250,514 |
Net result |
415 |
29,710 |
|
102,219 |
172,979 |
Operating cash flow (3) |
78,158 |
73,634 |
|
341,989 |
353,048 |
Free cash flow (3) |
(61,476) |
(64,688) |
|
(135,497) |
2,689 |
EBITDA (3) |
76,184 |
66,284 |
|
335,488 |
350,618 |
Net Cash / (Debt) (3) |
(208,528) |
58,043 |
|
(208,528) |
58,043 |
IPC was launched in 2017 by way of spinning off the
non-Norwegian assets from Lundin Energy. The strategy and vision
from the outset was to be the international E&P growth vehicle
for the Lundin Group by pursuing growth organically and through
acquisitions. The foundation of this strategy was and is predicated
on maximising long-term stakeholder value through responsible
business operations focused on operational excellence and financial
resilience to underpin optimal capital allocation
decision-making.
We are very pleased with the track record of value creation
achieved by the company to date. IPC’s production, reserves,
resources and cash flow exposure has increased materially through
accretive acquisitions supplemented by base business investment.
Excluding the growth capital expenditure assigned to the Blackrod
Phase 1 development, over USD 1.5 billion in free cash flow (FCF)
has been generated and over USD 0.5 billion has been returned to
shareholders in the form of share buybacks since inception. IPC’s
current shares outstanding are less than 5% higher than the
original shares outstanding upon the formation of the company. IPC
is determined to build on the historical success and the growth
outlook has never been brighter.(3)
2024 was a milestone year for the company through successfully
delivering the largest capital investment campaign in its history.
The record investment was accompanied by strong safety, operational
and financial performance. IPC returned USD 102 million of value to
shareholders in the year through share repurchases, whilst
maintaining a strong balance sheet.
Oil prices were rangebound in 2024 between Brent USD 70 to 90
per barrel, with a full year Brent average of USD 81 per barrel, in
line with our original oil price sensitivities guided at CMD. The
fourth quarter 2024 Brent price averaged USD 75 per barrel, the
lowest quarterly price average in the year. The downward trend in
benchmark oil prices through the second half of 2024 has been
slightly reversed in current time as continuous crude inventory
draws, strong demand, underwhelming non-OPEC production growth and
continued OPEC production curtailments have supported the market
balance. A new administration in the White House presents
uncertainty for the oil market, as looming tariffs and sanctions
pose a risk to global supply chain systems and trade flows. Around
40% of our 2025 Dated Brent and WTI exposure is hedged at USD 76
per barrel and USD 71 per barrel respectively.
The fourth quarter 2024 WTI to WCS price differentials averaged
less than USD 13 per barrel, around USD 2 per barrel lower than the
full year average of USD 15 per barrel. The fourth quarter
differential was the lowest quarterly average since the Covid
pandemic in 2020 when benchmark oil prices were more than USD 30
per barrel less than current levels. The TMX pipeline is driving
the tighter differentials with excess take-away capacity in the
Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin (WCSB) relative to supply. Close
to 50% of our 2025 WCS to WTI differential exposure is hedged at
USD 14 per barrel, which should assist in mitigating adverse
effects of potential US tariffs on Canadian production.
Natural gas prices averaged CAD 1.5 per Mcf for 2024 and in the
fourth quarter. Western Canada gas storage levels continue to sit
above the five-year range. This is in part due to delays of the LNG
Canada start-up project which was supposed to be onstream at end
2024, start-up is now anticipated for mid-2025. IPC has around
9,600 Mcf per day hedged at CAD 2.6 per Mcf for 2025.
Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024
Highlights
During the fourth quarter of 2024, IPC’s assets delivered
average net production of 47,400 boepd, in line with guidance for
the quarter. Full year 2024 average net production of 47,400 boepd
was above the 2024 mid-point guidance range of 46,000 to 48,000
boepd.(1)
IPC’s operating costs per boe for the fourth quarter of 2024 was
USD 18.2. Full year 2024 operating costs per boe was USD 17.0, in
line with the most recent 2024 annual guidance of less than USD 18
per boe.(3)
Operating cash flow (OCF) generation for the fourth quarter of
2024 was USD 78 million. Full year 2024 OCF was USD 342 million in
line with the most recent guidance of USD 335 to 342
million.(3)
Capital and decommissioning expenditure for the fourth quarter
of 2024 was USD 129 million. Full year 2024 capital and
decommissioning expenditure of USD 442 million was in line with
guidance of USD 437 million.
