Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ: AAOI)
(“AOI”), a leading provider of fiber-optic access network
products for the internet datacenter, cable broadband, telecom and
fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) markets, today announced financial results
for its fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2024.
“We are pleased to have generated a solid quarter, driven by
strength in both our datacenter and CATV businesses,” said Dr.
Thompson Lin, AOI’s Founder, President and Chief Executive Officer.
“We continued to see increasing orders in our datacenter business
and believe we have solid momentum going forward. We saw a
significant increase in our CATV business due to a ramp in orders
for our 1.8 GHz amplifier products, which resulted in revenue
growth that more than doubled sequentially. During the quarter we
also received a substantial order for our Quantum Bandwidth®
networking products from a top North American cable operator.
Looking ahead, we remain optimistic about the long-term demand
drivers for our datacenter and CATV business and we are focused on
ramping our production capabilities to meet anticipated rising
demand.”
“We are delighted to end the year on a high note, with our
fourth quarter revenue, gross margin and non-GAAP income per share
all in-line with our expectations,” said Dr. Stefan Murry, AOI’s
Chief Financial Officer and Chief Strategy Officer. “The sequential
increase in our gross margin was driven by our favorable product
mix, including growth in our CATV revenue. Looking ahead, we expect
continued improvement in our gross margins as we see the impact of
manufacturing efficiencies in our CATV production, and improved
product mix. Going forward, we expect to make sizeable capex
investments over the next several quarters to prepare for increased
datacenter product production in 2025. We believe our US-based
production ability, automated manufacturing and extensive
experience uniquely position us meet our customer’s needs.”
Fourth Quarter 2024 Financial Summary
- GAAP revenue was $100.3 million,
compared with $60.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2023 and $65.2
million in the third quarter of 2024.
- GAAP gross margin was 28.7%,
compared with 35.7% in the fourth quarter of 2023 and 24.4% in the
third quarter of 2024. Non-GAAP gross margin was 28.9%, compared
with 36.4% in the fourth quarter of 2023 and 25.0% in the third
quarter of 2024.
- GAAP net loss was $119.7 million,
or $2.60 per basic share, compared with net loss of $13.9 million,
or $0.38 per basic share in the fourth quarter of 2023, and a net
loss of $17.8 million, or $0.42 per basic share in the third
quarter of 2024.
- Non-GAAP net loss was $1.0 million,
or $0.02 per basic share, compared with non-GAAP net income of $1.6
million, or $0.04 per basic share in the fourth quarter of 2023,
and a non-GAAP net loss of $8.8 million, or $0.21 per basic share
in the third quarter of 2024.
Full Year 2024 Financial Summary
- GAAP revenue was $249.4
million, compared with $217.6 million in 2023.
- GAAP gross margin was 24.8%,
compared with 27.1% in 2023. Non-GAAP gross margin was 25.1%
compared to 29.8% in 2023.
- GAAP net loss was $186.7
million, or $4.50 per basic share, compared with net loss
of $56.0 million, or $1.75 per basic share in 2023.
- Non-GAAP net loss was $32.7
million, or $0.79 per basic share, compared with non-GAAP net
loss of $13.3 million, or $0.42 per basic share in
2023.
A reconciliation between all GAAP and non-GAAP information
referenced above is contained in the tables below. Please also
refer to “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” below for a description of
these non-GAAP financial measures.
First Quarter 2025 Business Outlook
(+)
For first quarter of 2025, the company currently expects:
- Revenue in the range of $94 million
to $104 million.
- Non-GAAP gross margin in the range
of 29% to 30.5%.
- Non-GAAP net income in the range of
a loss of $3.6 million to $0.0 million, and non-GAAP income per
share in the range of a loss of $0.07 to $0.00 using approximately
49.6 million shares.
(+) Please refer to the note below on
forward-looking statements and the risks involved with such
statements as well as the note on non-GAAP financial measures.
