Capital One Beats on ING Direct Buy - Analyst Blog
20 Aprile 2012 - 11:45AM
Zacks
Capital One Financial Corp. (COF) reported
first-quarter 2012 earnings of $1.56 per share, outpacing the Zacks
Consensus Estimate of $1.40. This also compares favorably
with 88 cents earned in the prior quarter and $2.21 recorded in the
year-ago quarter.
Considering the impact of a bargain purchase gain related to the
ING Direct USA acquisition, Capital One reported net income of $1.4
billion or $2.72 per share in the reported quarter. The company
completed the acquisition of ING Direct, online banking unit of
Amsterdam-based ING Groep NV (ING), during the
quarter. This acquisition is accretive to the company’s
first-quarter results.
Higher net increase income and fee income were major
contributors to the better-than-expected Capital One results. This
was further augmented by the ING Direct acquisition, which
positively impacted the company’s financials. However, higher
operating expenses slightly marred the earnings. Moreover, during
the quarter, credit quality exhibited significant improvement and
capital and profitability ratios remained stable.
Performance in Detail
Total revenue for the reported quarter stood at $4.94 billion,
surging 22% sequentially and 21% year-over-year. The improvement
was mainly driven by higher net interest and non-interest incomes.
Total revenue also surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.35
billion.
Net interest income for the quarter grew 7% sequentially and 9%
year-over-year to $3.41 billion. The increase was mainly driven by
substantially higher loans held for investment, including past-due
fees.
Net interest margin in the quarter fell 102 basis points (bps)
sequentially and 104 bps year over year to 6.20%. The drop
primarily resulted from ING Direct's lower yielding assets and
higher cash balances.
Non-interest income climbed from $868 million in the prior
quarter and $942 million from the year-ago quarter to $1,521
million. Inclusion of bargain purchase gain of $594 million related
to ING Direct acquisition accounted for the significant rise.
Capital One’s operating expenses for the reported quarter
dropped 4% sequentially but climbed 16% year over year to $2.50
billion. Lower marketing expense was the primary reason for the
sequential decline. The year-over-year increase was mainly due to
rise in salaries and associate benefits expenses as well as
marketing expenses.
The managed efficiency ratio improved to 50.74% from 64.64% in
the prior quarter and 52.96% in the previous-year quarter. The
decline in efficiency ratio indicates an increase in
profitability.
Credit Quality
Capital One’s credit quality showed significant improvement
during the quarter with allowance, as a percentage of reported
loans held for investment, slipping 79 bps sequentially and 189 bps
year over year to 2.34%. Likewise, net charge-off rate also
declined from 2.69% in the prior quarter and 3.66% in the year-ago
quarter to 2.04%.
Moreover, the 30-plus day performing delinquency rate declined
112 bps sequentially and 84 year over year to 2.23%. However,
provision for loan and lease losses decreased 33% sequentially but
marginally climbed 7% to $573 million.
Capital and Profitability Ratios
Capital One’s capital and profitability ratios continued to
elevate during the quarter. Tangible common equity (TCE) ratio for
the quarter was 8.2%, in line with the prior quarter and up from
7.3% in the prior-year quarter. As of March 31, 2012, tier 1
risk-based capital ratio rose 190 bps sequentially and 300 bps year
over year to 13.9%.
The company’s tangible book value per share was $39.37 as of
March 31, 2012 compared with $34.26 as of December 31, 2011 and
$29.47 as of March 31, 2011.
Peer Performance
One of the close peers of Capital One, Discover
Financial Services (DFS) posted better-than-expected
first-quarter results, with earnings surpassing the Zacks Consensus
Estimate. The surge in profits was driven by sales volume growth,
complemented by higher interest income, reduced provision for loan
losses and lower delinquency rates due to improved credit quality.
The profit was also boosted by the escalated income from both
direct banking and payment services business, which also drove the
book value per share.
Our Viewpoint
We anticipate continued synergies from Capital One’s geographic
diversification. Additionally, the resilience shown by almost all
its businesses will continue to support its financials. Further,
ING Direct was accretive to the company’s financials, immediately
upon closing. Moreover, we believe that the pending acquisition of
HSBC Holdings Plc’s (HBC) U.S. credit card
business will boost its top line and improve its market position in
terms of deposits and assets.
However, rising operating expenses and its commercial real
estate exposure will be the primary dampeners. Also, a weak loan
demand, along with the impact of the new financial reform law, will
suppress earnings in the near future.
Capital One currently retains a Zacks #3 Rank, which translates
into a short-term ‘Hold’ rating.
CAPITAL ONE FIN (COF): Free Stock Analysis Report
DISCOVER FIN SV (DFS): Free Stock Analysis Report
HSBC HOLDINGS (HBC): Free Stock Analysis Report
ING GROEP-ADR (ING): Free Stock Analysis Report
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