Free cash flow (FCF) generation was in line with guidance at
negative USD 61 million during the fourth quarter of 2024,
reflecting the higher level of capital expenditure on the Blackrod
Phase 1 development project. Full year 2024 FCF generation was
negative USD 135 million, in line with the most recent guidance of
negative USD 140 to 133
million.(3)
As at December 31, 2024, IPC’s net debt position was USD 209
million. IPC’s gross cash on the balance sheet amounts to USD 247
million which provides IPC with significant financial strength to
continue progressing its strategies in 2025, including advancing
the Blackrod development project, returning value to shareholders
through the 2024/2025 NCIB, and remaining opportunistic to mergers
and acquisitions activity.(3)
Blackrod Project
The Blackrod asset is 100% owned by IPC and
hosts the largest booked reserves and contingent resources within
the IPC portfolio. After more than a decade of pilot operations,
subsurface delineation and commercial engineering studies, IPC
sanctioned the Phase 1 Steam Assisted Gravity Drainage (SAGD)
development in the first quarter of 2023. The Phase 1 development
targets 259 MMboe of 2P reserves, with a multi-year forecast
capital expenditure of USD 850 million to first oil planned in late
2026. The Phase 1 development is planned for plateau production of
30,000 bopd which is expected by early 2028.(1)(2)
As at the end of 2024, USD 591 million of
cumulative growth capital, has been spent on the Blackrod Phase 1
development since sanction with a peak annual investment of USD 351
million incurred in 2024. Significant progress has been made across
all key scopes of the project including but not limited to:
detailed engineering, procurement, fabrication, drilling,
construction, third party transport pipelines, commissioning and
operations planning. Site health and safety control has been
excellent with zero lost time incidents since commercial
development activities commenced.
Looking forward, USD 230 million is planned to
be spent in 2025 mainly relating to advancing the remaining
fabrication, construction and substantial completion of the Central
Processing Facility (CPF) for the Phase 1 development. The
remaining growth capital expenditure to first oil is forecast to be
spent in 2026 on drilling, completions and commissioning of the CPF
with first steam anticipated by end Q1 2026.
IPC is strongly positioned to deliver within
plan with a clear line of sight to start-up. The Blackrod Phase 1
project is expected to generate significant value for all our
stakeholders. And with over 1 billion barrels of best estimate
contingent resources (unrisked) beyond Phase 1, IPC is pleased to
announce a resource maturation plan that sees significant volume
maturation into reserves through low cost of less than USD 0.15 per
barrel. The 2P reserves attributable to Phase 1 has increased by 40
MMboe to 259 MMboe from year end 2023 to year end
2024.(2)
As at the end of 2024, 70% of the Blackrod Phase
1 development capital had been spent since the project sanction in
early 2023. All major work streams are progressing as planned and
the focus continues to be on executing the detailed sequencing of
events as facility modules are safely delivered and installed at
site. The total Phase 1 project guidance of USD 850 million capital
expenditure to first oil in late 2026 is unchanged. IPC intends to
fund the remaining Blackrod Phase 1 development costs with forecast
cash flow generated by its operations and cash on
hand.
Stakeholder Returns: Normal Course
Issuer Bid
During the period of December 5, 2023 to
December 4, 2024, IPC purchased and cancelled an aggregate of
approximately 8.3 million common shares under the 2023/2024 NCIB.
The average price of shares purchased under the 2023/2024 NCIB was
SEK 131 / CAD 17 per share.
In Q4 2024, IPC announced the renewal of the
NCIB, with the ability to repurchase up to approximately 7.5
million common shares over the period of December 5, 2024 to
December 4, 2025. Under the 2024/2025 NCIB, IPC repurchased and
cancelled approximately 0.8 million common shares in December 2024.