Conference Call Information
The company will host a conference call and webcast for analysts
and investors today, February 26, 2025 to discuss its fourth
quarter and full year 2024 financial results and outlook for its
first quarter 2025 at 4:30 p.m. Eastern time / 3:30 p.m. Central
time. This call will be open to the public, and investors may
access the call by dialing 844-890-1794 (domestic) or 412-717-9586
(international). A live audio webcast of the conference call along
with supplemental financial information will also be accessible on
the company's website at investors.ao-inc.com. Following the
webcast, an archived version will be available on the website for
one year. A telephonic replay of the call will be available one
hour after the call and will run for five business days and may be
accessed by dialing 877-344-7529 (domestic) or 412-317-0088
(international) and entering passcode 7875033.
Forward-Looking Information
This press release contains forward-looking statements within
the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of
1995. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by
terminology such as "believe," "may," "estimate," "continue,"
"anticipate," "intend," "should," "could," "would," "target,"
"seek," "aim," "predicts," "think," "objectives," "optimistic,"
"new," "goal," "strategy," "potential," "is likely," "will,"
"expect," "plan" "project," "permit" or by other similar
expressions that convey uncertainty of future events or outcomes.
These statements include management’s beliefs and expectations
related to our outlook for the first quarter of 2025 and the
remainder of 2025. Such forward-looking statements reflect the
views of management at the time such statements are made. These
forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, as well
as assumptions and current expectations, which could cause the
company's actual results to differ materially from those
anticipated in such forward-looking statements. These risks and
uncertainties include but are not limited to: reduction in the size
or quantity of customer orders; change in demand for the company's
products due to industry conditions; changes in manufacturing
operations; volatility in manufacturing costs; delays in shipments
of products; disruptions in the supply chain; change in the rate of
design wins or the rate of customer acceptance of new products; the
company's reliance on a small number of customers for a substantial
portion of its revenues; potential pricing pressure; a decline in
demand for our customers' products or their rate of deployment of
their products; general conditions in the internet datacenter,
cable television (CATV) broadband, telecom, or fiber-to-the-home
(FTTH) markets; changes in the world economy (particularly in the
United States and China); changes in the regulation and taxation of
international trade, including the imposition of tariffs; changes
in currency exchange rates; the negative effects of seasonality;
the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on our business and financial
results; and other risks and uncertainties described more fully in
the company's documents filed with or furnished to the Securities
and Exchange Commission, including our Annual Report on Form 10-K
for the year ended December 31, 2023 and our Quarterly Report on
Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2024. More
information about these and other risks that may impact the
company's business are set forth in the "Risk Factors" section of
the company's quarterly and annual reports on file with the
Securities and Exchange Commission. You should not rely on
forward-looking statements as predictions of future events. All
forward-looking statements in this press release are based upon
information available to us as of the date hereof, and qualified in
their entirety by this cautionary statement. Except as required by
law, we assume no obligation to update forward-looking statements
for any reason after the date of this press release to conform
these statements to actual results or to changes in the company's
expectations.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
We provide non-GAAP gross margin, non-GAAP net income (loss),
and non-GAAP loss per share to eliminate the impact of items that
we do not consider indicative of our overall operating performance.
To arrive at our non-GAAP gross margin, we exclude stock-based
compensation and related expenses, expenses associated with
discontinued products, and non-recurring (income) expenses, if any,
from our GAAP gross margin. To arrive at our non-GAAP net income
(loss), we exclude all amortization of intangible assets,
stock-based compensation expense, non-recurring expenses,
unrealized foreign exchange loss (gain), losses from the disposal
of idle assets, if any, non-GAAP tax benefit (expenses) and cash
and non-cash expenses associated with discontinued products, if
any, from our GAAP net income (loss). Included in our non-recurring
expenses in Q4 2024, Q4 2023, and Q3 2024 are employee severance
expenses, legal expenses associated with litigation and certain
legal and advisory expenses associated with purchase termination or
patent protection (if any), also included in our non-recurring
income (expenses) in Q4 2024 and Q4 2023, are certain non-recurring
expenses related to the debt extinguishment loss on our convertible
notes. In computing our non-GAAP income tax benefit (expense), we
have applied an estimate of our annual effective income tax rate
and applied it to our net income before income taxes. Our adjusted
EBITDA is calculated by excluding depreciation expense, non-GAAP
tax benefit (expense), and interest (income) expense, as well as
the items excluded from non-GAAP net income (loss), from our GAAP
net loss. Our non-GAAP diluted net loss per share is calculated by
dividing our non-GAAP net loss by the fully diluted share count
(for periods in which non-GAAP net income is positive) or basic
share count (for periods in which our non-GAAP net income is
negative).
