CA 4Q - A Mixed Bag - Analyst Blog
13 Maggio 2011 - 2:00PM
Zacks
CA Inc. (CA)
reported fourth quarter 2011 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of
46 cents, in line the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Results were driven
by the growing demand for the company’s products, partially offset
by weakness in Europe.
Revenue
CA Inc. reported fourth quarter
revenue of $1.13 billion, up 4.9% from $1.08 billion reported in
the year-ago quarter, but short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of
$1.16 billion. Revenue growth can be attributed to continued focus
on execution and enhanced portfolio solutions as well as new market
opportunities. During the quarter, the company witnessed demand for
its virtualization and service automation, service portfolio
management, Nimsoft solutions, as well as mainframe capacity, which
was partially offset by softness in new mainframe product
demand.
In terms of business segments,
Subscription and Maintenance revenue increased
3.1% year over year to $970.0 million. Professional
Services revenue was $82.0 million, up 9.3% from the
comparable quarter in the prior year. Software Fees and
Other generated revenues of $76.0 million, up 28.8% from
$59.0 million in the year-ago quarter.
On the basis of geographical
segments, North America generated revenue of $689.0 million, up
5.4% from $654.0 million in the year-ago quarter. International
revenue (excluding America) was $439.0 million, up 4.3% from $421.0
million reported in the year-ago quarter. Continuous weakness in
Europe, Middle East and Africa affected revenue.
Bookings
Total bookings in the fourth
quarter were $1.89 billion, up 33.1% from $1.42 billion reported in
the prior-year period. The improvement in bookings was attributed
to a five-year contract renewal of approximately $500 million with
a large IT outsourcer. CA Inc. renewed a total of 21 license
agreements with contract values of more than $10 million each.
Operating
Results
On a GAAP basis, operating income
for the fourth quarter stood at $299.0 million, up from $231.0
million in the year-ago quarter. Excluding special items, such as
purchased software amortization, intangibles amortization,
restructuring and other costs, and including hedging gains and
losses, the non-GAAP operating income for the quarter was $337.0
million versus $256.0 million in the year-ago quarter.
Net income on a GAAP basis, for the
fourth quarter was 37 cents per share versus 19 cents in the
year-ago quarter. Excluding special items, such as software
amortization, intangible amortization, restructuring and other and
hedging gains/losses, non-GAAP net income in the fourth quarter was
46 cents per share versus 34 cents reported in the year-ago
quarter.
Our calculation for net income per
share excludes the effect of the company’s recently discontinued
Internet Security Business.
Balance Sheet and Cash
Flow
CA Inc. generated $634.0 million of
cash from operating activities, compared to $631.0 million in the
year-ago quarter. Capital expenditure was $19.0 million, down from
$22.0 million in the year-ago quarter. Cash and cash equivalents
stood at $3.12 billion, up from $2.69 billion reported in the
previous quarter. At quarter end, the company had $1.55 billion in
total debt outstanding and its net cash position was $1.56
billion.
Share Repurchase &
Dividend
During the quarter, CA Inc.
repurchased approximately 2 million shares for a total of $48.0
million.
The company also announced that its
board of directors has authorized an additional share buyback of
$500 million. The total available shares for repurchase were
approximately $700 million as of May 2011, including approximately
$200 million remaining from the board's 2010 authorization of $500
million.
Moreover, CA Inc.’s board has
authorized a dividend increase of 25% for fiscal 2012. For the
first quarter of 2012, the board has declared a quarterly cash
dividend of 5 cents per common share, as compared to 4 cents per
common share paid so far.
Guidance
For fiscal 2012, management expects
revenue growth in the range of 6% to 8% at current exchange rates,
which translates to revenue of $4.8 billion to $4.9 billion.
Earnings on a GAAP basis are expected in the range of $1.79 to
$1.86 per share, while non-GAAP earnings are expected in the range
of $2.12 to $2.19.
Our Take
CA Inc. posted modest fourth
quarter numbers, matching the Zacks Consensus Estimate on the
bottom line, but missing on the top line. However, the product
demand trend noticed in the quarter was encouraging. Keeping in
mind the quarter’s revenue backlog, we find the fiscal 2012
guidance a bit conservative. We think that CA Inc.’s endeavor to
return shareholder value with share buybacks and dividend increases
could boost investor sentiment.
On the other hand, we are a bit
concerned about intense competition in the software & cloud
computing space from big players, such as International
Business Machines (IBM) and Hewlett-Packard
Company (HPQ). This apart, its high debt balance and
European exposure may pose some challenges going forward.
Currently, CA Inc. has a Zacks #3
Rank, implying a short-term Hold rating.
CA INC (CA): Free Stock Analysis Report
HEWLETT PACKARD (HPQ): Free Stock Analysis Report
INTL BUS MACH (IBM): Free Stock Analysis Report
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