By the end of January 2025, IPC repurchased for cancellation over
1.4 million common shares under the 2024/2025 NCIB. The average
price of common shares purchased under the 2024/2025 NCIB during
December 2024 and January 2025 was SEK 135 / CAD 17.5 per
share.
As at February 7, 2025, IPC had a total of
117,781,927 common shares issued and outstanding, of which IPC
holds 508,853 common shares in treasury.
Under the 2024/2025 NCIB, IPC may purchase and
cancel a further 5.3 million common shares by December 4, 2025.
This would result in the cancellation of 6.2% of shares outstanding
as at the beginning of December 2024. IPC continues to believe that
reducing the number of shares outstanding while in parallel
investing in material production growth at Blackrod will prove to
be a winning formula for our stakeholders.
Environmental, Social and Governance
(ESG) Performance
As part of IPC’s commitment to operational
excellence and responsible development, IPC’s objective is to
reduce risk and eliminate hazards to prevent occurrence of
accidents, ill health, and environmental damage, as these are
essential to the success of our business operations. During the
fourth quarter and for the full year 2024, IPC recorded no material
safety or environmental incidents.
As previously announced, IPC targets a reduction
of our net GHG emissions intensity by the end of 2025 to 50% of
IPC’s 2019 baseline and IPC remains on track to achieve this
reduction. During 2024, IPC announced the commitment to remain at
end 2025 levels of 20 kg CO2/boe through to the end of
2028.(4)
Reserves, Resources and
Value
As at the end of December 2024, IPC’s 2P
reserves are 493 MMboe. During 2024, IPC replaced 251% of the
annual 2024 production. The reserves life index (RLI) as at
December 31, 2024, is approximately 31
years.(1)(2)
The net present value (NPV) of IPC’s 2P reserves
as at December 31, 2024 was USD 3.3 billion. IPC’s net asset value
(NAV) was USD 3.1 billion or SEK 287 / CAD 37 per share as at
December 31,
2024.(1)(2)(5)(6)(7)
In addition, IPC’s best estimate contingent
resources (unrisked) as at December 31, 2024 are 1,107 MMboe, of
which 1,025 MMboe relate to future potential phases of the Blackrod
project.(1)(2)
2025 Budget and Operational
Guidance
IPC is pleased to announce its 2025 average net
production guidance is 43,000 to 45,000 boepd. IPC forecasts
operating costs for 2025 between USD 18 and 19 per
boe.(1)(3)
IPC’s 2025 capital and decommissioning
expenditure budget is USD 320 million, with USD 230 million
forecast relating to Blackrod capital expenditure. The remainder of
the 2025 budget in Canada includes drilling and ongoing
optimization work at Onion Lake Thermal and Suffield Area assets.
IPC also plans to advance the next phase of infill drilling and
complete well maintenance works at the Bertam field in Malaysia.
IPC expects to conduct technical studies for future development
potential in France. In all of IPC’s areas of operation, IPC has
significant flexibility to control its pace of spend based on the
development of commodity prices during 2025.
Notwithstanding a modest production decline
expected in 2025, IPC’s production per share metric remains largely
unchanged relative to 2024 and 2023. IPC has prioritised capital
allocation to the transformational Blackrod Phase 1 development and
share buybacks as opposed to further increasing its base business
investment to preserve balance sheet strength and maximise long-
term shareholder value.
Further details regarding IPC’s proposed 2025
budget and operational guidance will be provided at IPC’s Capital
Markets Day presentation to be held on February 11, 2025 at 15:00
CET. A copy of the Capital Markets Day presentation will be
available on IPC’s website at www.international-petroleum.com.
Notes:
(1) See
“Supplemental Information regarding Product Types” in “Reserves and
Resources Advisory” below. See also the material change report
(MCR) available on IPC’s website at www.international-petroleum.com
and filed on the date of this press release under IPC’s profile on
SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca.