We believe that our non-GAAP measures are useful to investors in
evaluating our operating performance for the following reasons:
- We believe that elimination of items such as amortization of
intangible assets, stock-based compensation expense, non-recurring
revenue and expenses, including non-recurring expenses from debt
extinguishment and losses on convertible note exchange, losses from
the disposal of idle assets, unrealized foreign exchange gain or
loss, and depreciation on certain equipment undergoing
reconfiguration, is appropriate because treatment of these items
may vary for reasons unrelated to our overall operating
performance;
- We believe that elimination of expenses associated with
discontinued products, including depreciation and inventory
obsolescence is appropriate because these expenses are not
indicative of our ongoing operations;
- We believe that estimating non-GAAP income taxes allows
comparison with prior periods and provides additional information
regarding the generation of potential future deferred tax
assets;
- We believe that non-GAAP measures provide better comparability
with our past financial performance, period-to-period results and
with our peer companies, many of which also use similar non-GAAP
financial measures; and We anticipate that investors and securities
analysts will utilize non-GAAP measures as a supplement to GAAP
measures to evaluate our overall operating performance.
A reconciliation of our GAAP net income (loss), GAAP total gross
profit, GAAP earnings (loss), and GAAP earnings (loss) per share
for Q4 2024 and FY 2024 to our non-GAAP net income (loss), non-GAAP
total gross profit, Adjusted EBITDA, and earnings (loss) per share,
respectively, is provided below, together with corresponding
reconciliations for Q4 2023 and FY 2023.
Non-GAAP measures should not be considered as an alternative to
net income (loss), earnings (loss) per share, or any other measure
of financial performance calculated and presented in accordance
with GAAP. Our non-GAAP measures may not be comparable to similarly
titled measures of other organizations because other organizations
may not calculate such other non-GAAP measures in the same manner.
We have not reconciled the non-GAAP measures included in our
guidance to the appropriate GAAP financial measures because the
GAAP measures are not readily determinable on a forward-looking
basis. GAAP measures that impact our non-GAAP financial measures
may include stock-based compensation expense, non-recurring
expenses, amortization of intangible assets, unrealized exchange
loss (gain), asset impairment charges, loss (gain) from disposal of
idle assets, and changes in the fair value of our convertible
notes. These GAAP measures cannot be reasonably predicted and may
directly impact our non-GAAP gross margin, our non-GAAP net income
and our non-GAAP fully-diluted earnings per share, although changes
with respect to certain of these measures may offset other changes.
In addition, certain of these measures are out of our control.
Accordingly, a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure
guidance to the corresponding GAAP measures is not available
without unreasonable effort.
About Applied Optoelectronics
Applied Optoelectronics Inc. (AOI) is a leading developer and
manufacturer of advanced optical products, including components,
modules and equipment. AOI's products are the building blocks for
broadband fiber access networks around the world, where they are
used in the internet datacenter, CATV broadband, telecom and FTTH
markets. AOI supplies optical networking lasers, components and
equipment to tier-1 customers in all four of these markets. In
addition to its corporate headquarters, wafer fab and advanced
engineering and production facilities in Sugar Land, TX, AOI has
engineering and manufacturing facilities in Taipei, Taiwan and
Ningbo, China. For additional information, visit
www.ao-inc.com.
