Is Bitcoin price going to crash again?
21 Marzo 2025 - 12:28PM
Cointelegraph


Bitcoin (BTC) tapped
$87,000 on March 20, 14% above its low of $76,60, reached on March
11 amid a slight improvement in market sentiment.
However, BTC price has since slid toward $84,000, down 2% over
the last 24 hours, raising questions about whether the asset could
drop further over the next few days.
BTC/USD daily chart. Source:
Cointelegraph/TradingView
Bitcoin Bull Score at two-year
lows
Bitcoin’s latest
drawdown saw it drop as much as 30% from its
all-time high
above $109,000 reached on Jan. 20.
Related:
Here’s why Bitcoin price can’t go higher than
$87.5K
This has seen its Bull Score Index drop to levels last seen in
2023, signaling a possible “continuation of bearish market
conditions,” according to CryptoQuant’s latest Weekly Crypto
report.
Key takeaways:
-
Bitcoin’s Bull Score Index measures the percentage of several
bullish metrics out of a total of ten key indicators.
-
These are indicators that track Bitcoin’s network activity,
investor profitability, demand, and market liquidity.
-
The index ranges from 0 to 100, with higher values signaling a
strong investment environment and lower values indicating bearish
conditions.
-
Historically, a score of 60 or more has always been associated
with strong rallies, as seen during the 2021 bull market and again
from late 2023 to early 2024.
-
On the other hand, values below 40 have historically aligned
with bear markets, such as the downturns seen during the 2022 and
mid-2023 bear markets.
Bitcoin: Bull Score Index. Source: CryptoQuant
-
The chart above shows that the Bull Score Index is currently at
20, marking its lowest reading since January 2023.
-
This “suggests a weak investment environment for Bitcoin,
reducing the likelihood of a sustained rally in the near term,”
CryptoQuant said, adding:
“If the score remains below 40 for an extended period,
it could signal the continuation of bearish market conditions,
similar to previous bear market phases.”
The report points out that a number of key metrics have turned
red since mid-February 2025, “reflecting a deteriorating investment
environment for Bitcoin.”
Perhaps this is what informed CryptoQuant founder and CEO Ki
Young Ju’s bearish sentiments when he said that the
Bitcoin bull cycle is over. He added:
“Expecting 6-12 months of bearish or sideways price
action.”
Bitcoin bear flag projects 28% more losses
From a technical perspective, BTC price trades within a bearish
continuation pattern that indicates a potential correction ahead
despite the ongoing consolidation.
Key points:
-
BTC is trading within a bear flag
pattern, indicating the possibility of continuing with the downward
momentum if key support levels don’t hold.
-
The bear flag developed after Bitcoin’s drop from $109,000 to a
local low of $76,600 between Jan. 21 and March 11.
-
The consolidation within the bear flag has BTC trading in an
ascending parallel channel, with today’s drop testing critical
support levels, including the lower boundary of the flag at
$83,700.
BTC/USD daily chart. Source:
Cointelegraph/TradingView
-
A breakdown of this level could trigger another price crash.
-
The bear flag’s downside target, derived from the height of the
previous drop, is approximately $60,000, representing a 28% decline
from the current price.
Popular analyst AlphaBTC says it “would be bad”
if Bitcoin lost its 24-hour low at $83,630, which aligns with the
flag’s support line. An accompanying chart projects a drop to
$75,000 if this happens.
BTC/USD 2-hour chart. Source: AlphaBTC
This article does not
contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and
trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own
research when making a decision.
...
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