(2) See “Reserves and Resources
Advisory“ below. Further information with respect to IPC’s
reserves, contingent resources and estimates of future net revenue,
including assumptions relating to the calculation of NPV, are
described in the MCR. The reserve life index (RLI) is calculated by
dividing the 2P reserves of 493 MMboe as at December 31, 2024 by
the mid-point of the 2025 CMD production guidance of 43,000 to
45,000 boepd. Reserves replacement ratio is based on 2P reserves of
468 boe as at December 31, 2024, sales production during 2024 of
16.6 MMboe, net additions to 2P reserves during 2024 of 41.7 MMboe,
and 2P reserves of 493 MMboe as at December 31, 2024.
(3) Non-IFRS measure, see “Non-IFRS
Measures” below and in the MD&A.
(4) Emissions intensity is the ratio
between oil and gas production and the associated carbon emissions,
and net emissions intensity reflects gross emissions less
operational emission reductions and carbon offsets.
(5) Net present value (NPV) is after
tax, discounted at 10% and based upon the forecast prices and other
assumptions further described in the MCR. See “Reserves and
Resources Advisory” below.
(6) Net asset value (NAV) is
calculated as NPV less net debt of USD 209 million as at December
31, 2024.
(7) NAV per share is based on
119,059,315 IPC common shares as at December 31, 2024, being
119,169,471 common shares outstanding less 110,156 common shares
held in treasury and cancelled in January 2025. NAV per share is
not predictive and may not be reflective of current or future
market prices for IPC common shares.
(8) Estimated FCF generation is based
on IPC’s current business plans over the periods of 2025 to 2029
and 2030 to 2034, including net debt of USD 209 million as at
December 31, 2024, with assumptions based on the reports of IPC’s
independent reserves evaluators, and including certain corporate
adjustments relating to estimated general and administration costs
and hedging, and excluding shareholder distributions and financing
costs. Assumptions include average net production of approximately
57 Mboepd over the period of 2025 to 2029, average net production
of approximately 63 Mboepd over the period of 2030 to 2034, average
Brent oil prices of USD 75 to 95 per bbl escalating by 2% per year,
and average Brent to Western Canadian Select differentials and
average gas prices as estimated by IPC’s independent reserves
evaluator and as further described in the MCR. IPC’s market
capitalization is at close on January 31, 2025 (USD 1,557 million
based on 146.8 SEK/share, 117.7 million IPC shares outstanding (net
of treasury shares) and exchange rate of 11.10 SEK/USD). IPC’s
current business plans and assumptions, and the business
environment, are subject to change. Actual results may differ
materially from forward-looking estimates and forecasts. See
“Forward-Looking Statements” and “Non-IFRS Measures” below.
International Petroleum Corp. (IPC) is an
international oil and gas exploration and production company with a
high quality portfolio of assets located in Canada, Malaysia and
France, providing a solid foundation for organic and inorganic
growth. IPC is a member of the Lundin Group of Companies. IPC is
incorporated in Canada and IPC’s shares are listed on the Toronto
Stock Exchange (TSX) and the Nasdaq Stockholm exchange under the
symbol "IPCO".
For further information, please contact:
Rebecca
Gordon
SVP Corporate Planning and Investor Relations
rebecca.gordon@international-petroleum.com
Tel: +41 22 595 10 50 |
|
Robert
Eriksson
Media Manager
reriksson@rive6.ch
Tel: +46 701 11 26 15 |
This information is information that
International Petroleum Corporation is required to make public
pursuant to the EU Market Abuse Regulation and the Securities
Markets Act. The information was submitted for publication, through
the contact persons set out above, at 07:30 CET on February 11,
2025. The Corporation's audited condensed consolidated financial
statements (Financial Statements) and management's discussion and
analysis (MD&A) for the three months and year ended December
31, 2024 have been filed on SEDAR+ (www.sedarplus.ca) and are also
available on the Corporation's website
(www.international-petroleum.com).
Forward-Looking Statements
This press release contains statements and information which
constitute "forward-looking statements" or "forward-looking
information" (within the meaning of applicable securities
legislation). Such statements and information (together,
"forward-looking statements") relate to future events, including
the Corporation's future performance, business prospects or
opportunities. Actual results may differ materially from those
expressed or implied by forward-looking statements. The
forward-looking statements contained in this press release are
expressly qualified by this cautionary statement. Forward-looking
statements speak only as of the date of this press release, unless
otherwise indicated. IPC does not intend, and does not assume any
obligation, to update these forward-looking statements, except as
required by applicable laws.