Investor Relations Contacts:
The Blueshirt Group, Investor RelationsLindsay
Savarese+1-212-331-8417ir@ao-inc.com
Cassidy
Fuller+1-415-217-4968 ir@ao-inc.com
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. |
Preliminary
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets |
(In
thousands) |
(Unaudited) |
|
|
December 31, 2024 |
December 31, 2023 |
ASSETS |
|
|
CURRENT ASSETS |
|
|
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Restricted Cash |
$ |
79,133 |
|
$ |
55,097 |
|
Accounts Receivable, Net |
|
116,801 |
|
|
48,071 |
|
Notes Receivable |
|
− |
|
|
219 |
|
Inventories |
|
88,135 |
|
|
63,866 |
|
Prepaid Income Tax |
|
4 |
|
|
3 |
|
Prepaid Expenses and Other Current Assets |
|
17,195 |
|
|
5,349 |
|
Total Current Assets |
|
301,268 |
|
|
172,605 |
|
|
|
|
Property, Plant And Equipment, Net |
|
219,235 |
|
|
200,317 |
|
Land Use Rights, Net |
|
4,837 |
|
|
5,030 |
|
Operating Right of Use Asset |
|
9,646 |
|
|
5,026 |
|
Intangible Assets, Net |
|
3,680 |
|
|
3,628 |
|
Other Assets |
|
8,366 |
|
|
2,580 |
|
TOTAL ASSETS |
$ |
547,032 |
|
$ |
389,186 |
|
|
|
|
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY |
|
|
CURRENT LIABILITIES |
|
|
Accounts Payable |
$ |
104,969 |
|
$ |
32,892 |
|
Bank Acceptance Payable |
|
19,259 |
|
|
15,482 |
|
Accrued Expenses |
|
22,091 |
|
|
18,549 |
|
Deferred Revenue |
|
− |
|
|
1,803 |
|
Current Lease Liability-Operating |
|
1,380 |
|
|
1,149 |
|
Current Portion of Notes Payable and Long Term Debt |
|
22,370 |
|
|
23,197 |
|
Current Portion of Convertible Debt |
|
− |
|
|
286 |
|
Total Current Liabilities |
|
170,069 |
|
|
93,358 |
|
Convertible Senior Notes |
|
134,497 |
|
|
76,233 |
|
Other Long-Term Liabilities |
|
13,354 |
|
|
4,726 |
|
TOTAL LIABILITIES |
|
317,920 |
|
|
174,317 |
|
|
|
|
STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY |
|
|
Common Stock |
|
49 |
|
|
38 |
|
Additional Paid-in Capital |
|
683,462 |
|
|
478,972 |
|
Cumulative Translation Adjustment |
|
(2,548 |
) |
|
975 |
|
Retained Earnings |
|
(451,851 |
) |
|
(265,116 |
) |
TOTAL STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY |
|
229,112 |
|
|
214,869 |
|
|
|
|
TOTAL LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY |
$ |
547,032 |
|
$ |
389,186 |
|
|
|
|
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. |
Preliminary
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations |
(In
thousands) |
(Unaudited) |
|
|
|
Three Months Ended December 31, |
|
Twelve Months Ended December 31, |
Revenue |
2024 |
|
2023 |
|
|
2024 |
|
2023 |
|
Datacenter |
$
44,242 |
|
$
44,481 |
|
|
$
148,525 |
|
$
141,213 |
|
CATV |
52,212 |
|
12,551 |
|
|
87,713 |
|
59,942 |
|
Telecom |
3,535 |
|
2,818 |
|
|
10,980 |
|
13,831 |
|
FTTH |
3 |
|
- |
|
|
3 |
|
56 |
|
Other |
279 |
|
603 |
|
|
2,144 |
|
2,604 |
|
Total Revenue |
100,271 |
|
60,453 |
|
|
249,365 |
|
217,646 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Cost of Goods Sold |
71,542 |
|
38,849 |
|
|
187,565 |
|
158,725 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Gross Profit |
28,729 |
