Timken Revises Fourth-Quarter Earnings Estimate, Forecasts Stronger Year in 2007
29 Gennaio 2007 - 11:39PM
Business Wire
The Timken Company (NYSE:TKR) today announced it is reducing its
earnings estimate for the fourth quarter of 2006. The reduction is
primarily due to lower North American automotive demand, an
increase in the company�s Automotive warranty reserves, the effect
of higher Industrial manufacturing costs and the impact of the sale
of Latrobe Steel. (The impact of these items is detailed in Table 1
below.) The company now anticipates 2006 fourth-quarter earnings
per diluted share of approximately $0.37 and $2.36 for the full
year. Excluding the impact of special items, the company estimates
fourth-quarter earnings per diluted share of approximately $0.30
and $2.48 for the full year. Special items include income from
Continued Dumping and Subsidy Offset Act payments, net losses on
divestitures and charges related to restructuring, rationalization
and goodwill impairment. The company had previously provided
estimated earnings per share of $0.47 to $0.57 for the fourth
quarter and $2.65 to $2.75 for the full year, excluding the impact
of special items. The revised 2006 earnings estimates include
Latrobe Steel through November 30 in the amount of $0.20 for the
quarter and $0.49 for the full year or, excluding special items,
$0.07 for the quarter and $0.35 for the full year. The difference
reflects the gain on the sale of Latrobe Steel. (See schedule below
for reconciliation of GAAP estimated EPS, assuming dilution.) �We
are confident the actions we are taking are positioning the company
for stronger performance,� said James W. Griffith, Timken�s
president and chief executive officer. �Specifically, our efforts
to ramp up Industrial capacity, restructure our Automotive
business, divest non-strategic assets and focus our Steel business
on more differentiated products have better positioned the company
to create higher levels of value and customer service going
forward. As a result of these initiatives, along with improvements
in working capital management and increased pension funding, we
expect to see substantial improvement in our 2007 financial
performance, as reflected in our earnings outlook.� Outlook The
company expects improved results in 2007 as global industrial
markets are anticipated to remain strong. Targeted investments in
Industrial bearing capacity are expected to become operational
throughout the year, and the Steel Group is anticipated to continue
performing at a historically high level of profitability. In
addition, the company expects its Automotive restructuring
initiatives to enable improved performance compared to the second
half of 2006, as North American automotive demand stabilizes. On a
continuing operations basis, earnings per diluted share for 2007,
excluding special items, are estimated to be $2.50 to $2.70,
compared to an estimated $2.13 in 2006, which is adjusted to
reflect the divestiture of Latrobe Steel. Conference Call
Information Timken will announce complete 2006 fourth-quarter and
full-year results on Feb. 7, 2007, prior to the opening of the New
York Stock Exchange. The company will host a conference call that
day for investors and securities analysts to discuss the financial
results. Conference Call: Wednesday, Feb. 7, 2007 11:00 a.m.
Eastern Time All Callers: Live Dial-In: 800-344-0593 or
706-634-0975 (Call in 10 minutes prior to be included) Conference
ID: #6026832 Replay Dial-In through Feb. 14, 2007: 800-642-1687 or
706-645-9291 Live Webcast: www.timken.com/investors Table 1: Key
Negative Fourth-Quarter 2006 EPS Impacts $ EPS Decline in North
American Automotive Demand 0.09� Increase in Automotive Warranty
Reserves 0.08� Industrial Manufacturing Costs 0.06� December
Earnings from Latrobe Steel 0.03� About The Timken Company The
Timken Company (NYSE: TKR, http://www.timken.com) keeps the world
turning, with innovative ways to make customers� products run
smoother, faster and more efficiently. Timken�s highly engineered
bearings, alloy steels and related products and services turn up
everywhere. With operations in 27 countries and approximately
25,400 employees, Timken is Where You Turn� for better performance.
Certain statements in this news release (including statements
regarding the company�s estimates, expectations and forecasts) that
are not historical in nature are �forward-looking� statements
within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act
of 1995. In particular, statements related to the company�s
financial performance, including the information under the heading
�Outlook,� are forward looking. The company cautions that actual
results may differ materially from those projected or implied in
forward-looking statements due to a variety of important factors,
including: the completion of the company�s financial statements for
the 2006 fourth quarter and full year; the company�s ability to
respond to the changes in its end markets, especially the North
American automotive industry; fluctuations in raw material and
energy costs and the operation of the company�s surcharge
mechanisms; changes in the financial health of the company�s
customers; and the impact on operations of general economic
conditions, higher raw material and energy costs, fluctuations in
customer demand and the company�s ability to achieve the benefits
of its future and ongoing programs and initiatives, including the
implementation of its Automotive Group restructuring and
initiatives and the rationalization of the company�s Canton bearing
operations. These and additional factors are described in greater
detail in the company�s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year
ended Dec. 31, 2005, page 65, and in the company�s Quarterly Report
on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended Sept. 30, 2006. The company
undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking
statement. Reconciliation of GAAP Estimated EPS (assuming dilution)
Schedule This reconciliation is provided as additional relevant
information about the company's performance. Management believes
adjusted earnings per share are more representative of the
company's performance and therefore useful to investors. Management
also believes that it is appropriate to compare GAAP earnings per
share to adjusted earnings per share in light of special items
related to impairment and restructuring and manufacturing
rationalization/reorganization costs, Continued Dumping and Subsidy
Offset Act (CDSOA) receipts and gain/loss on the sale of
non-strategic assets. � (Unaudited) Estimated 2006 EPS assuming
dilution � Fourth Quarter Full Year � Income from continuing
operations $0.17� (a) $1.87� (a) Income from discontinued
operations, net of income taxes, special items (1) 0.13� 0.14�
Income from discontinued operations, net of income taxes, other (2)
0.07� 0.35� � � � � � � Reported earnings per share $0.37� � �
$2.36� � � Special items, net of income taxes: Restructuring and
rationalization expenses $0.19� $0.36� Goodwill impairment charges
0.13� 0.13� Loss on divestiture 0.40� 0.47� Special items - other
expense (income) (3) (0.63) (0.64) Income taxes (0.03) (0.06)
Subtotal: Special items related to continuing operations 0.06� (a)
0.26� (a) � Income from discontinued operations, net of income
taxes, special items (1) (0.13) (0.14) � � � � � � Adjusted
earnings per share $0.30� $2.48� � � � � � � � � � � � � � Earnings
per share, diluted, from continuing operations, adjusted for
special items related to continuing operations $0.23� $2.13� Note:
inclusive of items denoted by (a). � � � � � � (1) Discontinued
Operations relates to the sale of Latrobe Steel, effective November
30, 2006. Income From Discontinued Operations Net of Income Taxes,
Special Items includes the gain on sale of the stock of Latrobe
Steel. (2) Discontinued Operations relates to the sale of Latrobe
Steel, effective November 30, 2006. Income From Discontinued
Operations Net of Income Taxes, Other includes prior activity of
Latrobe in accordance with the stock purchase agreement. (3)
Primarily Continued Dumping and Subsidy Offset Act payments. �
Reconciliation of Outlook Information - Estimated earnings per
diluted share for the 2007 year excludes special items. Examples of
such special items include impairment and restructuring,
manufacturing rationalization/integration/reorganization expenses,
gain/loss on the sale of non-strategic assets and payments under
the CDSOA. It is not possible at this time to identify the
potential amount or significance of these special items. The
company cannot predict whether it will receive any payments under
the CDSOA in 2007 and, if so, in what amount. If the company were
to receive any additional CDSOA payments, they will most likely be
received in the fourth quarter.
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