All statements other than statements of
historical fact may be forward-looking statements. Any statements
that express or involve discussions with respect to predictions,
expectations, beliefs, plans, projections, forecasts, guidance,
budgets, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance
(often, but not always, using words or phrases such as "seek",
"anticipate", "plan", "continue", "estimate", "expect", "may",
"will", "project", “forecast”, "predict", "potential", "targeting",
"intend", "could", "might", "should", "believe", "budget" and
similar expressions) are not statements of historical fact and may
be "forward-looking statements".
Forward-looking statements include, but are not
limited to, statements with respect to:
- 2025 production ranges (including
total daily average production), production composition, cash
flows, operating costs and capital and decommissioning expenditure
estimates;
- Estimates of future production,
cash flows, operating costs and capital expenditures that are based
on IPC’s current business plans and assumptions regarding the
business environment, which are subject to change;
- IPC’s financial and operational
flexibility to navigate the Corporation through periods of volatile
commodity prices;
- The ability to fully fund future
expenditures from cash flows and current borrowing capacity;
- IPC’s intention and ability to
continue to implement its strategies to build long-term shareholder
value;
- The ability of IPC’s portfolio of
assets to provide a solid foundation for organic and inorganic
growth;
- The continued facility uptime and
reservoir performance in IPC’s areas of operation;
- Development of the Blackrod project
in Canada, including estimates of resource volumes, future
production, timing, regulatory approvals, third party commercial
arrangements, breakeven oil prices and net present values;
- Current and future production
performance, operations and development potential of the Onion Lake
Thermal, Suffield, Brooks, Ferguson and Mooney operations,
including the timing and success of future oil and gas drilling and
optimization programs;
- The potential improvement in the
Canadian oil egress situation and IPC’s ability to benefit from any
such improvements;
- The ability of IPC to achieve and
maintain current and forecast production in France and
Malaysia;
- The intention and ability of IPC to
acquire further common shares under the NCIB, including the timing
of any such purchases;
- The return of value to IPC’s
shareholders as a result of the NCIB;
- IPC’s ability to implement its GHG
emissions intensity and climate strategies and to achieve its net
GHG emissions intensity reduction targets;
- IPC’s ability to implement projects
to reduce net emissions intensity, including potential carbon
capture and storage;
- Estimates of reserves and
contingent resources;
- The ability to generate free cash
flows and use that cash to repay debt;
- IPC’s continued access to its
existing credit facilities, including current financial headroom,
on terms acceptable to the Corporation;
- IPC’s ability to identify and
complete future acquisitions;
- Expectations regarding the oil and
gas industry in Canada, Malaysia and France, including assumptions
regarding future royalty rates, regulatory approvals, legislative
changes, and ongoing projects and their expected completion;
and
- Future drilling and other
exploration and development activities.
Statements relating to "reserves" and
"contingent resources" are also deemed to be forward-looking
statements, as they involve the implied assessment, based on
certain estimates and assumptions, that the reserves and resources
described exist in the quantities predicted or estimated and that
the reserves and resources can be profitably produced in the
future. Ultimate recovery of reserves or resources is based on
forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet
determinable and assumptions of management.
Although IPC believes that the expectations and
assumptions on which such forward-looking statements are based are
reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the
forward-looking statements because IPC can give no assurances that
they will prove to be correct. Since forward-looking statements
address future events and conditions, by their very nature they
involve inherent risks and uncertainties. Actual results could
differ materially from those currently anticipated due to a number
of factors and risks.
These include, but are not limited to general
global economic, market and business conditions, the risks
associated with the oil and gas industry in general such as
operational risks in development, exploration and production;
delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or
development projects or capital expenditures; the uncertainty of
estimates and projections relating to reserves, resources,
production, revenues, costs and expenses; health, safety and
environmental risks; commodity price fluctuations; interest rate
and exchange rate fluctuations; marketing and transportation; loss
of markets; environmental and climate-related risks; competition;
incorrect assessment of the value of acquisitions; failure to
complete or realize the anticipated benefits of acquisitions or
dispositions; the ability to access sufficient capital from
internal and external sources; failure to obtain required
regulatory and other approvals; and changes in legislation,
including but not limited to tax laws, royalties, environmental and
abandonment regulations.