|
21,604 |
|
|
61,800 |
|
58,921 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating
Expenses: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Research and Development |
16,737 |
|
9,341 |
|
|
54,955 |
|
35,975 |
|
Sales and Marketing |
3,652 |
|
3,438 |
|
|
18,154 |
|
11,069 |
|
General and Administrative |
14,813 |
|
13,356 |
|
|
59,599 |
|
53,226 |
|
Total Operating Expenses |
35,202 |
|
26,135 |
|
|
132,708 |
|
100,270 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating Loss |
(6,473 |
) |
(4,531 |
) |
|
(70,908 |
) |
(41,349 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other Income
(Expense): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest Income |
365 |
|
475 |
|
|
874 |
|
609 |
|
Interest Expense |
(1,754 |
) |
(3,127 |
) |
|
(6,826 |
) |
(9,428 |
) |
Other Income (Expense), net |
(111,828 |
) |
(6,674 |
) |
|
(109,871 |
) |
(5,871 |
) |
Total Other Income (Expense): |
(113,217 |
) |
(9,326 |
) |
|
(115,823 |
) |
(14,690 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net loss before Income Taxes |
(119,690 |
) |
(13,857 |
) |
|
(186,731 |
) |
(56,039 |
) |
Income Tax Expense |
(2 |
) |
(1 |
) |
|
(2 |
) |
(9 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net loss |
$ (119,692 |
) |
$ (13,858 |
) |
|
$ (186,733 |
) |
$ (56,048 |
) |
Net loss per
share attributable to common stockholders |
basic |
$ (2.60 |
) |
$ (0.38 |
) |
|
$ (4.50 |
) |
$ (1.75 |
) |
diluted |
$ (2.60 |
) |
$ (0.38 |
) |
|
$ (4.50 |
) |
$ (1.75 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted-average shares used to compute net loss per share
attributable to common stockholders |
|
|
|
|
|
basic |
46,057 |
|
36,549 |
|
|
41,539 |
|
31,944 |
|
diluted |
46,057 |
|
36,549 |
|
|
41,539 |
|
31,944 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. |
Reconciliation of Statements of Operations under GAAP and
Non-GAAP |
(In
thousands) |
(Unaudited) |
|
|
Three Months Ended December 31, |
|
Twelve Months Ended December 31, |
|
|
2024 |
|
|
2023 |
|
|
|
2024 |
|
|
2023 |
|
GAAP revenue |
$ |
100,271 |
|
$ |
60,453 |
|
|
$ |
249,365 |
|
$ |
217,646 |
|
Non-recurring customer credit |
|
- |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
- |
|
Non-GAAP revenue |
$ |
100,271 |
|
$ |
60,453 |
|
|
$ |
249,365 |
|
$ |
217,646 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GAAP total gross profit (a) |
$ |
28,729 |
|
$ |
21,604 |
|
|
$ |
61,800 |
|
$ |
58,921 |
|
Share-based compensation expense |
|
118 |
|
|
131 |
|
|
|
474 |
|
|
524 |
|
Non-recurring expense |
|
15 |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
81 |
|
|
- |
|
Expenses associated with discontinued products |
|
99 |
|
|
275 |
|
|
|
300 |
|
|
5,520 |
|
Non-GAAP total gross profit (a) |
$ |
28,961 |
|
$ |
22,010 |
|
|
$ |
62,655 |
|
$ |
64,965 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GAAP net loss |
$ |
(119,692 |
) |
$ |
(13,858 |
) |
|
$ |
(186,733 |
) |
$ |
(56,048 |
) |
Share-based compensation expense |
|
2,949 |
|
|
3,297 |
|
|
|
14,790 |
|
|
11,885 |
|