Additional information on these and other
factors that could affect IPC, or its operations or financial
results, are included in the MD&A (See “Risk Factors”,
"Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information" and
“Reserves and Resources Advisory” therein), the Corporation’s
material change report dated February 11, 2025 (MCR), the
Corporation’s Annual Information Form (AIF) for the year ended
December 31, 2023, (See “Cautionary Statement Regarding
Forward-Looking Information”, “Reserves and Resources Advisory” and
“Risk Factors”) and other reports on file with applicable
securities regulatory authorities, including previous financial
reports, management’s discussion and analysis and material change
reports, which may be accessed through the SEDAR+ website
(www.sedarplus.ca) or IPC's website
(www.international-petroleum.com).
Management of IPC approved the production,
operating costs, operating cash flow, capital and decommissioning
expenditures and free cash flow guidance and estimates contained
herein as of the date of this press release. The purpose of these
guidance and estimates is to assist readers in understanding IPC’s
expected and targeted financial results, and this information may
not be appropriate for other purposes.
Estimated FCF generation is based on IPC’s
current business plans over the periods of 2025 to 2029 and 2030 to
2034, including net debt of USD 209 million as at December 31,
2024, with assumptions based on the reports of IPC’s independent
reserves evaluators, and including certain corporate adjustments
relating to estimated general and administration costs and hedging,
and excluding shareholder distributions and financing costs.
Assumptions include average net production of approximately 57
Mboepd over the period of 2025 to 2029, average net production of
approximately 63 Mboepd over the period of 2030 to 2034, average
Brent oil prices of USD 75 to 95 per bbl escalating by 2% per year,
and average Brent to Western Canadian Select differentials and
average gas prices as estimated by IPC’s independent reserves
evaluator and as further described in the MCR. IPC’s current
business plans and assumptions, and the business environment, are
subject to change. Actual results may differ materially from
forward-looking estimates and forecasts.
Non-IFRS Measures
References are made in this press release to "operating cash flow"
(OCF), “free cash flow” (FCF), "Earnings Before Interest, Tax,
Depreciation and Amortization" (EBITDA), "operating costs" and "net
debt"/”net cash”, which are not generally accepted accounting
measures under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS)
and do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and,
therefore, may not be comparable with similar measures presented by
other public companies. Non-IFRS measures should not be considered
in isolation or as a substitute for measures prepared in accordance
with IFRS.
The definition of each non-IFRS measure is
presented in IPC's MD&A (See "Non-IFRS Measures" therein).
Operating cash flow
The following table sets out how operating cash flow is calculated
from figures shown in the Financial Statements:
|
Three months ended December 31 |
|
Year ended December 31 |
USD Thousands |
2024 |
2023 |
|
2024 |
2023 |
Revenue |
199,124 |
198,460 |
|
797,783 |
853,906 |
Production costs
and net sales of diluent to third party1 |
(119,371) |
(126,414) |
|
(447,481) |
(491,303) |
Current tax |
(1,595) |
1,588 |
|
(8,313) |
(14,457) |
Operating cash flow |
78,158 |
73,634 |
|
341,989 |
348,146 |
1 Include net sales of diluent to
third party amounting to USD 737 thousand for the fourth quarter of
2024 and the year ended December 31, 2024.
The operating cash flow for the year ended
December 31, 2023 including the operating cash flow contribution of
the Brooks assets acquisition from the effective date of January 1,
2023 to the completion date of March 3, 2023 amounted to USD
353,048 thousand.
Free cash flow
The following table sets out how free cash flow is calculated from
figures shown in the Financial Statements:
|
Three months ended December 31 |
|
Year ended December 31 |
USD Thousands |
2024 |
2023 |
|
2024 |
2023 |
Operating cash flow - see above |
78,158 |
73,634 |
|
341,989 |
348,146 |
Capital
expenditures |
(126,256) |
(128,825) |
|
(434,713) |
(312,729) |
Abandonment and
farm-in expenditures1 |
(3,364) |
(1,516) |
|
(8,302) |
(9,199) |
General,
administration and depreciation expenses before
depreciation2 |
(3,569) |
(5,762) |
|
(14,814) |
(16,886) |
Cash financial
items3 |
(6,445) |
(2,219) |
|
(19,657) |
(5,812) |
Free cash flow |
(61,476) |
(64,688) |
|
(135,497) |
3,520 |
1 See note 19 to the Financial
Statements
2 Depreciation is not specifically disclosed in the
Financial Statements
3 See notes 5 and 6 to the Financial Statements
The free cash flow for the year ended December
31, 2023 including the free cash flow contribution of the Brooks
assets acquisition from the effective date of January 1, 2023 to
the completion date of March 3, 2023 amounted to USD 2,689
thousand. Free cash flow is before shareholder distributions and
financing costs.
EBITDA
The following table sets out the reconciliation from net result
from the consolidated statement of operations to EBITDA:
|
Three months ended December 31 |
|
Year ended December 31 |
USD Thousands |
2024 |
2023 |
|
2024 |
2023 |
Net result |
415 |
29,710 |
|
102,219 |
172,979 |
Net financial
items |
35,767 |
6,509 |
|
59,709 |
22,736 |
Income tax |
3,852 |
4,691 |
|
33,325 |
55,362 |
Depletion and
decommissioning costs |
32,087 |
30,434 |
|
128,392 |
101,922 |
Depreciation of
other tangible fixed assets |
2,430 |
1,309 |
|
8,933 |
7,812 |
Exploration and
business development costs |
1,725 |
348 |
|
2,069 |
2,355 |
Depreciation
included in general, administration and depreciation
expenses1 |
308 |
389 |
|
1,241 |
1,569 |
Sale of
assets2 |
(400) |
(7,106) |
|
(400) |
(19,018) |
EBITDA |
76,814 |
66,284 |
|
335,488 |
345,717 |
1 Item is not shown in the Financial
Statements
2 Sale of assets is included under “Other
income/(expense)” but not specifically disclosed in the Financial
Statements
The EBITDA for the year ended December 31, 2023
including the EBITDA contribution of the Brooks assets acquisition
from the effective date of January 1, 2023 to the completion date
of March 3, 2023 amounted to USD 350,618 thousand.
Operating costs
The following table sets out how operating costs is calculated:
|
Three months ended December 31 |
|
Year ended December 31 |
USD Thousands |
2024 |
2023 |
|
2024 |
2023 |
Production costs |
120,108 |
126,414 |
|
448,218 |
491,303 |
Cost of
blending |
(36,036) |
(44,473) |
|
(152,735) |
(172,996) |
Change in
inventory position |
(4,633) |
1,427 |
|
(1,473) |
3,655 |
Operating costs |
79,439 |
83,368 |
|
294,010 |
321,962 |
The operating costs for the year ended December
31, 2023 including the operating costs contribution of the Brooks
assets acquisition from the effective date of January 1, 2023 to
the completion date of March 3, 2023 amounted to USD 328,763
thousand.
Net cash / (debt)
The following table sets out how net cash / (debt) is calculated
from figures shown in the Financial Statements:
USD Thousands |
December 31, 2024 |
December 31, 2023 |
Bank loans |
(5,121) |
(9,031) |
Bonds1 |
(450,000) |
(450,000) |
Cash and cash equivalents |
246,593 |
517,074 |
Net cash / (debt) |
(208,528) |
58,043 |
1 The bond amount represents the
redeemable value at maturity (February 2027).
Reserves and Resources
Advisory
This press release contains references to estimates of gross and
net reserves and resources attributed to the Corporation's oil and
gas assets. For additional information with respect to such
reserves and resources, refer to “Reserves and Resources Advisory”
in the MD&A and the MCR. Light, medium and heavy crude oil
reserves/resources disclosed in this press release include solution
gas and other by-products. Also see “Supplemental Information
regarding Product Types” below.