Expenses associated with discontinued products |
|
98 |
|
|
274 |
|
|
|
300 |
|
|
5,519 |
|
Non-cash expenses associated with discontinued products |
|
1,039 |
|
|
816 |
|
|
|
4,201 |
|
|
3,990 |
|
Amortization of intangible assets |
|
106 |
|
|
171 |
|
|
|
438 |
|
|
659 |
|
Non-recurring (income) expense |
|
111,725 |
|
|
9,603 |
|
|
|
114,232 |
|
|
11,907 |
|
Unrealized exchange loss (gain) |
|
576 |
|
|
(635 |
) |
|
|
591 |
|
|
(1,387 |
) |
Tax (benefit) expense related to the above |
|
2,152 |
|
|
1,908 |
|
|
|
19,464 |
|
|
10,146 |
|
Non-GAAP net loss |
$ |
(1,047 |
) |
$ |
1,576 |
|
|
$ |
(32,717 |
) |
$ |
(13,329 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
GAAP net loss |
$ |
(119,692 |
) |
$ |
(13,858 |
) |
|
$ |
(186,733 |
) |
$ |
(56,048 |
) |
Share-based compensation expense |
|
2,949 |
|
|
3,297 |
|
|
|
14,790 |
|
|
11,885 |
|
Expenses associated with discontinued products |
|
98 |
|
|
274 |
|
|
|
300 |
|
|
5,519 |
|
Non-cash expenses associated with discontinued products |
|
1,039 |
|
|
816 |
|
|
|
4,201 |
|
|
3,990 |
|
Amortization of intangible assets |
|
106 |
|
|
171 |
|
|
|
438 |
|
|
659 |
|
Non-recurring expense (income) |
|
111,725 |
|
|
9,603 |
|
|
|
114,232 |
|
|
11,907 |
|
Unrealized exchange loss (gain) |
|
576 |
|
|
(635 |
) |
|
|
591 |
|
|
(1,387 |
) |
Tax (benefit) expense related to the above |
|
- |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
8 |
|
Depreciation expense |
|
4,213 |
|
|
3,894 |
|
|
|
16,012 |
|
|
15,730 |
|
Interest (income) expense, net |
|
1,390 |
|
|
1,206 |
|
|
|
5,953 |
|
|
7,373 |
|
Adjusted EBITDA |
$ |
2,404 |
|
$ |
4,768 |
|
|
$ |
(30,216 |
) |
$ |
(364 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
GAAP diluted net loss per share |
$ |
(2.60 |
) |
$ |
(0.31 |
) |
|
$ |
(4.50 |
) |
$ |
(1.75 |
) |
Share-based compensation expense |
|
0.06 |
|
|
0.07 |
|
|
|
0.36 |
|
|
0.37 |
|
Expenses associated with discontinued products |
|
- |
|
|
0.01 |
|
|
|
0.01 |
|
|
0.17 |
|
Non-cash expenses associated with discontinued products |
|
0.02 |
|
|
0.02 |
|
|
|
0.10 |
|
|
0.12 |
|
Amortization of intangible assets |
|
0.00 |
|
|
0.01 |
|
|
|
0.01 |
|
|
0.02 |
|
Non-recurring (income) expense |
|
2.43 |
|
|
0.21 |
|
|
|
2.75 |
|
|
0.37 |
|
Unrealized exchange loss (gain) |
|
0.01 |
|
|
(0.01 |
) |
|
|
0.01 |
|
|
(0.04 |
) |
Non-GAAP tax benefit |
|
0.06 |
|
|
0.04 |
|
|
|
0.47 |
|
|
0.32 |
|
Non-GAAP diluted net loss per share |
$ |
(0.02 |
) |
$ |
0.04 |
|
|
$ |
(0.79 |
) |
$ |
(0.42 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shares used
to compute diluted loss per share |
|
46,057 |
|
|
44,778 |
|
|
|
41,539 |
|
|
31,944 |
|
Shares used
to compute diluted earnings per share |
|
46,057 |
|
|
44,778 |
|
|
|
41,539 |
|
|
31,944 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(a) Provided for the
purpose of calculating gross profit as a percentage of revenue
(gross margin). |
|
Grafico Azioni Applied Optoelectronics (NASDAQ:AAOI)
Storico
Da Feb 2025 a Mar 2025
Grafico Azioni Applied Optoelectronics (NASDAQ:AAOI)
Storico
Da Mar 2024 a Mar 2025