Reserve estimates, contingent resource estimates
and estimates of future net revenue in respect of IPC’s oil and gas
assets in Canada are effective as of December 31, 2024, and are
included in the reports prepared by Sproule Associates Limited
(Sproule), an independent qualified reserves evaluator, in
accordance with National Instrument 51-101 – Standards of
Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (NI 51-101) and the
Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (the COGE Handbook) and
using Sproule’s December 31, 2024 price forecasts.
Reserve estimates, contingent resource estimates
and estimates of future net revenue in respect of IPC’s oil and gas
assets in France and Malaysia are effective as of December 31,
2024, and are included in the report prepared by ERC Equipoise Ltd.
(ERCE), an independent qualified reserves auditor, in accordance
with NI 51-101 and the COGE Handbook, and using Sproule’s December
31, 2024 price forecasts.
The price forecasts used in the Sproule and ERCE
reports are available on the website of Sproule (sproule.com) and
are contained in the MCR. These price forecasts are as at December
31, 2024 and may not be reflective of current and future forecast
commodity prices.
The reserve life index (RLI) is calculated by
dividing the 2P reserves of 493 MMboe as at December 31, 2024 by
the mid-point of the 2025 CMD production guidance of 43,000 to
45,000 boepd. Reserves replacement ratio is based on 2P reserves of
468 MMboe as at December 31, 2023, sales production during 2024 of
16.6 MMboe, net additions to 2P reserves during 2024 of 41.7 MMboe
and 2P reserves of 493 MMboe as at December 31, 2024.
The reserves and resources information and data
provided in this press release present only a portion of the
disclosure required under NI 51-101. All of the required
information will be contained in the Corporation’s Annual
Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2024, which will
be filed on SEDAR+ (accessible at www.sedarplus.ca) on or before
April 1, 2025. Further information with respect to IPC’s reserves,
contingent resources and estimates of future net revenue, including
assumptions relating to the calculation of net present value and
other relevant information related to the contingent resources
disclosed, is disclosed in the MCR available under IPC’s profile on
www.sedarplus.ca and on IPC’s website at
www.international-petroleum.com.
IPC uses the industry-accepted standard
conversion of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel
of oil (6 Mcf = 1 bbl). A BOE conversion ratio of 6:1 is based on
an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the
burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the
wellhead. As the value ratio between natural gas and crude oil
based on the current prices of natural gas and crude oil is
significantly different from the energy equivalency of 6:1,
utilizing a 6:1 conversion basis may be misleading as an indication
of value.
Supplemental Information regarding
Product Types
The following table is intended to provide
supplemental information about the product type composition of
IPC’s net average daily production figures provided in this press
release:
|
Heavy Crude Oil
(Mbopd) |
Light and Medium Crude Oil (Mbopd) |
Conventional Natural Gas (per day) |
Total
(Mboepd) |
Three
months ended |
|
|
|
|
December 31,
2024 |
24.3 |
7.1 |
95.9 MMcf
(16.0 Mboe) |
47.4 |
December 31,
2023 |
25.7 |
6.6 |
103.8 MMcf
(17.3 Mboe) |
49.6 |
Year
ended |
|
|
|
|
December 31,
2024 |
23.9 |
7.7 |
95.1 MMcf
(15.8 Mboe) |
47.4 |
December 31, 2023 |
25.8 |
8.1 |
102.8 MMcf
(17.1 Mboe) |
51.1 |
This press release also makes reference to IPC’s
forecast total average daily production of 43,000 to 45,000 boepd
for 2025. IPC estimates that approximately 55% of that production
will be comprised of heavy oil, approximately 12% will be comprised
of light and medium crude oil and approximately 33% will be
comprised of conventional natural gas.
Currency
All dollar amounts in this press release are expressed in United
States dollars, except where otherwise noted. References herein to
USD mean United States dollars. References herein to CAD mean
Canadian dollars.
Grafico Azioni International Petroleum (TG:IPT)
Storico
Da Gen 2025 a Feb 2025
Grafico Azioni International Petroleum (TG:IPT)
Storico
Da Feb 2024 a Feb 2025